NguGareth Porter, uMeyi 5, 2020
Kusukela IGreyzone
UMongameli uDonald Trump uklweze isivumelwano senuzi ne-Iran futhi uyaqhubeka nokuzibeka engcupheni yokulwa ne-Iran ngenxa yesicelo sikaNdunankulu wase-Israeli uBenjamin Netanyahu sokufakazele kahle ukuthi i-Iran yayizimisele ukwenza izikhali zenuzi. INetanyahu ayigcinanga nje ngokufaka uTrump kodwa nemithombo yezindaba ehlukahlukene, ibaphindisela ngokwambula umphakathi lokho ayekusho kwakuyimfihlo yenuzi yase-Iran yonke.
Ekuqaleni kuka-Ephreli 2018, iNetanyahu kuchazelwe UTrump ngasese kuleyo ndawo ebekiwe yase-Iranian yokugcina umlando wezombusazwe futhi waqinisekisa isithembiso sakhe sokushiya i-Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Ngaleso sikhathi ukuthi ngo-Ephreli 30, uNetanyahu uthathe lesi sithangami esiya emphakathini ngendlela ebabazekayo lapho athi izinsizakalo zezobunhloli bakwa-Mossad zakwa-Israyeli zantshontsha yonke inqolobane yase-Iran eseTran. "Kungenzeka wazi ukuthi abaholi base-Iran baphika kaningi ukuthi bezilandela izikhali zenuzi ..." abakwaNetanyahu limenyezelwe. “Kulungile, kulobubusuku, ngilapha ukuzokutshela into eyodwa: I-Iran yaqamba amanga. Isikhathi esikhulu. ”
Kodwa-ke, uphenyo lwezincwadi ezaziwa ngokuthi yi-Iranian nuclear by The Grayzone ziveza ukuthi zingumkhiqizo wokusebenza kwe-disinformation e-Israeli esiza ukusiza ekusabiseni usongo olukhulu kakhulu lwempi selokhu ingxabano ne-Iran yaqala cishe amashumi amane eminyaka edlule. Lolu phenyo lukhombe izinkomba eziningi zokuthi udaba lokuphindwa kukaMossad lwamakhasi angama-50,000 XNUMX amafayili enziwe eyimfihlo avela kuTehran kungenzeka ukuthi kwakuyindaba eqanjiwe nokuthi le mibhalo yenziwa nguMossad uqobo.
Ngokwe nguqulo esemthethweni yakwa-Israyeli, abantu base-Irani babeqoqe amadokhumenti enuzi besuka ezindaweni ezahlukahlukene futhi bawasusa kulokho uNetanyahu uqobo akuchaza njenge "gumbi elonakalisiwe" eningizimu yeTehran. Ngisho nokucabanga ukuthi i-Iran yayinemibhalo eyimfihlo ekhombisa ukuthuthukiswa kwezikhali zenuzi, isimangalo sokuthi imibhalo eyimfihlo ephezulu izogcinwa endaweni yokugcina izimpahla nasesigodlweni esingaziwa eCentral Tehran akunakulindeka ukuthi bekungamele siphakamise izinsimbi ezisheshayo ngokushesha mayelana nokuba semthethweni kwendaba.
Okuyinkinga kakhulu kwaba isimangalo ngesikhulu seMossad entathelini yakwa-Israel uRonen Bergman ukuthi uMossad wayengazi nje kuphela ukuthi iyiphi inqolobane yama-commandos ayo azowathola amadokhumende kodwa ukuthi iyiphi kahle kakhulu engaphuka nge-blowtorch. Lesi sikhulu sitshele uBergman ukuthi ithimba laseMossad beliholwa yimpahla yezobunhloli emasefini ambalwa asendaweni yokugcina izinto aqukethe ama-binders anemibhalo ebaluleke kakhulu. UNetanyahu ziqhayise esidlangalaleni ukuthi "bambalwa kakhulu" abantu base-Irani ababekwazi indawo yokugcina lokho; Isikhulu sakwaMossad sitshele uBergman ukuthi “yidlanzana nje labantu” elaziyo.
