NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Februwari 17, i-2022
Nsuku zonke kuletha umsindo omusha kanye nolaka enkingeni yase-Ukraine, ikakhulukazi evela eWashington. Kodwa yini ngempela engenzeka?
Kunezimo ezintathu ezingenzeka:
Esokuqala ukuthi iRussia izokwethula ngokuzumayo ukuhlasela okungavunyelwe kwe-Ukraine.
Okwesibili ukuthi uhulumeni wase-Ukraine e-Kyiv uzokwethula ukwanda kwempi yawo yombango ngokumelene nabazibiza ngokuthi i-People's Republics yaseDonetsk (I-DPR) kanye neLuhansk (I-LPR), okubangela ukusabela okuhlukahlukene okungenzeka kwamanye amazwe.
Okwesithathu ukuthi akukho kulokhu okuzokwenzeka, futhi inkinga izodlula ngaphandle kokunyuka okukhulu kwempi esikhathini esifushane.
Ngakho ubani ozokwenzani, futhi amanye amazwe azosabela kanjani esimweni ngasinye?
Ukuhlasela kweRussia okungavunyelwe
Lokhu kubonakala kuwumphumela omncane kakhulu.
Ukuhlasela kwangempela kweRussia kuzoveza imiphumela engalindelekile futhi edabukisayo engakhula ngokushesha, okuholela ekufeni kwabantu abaningi, inkinga entsha yababaleki eYurophu, impi phakathi kweRussia ne-NATO, noma imbala. impi yenuzi.
Ukube iRussia ibifuna ukuhlanganisa i-DPR ne-LPR, ibingakwenza lokho phakathi nenhlekelele eyalandela Ukuketula umbuso okusekelwa yi-US e-Ukraine ngo-2014. I-Russia isivele ibhekane nempendulo evuthayo yaseNtshonalanga ngokuthathwa kwayo kweCrimea, ngakho-ke izindleko zamazwe ngamazwe zokunamathisela i-DPR ne-LPR, nazo ezazicela ukuthi ukujoyina iRussia, ngabe incane ngaleso sikhathi kunamanje.
I-Russia esikhundleni salokho yamukela isikhundla esibalwe ngokucophelela lapho yanikeza khona amaRiphabhulikhi ukusekelwa okucashile kwezempi nezepolitiki. Ukube iRussia ibikulungele ngempela ukubeka engcupheni kakhulu manje kunango-2014, lokho bekungaba isithombe esibi sokuthi ubudlelwano base-US-Russia buye bashona kude kangakanani.
Uma iRussia yethula ukuhlasela okungagunyaziwe kwe-Ukraine noma ixhume i-DPR ne-LPR, uBiden useshilo ukuthi i-United States ne-NATO hhayi ngqo ukulwa impi neRussia phezu kwe-Ukraine, nakuba leso sithembiso singavivinywa kanzima oklebe kuCongress kanye nesihogo sabezindaba ekuvuselweni kwentukuthelo emelene neRussia.
Kodwa-ke, i-United States namadlelandawonye ayo nakanjani izofaka unswinyo olusha oluqinile eRussia, iqinise uqhekeko lwezomnotho nezombusazwe emhlabeni phakathi kwe-United States namadlelandawonye ayo ngakolunye uhlangothi, kanye neRussia, China namadlelandawonye ayo ngakolunye. I-Biden izofinyelela iMpi Yomshoshaphansi egcwele ngokugcwele abaphathi baseMelika abalandelana bepheka iminyaka eyishumi, futhi okubonakala kuyinhloso engashiwongo yale nkinga ekhiqiziwe.
NgokwaseYurophu, umgomo wezwe lase-US ngokusobala uwukusungula ukuwohloka okuphelele kobudlelwane phakathi kweRussia ne-European Union (EU), ukuhlanganisa iYurophu ne-United States. Ukuphoqa iJalimane ukuthi ikhansele ipayipi layo legesi yemvelo le-Nord Stream 11 elingamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2 elivela eRussia ngokuqinisekile kuzokwenza iJalimane ibe ngaphezulu. kuncike emandleni e-US kanye nabalingani bayo. Umphumela usuwonke uzoba njengoba u-Lord Ismay, uNobhala Jikelele wokuqala we-NATO, echaza lapho esho lokho injongo yalolu mbimbi kwakuwukugcina “amaRussia engaphandle, amaMelika phakathi namaJalimane ephansi.”
