Impendulo: "I-US Global Ayikwazi Ukugwema Ukubhekana neChina neRussia"

NgoJulayi, 8, 2021 iBalkin Insights yashicilela udaba olubhalwe nguDavid L. Phillips olwalunesihloko esithi “I-Global US Ayikwazi Ukugwema Ukubhekana NeRussia NeChina” Isihlokwana esithi: “Khohlwa ukukhuluma 'ngokusetha kabusha' ebudlelwaneni; i-US isenkingeni yokushayisana nezitha ezimbili ezingenakulinganiswa ezimisele ukuhlola ubuholi bayo nokuxazulula ”

I-athikili ingatholakala ku: https://balkaninsight.com/2021/07/08/a-global-us-cant-avoid-confronting-china-and-russia/

UDavid L. Phillips unguMqondisi, uHlelo Lokwakha Ukuthula Namalungelo, e-Institute for the Study of Human Rights e-Columbia University. Ngikhathazekile ngomqondo wale ndatshana, ikakhulukazi ovela esikhungweni esizinikele ekwakheni ukuthula, nginqume ukuthi impendulo ibifanele. Ngezansi impendulo yami enkulumweni kaMnu. Phillips. Impendulo yathunyelwa ngoJulayi 12, 2021 kuDavid L. Phillips dp2366@columbia.edu

Mnumzane Phillips othandekayo:

Kwakunokukhathazeka okwandayo lapho ngifunda le ndatshana engenhla eyabhalwa nguwe futhi yashicilelwa eBalkinInsight, okusolakala ukuthi yayimele isikhungo saseColumbia University esizinikele “kwi-Peace Building and Human Rights”. Ngithukile lapho ngibona izinkulumo eziningi ezifudumele zivela esikhungweni esizinikele ekwakheni ukuthula. Ngabe ungachaza ngokunembile ukuthi ucabanga ukuthi i-US kufanele "ibhekane" neRussia neChina ngaphandle kokubeka engcupheni impi ezosiqeda sonke?

Endabeni yokukhuthaza ukuthula, njengoba usebenze ekuphathweni okwakamuva, uyazi ukuthi i-US inengqalasizinda yonke eyenzelwe ukuphazamisa ukuthula kanye "nokudala izingxabano" okuyiNational Endowment for Democracy kanye neRepublican and Democratic Institutes nalo lonke uhla lwama-NGO kanye nabanikeli abazimele inhloso yalo ukuphazamisa izifunda i-US ekhombe kuzo ukuguqulwa kombuso. Uma ungeza izinhlaka zokuphepha ne-USAID, kuyingqalasizinda impela. Ingabe isikhungo sakho siyayeseka imisebenzi ephazamisayo yale ngqalasizinda, abanye abantu abayibiza ngokuthi "amandla athambile"? Mayelana nendaba yamalungelo abantu, ngabe yini isikhungo sakho esenze ukubhekana namasu asetshenziswe ngesikhathi se- "War on Terror" kufaka phakathi ukungena ngokungemthetho, ukuqhuma kwamabhomu, ukufuduswa kwabantu, ukuqhutshwa, ukubekwa emanzini nezinye izindlela zokuhlukumeza ezivezwe eminyakeni edlule? Esikhundleni sokukhomba umunwe kwamanye amazwe, kungani singasebenzi ukulungisa umkhumbi wethu wombuso?