Kodwa izikhulu ezimbili ezazikade ziphethe umsebenzi omkhulu we-CIA, zombili ezazike zasebenza njengomhlaziyi ophambili eMiddle East wale nhlangano, zakuphikisa lokho okushiwo uNetanyahu njengokuntula ukwethembeka ekuphenduleni umbuzo ovela eGreyzone.
Ngokusho kukaPaul Pillar, obengumphathi wezobuhlakani kuzwelonke kusuka ku-2001 kuya ku-2005, "noma yimuphi umthombo ongaphakathi kwezisetshenziswa zokuphepha zezwe lase-Irani uzoba nokubaluleka okukhulu emehlweni ka-Israyeli, futhi izingxoxo zakwa-Israyeli ngokuphathwa kolwazi lomthombo kungenzeka. makube nokubandlululwa okuhambisana nokuvikela isikhathi eside umthombo. ” Indaba yakwa-Israeli yokuthi izinhloli zayo zawathola kanjani amaphepha “zibonakala ziyinhlanzi,” kusho uPillar, ikakhulukazi uma ecabanga ngomzamo osobala wakwa-Israyeli wokuthola imayela “lezepolitiki lezombusazwe” eliphuma kulowo “mthombo” obonakalayo.
UGraham Fuller, iqhawe elineminyaka engama-27 le-CIA ebelisebenza njengeNational Intelligence Officer kwa-East East kanye naseNingizimu Asia kanye nePhini likaSihlalo woMkhandlu Kazwelonke Wobunhloli, lihlinzeka ngokufana nse nesicelo sika-Israyeli. "Ukube ama-Israyeli abenomthombo ozwelayo eTehran," kusho uFuller, "bebengeke zifune ukumbeka engcupheni." UFuller waphetha ngokuthi isimangalo sama-Israyeli sokuthi ayenolwazi oluqondile lokuthi yikuphi okuphephile ukuqhekeka “siyinkohliso, futhi yonke le nto kungenzeka ukuthi yasungulwa.”
Akunabufakazi bobuqiniso
INetanyahu's Ephreli 30 slide show wethule uchungechunge lwemibhalo yase-Iranian esetshenzisiwe equkethe izambulo eziyimfihlo azikhombisa njengobufakazi bokuthi wayegcizelele ukuthi i-Iran ibiqamba amanga ngentshisekelo yayo yokwenza izikhali zenuzi. Abasizi ababukwayo babefaka ifayela okuthiwa laliqala emuva ekuqaleni kuka-2000 noma ngaphambi kwalokho lacacisa izindlela ezahlukahlukene zokufeza a uhlele ukwakha izikhali zenuzi ezinhlanu maphakathi no-2003.
Omunye umqulu odale intshisekelo yabezindaba esakazekile wasolwa bika ngengxoxo phakathi kososayensi abaphambili be-Iranian ngesinqumo esenziwe maphakathi nonyaka ka-2003 nguNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela wase-Iran sokuhlukanisa uhlelo olukhona lwezikhali zenuzi oluyimfihlo ukuze lusetshenzise izingxenye ezifihlekile.
Ukushiywa ekuvezweni kwezindaba kwale mibhalo “yenqolobane” kwakuyinto elula engathandeki kakhulu kwabakwaNetanyahu: akukho lutho ngabo olunikeza ubufakazi bokuthi beqiniso. Isibonelo, akekho noyedwa owayenophawu olusemthethweni lwe-ejensi efanelekile ye-Iranian.
UTariq Rauf, obephethe iHhovisi Lokuqinisekisa Ukuphepha Nenqubomgomo Yezokuphepha e-International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) kusuka ngo-2001 kuya ku-2011, utshele Iphephabhuku iGayzone ukuthi lolu phawu lubonakala kakhulu kumafayili asemthethweni ase-Iranian.
