NaJunaid S. Ahmad, Middle East Monitor, February 13, 2024
Sarudzo dzePakistan dzakaita zvaitarisirwa, asi hadzina kuita zvimwe zvaitarisirwa. Zvakafanotaurwa ndezvekuti paizovhota nekubiridzira chaiko sechinhu chepakati chehurongwa hwevakuru vePakistani, uye zvaivepo. Changa chisingatarisirwe ndechekuti bato reVaimbove Mutungamiriri wehurumende, Imran Khan, PTI (Movement for Justice), raizohwina zvigaro zvakawanda zveparamende zvebato ripi zvaro. Chakanga chiri chishamiso chakaitika, tichitarisa kudzvinyirirwa kwakaipisisa kwePTI, uye kuedza kwakaitwa nemauto ekudzivirira kuti bato risatombokwikwidza musarudzo.
Chatinoziva parizvino ndechekuti mauto ePakistani ehungwaru, zvichitevera mhirizhonga uye kutyisidzira vanhu mushure mekudzingwa kwaKhan muna Kubvumbi 2022, ndiye chirevo chamambo asina hembe. Chiri pachena kwete chete nezvekutonga kwacho kwehugandanga, huwori nehutsotsi, asiwo nekusakwanisa kwacho nekutadza kuburitsa zvakabuda musarudzo zvaidiwa nemasimba emagetsi emunyika nekunze.
Munzira dzakawanda, pamwe chiitiko chakanyanya kufanana chichangobva kuitika kwaive kukunda kweHamas musarudzo dze2006 Palestinian Legislative Council. MaIsrael, maAmerican neGulf monarchies vaida kupa mvumo kune yavo yakasarudzwa yekugara kontrakta, mushandirapamwe uye nehuori husina tariro hwePalestinian Authority (PA) inodzorwa zvakanyanya neHamas mukwikwidzi Fatah. Mauto aya aitenda kuti akange adyara mari yakakwana uye mari yezvematongerwo enyika kuti vakwanise kukwikwidza kuFatah kuhwina "sarudzo pasi pekugara". Kukushamisika kwavo kukuru - uye kushamisika kweHamas, kuve yakanaka - Islamic Resistance Movement yakakunda.
Saizvozvo, vemauto nevezvematongerwo enyika vePakistan vakazvivimbisa ivo nevatsigiri vavo muWashington kuti sarudzo muPakistan yaive chibvumirano.
Nyaya iyi yaiti kukwidzwa kwePTI kwadzikira, uye mukurumbira wese waKhan nebato rake rezvematongerwo enyika waizodzikiswa nekudyara kwemakumi emamiriyoni emadhora kutenga kubva kuvakuru vemauto, vezvematongerwo enyika mumatunhu ese uye, zvine hutsinye, vatongi vematare epamusoro ematunhu, pamwe neDare Repamusorosoro.
Vakuru vemauto vakati vaive nehurongwa B, uye kana zvichidikanwa, chirongwa C, chakagadzirira kana chirongwa A chisina kushanda. Kuronga A kwaive kudzingwa kuri nyore kwaKhan kubva musimba muna Kubvumbi 2022. Zvaifungidzirwa kuti izvi zvaizopedza "hutachiona hweKhan". Zvakashamisa vazhinji, kusanganisira Khan pachake, kudururwa kwerutsigiro kukuru, kusati kwamboitika kwakangoerekana kwaitika, nemisangano yakaitika mumaguta nemadhorobha mumatunhu ese enyika.
Saka, vakuru vemauto vakatanga kumhan'arira Khan kuti apinde mumatare edzimhosva mushure meimwe: chirongwa B. Izvo zvakatadza kushanda, uye mukurumbira waKhan wakaramba uchikwira. Kusimbiso dzisingaperi dzakaitwa kubva kune aimbove Chief of Army Staff General Bajwa kuenda kuWashington uye Imba yaSharif, mhuri iri kutonga rimwe remapato maviri ane masimba ezvematongerwo enyika, PML (N). Bajwa akati zvinhu zviri kudzoreka uye kuti mutevedzeri wake, General Asim Munir, aizopedza basa. Bajwa akaita rombo rakanaka. Chaakabvuma chete kubvisa Khan pachigaro, uye akanunura. Aivengwa, asi akakwanisa kusiya zvematongerwo enyika pashure pemwedzi mishomanana. Munir haana kuita rombo rakanaka.
Plan C yaifanira kushandiswa. Manzwiro everuzhinji akange achipokana kuvakuru vemauto nekuda kwekusanyara kwavo kunanga Khan zvekuti "mhinduro yekupedzisira" yaifanira kuitwa: kuuraya. Kuedza kuviri, kumwe kwakakuvadza Khan mushin, hakuna kubudirira.
Pakanga pasina chirongwa D, uye saka imwe yakagadziriswa nekukurumidza. Khan akatarisana nemhosva dzisina musoro asi dzakakomba kwazvo dzehugandanga uye kupandukira, uye akaiswa mujeri ari ega. Akapomerwa mhosva yekuburitsa zvakavanzika zvehurumende panyaya ine mukurumbira wakashata ye "cypher-gate", nemhosva yekuti akataura zvisina hanya nezvetambo yakavanzika yepamusoro yakatumirwa kubazi rezvekunze nemumiriri wePakistan kuUS. Tambo yakataura, pasina kujeka, chishuwo cheWashington chekuti Khan abviswe pachigaro.