Kubukeka sengathi awazi ngokuphelele ngomlando wobudlelwano baseRussia / China obuvame ukuba nobutha nokungqubuzana, okungenani kuze kube muva nje lapho inqubomgomo yase-US eya eRussia iphoqa iRussia ukuthi ibumbane neChina. Esikhundleni sokuhlola kabusha izinqubomgomo eziholele emphumeleni oyinhlekelele wezintshisekelo zase-US, ubonakala ukhetha ukukhuluma izinto ezibonakala zingabazeka njengokuthi: "I-Russia ingumbuso wezwe owehlayo." Ake ngikucele ukuthi usivivinye leso sitatimende ngokuqaphela okumbalwa nje lapho ngifunda futhi ngiya eRussia; 1) I-Russia izizukulwane ezizayo kwezobuchwepheshe be-missile kanye nokuvikelwa kwemicibisholo kanye nobunye ubuchwepheshe obusezingeni eliphakeme bezempi nemidlalo ibutho lezempi elakhiwe kabusha; 2) IRosatom yaseRussia manje yakha iningi lezitshalo zenuzi emhlabeni jikelele isebenzisa ubuchwepheshe obusha nobuphephe kakhulu, ngenkathi izinkampani zase-US zibonakala zingakhi ngisho nendawo eyodwa yokuphehla ugesi wenuzi; 3) I-Russia yakha zonke izindiza zayo, kubandakanya nezindiza zabagibeli — iRussia futhi yakha yonke imikhumbi yemikhumbi yayo yasolwandle kubandakanya nemikhumbi-ngwenya emisha yobuchwepheshe obuphakeme kanye nezindiza ezizimele ezingahamba izinkulungwane zamamayela ngaphansi kwamanzi; I-4) I-Russia isengaphambili kwezobuchwepheshe obubanda kakhulu besimo sezulu se-arctic kubandakanya izikhungo kanye neziphephi zeqhwa. 5) Isikweletu saseRussia siyi-18% ye-GDP, banensalela yesabelomali kanye nesikhwama sezomnotho esizimele-isikweletu sase-US sanda ngama-trillion minyaka yonke futhi i-US kufanele iphrinte imali ukukhokha izikweletu zamanje; 6) Ngenkathi iRussia ingenelela, njengoba yenze eSyria ngo-2015 isimenywe uhulumeni waseSyria, iRussia yakwazi ukuguqula isimo saleyo mpi yokulwa nommeli engekho emthethweni eyasekelwa yi-US. Qhathanisa leli rekhodi "nokuphumelela" kwempi yaseMelika kusukela ngo-WW2; I-7) iRussia empeleni iyanele ngokwanele ekudleni, emandleni, emikhiqizweni yabathengi, nakubuchwepheshe. Yini engenzeka e-US uma imikhumbi yamakhonteyna iyeka ukufika? Ngingaqhubeka kepha nali iphuzu lami: ucabanga ngokushoda kwakho kolwazi lwamanje, mhlawumbe kufanele uye eRussia futhi uzibonele ngokwakho izimo zamanje kunokuba uqhubeke nokuphinda njalo inkulumo-ze elwa neRussia? Kungani ngiphakamisa lokhu? Ngoba noma ngubani oqonda izingqinamba ezithintekayo uzobona ukuthi kungokuphepha kwezwe lase-USA ukuba nobungane neRussia-uma ucabanga ukuthi lokhu kusenokwenzeka uma unikezwa indlela yokuziphatha yase-US eminyakeni engama-30 edlule.

Vele iRussia neChina abangafuni ukubhekana ne-US ngoba bobabili babona i-1) inikezwe izinqubomgomo zamanje, ukuqhubeka kwempi yase-US / NATO akunakekelwa kwezepolitiki nakwezomnotho; kanye ne-2) i-US ngeke ikwazi ukusekela impi evamile nganoma yisiphi isikhathi eside ngakho-ke umhlaba uzoba sengozini enkulu yokuthi i-US iphendukele ezikhaliweni zenuzi kunokuba yamukele ukuhlulwa okuvamile. Kungakho bobabili iRussia neChina becela isikhathi sabo kunokubeka engcupheni impi yenuzi yomhlaba wonke. Uma kwenzeka i-US / NATO ithatha isinqumo sokuqondisa izikhali zenuzi eRussia, abaseRussia bakubeke kwacaca impela ukuthi impi elandelayo ngeke ilwelwe kuphela emhlabathini waseRussia, ngakho-ke njengoba inqubomgomo yase-US ifaka phakathi ukusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi ukusetshenziswa okokuqala kungaholela impi egcwele yenuzi kubandakanya ukubhujiswa kwe-US. Uma ubheka iqiniso — kufanele ngibuze ukuthi wakha kanjani ukuthula namalungelo abantu ngokuqhubeka nokukhuluma nokusekela izinqubomgomo ezinjalo?

