Akatswiri Anzeru Zam'mbuyomu: Nthawi Yachisankho yaku Ukraine ya Biden

Wolemba a Veterans Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, AntiWar.com, September 7, 2022

Purezidenti:

Mlembi wa Chitetezo Austin asananyamuke kupita ku Ramstein kumsonkhano wa Lachinayi wa Ukraine Defense Contact Group tili ndi mawu ochepa ochenjeza omwe adachitika pazaka zambiri zomwe takumana nazo pazaka zambiri zanzeru pankhondo. Ngati akuwuzani kuti Kyiv akubwezerani anthu aku Russia, tambani matayala - ndipo ganizirani kukulitsa gulu lanu la alangizi.

Choonadi ndi ndalama ya dziko mu kusanthula nzeru. N'zomvetsa chisoni kuti choonadi ndi imfa yoyamba pa nkhondo, ndipo izi zikugwiranso ntchito pa nkhondo ya ku Ukraine komanso nkhondo zakale zomwe takhalapo. kunena zoona - kwa atolankhani, kapena kwa Purezidenti. Tinaphunzira kuti oyambirira - njira yovuta ndi yowawa. Anzathu ambiri onyamula zida sanabwere kuchokera ku Vietnam.

Vietnam: Purezidenti Lyndon Johnson ankakonda kukhulupirira Gen. William Westmoreland yemwe adamuuza iye ndi Mlembi wa Chitetezo McNamara ku 1967 kuti South Vietnam ingapambane - ngati LBJ ikanapereka asilikali owonjezera a 206,000. Ofufuza a CIA adadziwa kuti sizowona komanso kuti - choyipitsitsa - Westmoreland inali kunamiza dala kuchuluka kwa mphamvu zomwe adakumana nazo, ponena kuti kunali "299,000" achikominisi aku Vietnamese pansi pa zida kumwera. Tinanena kuti chiwerengerocho chinali 500,000 mpaka 600,000. (Mwachisoni, tinatsimikiziridwa kuti ndife olondola panthaŵi ya chikomyunizimu cha Tet cha dziko lonse chakumayambiriro kwa 1968. Johnson mwamsanga anasankha kusapikisana nawo chigawo china.)

Zonse pokhala zachilungamo m'chikondi ndi nkhondo, akuluakulu a ku Saigon anali otsimikiza kupereka chithunzi chokongola. Mu chingwe cha August 20, 1967 kuchokera ku Saigon, wachiwiri kwa Westmoreland, Gen. Creighton Abrams, adalongosola chifukwa chachinyengo chawo. Iye analemba kuti manambala apamwamba a adani (omwe ankathandizidwa ndi pafupifupi mabungwe onse azamalamulo) "anali osiyana kwambiri ndi mphamvu zomwe zilipo panopa za 299,000 zomwe zimaperekedwa kwa atolankhani." Abrams anapitiliza kuti: "Takhala tikuwonetsa kuti tikuchita bwino m'miyezi yaposachedwa." Iye anachenjeza kuti ngati ziŵerengero zokwezekazo zionekera kwa anthu onse, “zidziwitso ndi mafotokozedwe onse amene alipo sizingalepheretse atolankhani kunena mfundo zolakwika ndi zomvetsa chisoni.”

Kutha kwa Kusanthula Zithunzi: Mpaka 1996, CIA inali ndi kuthekera kodziyimira pawokha kusanthula usilikali kosawerengeka kuti ilankhule zoona - ngakhale pa nthawi ya nkhondo. Mkondo umodzi wofunikira pakuwunikaku unali udindo wake wowunikira zithunzi za gulu lonse la Intelligence. Kupambana kwake koyambirira polozera zida za Soviet ku Cuba mu 1962 kudapangitsa National Photographic Interpretation Center (NPIC) kukhala ndi mbiri yolimba yaukatswiri komanso kuchita zinthu mwanzeru. Zinathandizira kwambiri pakuwunika kwathu nkhondo ya Vietnam. Ndipo pambuyo pake, idatenga gawo lalikulu pakuwunika luso la Soviet komanso kutsimikizira mapangano owongolera zida.

Mu 1996, pamene NPIC ndi akatswiri ake ojambula zithunzi 800 anapatsidwa, zida ndi kaboodle, ku Pentagon, zinali zotsanzikana ndi nzeru zopanda tsankho.