Vese vari vaviri vevakuru vemauto pamwe chete, zvinosiririsa, vazhinji mukirasi yenjere, vakaseka Khan nevatsigiri vake kwerinopfuura gore nekuda kweiyi "dzidziso yekurangana" uye nekugadzira iyi "yengano" cypher. Kana chete The Intercept akasimbisa huchokwadi hwezviri mukati metambo yevamiriri sezvavatsanangurwa naKhan, ko Munir nevamwe vakuru vemauto havana kungobvuma chete kuti mhirizhonga yakadaro iripo, asi kuti Khan anga ave kupomerwa mhosva yekupandukira aburitsa zvirimo. Uku kuburitswa kwakaitwa aimbove mutungamiriri wehurumende kwakatyisidzira zvakanyanya "kuchengetedzwa kwenyika". Muchokwadi, yakaratidza pachena kurongeka kwemubatanidzwa weUS yekumisikidzwa kwemitemo yekunze, vakuru vePakistani nevakuru vePakistani vemapato makuru maviri ezvematongerwo enyika - Imba yaSharif neImba yaBhutto-Zardari - mukuda kubvisa vakasarudzwa zvine demokrasi. Khan kubva pasimba.
Pakangotanga kuunganidzwa hurongwa D, pfungwa yaive yekuti zvaizotungamira kuronga E, kudzvanyirirwa zvisina tsitsi kwePTI, kuitira kuti panguva yesarudzo pasave nechasara kuna Khan nebato rake. Zvakaratidza zvakabuda musarudzo svondo rapfuura, ndezvekuti kunyange hazvo nhengo dzebato raKhan dzakatadza kukwikwidza netiketi rebato ravo uye dzaifanira kukwikwidza dzakazvimirira, pane rutsigiro rwakakura rwePTI.
Ikoko kunoratidzika kunge kusina hurongwa F, tichifunga nezvemhinduro dzakaipa dzemukuru wemauto uye mukuru wemasangano ehungwaru, kana kuti Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). Munir haasisina hanya nemufananidzo wake mukuru "zvisungo". Akaderedzwa pakuedza kuzviponesa. Bato chete raari kuyedza kufadza panguva ino ndiro riri kutsika bhiri: Imba yaSharif. Mukuru wacho parizvino ndiye anovengwa zvakanyanya Chief of Staff munhoroondo yePakistan, uye hapana kushomeka kwemakwikwi ezita iroro.
Zvakadini nevarongi veWashington? Vari kuita sei? Mumwe mukuru mukuru weDhipatimendi reHurumende akataura zvakajeka kuti: “Ava vasina njere havagoni kunyange kupwanya mudzidzi wezvematongerwo enyika akaita saKhan. Vanoraira rimwe remauto makuru kwazvo pasi rose, ane zvombo zvenyukireya. Zvese izvozvo ndezvei?"
Iyo US yekumisikidzwa kwemitemo yekunze, mushure mekudzingwa kwaKhan, yakanga yaburitsa basa rekutonga yekare "Af-Pak" (Afghanistan-Pakistan) theatre ye "Global War on Terror" kuPentagon. Washington yakatenda kuti iyo Cold War chimiro chekubata nevakuru vemauto chaizoburitsa "yakagadzikana" uye inopfava Pakistan. Iko hakuna mubatanidzwa wakatsamwa nekusagona kwemukuru wemauto ePakistan seDhipatimendi reDziviriro reUS, iro vese Bajwa naMunir vakavimbisa mwedzi. Chaizvoizvo, kunyange zvakadaro, vakuru veDhipatimendi reHurumende vakatsamwa zvakaenzana sezvo vakapihwa basa rekutanga kweanoda kusvika makore maviri kuvanza basa reWashington, pamwe nerevakuru vePakistani, mune izvi zvese.
Dhipatimendi reHurumende rakanga raramba chero ruzivo rweiyo cypher, asi iyo nzvimbo yakatanga kuchinja mushure meiyo Intercept's kuburitswa kwezviri mukati meiyo damning diplomatic cable. Panguva iyoyo, zvaisanyanya kutaura nezvekusavapo kwecypher, asi kusimbisa kuti kutaurirana kwakadaro pakati pehurumende mbiri hakuna chinhu chisina kujairika. Washington yanga ichida kupa Islamabad mimwe mwedzi mishoma kuti igadzirise zvese nekuita sarudzo dzemanyepo dzaizobvisa Khan nebato rake zvachose.
Uye zvino, zvinoita sezviri pachena kuti iyo US yekune dzimwe nyika bumbiro iri kutsvaga kutsiva, uye ine shungu yekuranga vakuru vemauto avo vakavimbisa kuburitsa isinganyare inozviisa pasi pePakistani zvematongerwo enyika. Ichi ndicho chikonzero kwave nekuputika kwakadaro kwekutsoropodza kunotyisa kweuto rePakistani kubva kuDhipatimendi reHurumende uye nhengo dzakawanda dzeCongress.
