Declaration by the German Initiative Pewani Zida Zanu, pa tsiku lokumbukira kuukira kwa Russia ku Ukraine, February 16, 2023
Ndi kuwukiridwa kwa Ukraine ndi asitikali aku Russia pa 24 February 2022, nkhondo yazaka zisanu ndi ziwiri yocheperako ku Donbass yomwe malinga ndi OSCE idapha anthu 14,000, kuphatikiza anthu wamba 4,000, magawo awiri mwa atatu mwa awa m'madera osokonekera - adakwera mpaka. mtundu watsopano wa ziwawa zankhondo. Kuukira kwa Russia kunali kuphwanya kwakukulu kwa malamulo apadziko lonse lapansi ndipo kwadzetsa kupha anthu ambiri, chiwonongeko, chisoni, ndi milandu yankhondo. M'malo motengera mwayi wokambirana (zokambitsirana poyambirira zidachitika mpaka Epulo 2022), nkhondoyo idakula kukhala "nkhondo yapakati pa Russia ndi NATO", monganso akuluakulu aboma ku USA tsopano akuvomereza poyera. .
Panthawi imodzimodziyo, chisankho cha UN General Assembly cha 2 March, chomwe mayiko a 141 adatsutsa kuwukirako, anali atapempha kale kuti mkanganowo uthetsedwe mwamsanga "kudzera pa zokambirana za ndale, zokambirana, kuyimira pakati ndi njira zina zamtendere" ndipo adafuna "kutsata ndondomekoyi. mapangano a Minsk" komanso momveka bwino kudzera mu mtundu wa Normandy "kuti agwire ntchito moyenera kuti akwaniritse ntchito zake zonse."
Ngakhale zonsezi, kuyitanidwa kwa anthu padziko lonse lapansi sikunanyalanyazidwe ndi magulu onse okhudzidwa, ngakhale kuti amakonda kutchula zigamulo za UN monga momwe amagwirizanirana ndi malingaliro awo.
Mapeto a zinyengo
Msilikali, Kiev ili pachitetezo ndipo mphamvu zake zankhondo zikuchepa. Kumayambiriro kwa Novembala 2022, wamkulu wa United States Joint Chiefs of Staff adalangiza kuti zokambirana ziyambike popeza amawona kuti kupambana kwa Kiev sikungatheke. Posachedwapa ku Ramstein adabwereza izi.
Koma ngakhale andale ndi atolankhani amakakamira chinyengo cha chipambano, mkhalidwe wa Kiev waipa. Ichi ndi chiyambi cha kukwera kwaposachedwa, mwachitsanzo, kutumiza akasinja ankhondo. Komabe, izi zidzangowonjezera mkanganowo. Nkhondo siyingapambane. M'malo mwake, iyi ndi sitepe imodzi yokha pa malo oterera. Posakhalitsa, boma la Kiev lidafuna kuti pakhale ndege zomenyera nkhondo, kenako, kutenga nawo mbali mwachindunji kwa asitikali a NATO - zomwe zidapangitsa kuti nyukiliya ichuluke?
Muzochitika za nyukiliya Ukraine ikanakhala yoyamba kuwonongeka. Malinga ndi ziwerengero za UN, chiwerengero cha anthu wamba omwe adamwalira chaka chatha chinali choposa 7,000, ndipo kutayika kwa asitikali kunali m'gulu la manambala asanu ndi limodzi. Amene amalola kuti kuwomberana kupitirire m'malo mokambirana ayenera kudzifunsa ngati ali okonzeka kudzipereka anthu enanso 100,000, 200,000 kapenanso kupitirirapo chifukwa cha zolinga zachinyengo zankhondo.
Mgwirizano weniweni ndi Ukraine umatanthauza kugwira ntchito kuti asiye kuphana posachedwa.
Ndi geopolitics - zopusa!
Chofunikira chomwe akumadzulo akusewera khadi ya usilikali ndikuti Washington imawona mwayi wofooketsa Moscow pogwiritsa ntchito nkhondo yankhondo. Pamene ulamuliro wapadziko lonse wa USA ukuchepa chifukwa cha kusintha kwa kayendetsedwe ka mayiko, US ikuyesetsa kutsimikiziranso zonena zake za utsogoleri wapadziko lonse - komanso mkangano wake ndi dziko la China.