Iraq: Mkulu wa Gulu Lankhondo Lankhondo Wopuma pantchito a James Clapper pamapeto pake adasankhidwa kukhala woyang'anira wolowa m'malo wa NPIC, National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA) ndipo motero adayikidwa bwino kuti adzoze masewera a "nkhondo yosankha" ku Iraq.

Zoonadi, Clapper ndi mmodzi mwa akuluakulu ochepa omwe amavomereza kuti, mokakamizidwa ndi Vice Prezidenti Cheney, "adatsamira" kuti apeze zida zowonongeka ku Iraq; sanathe kupeza chirichonse; koma anapitabe. M'mabuku ake Clapper amavomereza mbali ina ya mlandu wa chinyengo chotsatirachi - amachitcha "kulephera" - pakufuna kupeza (kulibe) WMD. Iye akulemba, ife "Tinali ofunitsitsa kuthandiza kotero kuti tidapeza zomwe kulibe kwenikweni."

Afghanistan: Mukumbukira kupsyinjika kwakukulu kwa Purezidenti Obama akuchokera kwa Mlembi wa Chitetezo Gates, Mlembi wa boma Clinton, ndi akuluakulu ankhondo monga Petraeus ndi McCrystal kuti atumize asilikali ambiri ku Afghanistan. Iwo adatha kukankhira pambali akatswiri a Intelligence Community, kuwasiya kuti aziwombera pamisonkhano yopangira zisankho. Tikukumbukira Kazembe wa US ku Kabul Karl Eikenberry, yemwe kale anali Lieutenant General wa Gulu Lankhondo yemwe adalamula asitikali ku Afghanistan, akupempha modandaula kuti akwaniritse cholinga cha National Intelligence Estimate pazabwino ndi zoyipa zakuwirikiza kawiri. Tikudziwanso za malipoti omwe simunasangalale nawo, pozindikira kuti kukulitsa kulowererapo kwa US kungakhale chinthu chopusa. Kumbukirani pamene Gen. McChrystal adalonjeza, mu February 2010, "boma m'bokosi, lokonzeka kugubuduza" mumzinda waukulu wa Afghanistan wa Marja?

Purezidenti, monga mukudziwa, adapereka kwa Gates ndi akuluakulu. Ndipo, m’chilimwe chatha, zinasiyidwa kwa inu kuti mutenge zidutswazo, kunena kwake titero. Ponena za fiasco ku Iraq, "kuchuluka" komwe Gates ndi Petraeus adasankhidwa ndi Cheney ndi Bush kuti agwiritse ntchito kunabweretsa pafupifupi "milandu yosinthira" chikwi ku Dover, ndikulola Bush ndi Cheney kupita Kumadzulo osataya nkhondo.

Koma mlembi wakale wa chitetezo a Gates atavala chovala cha Teflon chopanda chidendene, pambuyo pa upangiri wake wowirikiza kawiri pa Iraq ndi Afghanistan, anali ndi chutzpah kuphatikiza zotsatirazi mukulankhula ku West Point pa Feb. 25, 2011 atatsala pang'ono kusiya ntchito:

"Koma m'malingaliro mwanga, mlembi aliyense wachitetezo wam'tsogolo yemwe amalangiza purezidenti kuti atumizenso gulu lalikulu lankhondo laku America ku Asia kapena ku Middle East kapena Africa 'ayenera kuyesedwa mutu wake,' monga General [Douglas] MacArthur adanenera mosamalitsa. ”

Syria - Mbiri ya Austin Osakhala Yopanda Chilema: Pafupi ndi kwathu, Mlembi Austin sakhala mlendo ku milandu yokhudza ndale zanzeru. Iye anali mkulu wa CENTCOM (2013 mpaka 2016) pamene oposa 50 CENTCOM akatswiri a usilikali, mu August 2015, adasaina madandaulo kwa Pentagon Inspector General kuti malipoti awo a intelligence pa Islamic State ku Iraq ndi Syria akuyendetsedwa mosayenera ndi akuluakulu. mkuwa. Ofufuzawo ati malipoti awo akusinthidwa ndi akuluakulu kuti agwirizane ndi gulu la oyang'anira kuti US ikupambana nkhondo yolimbana ndi ISIS ndi al-Nusra Front, nthambi ya al Qaeda ku Syria.

