Nsogbu Na-arịwanye Elu nke US-Iran Hostilities Based on False Pretexts, Intel Vets Warn

Ka Onye isi ala Donald Trump na-akwado ịkwado onye isi ala Israel bụ Benjamin Netanyahu n'izu na-abịa, otu ndị ọrụ nyocha ọgụgụ isi nke US na-enye ndozi maka ọtụtụ ebubo ụgha e boro Iran.

February 26, 2018 site na Cosortiummews.com

ECHICHE IHE:  Onyeisi

SITE:  Ndị ọkachamara na-ahụ maka ọgụgụ isi na ndị nkịtị maka Sanity (VIPS)

ISIOKWU:  Agha Na Iran

OKWU

Na anyị December 21st Memorandum gị, anyị dọrọ aka na ntị na nkwupụta na Iran bụ ugbu a onye na-akwado iyi ọha egwu n'ụwa enweghị nkwado siri ike. Ka ọ dị ugbu a, ebubo ụgha ndị ọzọ megide Iran abawanyela. Yabụ, anyị chere na anyị kwesiri ịdọ gị aka na ntị gbasara nsonazụ agha na Iran, dịka anyị dọrọ Onye isi ala George W. Bush aka na izu isii tupu ọgụ US na Iraq 15 afọ gara aga.

In Memorandum mbụ anyị n'ụdị a anyị gwara President Bush mgbe ahụ na anyị ahụghị "ezigbo ihe kpatara ya" iji wakpo Iraq, ma dọọ aka na ntị "ihe ndị a na-atụghị anya ya nwere ike bụrụ ọdachi." Ihe ga-esi na ya pụta ga-aka njọ, ọ bụrụ na US adaba agha na Iran. Anyị na-atụ egwu na ị naghị enweta akụkọ ziri ezi na nke a site n'aka ndị isi ọgụgụ isi na ndị ọrụ nchekwa obodo.

Mgbe ị họrọ "Agha na Iran" maka isiokwu nke Memo a, echetara anyị na anyị jiri ya na mbụ, ya bụ, maka ihe ncheta nye Onye isi ala Obama na August 3, 2010 na ọnọdụ ndị yiri ya. I nwere ike ịrịọ ndị ọrụ gị ka ha nye gị nke ahụ ka ị gụọ ma tụgharịa uche. Ọ gụnyere okwu na-eju anya site na mgbe ahụ Onye isi oche nke President Bush Jr's Advisory Board (na onye bụbu onye ndụmọdụ nchekwa mba na Bush Sr.) Gen. Brent Scowcroft, onye gwara ya Oge ego n’abalị iri na anọ nke ọnwa Ọktoba afọ 14, na Mịnịsta Ala Israel aha ya bụ Ariel Sharon mere George W. Bush “ka o mesie ike;” na “Sharon ekpuchiela ya obere mkpịsị aka ya.” Anyị chọrọ ichetara gị akụkọ ihe mere eme ahụ, ka ị na-akwado ịkwado Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu n'izu na-abịa.

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Rhetoric na Eziokwu

Anyị kwenyere na akụkọ na nso nso a banyere enwere ike ịlụ ọgụ na nuklia na-ebu agha na North Korea ejirila nlezianya tụlee ntụle dị elu karịa na Israel ma ọ bụ ọbụna Saudi Arabia ga-eme ihe ga - eduga na agha na Iran nke ga - adọta United States na. Israel choro ka ha kwaga agha, na-enwe nsogbu di egwu nye US, n'ihi ihe mere n'oge na-adịbeghị anya gbasara onye na-ebu agha na Iran na ụgbọelu nke Israel.

Enwekwara okwu mkpesa megide Iran na mgbasa ozi US, nke nwere ike ịkwado mgbanwe site n'ụdị ụdị oyi gaa agha kpụ ọkụ n'ọnụ metụtara ndị agha US. Anyị ejirila ụfọdụ oge na-eleba anya na ọgba aghara na-ebuwanye ibu megide Iran na-abịa site na Washington yana site na gọọmentị nke Israel na Saudi Arabia. National Security Adviser HR McMaster na-adọ aka na ntị na “oge ime ihe bụ ugbu a” iji gbochie oke ọchịchọ ime ihe ike Iran mgbe US United Nations nnochite anya Nikki Haley na-ahụ oku “iteta-elu” na oku na-adịbeghị anya banyere Syria na Israel. Ndị White House ekwupụtala nchegbu na Iran na-erigbu ndị Shi'a pere mpe na ndị agbata obi Sunni na-achịkwa ọgba aghara yana na-agbasawanye ọrụ ya na Iraq na Syria gbara agbata obi.