Izi zikugwirizana ndi zomwe US idachita kale pambuyo pa Cold War kuyesa ndikulepheretsa kuwonekera kwa mdani yemwe ali ngati Soviet Union. Potero, chida chofunikira kwambiri chinali kukula kwa NATO chakum'mawa ndi Ukraine ngati "chonyamulira ndege chosamira" pakhomo la Moscow monga kupambana kwake. Nthawi yomweyo, kuphatikiza kwachuma ku Ukraine kumayiko akumadzulo kudakulitsidwa kudzera mu mgwirizano wa EU Association Treaty womwe udakambirana kuyambira 2007 kupita mtsogolo - ndipo udanenanso kuti Ukraine isiyane ndi Russia.
Utundu wotsutsana ndi Russia ku Eastern Europe unayambika monga maziko amalingaliro. Ku Ukraine, izi zinakula mu mikangano yachiwawa pa Maidan mu 2014, ndipo poyankha kuti komanso Donbass, zomwe zinachititsa kuti kugawanika kwa Crimea ndi Donetsk ndi Luhansk. Pakadali pano, nkhondoyi yakhala mgwirizano wa mikangano iwiri: - Kumbali imodzi, mkangano wapakati pa Ukraine ndi Russia udabwera chifukwa cha kusokonekera kwa Soviet Union komwe komweko kumalemedwa kwambiri ndi mbiri yotsutsana yakukhazikitsidwa kwa dziko la Ukraine. dziko, ndipo kumbali ina, - kulimbana kwa nthawi yaitali pakati pa mayiko awiri akuluakulu a nyukiliya.
Izi zimabweretsa mavuto oopsa komanso ovuta a mphamvu ya nyukiliya (ya mantha). Kuchokera ku Moscow, kuphatikizika kwa asitikali aku Ukraine kupita kumadzulo kuli pachiwopsezo cha kumenyedwa kwa Moscow. Makamaka kuyambira pomwe mapangano owongolera zida, kuyambira Pangano la ABM pansi pa Bush mu 2002 kupita ku INF ndi Open Sky Treaty pansi pa Trump zomwe zidagwirizana panthawi ya Cold War zonse zidathetsedwa. Mosasamala kanthu za kulondola kwake, lingaliro la Moscow liyenera kutsatiridwa. Mantha oterowo sangathetsedwe ndi mawu okha, koma pamafunika njira zodalirika kwambiri. Komabe, mu Disembala 2021, Washington idakana njira zofananira zomwe Moscow idapereka.
Kuonjezera apo, kugwiritsidwa ntchito molakwika kwa mapangano omwe amalembedwa pansi pa malamulo apadziko lonse ndi chimodzi mwazochita za Kumadzulo, monga momwe ziwonetsedwera, mwa zina, ndi kuvomereza kwa Merkel ndi François Hollande kuti adangomaliza Minsk II kuti agule nthawi kuti athe kutenga zida za Kiev. Potsutsana ndi izi, udindo wa nkhondo - ndipo izi ndi zoona kwambiri popeza tikulimbana ndi nkhondo ya proxy - sizingachepetsedwe ku Russia kokha.
Zikhale momwe zingakhalire, udindo wa Kremlin sumatha mwanjira iliyonse. Malingaliro a Nationalist akufalikiranso ku Russia ndipo boma laulamuliro likulimbitsidwanso. Koma iwo amene amayang'ana mbiri yakale ya kukwera kokha kupyolera mu diso la zithunzi zosavuta za bogeyman zakuda ndi zoyera akhoza kunyalanyaza za Washington - ndipo pambuyo pake EU - gawo la udindo.
Mu Bellicose Fever
Gulu la ndale ndi zoulutsira mawu zimasesa kulumikizana konseku pansi pa kapeti. M'malo mwake, agwera mu chifuwa chenicheni cha bellicose fever.
Germany ndi chipani chankhondo ndipo boma la Germany lakhala boma lankhondo. Mtumiki wakunja waku Germany chifukwa chakudzikuza kwake adakhulupirira kuti "akhoza kuwononga" Russia. Pakadali pano, chipani chake (The Green Party) chasintha kuchokera kuphwando lamtendere kukhala wotentha kwambiri mu Bundestag. Pamene panali kupambana tactical pa bwalo la nkhondo Ukraine, amene kufunika njira anali mokokomeza kuposa muyeso, chinyengo analengedwa kuti chigonjetso asilikali pa Russia n'zotheka. Iwo omwe amachonderera kuti pakhale mtendere wamtendere amakhumudwa ngati "omvera pacifists" kapena "zigawenga zankhondo zachiwiri".
