Mmene Mungathetse Nkhondo ya ku Korea

Mukutanthauza kuti simunadziwe kuti sizinatha?

ndi Justin Raimondo, Antiwar.com.

Kodi mu dzina la zonse zopatulika zikuchitika ku North Korea?

Funso limeneli ndi lovuta kuyankha chifukwa iwo saliitcha Ufumu wa Hermit pachabe. Kanthu kakang'ono kamachokera kuzinthu zozizwitsa zokhazokha - komanso zopondereza - Democratic People's Republic of Korea, ndipo sizinalowetsedwe. Koma nthawi zina pali ntchito yaikulu yomwe, monga kupasuka kwa phiri, ndilosavuta kuphonya - kulandira posachedwapa Mitsinje inayi yokhayokha ndi imodzi mwa iwo.

Mabotiwo anafika ku Nyanja ya Japan, pafupi ndi ma 190 mailosi kuchokera ku gombe la Japan, kutumiza mantha m'madera onsewa. Anthu aŵiri a Tokyo ndi Seoul anatsutsa, pamene a North Korea anadziŵa kuti kuchita zimenezi ndi njira yabwino yodziwira kuti nkhondo ndi asilikali a US ndi South Korea adzayandikira. Kuopa kwa Pyongyang sikunali koyenera.

Zochitazo, zomwe zinagwirizanitsidwa ndi US ndi South Korea ndipo amatchedwa "Mphungu Yamphongo, "Ndizochita kafukufuku kavalidwe ka nkhondo zonse ndi kumpoto. Kuwonjezera pa USS Carl Vinson ndi gulu la asilikali omwe amatsogoleredwa ndi makompyuta komanso oyendetsa sitima, a US adatumizidwa ku gulu la ndege zowonongeka komanso B-52s ndi B-1Bs - zotsirizazi zimatha kunyamula zowonongeka za nyukiliya. "Chiwombankhanga" ndizochita masewera olimbitsa thupi, koma chaka chilichonse kuchuluka kwa mphamvu za moto ku US kumakhala kwakukulu - ndipo poyambitsa kukangana kwapakati pa Pyongyang ndi dziko lonse lapansi, izi sizikuthandizira kuthetsa mapepala odziwika bwino omwe kale anali odziwika bwino.

Koma sizowoneka kuti ndizochitika zokha zomwe zimakhudza khalidwe la kumpoto kwa Korea: kwa nthawi yoyamba, pali nkhani yotseguka ku United States akuyambitsa chigamulo chotsutsana ndi boma la Kim Jong Un. Monga Time magazini amaika:

"Kutenga malo a nyukiliya akuluakulu a ku North Korea kungakhale koopsa koma mwina si kovuta kwambiri, akuluakulu a ku America amati. Kukhoza kubwezera chilango cha kumpoto kwa Korea ku Seoul, likulu la South Korea la 10 miliyoni komanso 35 miles kuchokera kumpoto kwa Korea, kungakhale kovuta, amavomereza. "

Inde, kupitirizabe kwa anthu a South Koreas a 10, osatchula asilikali a 30,000 kapena Amerika omwe ali pa peninsula, ndithudi ndi "chinthu chovuta." Ndi njira imodzi yoyikira.

Zoona zake n'zakuti Pyongyang ali ndi zida zankhondo zamagetsi zedi. Izi zikutanthauza kuti, m'dziko lopanda chidziwitso, kuchita nkhondo kunachokera patebulo la mwambi. Vuto ndilokuti sitimakhala m'dziko loterolo. Ndipo monga mwamisala monga Kim Jong Un angakhale, nkhani yowonongeka yotsimikiziridwa ikuwonetsa kuti chipongwe sichitha ku Pyongyang,

Pakalipano, omanga malamulo a US ayenera kudzifunsa okha mafunso awiri: tidafika bwanji kuno, ndipo timachokera bwanji?

Ife tiri pano chifukwa kayendetsedwe ka George W. Bush anatsitsa kuyambika kwa njira yandale yothetsera vuto la Korea.

Kumbukirani kuti nkhondo ya ku Korea sinathetse mwachangu: nkhondoyo inaleka pamene chivomezi chinalengezedwa. Mgwirizano wamtendere sunayambe wasindikizidwa: mwalamulo, ife ndi alongo athu a ku South Korea tikulimbana ndi Pyongyang. Malo osokoneza bongo (DMZ) omwe amalekanitsa maiko awiri a Koreas adanenedwa kuti ndi malo owopsa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo pakhala pali zochitika zambiri zowonongeka pazaka zambiri, ndikukwera ndi kugwa ngati mikangano pakati pa a Koreas awiri omwe adawatsata.