Mu February 2017, Pentagon Inspector General adapeza kuti zonena za nzeru zomwe zasinthidwa mwadala, kuchedwa kapena kuponderezedwa ndi akuluakulu a CENTCOM kuyambira pakati pa 2014 mpaka pakati pa 2015 "zinali zosatsimikizirika." (zonse)

Powombetsa mkota: Tikukhulupirira kuti mutenga nthawi kuti muwunikenso mbiriyi - ndikuiganizira musanatumize Secretary Austin kupita ku Ramstein. Kuphatikiza apo, kulengeza kwamasiku ano kuti dziko la Russia likufuna kudula gasi kudzera ku Nord Stream 1 mpaka zilango zaku Western zichotsedwe mwina zitha kukhala ndi vuto lalikulu kwa omwe amalumikizana ndi Austin. Zitha kupangitsanso atsogoleri aboma ku Europe kukhala ndi chidwi chofuna kulolerana mwamtundu wina asitikali aku Russia asanapite kutali komanso nyengo yozizira isanakwane. (Tikukhulupirira kuti mwadziwitsidwa mokwanira za zotsatira za "zokhumudwitsa" zaposachedwa ku Ukraine.)

Mukhozanso kufuna kupeza uphungu kuchokera kwa Mtsogoleri wa CIA William Burns ndi ena odziwa mbiri ya Ulaya - makamaka Germany. Malipoti azama media adanenanso kuti ku Ramstein Secretary Austin adzipereka kupatsa Ukraine zida zambiri ndipo alimbikitsa anzake kuti achite zomwezo. Ngati atsatira malembawo, angapeze ochepa omwe amawatenga - makamaka omwe ali pachiopsezo cha kuzizira kwambiri.

KWA GULU WOYANG'ANIRA: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity

• William Binney, NSA Technical Director for World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; Woyambitsa nawo wa NSA's Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)
• Marshall Carter-Tripp, Ofesi ya Utumiki Wachilendo (ret.) ndi Division Director, State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research
• Bogdan Dzakovic, Mtsogoleri wakale wa Gulu Lankhondo la Federal Air Marshals ndi Red Team, FAA Security (ret.) (Associates VIPS)
• Graham E. Fuller, Vice-Chair, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
• Philip Giraldine, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
• Mateyu Hoh, Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (othandizira VIPS)
• Larry Johnson, wakale wa CIA Intelligence Officer & wakale State Department Counter-Terrorism Official (ret.)
• John Kiriakou, yemwe kale anali CIA Counterterrorism Officer komanso wofufuza wamkulu, Komiti ya Senate Foreign Relations Committee
• Karen Kwiatkowski, wakale Lt. Col., US Air Force (ret.), ku Ofesi ya Secretary of Defense akuwona momwe mabodza aku Iraq, 2001-2003
• Linda Lewis, WMD yokonzekera ndondomeko yowunikira, USDA (ret.)
• Edward Loomis, Cryptologic Computer Scientist, yemwe kale anali Technical Director ku NSA (ret.)
• Ray McGovern, yemwe kale anali mkulu wa asilikali a asilikali a US Army / intelligence & CIA analyst; Chidule cha Purezidenti wa CIA (ret.)
• Elizabeth Murray, yemwe kale anali Wachiwiri kwa National Intelligence Officer ku Near East, National Intelligence Council & CIA katswiri wa ndale (ret.)
• Pedro Israeli Orta, mkulu wakale wa CIA ndi Intelligence Community (Inspector General).
• Todd Pierce, MAJ, Woweruza Woweruza wa US Army (ret.)
• Scott Ritter, wakale MAJ., USMC, wakale wakale wa UN Weapon Inspector, Iraq
• Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent komanso wakale Uphungu wa Zamalamulo ku Minneapolis (ret.)
• Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (Wopuma pantchito)/DIA, (Wopuma pantchito)
• Ann Wright, Col., US Army (ret.); Ofesi ya Utumiki Wachilendo (anasiya kutsutsana ndi nkhondo ya Iraq)

Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPs) amapangidwa ndi akazembe azamalamulo, akazembe, asitikali ankhondo ndi ogwira ntchito ku Congress. Bungweli, lomwe linakhazikitsidwa ku 2002, linali m'gulu la otsutsa oyambirira a Washington kuti ayambe nkhondo yolimbana ndi Iraq. VIPS imalimbikitsa ndondomeko ya chitetezo chakunja ndi dziko la US kutengera zofuna zenizeni za dziko osati ziwopsezo zomwe zimayambitsidwa chifukwa chandale.