"I-Iran uhlelo oluhlelekile kakhulu," kuchaza uRauf. "Ngakho-ke, umuntu angalindela ukuthi kube nohlelo oluyilo lokugcina izincwadi oluzoqopha imininingwane engenayo, uma sekutholwe usuku, isikhulu sezinyathelo, umnyango, ukusatshalaliswa kwezinye izikhulu ezifanele, izinhloko zezincwadi, njll."
Kepha njengoba uRauf abonisile, imibhalo ebhalwe ukuthi “i-nuclear archive” eshicilelwe yiWashington Post babengenabo ubufakazi obunjalo bokuvela kukahulumeni wase-Iranian. Futhi bezingenazo ezinye izimpawu zokukhombisa ukwakhiwa kwazo ngaphansi kwesandla sikahulumeni wase-Iran.
Lokho le mibhalo enakho kufana nophawu lwesitembu senjoloba sohlelo lokufayila olibonisa izinombolo ze "rekhodi", "ifayela" ne "ledger binder" - njengabahlanganisi abamnyama uNetanyahu awakhanyisela ngamakhamera ngenkathi kuslayidi wakhe . Kepha lezi bezingadalwa kalula yi-Mossad bese zinciphiselwa emaphepheni kanye nezinombolo ezifanele zasePheresiya.
Ukuqinisekiswa kwe-forensic ngobuqiniso bemibhalo bekuzodinga ukufinyelela kumadokhumenti okuqala. Kepha njengoba kuphawulile uNetanyahu embukisweni wakhe wama-slide ka-Ephreli 30, 2018, "izinto zokuqala zase-Iranian" zagcinwa "endaweni ephephe kakhulu" - okusho ukuthi akekho umuntu ozovunyelwa ukuthi abe nokufinyelela okunjalo.
Vimba ukufinyelela ochwepheshe bangaphandle
Eqinisweni, ngisho nabavakashi abahamba phambili bakwa-Israyeli eTel Aviv benqatshelwe ukufinyelela imibhalo yasekuqaleni. UDavid Albright we-Institute for Science and International Security kanye no-Olli Heinonen weSisekelo for Defense of Democracies - bobabili abavikeli bomugqa osemthethweni wakwa-Israeli wenqubomgomo yenuzi yase-Iranian - kubika ngo-Okthoba 2018 ukuthi babenikezwe kuphela “umugqa wesilayidi” okhombisa ukukhiqizwa noma izingcaphuno zemibhalo.
Ngenkathi iqembu lochwepheshe abayisithupha abavela eBelfer Center for Science and International Affairs yaseHarvard Kennedy School livakashele kwa-Israyeli ngoJanuwari 2019 ukuyokwaziswa ngezinqolobane, nabo banikezwa ukuphequlula nje okuyimibhalo okwakungathiwa ingeyokuqala. USolwazi waseHarvard uMathewu Bunn ukhumbule enkulumweni abe nayo nalo mbhali ukuthi leli thimba likhonjiswe omunye wabahlanganisi obekuqukethe imibhalo okwakuthiwa yimibhalo yokuqala ephathelene nobudlelwano be-Iran ne-IAEA futhi "sebenze okuncane."
Kepha abakhonjiswanga mibhalo emisebenzini yezikhali zenuzi yase-Iran. Njengoba uBunn avuma, "Besingazami ukucubungula le mibhalo."
Imvamisa, kuzoba ngumsebenzi kahulumeni wase-US kanye ne-IAEA ukuqinisekisa imibhalo. Ngokudabukisayo, ithimba leBelfer Center labika ukuthi uhulumeni wase-US ne-IAEA ngamunye atholile amakhophi okugcina wonke umlando hhayi amafayili asekuqaleni. Futhi abakwa-Israel babengekho beshesha ukuletha imibhalo yangempela: abakwa-IAEA abatholanga iqoqo eliphelele lemibhalo kuze kube nguNovemba 2019, ngokusho kukaBunn.