Komabe panali mphindi pamene mikangano inali panthawi yochepa, ndipo kuthekera kwothetsera ndale kunadzutsidwa: izi ndizo zotsatira za zomwe amatchedwa "Ndondomeko ya Sunshine"Yomwe inakhazikitsidwa ndi Purezidenti waku South Korea Kim Dae Jung. Cholinga: Kuyanjananso kwa Korea, polojekiti kumpoto ndi kum'mwera kwavomerezeka mwalamulo kwa zaka zambiri. Anthu a ku Korea ndi anthu okhwima kwambiri, ndipo kugawidwa kwa dzikoli kwakhala chinthu chowawa. Kenaka mtsogoleri wa ku North Korea, Kim Jong Il (bambo ake a Kim Jong Un) adagwirizana kukakumana ndi Pulezidenti wa ku South Korea pamsonkhano wa masiku atatu, pamapeto pake omwe adasaina mgwirizano wosavomerezeka ndipo adagwirizana kuti atsatire njira yowonaniranso.

Izi zinali zomveka kuchokera kumpoto kwa Korea: dziko la chikomyunizimu linalikudzipunthitsa palokha, njala inali kuwononga dziko, chuma chinali kutsika, ndipo anthu anali kudya makungwa a mitengoyo. Kuchulukanso kwa chuma cha South Korea chomwe chinatsatira msonkhanowo kunapereka mwayi wothandiza, ndipo makumi ambirimbiri a ku South Korea adayendera kumpoto: mafakitale anakhazikitsidwa kumpoto omwe amagwira antchito zikwizikwi ku North Korea. Pang'onopang'ono koma Ufumu wa Hermit unali kulepheretsa chitetezo chake ndi kutsegulira dziko lapansi.

Kenaka anadza George W. Bush, yemwe analandira Purezidenti waku South Korea ku March wa 2001 ndipo mwamsanga anaponya mthunzi pa ndondomeko ya Sunshine. Monga Mary McGrory ikani izo:

"Bush, popeza anali wofunitsitsa kusonyeza, sanali wotchuka. Kim ndi tchimo? Iye anali kukhazikitsa ndondomeko ya dzuwa ndi kumpoto, kumathetsa mgwirizano wa zaka zana limodzi. Bush, yemwe adawona kumpoto kwa Korea kukhala mtsutso waukulu kwambiri wofuna kuteteza msilikali wa dziko, adaona kuti Kim, yemwe ndi wopambana wa Nobel Peace Prize. Anam'tumizira kunyumba kunyalanyazidwa ndi zopanda kanthu. "

Anthu a ku North Korea anabwerera, ndipo analengeza zomangamanga. Chitsamba chinagwedeza ante ndi "chilankhulo choyipa," kutchula Pyongyang ngati imodzi mwa mawu opitilira zoipa. Anthu a ku North Korea adanena kuti izi zidawoneka ngati "kulengeza nkhondo," osati kutanthauzira kosatheka kwa Bush.

Pofuna kuti atsimikizidwe kuti wasokoneza chiyembekezo chotsirizira cha ndondomeko yandale, Bush anachezera South Korea ku 2002, kumene analipira kuyendera ku DMZ:

"Atakhala pampando wa mchenga wa mchenga ndipo atetezedwa ndi galasi loletsa zipolopolo, Purezidenti wa United States, George W. Bush, anadutsa ku North Korea katatu, ndipo adanena kuti ndizoipa.

“… Zina mwazinthu zomwe Bush amatha kuwona panali zikwangwani zaku North Korea zolembedwa zilembo zazikulu zoyera zaku Korea zokhala ndi mawu monga: 'Anti-America' ndi 'General wathu ndiye wabwino koposa' '- kutanthauza mtsogoleri waku North Korea a Kim Jong-il.

"Chitsamba chinatha pafupifupi maminiti a 10 pafupi ndi bunker ndipo kenako iye ndi Mlembi wa boma Colin Powell anakhala pansi chakudya chamadzulo, mapepala a mbatata, zipatso ndi ma coki omwe ali ndi asilikali khumi ndi awiri a US omwe amathandiza munthu posachedwa maola 24 pa tsiku.

"Anafunsidwa zomwe ankaganiza pamene ankayang'ana kumpoto, Bush anati: 'Tili okonzeka.'"