Ọ bụ ezie na anyị na-ekerịta nchegbu maka ebumnuche gọọmentị Iran maka ịhụ ndị agbata obi ya, anyị ekwenyeghị na mmepe ndị dị na mpaghara ahụ, nke ọtụtụ n'ime ha sitere na mmejọ America, nwere nnukwu mmetụta na ọdịmma mba US. Iran adịghịkwa, nke na - ahụkarị onwe ya ka ọ na - agbachitere steeti ndị Sunni gbara ya gburugburu, ihe ọ bụla dịka iyi egwu dị adị na United States nke ga - akwado ọrụ agha ga - aga n'ihu nke ga - akpata ma ọ bụrụ na Iran wakporo ya.

Ebumnuche nke Iran chọrọ ijikọ ọnụ nke mmetụta gụnyere njikọ nke mba ndị jikọrọ ọnụ na ndị nnọchi anya na-esi n'akụkụ ọdịda anyanwụ ya ruo Osimiri Mediterenian ekwuputala dị ka ihe ziri ezi maka amụma siri ike megide Tehran, mana anyị kwenyere na nchegbu a ga-abụ ikwubiga okwu ókè. Iran, nke nwere onu ogugu kariri 80 nde, ka o doro anya na o bu nnukwu ikike mpaghara ma n’agha, nke aku na uba ya na ndoro ndoro ochichi.

Ike agha agha

Tehran's Revolutionary Guard nwere ngwa agha na ọzụzụ, mana imirikiti ndị agha "akpụkpọ ụkwụ na ala" ndị mejupụtara ya bụ ndị amị nwere agwa dị mma. Ugbo elu ya bụ “onyinyo” nke ihe dị n'okpuru Shah ma bụrụ nke ndị na-asọmpi ya na Ọwara Oké Osimiri Peasia buru ibu, na-ekwughị Israel. Ndị agha ya bụ naanị “mmiri ndụ akwụkwọ ndụ” tozuru oke n ’ọ nwere obere ụgbọ mmiri ndị na-ahụ maka nchekwa ụsọ osimiri nke mmiri ụgbọ mmiri Revolutionary Guard na-agbakwunye.

Mgbe Napoleon meriela ọtụtụ kọntinent Europe ma na-achọ ịwakpo Britain, a kwenyere na England enweghị ike enyemaka n'ihu ya. British Admiral Earl St Vincent enweghị nsogbu: "Anaghị m asị na ndị France enweghị ike ịbịa, naanị m na-ekwu na ha enweghị ike isi n'oké osimiri bịa." N'otu aka ahụ anyị kwenyere na iyi egwu Iran doro anya bụ n'ezie oke oke site na enweghị ike ịrụ ọrụ n'ofe mmiri ma ọ bụ ikuku site na steeti ndị agbata obi gosipụtara akara aka na akụkụ abụọ ahụ.

A na-echekwa oke nchegbu banyere otu akwa mmiri 'Shi'ite na-etolite,' nke akpọkwara "arc" ma ọ bụ "ọnwa ọhụụ". Ọ na-eleghara eziokwu ahụ anya na Iraq, Syria, na Lebanọn niile nwere aha obodo siri ike na ndị nwere njikọ okpukpe. Ọ bụ Iran na - emetụta ha - ụfọdụ n'ime ha siri ike - mana ha abụghị steeti ndị nkuzi. Enwekwara agbụrụ nke agbụrụ na ndị agbata obi ha maara nke ọma - ha bụ ndị Arab na Iran bụ Persian, nke bụkwa eziokwu banyere ndị Shi'a bi na Saudi Arabia na Emirates.

Imirikiti Shi'a Iraq, dịka ọmụmaatụ, dị ezigbo enyi ugbu a na Iran mana ọ ga-emeso ndị Kurdish na ndị Sunni pere mpe na gọọmentị ya na ntuziaka nke amụma mba ofesi ya. Ọ gaghị eme ọnụ ahịa Iran na ọtụtụ isi okwu, gụnyere mmekọrịta Baghdad na Washington, ọ ga-adị njikere ka ọ bụrụ onye nnọchi anya na esemokwu Tehran na Israel na Saudi Arabia. Onye osote onye isi ala Iraq Osama al-Nujaifi, Sunni kachasị elu na Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, dịka ọmụmaatụ, kpọrọ oku na nso nso a maka iwepu ndị agha Shi'ite Popular Mobilisation Forces ma ọ bụ ndị agha na-alụ ọgụ ISIS n'ihi na ha “Nwere ebumnuche nke ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nke ha, atụmatụ ha [ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị] nke ha. … Ha dị nnọọ ize ndụ maka ọdịnihu nke Iraq. ”