Ngaleso sikhathi, abakwaNetanyahu base bengakaqedi kuphela ukubhidliza isivumelwano se-Iran yenuzi; yena kanye nomqondisi kaTrump onolunya we-CIWT uMike Pompeo basebenzise umongameli kwinqubomgomo yezingxabano ezisondelene noTehran.
Ukuza kwesibili kwemidwebo yamanga engamanga
Phakathi kwemibhalo uNetanyahu akhanya ngayo esikrinini Ephreli 30, 2018 umbukiso wesilayidi kwaba umdwebo wesikimu yemoto eyakhiwe kabusha eyakhiwe ngumbhoshongo wase-Iranian Shahab-3, ekhombisa lokho okusobala ukuthi kwakumele isikhali senuzi ngaphakathi.
Lo mdwebo ubuyingxenye yemidwebo yobuchwepheshe eyishumi nesishiyagalombili yemoto yokushayela kaShahab-3. Lokhu kutholakale eqoqweni lemibhalo elivunyelwe phakathi neminyaka eminingana phakathi kokuphathwa kweBush II ne-Obama ngumhloli wase-Irani owayesebenzela inkonzo yezobunhloli eJalimane. Noma-ke indaba esemthethweni yakwa-Israyeli yahamba.
Ngo-2013 kodwa-ke, isikhulu esiphezulu seHhovisi Langaphandle LaseJalimane, uKarsten Voigt, sembule lo mbhali ukuthi le ncwadi ibinikezwe izazi zaseJalimane yilungu leMujaheddin E-Khalq (MEK).
I-MEK yinhlangano ephikisayo ehlomile yase-Iranian eyayikade isebenza ngaphansi kombuso kaSaddam Hussein njengommeleli ngokumelene ne-Iran ngesikhathi sempi ye-Iran-Iraq. Kuqhubekele phambili ukusebenzisana ne-Israel Mossad eqala ngeminyaka yo-1990s, futhi kuthokozela ubudlelwane obusondelene neSaudi Arabia. Namuhla, izikhulu eziningi zangaphambilini zaseMelika zisakhokheleni i-MEK, esebenza njengabagqugquzeli be-de facto ngokushintshwa kombuso e-Iran.
UVoigt ukhumbule indlela izikhulu eziphezulu zeBND ezixwayise ngayo ukuthi abayicabangeli imithombo ye-MEK noma izinto ahlinzeka ngazo ukuthi ziyathembeka. Babekhathazekile ukuthi abaphathi bakwaBush babehlose ukusebenzisa amadokhumenti angenasisekelo ukuzama ukuhlasela i-Iran, njengoba nje nokuxhaphaza izindaba ezinde eziqoqwe umdwebi wase-Iraq ezibhale "iCurveball" ukuzithethelela ngokuhlasela kwe-Iraq ngo-2003.
Njengalo mbhali kubikwa okokuqala ngo-2010, ukubonakala kwesimo se- "dunce-cap" semoto yokungena kabusha kukaShahab-3 emidwebo bekuwuphawu lokutshela ukuthi amadokhumenti aqanjiwe. Noma ngubani owadweba lezo zithombe ngo-2003 ngokusobala wayengaphansi komqondo ongamanga wokuthi i-Iran yayithembele kuShahab-3 njengamandla ayo amakhulu okuvimbela. Yize kunjalo, i-Iran yamemezela obala ngo-2001 ukuthi iShahab-3 yayizongena “emikhiqizweni ekhiqizwayo” futhi ngo-2003 “yayisebenza”.
Kepha lezo zimangalo ezisemthethweni ze-Iran kwakuyicala lokuhlose ukukhohlisa u-Israyeli, okwakusongele ukuhlaselwa komoya ngezinhlelo zenyukiliya neze-Iran. Eqinisweni, uMnyango Wezokuvikela wase-Iran wayazi ukuthi uShahab-3 wayengenalo uhla olwanele lokufinyelela kwa-Israyeli.
