Isimemezelo sika- German Okokuqala Beka phansi izikhali zakho, ngosuku lwesikhumbuzo sokuhlasela kweRussia e-Ukraine, ngoFebhuwari 16, 2023
Ngokuhlasela kwe-Ukraine ngamasosha aseRussia ngomhla zingama-24 kuFebhuwari 2022, impi yeminyaka eyisikhombisa eyayinamandla aphansi eDonbass okwathi ngokusho kwe-OSCE yabangela ukufa kwabantu abayi-14,000, okuhlanganisa nezakhamuzi eziyi-4,000, izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zalezi zindawo ezihlubukayo ikhwalithi entsha yodlame lwezempi. Ukuhlasela kweRussia kwaba ukwephulwa okubi komthetho wamazwe ngamazwe futhi kuholele ekufeni, ukucekelwa phansi, usizi, nobugebengu bempi. Esikhundleni sokuthatha ithuba lokuxoxisana (izingxoxo zenzeke, empeleni, zenzeke kwaze kwaba ngu-April 2022), impi yakhula yaba "impi yommeli phakathi kweRussia ne-NATO", njengoba nezikhulu zikahulumeni e-USA manje sezivuma ngokukhululekile. .
Ngaso leso sikhathi, isinqumo se-UN General Assembly sangomhla zi-2 kuNdasa, lapho amazwe ayi-141 akugxeka ukuhlasela, ayesecele ukuthi kuxazululwe ngokushesha ingxabano “ngezingxoxo zezombangazwe, izingxoxo, ukuxoxisana nezinye izindlela ezinokuthula” futhi yafuna “ukunamathela kumthethosisekelo. izivumelwano zaseMinsk” futhi ngokucacile nangefomethi yaseNormandy “ukusebenza ngokwakhayo ekusetshenzisweni kwazo ngokugcwele.”
Naphezu kwakho konke lokhu, ikhwelo lomphakathi womhlaba alinakiwe yizo zonke izinhlangothi ezithintekayo, nakuba zithanda ukubhekisela ezinqumweni ze-UN njengoba zivumelana nemibono yazo.
Ukuphela kokukhohlisa
Ngokwezempi, i-Kiev isendleleni yokuzivikela futhi amandla ayo okulwa ayancipha. Kusukela ngoNovemba 2022, inhloko ye-US Joint Chiefs of Staff yeluleka ukuthi kuqale izingxoxo njengoba ibheka ukunqoba kweKiev njengokungenangqondo. Muva nje eRamstein uphinde waphinda lesi sikhundla.
Kodwa nakuba osopolitiki nabezindaba bebambelele enkohlisweni yokunqoba, isimo saseKiev siye sawohloka. Lesi isizinda sokukhuphuka kwakamuva, okungukuthi, ukulethwa kwamathangi empi. Nokho, lokhu kuzomane kunwebe ukungqubuzana. Impi ngeke inqotshwe. Kunalokho, lesi isinyathelo esisodwa ngaphezulu endaweni eshelelayo. Ngokushesha ngemva kwalokho, uhulumeni waseKiev wafuna ukuhlinzekwa kwezindiza zempi ngokulandelayo, futhi ngemva kwalokho, ukubandakanyeka okuqondile kwamasosha e-NATO - okuholela ekukhuphukeni okungenzeka kwezikhali zenuzi?
Esimeni senuzi i-Ukraine izoba ngeyokuqala ukubhubha. Ngokwezibalo ze-UN, isibalo sabantu abafayo ngonyaka odlule singaphezu kuka-7,000, kanti ukulahlekelwa kwamasosha bekusebangeni lamadijithi ayisithupha. Labo abavumela ukuqhubeka kokudubula esikhundleni sokuxoxisana kumelwe bazibuze ukuthi bazimisele yini ukudela abanye abantu abayizi-100,000 200,000, XNUMX noma ngisho nangaphezulu ukuze bafeze izinjongo zempi ezikhohlisayo.
Ubumbano lwangempela ne-Ukraine kusho ukusebenzela ukumisa ukubulala ngokushesha okukhulu.
I-geopolitics - isiphukuphuku!
Isici esibalulekile esenza ukuthi iNtshonalanga idlale ikhadi lezempi ukuthi iWashington ibona ithuba lokuyenza buthaka iMoscow ngempi yokulwa. Njengoba ukubusa komhlaba wonke kwe-USA kuncipha ngenxa yoshintsho ohlelweni lwamazwe ngamazwe, i-US ilwela ukubuyisela isimangalo sayo ebuholini bomhlaba wonke - futhi embangweni wayo wezwe neChina.