Okonzeka, ndiko kuti, kwa nkhondo. Zambiri za ndondomeko ya Sunshine.

Komabe a US ndi a North Koreya adakali ogwirizana, anafika pansi pa chinyumba cha Clilnton, chomwe anthuwa sakanatha kumanga nukes pokhapokha kutumiza mafuta ndi kukweza chilango. Komabe mgwirizano umenewu - womwe unayambika ndi Purezidenti wakale Jimmy Carter ndipo unasainidwa ndi Pyongyang ku 1994 - unayesedwa ndi Washington posachedwa kuti a North Korea adawaphwanya, ndipo chifukwa chake ntchitoyo idatha.

Koma kodi a North Korea anaphwanya panganoli? Selig Harrison, akulembera Zachilendo, sankaganiza choncho:

"Zambiri zalembedwa ponena za ngozi ya nyukiliya ya North Korea, koma nkhani yovuta kwambiri yanyalanyazidwa: ndi umboni wotsimikizirika wotani umene umatsitsimutsa mlandu wa uranium wa Washington? Ngakhale kuti tsopano akudziwika kuti bungwe la Bush linanyozedwa ndi kusokoneza chidziwitso cha nzeru zomwe zimagwiritsira ntchito kuti ziwonongeke ku Iraq, ambiri owona adavomerezana ndi mayesero omwe maboma akhala akugwiritsira ntchito kuti asinthe malamulo a US ku North Korea.

"Nanga bwanji ngati mayesowa anali ochotserako ndipo akutsutsa kusiyana kwakukulu pakati pa zida zogwiritsa ntchito zida za uranium (zomwe zingasokoneze mwakonzedwe ka 1994) ndi mazunzidwe ochepa (omwe analetsedwa ndi 1994 mgwirizano koma amaloledwa ndi Nonproliferation ya nyukiliya Mgwirizano [NPT] ndipo sabala uranium woyenera zida za nyukiliya)?

"Kubwereza umboni womwe ulipo ukusonyeza kuti izi ndi zomwe zinachitika. Kudalira kayendetsedwe ka deta, Bush management inapereka chithunzi choipa kwambiri ngati choonadi chosasunthika ndipo chinapotoza nzeru zake ku North Korea (monga momwe zinachitira ku Iraq), kuwonjezera mwamphamvu zowopsa kuti Pyongyang akupanga zida za nyukiliya mobisa. Kulephera kusiyanitsa pakati pa zida zankhondo ndi zankhondo za uranium zakhala zovuta kwambiri, zomwe zikanakhala zovuta kukambirana kuti athetse mapulogalamu onse a zida za nyukiliya ku North Korea ndi kuteteza zochitika zonse zamtsogolo mwa kuyang'ana mwakhama. "

Monga Donald Trump anati za "umboni" wa Bush wa "zida zowonongera" ku Iraq: "Adanama, adati pali zida zowonongera anthu ambiri. Panalibe ndipo ankadziwa kuti kulibe. ”

Pano pali chisokonezo china chimene boma la Neocon lomwe likulamulidwa ndi Neocon lomwe latisiya ife, lomwe Trump tsopano likuyenera kuyeretsa. Koma sangathe kuchita ngati akutsatiranso Bush yemwe ali wamtendere. Mlembi wa Luso la Kuchita akuyenera kupanga mgwirizano - kapena kuyang'anizana ndi chiwonongeko cha nyukiliya ku peninsula ya Korea ndi mwina kupitirira.

Gawo la kupanga mapulani ndikumvetsetsa maganizo a anthu omwe mukukumana nawo, ndipo ngati a North Korea akufunikiradi.

Kuchokera ku Bush komwe kunayambitsa ndondomeko ya Sunshine, kumpoto kwakhala kukulirakulira, osati pokhapokha pachuma koma komanso mu ulamuliro wa boma. Imfa ya Kim Jong Il ndi kulumikizana kwa Kim Jong Un ku udindo wa mtsogoleri wapamwamba sizinapangitse kusintha kwakukulu. Popeza kuti boma silingakwanitse kupereka zosowa zofunika kwambiri za anthu ake, liyenera kukhala lovomerezeka ndi njira zina, zomwe zimayambira ku 1) zothandizira gulu lachipembedzo lomwe limakhala pafupi ndi kupembedza kwa Mtsogoleri Wachifumu Wachifumu, ndi 2) kudandaula ndi chiopsezo chosatha kuchokera kumadzulo.