Ngwá Agha Nuclear Etisa

Nchegbu dị ukwuu nke meworo ka ọtụtụ echiche nke iyi egwu Iran bụrụ na Tehran ga-emepụta ngwa agha nuklia n'otu ụzọ. Anyị kwenyere na atụmatụ atụmatụ zuru oke nke Joint ugbu a, ọbụlagodi na ezughị okè, na-enye nzaghachi kachasị mma na nsogbu mgbasawanye Iran. Ọchịchị nyocha nke UN siri ike, ma ọ bụrụ na nkwekọrịta ahụ guzosiri ike, enwere ezigbo ihe mere ị ga-eji kwenye na Iran agaghị enwe ike ịme ihe ndị dị mkpa ga-eduga na mmemme ngwa agha nuklia. Iran ga-abawanye na nhọrọ ya mgbe nkwekọrịta ahụ gwụchara n'ime afọ itoolu. Ndị ọkachamara kwenyere na, n'oge ahụ, Iran agaghị ahọrọ ịhọrọ ikpokọta uranium bara ọgaranya dị mkpa iji gaa n'ihu.

Ihe omume mere na nso nso a banyere ogbugbu nke drone ebubo ịbụ onye Iran, sochiri ọdịda nke onye agha Israel site na ngwa agha ikuku nke Syria, rụpụtara nzaghachi siri ike site na Tel Aviv, ọ bụ ezie na ịdọ aka ná ntị sitere n'aka Onye isi ala Russia Vladimir belata Putin na ihe ọ bụla ọzọ na-akpasu iwe nwere ike itinye aka na Russia na esemokwu ahụ n'amaghị ama. Ekwuru na Prime Minista Israel Benjamin Netanyahu ekwuola idozi azịza ya mana gọọmentị ya na-atụgharị uche n'ụzọ siri ike iji gbochie ihe ọ kọwara dị ka mba Iran na-emepe emepe na Syria.

Na mgbakwunye, enwere ike ịgba Netanyahu ebubo ebubo nrụrụ aka, ọ ga-eche na ọ nwere ike ịnabata "obere agha" iji gbochie anya na nsogbu ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị na-arị elu n'ụlọ.

Snbanye Na Agha

Anyị kwenyere na nnukwu mmiri Iran na-apụta na mgbasa ozi US ma gosipụta na Beltway groupthink bụ nke Saudi Arabia na Israel mepụtara, bụ ndị na-azụlite ọchịchọ nke aka ha maka ọchịchị ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị na nke ndị agha. Enweghị ezigbo mkpa ndị America dị mkpa nọ na nsogbu ma ọ bụ oge gara aga iji kwụsịtụ ma laa azụ iji tụlee ihe ọdịmma ndị ahụ bụ n'ezie na mpaghara nke ahụbeghị ihe ọ bụla ma ọ bụghị ọdachi kemgbe 2003. agha ga-abụ ọdachi ma mee ka ọgba aghara dịkwuo njọ, ikekwe na-eduga na ndakpọ na nhazi ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nke Middle East niile. Ọ ga-efu United States ọnụ.

Iran abụghị ihe egwu agha, mana ikike ya ịlụ ọgụ na ịgbachitere ndị agha US na ndị agha ikuku dị oke mkpa ma nwee ike ibute ọnụọgụ dị elu. O yiri ka enwere nghọta na Ngalaba Nchebe na Iran nwere ike imeri Iran n'ihe gbasara ụbọchị, mana anyị ga-adọ aka na ntị na amụma ndị dị otú a ga-adabere na amụma olile anya gabiga ókè, hụ ihe ga-esi na Afghanistan na Iraq pụta Na mgbakwunye, Tehran ga-enwe ike ịhapụ ihe ndị na-eyi ọha egwu na mpaghara ahụ niile, na-etinye ndị agha US na ndị nnọchi anya ya yana ndị njem America na azụmaahịa. Ihe egwu nke ndị na-eyi ọha egwu nwere ike ịgbatị gafee Middle East banye Europe na United States, ebe ọnụ ahịa dollar nke nnukwu esemokwu ọhụrụ na nsonaazụ ya nwere ike imebi akụ, n'ụzọ nkịtị.

Isi ihe ọzọ dị mkpa tupu ịmalite ịlụ ọgụ kwesịrị ịbụ na agha agaghị ebuso Iran agha. Dị ka ịdọ aka ná ntị sitere n'aka President Vladimir Putin na Netanyahu mere ka o doo anya, ndị isi ndị ọzọ nwere mmasị na ihe na-aga na Gulf Persia, na enwere ezigbo ihe egwu na agha mpaghara nwere ike ị nweta nsonaazụ ụwa.