Lokhu empeleni kuhambisana nalokho okwakwenziwa yi-US ekuqaleni kweMpi Yomshoshaphansi ukuzama ukuvimbela ukuvela kwembangi enesimo esifanayo neSoviet Union. Ngaleyo ndlela, ithuluzi elibaluleke kakhulu kwaba ukunwetshwa kwe-NATO empumalanga ne-Ukraine “njengesithwali sendiza esingacwili” emnyango waseMoscow njengempumelelo yayo enkulu. Ngasikhathi sinye, ukudidiyelwa kwezomnotho kwe-Ukraine emazweni aseNtshonalanga kwasheshiswa ngeSivumelwano Senhlangano Ye-EU okwaxoxiswana ngaso kusukela ngo-2007 kuya phambili - futhi esasibeka ukuhlukaniswa kwe-Ukraine neRussia.
Ubuzwe obuphikisana namaRussia eMpumalanga Yurophu bavuswa njengesisekelo sombono. E-Ukraine, lokhu kwanda ezingxabanweni ezinodlame eMaidan ngo-2014, futhi ekuphenduleni lokho futhi eDonbass, okwaholela ngokufanelekile ekuhlukaniseni iCrimea kanye nezifunda zaseDonetsk naseLuhansk. Khonamanjalo, impi isiphenduke inhlanganisela yezingxabano ezimbili: - Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukungqubuzana phakathi kwe-Ukraine neRussia kuwumphumela wokuhlakazeka okunesiphithiphithi kweSoviet Union yona ngokwayo ethwele kanzima ngomlando ophikisanayo wokwakhiwa kwe-Ukraine. isizwe, futhi ngakolunye uhlangothi, - ukubhekana ngeziqu zamehlo phakathi kwemibuso emibili emikhulukazi yenuzi.
Lokhu kuletha izinkinga eziyingozi neziyinkimbinkimbi zebhalansi yamandla enuzi (yokwesaba). Ngokombono waseMoscow, ukuhlanganiswa kwezempi kwe-Ukraine eNtshonalanga kunengozi yesiteleka sokudilizwa kweMoscow. Ikakhulukazi kusukela izivumelwano zokulawulwa kwezikhali, kusukela ku-ABM Treaty ngaphansi kukaBush ngo-2002 kuya ku-INF kanye ne-Open Sky Treaty ngaphansi kukaTrump okwavunyelwana ngesikhathi seMpi Yomshoshaphansi zonke zaqedwa. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi iyiqiniso kangakanani, umbono waseMoscow kufanele ulalelwe. Ukwesaba okunjalo akunakudanjiswa ngamazwi nje kuphela, kodwa kudinga izinyathelo ezithembeke ngokuphelele. Kodwa-ke, ngoDisemba 2021, iWashington yenqaba izinyathelo ezihambisanayo ezihlongozwe yiMoscow.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukusetshenziswa kabi kwezivumelwano ezihlanganiswe ngaphansi komthetho wamazwe ngamazwe nakho kungenye yezindlela zaseNtshonalanga, njengoba kuboniswe, phakathi kwezinye izinto, ukuvuma kukaMerkel noFrançois Hollande ukuthi baphetha uMinsk II kuphela ukuthenga isikhathi sokuvumela ukuhlonyiswa kwezikhali zaseKiev. Ngokumelene nalesi sizinda, umthwalo wempi - futhi lokhu kuyiqiniso nakakhulu njengoba sibhekene nempi ye-proxy - angeke yehliswe eRussia kuphela.
Noma kungaba njalo, umthwalo wemfanelo we-Kremlin awushabalali nganoma iyiphi indlela. Imizwa yobuzwe nayo iyasabalala eRussia futhi umbuso onegunya uyaqiniswa. Kodwa labo ababheka umlando omude wokukhuphuka kuphela nge-lens yezithombe ezilula ze-bogeyman ezimnyama nezimhlophe bangaziba ezikaWashington - futhi ngenxa yalokho ama-EU - isabelo somthwalo wemfanelo.
Ku-Bellicose Fever
Isigaba sezombangazwe kanye nemithombo yezindaba ishanela konke lokhu kuxhumana ngaphansi kukakhaphethi. Kunalokho, baye bawela ekubeni i-bellicose fever yangempela.
IJalimane iyiqembu lempi futhi uhulumeni waseJalimane usephenduke uhulumeni wezempi. Ungqongqoshe wezangaphandle waseJalimane ngokugabadela kwakhe wayekholelwa ukuthi "angayonakalisa" iRussia. Okwamanje, iqembu lakhe (I-Green Party) selishintshile lisuka ephathini yokuthula laba umshisekeli onolaka e-Bundestag. Lapho kwakukhona impumelelo ethile yamaqhinga enkundleni yempi e-Ukraine, ukubaluleka kwayo kwamasu kwaba ihaba ngaphezu kwakho konke, kwadalwa inkohliso yokuthi ukunqoba kwezempi phezu kweRussia kwakungenzeka. Labo abancenga ukuthula kokuyekethisa bacasulwa “njengabalwela ukuthula” noma “izigebengu zempi yesibili”.