Ngingabhala umcabango ophelele kuwo wonke amaphutha, ulwazi olungelona iqiniso nolwazi oluyiphutha oluqukethwe yindatshana yakho — kodwa ake ngithi amagama ambalwa nge-Ukraine nangezwe langaphambili le-USSR. Ngabe uyazi nokuthi ngemuva kokuhlakazwa kweSoviet Union iRussian Federation nabantu baseRussia baphendukela e-US futhi basethemba ukuthi sizobasiza ukuthi bakhe umnotho wezimakethe? Ukuthi ama-80% abantu baseRussia babe nemibono evumayo nge-USA? Ukuthi lokhu kubuyiselwe ngaphezulu kuka-70% wezakhamizi zase-US ezinombono omuhle ngabantu baseRussia? Yeka ithuba elimangazayo lokhu elivezile lokubeka eceleni impi, ukukhuthaza ukuthula, nokusindisa i-republic yethu? Kwenzenjani? Bheka phezulu !! IRussia yaphangwa — ngabantu abampofu. Izindatshana zabhalwa ukuthi "iRussia isiphelile." Kepha, njengoba ngichazile ngenhla, iRussia ayiqediwe. Saze saphula isithembiso sokungayikhulisi i-NATO “iyintshi elilodwa ngasempumalanga”. Esikhundleni salokho, impi yezempi yase-US yaqhubeka futhi i-NATO yanwetshwa yaya emnyango waseRussia. Amazwe agudle umngcele weRussia, kubandakanya iGeorgia ne-Ukraine, ahlaselwa izinguquko zemibala kuhlanganisa nokugumbuqelwa kukaMaidan ngowezi-2014. Manje, ngenxa yenqubomgomo ye-US / NATO, i-Ukraine empeleni izwe elihlulekile. Khonamanjalo, abantu abaningi baseRussia eCrimea banqume ukuvikela ukuthula kwabo, ukuphepha kanye namalungelo abantu, ngokuvotela ukujoyina iRussia Federation. Ngenxa yalesi senzo sokuzivikela abantu baseCrimea bavunyelwe. I-Russia ayikwenzanga lokhu. Akekho oqonda leli qiniso ongasola iRussia ngalokhu. Inqubomgomo ye-US / NATO yenze lokhu. Ngabe isikhungo esibhekele ukukhuthaza ukuthula namalungelo esintu sisekela lo mphumela?

Angizazi izisusa zangempela zale nkulumo elwa neRussia-kodwa ngingasho ngokuqinile ukuthi iphikisana ngokuphelele nezintshisekelo zokuphepha zesikhathi eside ze-USA. Bheka nxazonke bese uzibuze-kungani kufanele ube yizitha neRussia-ikakhulukazi ngokumelene neChina? Kungaphakanyiswa umbuzo ofanayo nge-Iran — ngeVenezuela — ngeSyria — ngisho nangeChina uqobo. Kwenzekani ngezingxoxo zezombusazwe? Ngiyabona ukuthi kuneklabhu ephethe i-USA, futhi ukuze uthole imisebenzi, imali, kanye noxhaso kufanele ube yingxenye yale "kilabhu" futhi lokho kubandakanya ukujoyina icala elibucayi leqembu lokucabanga. Kepha kuthiwani uma iklabhu isukile kojantshi futhi manje yenza okubi kakhulu kunokuhle? Kuthiwani uma ikilabhu lisohlangothini olungafanele lomlando? Kuthiwani uma le kilabhu isongela lona kanye ikusasa le-USA? Ikusasa lempucuko uqobo? Ngiyesaba ukuthi uma abantu abanele e-US, njengawe, bengazicabangi lezi zinkinga ikusasa lethu lisengozini.

Ngiyabona ukuthi lo mzamo uzowela ezindlebeni ezingezwa - kodwa ngacabanga ukuthi wawufanele ukudutshulwa.

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