Paive, pasina kupokana, nhengo dzeCongress, dzakaita seMumiriri Ilhan Omar, vaida kuratidza kusafara kwavo kare. Asi vakabvumawo hutungamiriri hwavo hweDemocratic Party muWhite House uye muCongress, avo vakanamatira neshinda kune pfungwa yekuti "kugadzikana" kwaizounzwa nevechivanhu vezvematongerwo enyika nevechiuto. White House yakaramba ichiramba ichiti "vakomana vedu" muIslamabad vaizofambisa shanduko yakagadzikana uye yakanyarara kuenda kunguva yeshure kweKhan, pasina kuridza mabhero epasi rose.
Ehe, ikozvino zvave pachena kuti Washington iri kudzokorodza chimiro chayo zvakanyanya, iyo inoudza vatungamiriri vePakistan, "Wakawana mukana wako, wakakundikana, uye ikozvino wave kuita kuti zvinhu zvinyanye." Kuchinja kweAmerica 180-degree kuedza kuchengetedza ruremekedzo, kana kushivirira, kubva kuvanhu vePakistan vanoziva zvizere basa reWashington mukushanda kwekuchinja kwehutongi. Vakuru vemauto vakaisa Washington mumamiriro ezvinhu anonyadzisa zvikuru.
Nekudaro, Washington apparatchiks inogona kunge isina kunaka mukubata kwavo vatengi mukhaki muPakistan. Ivo vekutanga havazive kuti ndivo vezvematongerwo enyika vanogona kudzora, kwete vakomana vatsva pabhuroko saKhan. Vakuru vezvematongerwo enyika vekare vanoziva mitemo yemutambo - kuenzana kwakakodzera pakati pekupfumisa vese vezvematongerwo enyika nevechiuto - uye vanotevedzera. Vachangoburwa vane hukasha zvekuti havatombodzidzi mitemo iyi nemazvo, ndoda kuitevedzera. Muchidimbu, Washington ikozvino inoona General Munir semhosva inotyisa, mushure megore rake rekutanga seMukuru weVashandi, kusiyana neGeneral Pervez Musharraf, uyo akapa Washington "kugadzikana muPakistan" kwemakore masere kusvika iye avewo mutoro muna 2007.
Mune iyi saga yese, chave kuodza moyo ibasa rePakistani media. Nyika inotungamira uye, zvakakodzera, inoremekedzwa nguva nenguva, mambakwedza, zvakangoerekana zvatanga kubudisa mbiru dzairumbidza “kuzvidzwa” kwevanhu musarudzo iyi. Zvinonyadzisa kuti kushora kwevanhu hakuna kuvharwa mumwedzi makumi maviri yadarika, nepo sezviri pachena kwaingove kuratidzwa kwechitendero-chinotevera, uye hudzvanyiriri uye hune hutongi husina kukodzera kutaurwa. Kupokana kwevanhu vePakistani kwaigona kunge kwakabatsirikana kubva kune kumwe kufukidzwa ipapo. Iye zvino, manzwi akadaro munhepfenyuro akajairika. Zvinosiririsa kuti vezvenhau vePakistan vanoita kunge vari kutora zvirevo kubva kuUS State department nezve nguva yekuvhara / kuzivisa, uye nguva yekusadaro. mambakwedza vanyori vepepanhau vaive nemwedzi yakawanda yekurumbidza zvido zvegutsaruzhinji zvevanhu, asi havana.
Panguva iyi, kupatsanurana kwevakuru vemauto kwave kuoneka. Munir nevamwe vari pamusoro pendarira vanoona kuti zvine ngozi sei kupa mirairo isiriyo kuvakuru vakuru nevarwi. Kangani mauto ePakistani acharairwa kuvhura pfuti, kusungwa, kurwadzisa uye kutsakatisa huwandu hwevanhu pamwero mukuru? Mhosva dzekugadzwa kwemauto mumatunhu eBalochistan neKPK dzave dzakaipa zvakakwana.
Kweanoda kusvika makore maviri ikozvino, kudzvanyirirwa kweutsinye kwakaitwa nemauto kwakaitirwa kuisa kutya kukuru muhuwandu. Asi sezvakangoita vanhu veGaza, vePalestine, vekuWest Asia, vakakunda pfungwa yekutya Israeri, saizvozvowo vanhu vePakistan vakarasikirwa nekutya nyika yavo yekuchengetedza nyika uye mhirizhonga yayo. Ichi chiitiko chikuru.
Chero mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika anozobuda mushure mesarudzo, chinhu chimwe ndechechokwadi: kutenderera uku kwave kukunda kwakasimba kweaimbove Mutungamiriri Imran Khan, achinyemwerera ari muchitokisi chake chinosiririsa, pamwe chete nevanhu vePakistan, zvisinei nebato ravo rezvematongerwo enyika.
Maonero aburitswa muchinyorwa chino ndeemunyori uye haafanire kuratidza mutemo wekunyora weMiddle East Monitor.