Isimo sezepolitiki esijwayelekile sasekhaya ngesikhathi sempi siye savela sigomela ingcindezi enkulu yokuthi sivumelane nalokho abaningi abangeke balokothe ukukuphikisa. Isithombe sesitha esivela ngaphandle sihlanganiswe nokungabekezelelani okwandayo ngaphakathi kwenhlanganisela enkulu. Inkululeko yokukhuluma nenkululeko yokunyathelisa iyawohloka njengoba kuboniswa ukuvinjelwa, phakathi kokunye, kwe-“Russia Today” kanye ne-“Sputnik”.
Impi Yezomnotho - i-squib emanzi
Impi yezomnotho ngokumelene neRussia eyayivele iqalile ngo-2014 yathatha izilinganiso ezingakaze zibonwe emlandweni ngemuva kokuhlasela kweRussia. Kodwa lokhu akuzange kube nomthelela emandleni okulwa aseRussia. Eqinisweni, umnotho waseRussia wehla ngamaphesenti amathathu ngo-2022, nokho, i-Ukraine yehla ngamaphesenti angamashumi amathathu. Kubuza umbuzo, i-Ukraine ingabekezelela kuze kube nini le mpi yobandlululo?
Ngasikhathi sinye, unswinyo ludala ukulimala kwesibambiso emnothweni womhlaba. INingizimu Yomhlaba jikelele ikakhulukazi ibe nezinkinga ezinzima. Izijeziso zandisa indlala nobumpofu, zikhuphule ukwehla kwamandla emali, futhi zibangele iziyaluyalu ezibizayo ezimakethe zomhlaba. Ngakho-ke akumangalisi ukuthi iGlobal South ayizimisele ukubamba iqhaza empini yezomnotho futhi ayifuni ukuhlukanisa iRussia. Akuyona impi yayo lena. Nokho, impi yezomnotho inemiphumela emibi nakithi. Ukwehliswa kwegesi yemvelo yaseRussia kubhebhethekisa inkinga yamandla ethinta amakhaya abuthaka emphakathini futhi kungase kuholele ekuphumeni kwezimboni ezisebenzisa amandla kagesi eJalimane. Izikhali kanye nezempi kuhlala kuyizindleko zobulungisa bomphakathi. Ngesikhathi esifanayo ne-fracking gas evela e-USA eyingozi kakhulu esimweni sezulu efinyelela ku-40% kunegesi yemvelo yaseRussia, futhi ngokufuna amalahle, zonke izinhloso zokunciphisa i-CO 2 sezivele zahlala emgqonyeni wemfucuza.
Okubaluleke kakhulu kwezokuxhumana, izingxoxo kanye nokuthula kokuvumelana
Impi idonsa izinsiza zezombusazwe, zemizwa, ubuhlakani kanye nezinto ezibonakalayo ezidingeka ngokushesha ukulwa nokuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu, ukucekelwa phansi kwemvelo kanye nobumpofu. Ukuzimbandakanya kweJalimane empini kwehlukanisa umphakathi futhi ikakhulukazi leyo mikhakha ezibophezele ekuthuthukisweni komphakathi kanye noguquko lwenhlalonhle-mpilo. Sikhuthaza ukuthi uhulumeni waseJalimane aqede inkambo yakhe yempi ngokushesha. IJalimane kumele iqale umkhankaso wobunxusa. Yilokhu iningi labantu elikucelayo. Sidinga ukumiswa kokudubula kanye nokuqala kwezingxoxo ezifakwe ohlakeni lwezizwe eziningi olubandakanya ukubamba iqhaza kwe-UN.
Ekugcineni, kufanele kube nokuthula okuvumelanayo okuvula indlela yesakhiwo sokuthula saseYurophu esihlangabezana nezithakazelo zokuphepha zase-Ukraine, zaseRussia kanye nabo bonke abayingxenye yengxabano futhi evumela ikusasa elinokuthula lezwekazi lethu.
Umbhalo wawubhalwe ngu: Reiner Braun (International Peace Bureau), Claudia Haydt (Isikhungo Solwazi Ngezempi), Ralf Krämer (Socialist Left in the Party Die Linke), Willi van Ooyen (Workshop Wokuthula Nekusasa Frankfurt), Christof Osteimer (Federal UMkhandlu Wokuthula weKomidi), uPeter Wahl (Attac. Germany). Imininingwane yomuntu ngeyolwazi kuphela