Na nchikota, anyị na-ahụ ihe egwu na-eto eto na US ga-adaba na ọgụ na mgbochi nke Israel na Saudi Arabia chebere maka ebumnuche ha ("mgbanwe ọchịchị" na Iran). Nkwenye nke ihe na nghotahie banyere ihe di na nsogbu di otua ka aghagha di otua, na abia site na ime na ndi ochichi ha, odi nwute, mee ka ihe di otua puta.

Anyị ahụla foto a na mbụ, naanị afọ 15 gara aga na Iraq, nke kwesịrị ịdọ aka ná ntị. Echiche gbagọrọ agbagọ nke iyi egwu ndị Mullahs nke Iran boro ebubo na ha ga-emegide nchekwa nke US bụ ihe mepụtara. Ọbụna ma ọ bụrụ na ebubo niile ahụ bụ eziokwu, ha agaghị egosi na ụdị agha "mgbochi" nke Iraq na-emebi mba yana iwu mba ụwa. Ntinye aka US na-echeghị na Iran abaghị uru ọ bụla maka enyemaka mmadụ, agha, akụ na ụba, na ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nke a ga-akwụ ma ọ bụrụ na Washington kwere ka ọ bụrụ akụkụ nke ọgụ mwakpo.

IHE NDỊ MMADỤ NA-AGBANWEE, NDỊ ỌZỌ MGBE NA-ECHICHE NDỊ NA-AGBANYA

William Binney, onye bụbu onye isi ụlọ ọrụ NSA maka World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; Onye na-ahụ maka ngalaba NSA Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)

Kathleen Christison, CIA, Onye nyocha ọhụụ na Middle East (ret.)

Graham E. Fuller, Onye isi oche, National Intelligence Council (ret.)

Philip Giraldi, CIA, Onye Ọrụ Ndị Ọrụ (ret.)

Matthew Hoh, onye bụbu onye Capt., USMC Iraq; Onye nlekọta ọrụ mba ofesi, Afghanistan (ndị mmekọ VIPS)

Larry C. Johnson, onye bụbu onye CIA na onye ọrụ gọọmentị na-ahụ maka Iyi ọha egwu

Michael S. Kearns, Onyeisi, USAF; ex-Master SERE Onye Nkuzi maka Ọrụ Mgbasa Ozi Strategic (NSA / DIA) na Special Mission Units (JSOC) (ret.)

John Brady Kiesling, onye nlekọta ndị mba ọzọ; gbara arụkwaghịm na Febrụwarị 27, 2003 dị ka Onye Ndụmọdụ Ọchịchị, US Embassy, ​​Athens, na mkpesa megide mbuso agha US na Iraq (ret.)

John Kiriakou, onye bụbu onye CIA Counterterrorism Officer na onye bụbu onye nyocha, Kọmitii Mmekọrịta Ndị Ọzọ

Edward Loomis, Jr., onye bụbu onye isi nchịkwa NSA maka Office of Signals Processing (ret.)

David MacMichael, National ọgụgụ isi Council, National ọgụgụ isi Estimates Officer (ret.)

Ray McGovern, onye bụbu onye agha United States / onye isi ọgụgụ isi na onye nyocha CIA; Onye isi ala nke CIA (ret.)

Elizabeth Murray, osote onye isi ọgụgụ isi nke mba dị nso East (ret.)

Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, onye ọka ikpe US Army Judge (Ad.)

Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent na mbụ Minneapolis Division Iwu Ndụ (ret.)

Greg Thielmann, onye bụbu Director nke Strategic, Proliferation, na ndị agha na-arụ ọrụ Office, State Department Bureau of Intelligence & Research (INR), na onye bụbu onye isi na kọmitii ọgụgụ isi Senate (ret.)

Kirk Wiebe, onye bụbu onye nyocha, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA ret.)

Lawrence Wilkerson, Colonel (USA, ret.), Onye bụbu Onye Ọrụ nke Secretary nke State; Onye Prọfesọ Na-ahụ Maka Ọbịa, College of William na Mary (ndị mmekọ VIPS)

Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (ret.); Nchebe ọgụgụ isi nke nchekwa (ret.)

Robert Wing, onye bụbu onye ọrụ na-ahụ maka ndị mba ọzọ (ndị mmekọ VIPS)

Ann Wright, Colonel, US Army (ret.); Onye ọrụ na-ahụ maka ndị mba ọzọ bụ onye, ​​dịka Onye Ndụmọdụ Ọchịchị John Brady Kiesling, gbara arụkwaghịm na-emegide agha a na Iraq