Mkhalidwe wandale wofanana ndi wankhondo wakunyumba nthawi yankhondo wayamba kukakamiza anthu kuti agwirizane ndi zomwe ambiri sangayese kuzitsutsa. Chithunzi cha mdani wochokera kunja chaphatikizidwa ndi kusalolera kowonjezereka kuchokera mkati mwa gulu lalikulu. Ufulu wa kulankhula ndi ufulu wa atolankhani ukuwonongeka monga momwe zikuwonetsedwera ndi kuletsa, pakati pa ena, "Russia Today" ndi "Sputnik".
Nkhondo Yachuma - squib yonyowa
Nkhondo yazachuma yolimbana ndi Russia yomwe idayamba kale ku 2014 idakhala ndi mbiri yomwe sinachitikepo pambuyo pa kuwukira kwa Russia. Koma izi sizinakhudze luso lankhondo laku Russia. M'malo mwake, chuma cha Russia chidatsika ndi atatu peresenti mu 2022, komabe, Ukraine idatsika ndi makumi atatu pa zana. Imafunsa funso, kodi Ukraine ingapirire mpaka liti nkhondo yachiwembu chotere?
Nthawi yomweyo, zilangozo zikuyambitsa kuwonongeka kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi. Kumwera kwapadziko lonse lapansi makamaka kwavutitsidwa kwambiri. Zilangozi zikuwonjezera njala ndi umphaŵi, kuchulukitsa kukwera kwa mitengo ya zinthu, ndiponso kuchititsa chipwirikiti chokwera mtengo m’misika yapadziko lonse. Choncho n'zosadabwitsa kuti Global South sakufuna kutenga nawo mbali pa nkhondo yachuma kapenanso kufuna kudzipatula ku Russia. Iyi si nkhondo yake. Komabe, nkhondo yachuma ilinso ndi zotsatirapo zoipa kwa ife. Kuchotsedwa kwa gasi wachilengedwe waku Russia kumakulitsa vuto la mphamvu zomwe zimadzetsa mabanja omwe sali bwino ndipo zitha kuchititsa kuti mafakitale azichulukirachulukira ku Germany. Zida zankhondo ndi zankhondo nthawi zonse zimasokoneza chilungamo cha anthu. Panthawi imodzimodziyo ndi gasi wa fracking wochokera ku USA omwe amawononga kwambiri nyengo 40% kuposa gasi wachilengedwe wa ku Russia, komanso pogwiritsa ntchito malasha, zolinga zonse zochepetsera CO 2 zafika kale mu zinyalala.
Chofunika kwambiri pa zokambirana, zokambirana ndi mtendere wamtendere
Nkhondo imatengera ndale, malingaliro, luntha ndi chuma chomwe chili chofunikira mwachangu polimbana ndi kusintha kwa nyengo, kuwonongeka kwa chilengedwe ndi umphawi. Kulowererapo kwa nkhondo ku Germany kumagawanitsa anthu makamaka magulu omwe ali odzipereka pantchito yopititsa patsogolo chikhalidwe cha anthu komanso kusintha kwa chikhalidwe cha anthu. Timalimbikitsa kuti boma la Germany lithetse nkhondo yake nthawi yomweyo. Germany iyenera kuyamba ntchito yaukazembe. Izi ndi zomwe anthu ambiri akufuna. Tikufuna kuthetsa nkhondo ndi kuyamba kwa zokambirana zomwe zili mu ndondomeko ya mayiko ambiri kuphatikizapo kutenga nawo mbali kwa UN.
Pamapeto pake, payenera kukhala mtendere wosagwirizana womwe umayambitsa njira yomanga mtendere ku Ulaya yomwe ikugwirizana ndi chitetezo cha Ukraine, Russia ndi onse omwe ali nawo pa mkanganowo komanso zomwe zimalola tsogolo lamtendere la kontinenti yathu.
Nkhaniyi inalembedwa ndi: Reiner Braun (International Peace Bureau), Claudia Haydt (Likulu la Information za Militarization), Ralf Krämer (Socialist Kumanzere mu Party Die Linke), Willi van Ooyen (Msonkhano Wamtendere ndi Mtsogolo Frankfurt), Christof Osteimer (Federal Komiti Yamtendere Council), Peter Wahl (Attac. Germany). Zambiri zaumwini ndizongodziwitsa chabe