NgokukaMichael Elleman, umbhali wabaningi i-akhawunti eqondile yohlelo lokushaywa kwemishini lwase-Iranian, kusukela ngonyaka ka-2000, uMnyango Wezokuvikela e-Iran wawusuqalile ukwenziwa ngcono kwe-Shahab-3 ngemoto egqama ukuzigqaja ngesimo sebhodlela le-triconic “more triconic baby” - hhayi “i-dunce-cap” yoqobo.
Njengoba u-Elleman atshela lo mbhali, nokho, ama-ejensi wezobunhloli angaphandle ahlala engazi lutho ngomcibisholo omusha futhi othuthukisiwe weShahab onomumo ohluke kakhulu waze wahlolwa okokuqala ngo-Agasti 2004. Phakathi kwezinhlangano ezigcinwe ebumnyameni ngalolu hlelo olusha kwakunguMossad wakwa-Israyeli. . Lokho kuchaza ukuthi kungani amadokhumende angamanga ekwakheni kabusha iShahab-3 - izinsuku zokuqala ezaziku-2002, ngokuya nge-IAEA yedokhumenti yangaphakathi engashicilelwe - ukhombise ukwakheka kwezimoto okwenziwe kabusha i-Iran eyayivele ilahliwe.
Indima ye-MEK yokudlulisa isamba esikhulu semibhalo yenuzi yase-Iran eyimfihlo e-BND kanye nobudlelwano bayo be-hand-in-glove neMossad kushiya isikhala esincane sokungabaza ukuthi imibhalo eyethulwe ku-Western intelligence 2004, empeleni, yadalwa iMossad.
OkweMossad, i-MEK kwakuyiyunithi elula yokukhipha abezindaba ababi nge-Iran eyayingafuni ukuthi ibhekiswe ngqo kubunhloli bakwa-Israeli. Ukwenza ngcono ukwethembeka kwe-MEK emehlweni abezindaba bakwamanye amazwe nezinhlangano zezobunhloli, uMossad wadlulisela izixhumanisi zesikhungo senuzi sase-Iran iNatanz kwi-MEK ngo-2002. Kamuva, yanikeza imininingwane yomuntu ye-MEK njengenombolo yepasipoti nenombolo yocingo yasekhaya ye-physics yase-Iranian uprofesa Mohsen Fakhrizadh, ogama lakhe livele kumadokhumende enuzi, ngokusho kwababhali a incwadi ethengiswa kakhulu kunazo zonke yakwa-Israyeli ekusebenzeni okucashile kukaMossad.
Ngokukhipha umdwebo ofanayo owehlisiwe obonisa imoto engafanele yokungena kabusha kwemicibisholo yase-Irani - iqhinga ayekade elisebenzisa ukudala icala lokuqala lokusola i-Iran ngokuthuthukiswa kwezikhali zenuzi - uNdunankulu wase-Israel ukhombise ukuthi uzethemba kangakanani ukuthi angakwazi ukwenza i-hoodwink IWashington nabezindaba bezinkampani zaseNtshonalanga.
Amazinga amaningi okukhohlisa kweNetanyahu aphumelele ngokumangazayo, yize ethembele kuma-brunuts brunitshe ukuthi iyiphi inhlangano yezindaba ekhuthele obekufanele ngabe ibonile. Ngokusebenzisa kwakhe ohulumeni bamanye amazwe nabezindaba, ukwazile ukuhambisa uDonald Trump kanye neMelika enqubweni eyingozi yokubhekana nayo eye yenza iMelika yaba yizingxabano zezempi ne-Iran.
UGareth Porter uyintatheli ezimele ephenya futhi ebike ngenqubomgomo yezokuphepha kazwelonke kusukela ngonyaka ka-2005 futhi waba ngumamukeli weGellhorn Prize for Journalism ngo-2012. Incwadi yakhe yakamuva yi-The CIA Insider's Guide to the Iran Crisis eyabhalwa noJohn Kiriakou, esanda kushicilelwa ku Februwari.