Kukwaniritsidwa kwa gawo loyambirira la chiganizochi lakhala lovuta kwambiri kwa m'badwo wachitatu wa "banja lachifumu." Kim Il Sung, yemwe adakhazikitsa DPRK, adapeza ufulu wake pomenyana ndi adani a ku Japan ndikulimbana ndi mayesero a South kuti alamulire Kumpoto. Pambuyo pake adakhazikitsa ulamuliro wa chikomyunizimu, anathetseratu otsutsana, ndipo adakana ngakhale Soviet Union ndi Chinese pamene adayesa kulowerera m'nkhani zamkati za dziko lake. Chipembedzo chake chinakhalabe chokwanira pambuyo pa imfa yake kuti atsimikizire kuti mwana wake, Kim Jong Il, adzamuyendetsa mosasamala, ngakhale kuti panali ziphuphu zina. Komabe, mwa m'badwo wachitatu, ndipo povutitsidwa ndi zachuma - komanso njala yochulukirapo - chiphunzitso chaumulungu chokhazikika cha "Kimilsungism" chataya zinsinsi zake zambiri. Zotsatira zake zakhala zizindikiro za kuwonjezeka kwa ndale komanso kusokonezeka kwachikhalidwe cha Kim Jong Un.

Ziphuphu za anayesera kupha, adagonjetsa zida za mfuti pakati pa magulu ankhondo m'gulu la nkhondo, ndipo zizindikiro za chiwembu cha China kuti m'malo mwa Kim Jong Un ndi mchimwene wake, Kim Jong Nam, adzichotseratu chiwawa. Mafanizo apamwamba mu boma, monga amalume a Kim Jong Un, akhala anaphedwa: Amalumeyo adamuwombera ndi mfuti! Chiwerengero china chapamwamba chinatsukidwa ndi kuphedwa chifukwa chokhala ndi "zoipa. "Ndipo potsirizira pake mchimwene wanga anali anapha ku sewero la Kuala Lumpur pamene akazi awiri anabwera kwa iye ndi kumupaka ndi poizoni. Ngakhale kuti Pyongyang amakana kuchita zimenezi, palibe amene amakayikira kuti izi zachitika ndi malamulo a Kim Jong Un.

Pamene ulamuliro wa North Korea uli mbiri yakale kuchititsa kuti anthu azidziwidwa ndi adani awo am'kati mwawo, anthu omwe amadziwika kuti ndi apamwamba omwe amawaika pampando wawo, sankatha kuphedwa: m'malo mwake iwo amatumizidwa ku ndende zowonjezereka za ndende kapena ku ukapolo. Machitidwe omwe akuchitika lero akuwonetsa gawo latsopano mu kusokoneza ulamuliro.

Amadzimvera kumbali zonse ndi adani onse enieni ndi enieni, Kim Jong Un ali ndi khadi limodzi lomwe adasiya kusewera: kuopsezedwa kuchokera kumadzulo. Malingana ngati atha kudziwonetsera yekha ngati chitetezo chowateteza anthu ku "Yankee imperialists" ndi "kuyendetsa galu" ku South, akugwirabe ntchito yolondola. "Mphungu ya Mphungu" imayeserera komanso kumenyana kwa nkhondo kuchokera ku Washington kumalimbikitsa ulamuliro wake wonyansa.

Monga momwe George W. Bush adasinthira ndondomeko ya Sunshine chifukwa cha kufunika kokondweretsa mapiko a chipani cha Republican ndipo potero amakhalabe ovomerezeka panyumbamo, kotero kuti chigwirizano cha Kim Jong Un chikulongosoledwa ndi kufunika kovomerezeka kuti azitsatira mpando wachifumu wa Pyongyang. Ndalama zakunja za ku North Korea, monga za dziko lina lililonse, kaya zachinyengo kapena zademokhrasi, zimatsimikiziridwa ndi zosowa za ndale za olamulira panthawiyo.

Tikayamba kumvetsa tanthauzo la mfundo ya chilengedwe chonse, ndikugwiritsira ntchito ku Korean conundrum, ndondomeko ya yankho likuwonekera.

Choyamba, ndi nthawi yoti mukumane ndi mfundo: palibe njira yothetsera nkhondo ku vuto la North Korea. Pyongyang ikugwira ukapolo wonsewo. Nkhondo n'zosatheka - ngakhale, mwatsoka, sizingatheke.

Zili zovuta monga momwe ziwonekere, sikuchedwa kuchepetsa ngozi: njira yothetsera ndale ikanatha. The kulapa kwam'tsogolo Purezidenti wa ku South Korea - mwana wamkazi wa wolamulira wankhanza wankhondo - amatanthauza kuti woloŵa m'malo mwake adzakhala wandale wodzipereka mwambo wa Kim Dae Jung. Ndi anthu a ku South Korea okonzeka kupereka mpata wa Sunshine mwayi wina, ndipo Purezidenti wa ku America wotchuka popanga machitidwe, ndizotheka kuti ntchito ya kumpoto ingatheke.

Komabe, izi zimadalira kayendetsedwe ka Trump kukhala ndi) zidziwitso zina za zovuta - makamaka mbiri - ya Koreas awiri, ndi b) malingaliro okana ndondomeko yakale ya Bush Bush-neocon yotsutsana.

Komanso, sizingakhalepo pamaso pa a Trumpiya kuzindikira kuti ndondomeko ya Trump yotsatiridwa ndi a Chitchaina kuti abweretse Pyongyang chidendene ndi yosayambira: maubwenzi pakati pa maulamuliro awiri achikomyunizimu sakhala abwino kwa nthawi yaitali , ndipo adangowonjezereka ndi mayesero a misomle komanso imfa ya Kim Jong Nam.

Inde, mchimwene wa mtsogoleri wa North Korea wakhala akutetezedwa ndi China, komwe ankakhala ndi mkazi wake, ana ake awiri aakazi, ndi mbuye wake ku Macau. Zikuoneka kuti Beijing akumulimbikitsa kuti adzikonzekeretsedwe ku Kim Jong Un, chifukwa chake adathera mosayembekezereka.

Ayi, dziko la China silofunika kwambiri kuthetsa mavuto a North Korean: ndi kukhazikitsa dongosolo la antimissile ku South Korea, zomwe a China amaganiza kuti ndizowathandiza, sangathe kugwirizana nawo m'njira iliyonse yopindulitsa. Ndipo, mulimonsemo, chikoka chawo n'chochepa, chifukwa chiyanjano chawo ndi Pyongyang sichinayambe choipirapo.

Cholingacho chiyenera kubwera kuchokera ku Seoul, chomwe chiri chofunikira kwambiri kutaya ngati nkhondo ikutha. Ndipo pamene polojekitiyi ikubwera, Washington iyenera kuilandira, ndikuchita zonse kuti ikulimbikitseni. Pamene Trump inali kuyendetsa Pulezidenti, adafunsa ku United States ku South ndipo adafuula kuti chifukwa chiyani tinkasokoneza nkhondo ndi kuwonongeka kuti tipereke chitetezo cha Seoul. Makhalidwe ake anali olondola: tsopano mwinamwake tifika kuti tiwone ngati ndondomeko zake zikugwirizana ndi kayendedwe kake ka ntchito. Sindikuyembekezera - kupanikizika kuchokera kwa John McCain mapiko a GOP ndi osakayika, ndipo Trump angafune kumenyana ndi malowa - koma simudziwa ..

Cholinga chachikulu cha zokambirana zonse chiyenera kuyambitsa njira yokonzanso dziko la Korea, njira yomwe ikhoza kuthetsa ndi kuchotsedwa kwa magulu onse a US. Izi zikhoza kukopa chiguduli kuchokera pansi pa ulamuliro wa usiku wa Kim Jong Un, kuchichotsa pangozi yowonjezera yomwe ikukhazikitsidwa mwalamulo. Zakale zatha kubweretsa nkhondo ya Korea ku mapeto - chifukwa njira yokhayo ndiyo kukhazikitsidwa kwa nkhondo. Ndipo mu nthawi ya nyukliya, tanthawuzo la izo ziyenera kukhala zomveka mokwanira.

Mlembi wa boma, Rex Tillerson, tsopano ali ku South Korea monga gawo la ulendo wake wopita kuderalo, komwe adakumananso ndi atsogoleri a ku Japan. Akulengeza kuti tikufunikira "njira yatsopano" ku North Korea. Zomwe zikutanthawuza, zenizeni, sizikuwonekera bwino: Tillerson sakulongosola kanthu kali konse, ngakhale kuti mawu ake akuti "anthu a ku North Korea alibe chochita mantha ndi ife kapena othandizana nawo" akulimbikitsa. Akuti akupita ku DMZ, kumene akuyembekeza kuti adzachita mosiyana kwambiri ndi George W. Bush.