I-Brexit (ukusuka kwe-UK ku-EU) ivimbe i-UK ku-EU futhi yaqinisa "ubudlelwano bayo obukhethekile" kanye nomfelandawonye wezempi ne-United States. Esimeni esibucayi esikhona, lo mfelandawonye we-US-UK ubuyisela indima ebumbene eyawudlala kunjiniyela wezokuxhumana kanye nezimpi e-Iraq ngo-1991 nango-2003.
Namuhla, iChina ne-European Union (eholwa yiFrance neJalimane) yizona ezihamba phambili abalingani bohwebo emazweni amaningi emhlabeni, isikhundla esasiphethwe yi-United States. Uma isu lase-US kule nkinga liphumelela, izomisa ikhethini elisha le-Iron phakathi kweRussia nayo yonke i-Europe ukuze ibophe ngokungenakuhlukaniswa i-EU ne-United States futhi iyivimbele ekubeni isigxobo esizimele ngempela emhlabeni omusha onezimpophoma eziningi. Uma uBiden ekuhoxisa lokhu, uzobe enciphise “ukunqoba” okugujwa kweMelika eMpini Yomshoshaphansi ukuthi avele adilize iKhetheni Lensimbi futhi ayakhe kabusha emamayela angamakhulu ambalwa ukuya empumalanga eminyakeni engama-30 kamuva.
Kepha uBiden kungenzeka ukuthi uzama ukuvala umnyango wesibaya ngemuva kokuthi ihhashi seliboshiwe. I-EU isivele ingamandla omnotho azimele. Ihlukene ngokwezombangazwe futhi kwesinye isikhathi ihlukene phakathi, kodwa ukuhlukana kwayo kwezombusazwe kubonakala kulawuleka uma kuqhathaniswa nepolitiki I-chaos, inkohlakalo futhi ubumpofu obukhona e-United States. Abaningi baseYurophu bacabanga ukuthi izinhlelo zabo zezombangazwe zinempilo futhi zibusa ngentando yeningi kunezaseMelika, futhi zibonakala zilungile.
NjengeShayina, i-EU namalungu ayo bazibonakalisa bengamaqabane athembeke kakhulu ekuhwebeni kwamazwe ngamazwe kanye nentuthuko enokuthula kune-United States ezicabangela yona, engenangqondo futhi elwela impi, lapho izinyathelo ezinhle zombuso owodwa zihlehliswa njalo ngokulandelayo, nosizo lwezempi. kanye nokuthengiswa kwezikhali kuthunaza amazwe (as e-Afrika njengamanje), futhi uqinise obushiqela kanye nohulumeni abaphiko lwesokudla ngokwedlulele emhlabeni jikelele.
Kepha ukuhlasela okungagunyaziwe kweRussia e-Ukraine kuzofeza inhloso kaBiden yokuhlukanisa iRussia ne-Europe, okungenani esikhathini esifushane. Uma iRussia yayikulungele ukukhokha leyo ntengo, kungaba ngoba manje ibona ukuhlukaniswa kweMpi Yomshoshaphansi yase-Europe evuselelwe yi-United States ne-NATO njengento engenakugwenywa futhi engenakuhlehliswa, futhi isiphethe ngokuthi kufanele ihlanganise futhi iqinise ukuzivikela kwayo. Lokho kuzophinde kusho ukuthi iRussia ineChina ukusekelwa okugcwele ngokwenza lokho, ukumemezela ikusasa elimnyama neliyingozi kakhulu emhlabeni wonke.
Ukwanda kwempi yombango e-Ukraine
Isimo sesibili, ukwanda kwempi yombango ngamabutho ase-Ukraine, kubonakala kungenzeka kakhulu.
Noma ngabe ukuhlasela kwe-Donbas ngezinga eligcwele noma okuthile okuncane, inhloso yakho enkulu ngokombono wase-US kungaba ukucasula iRussia ukuthi ingenelele ngqo e-Ukraine, ukufeza ukubikezela kukaBiden "ngokuhlasela kweRussia" futhi kudedele ubuningi. unswinyo lwengcindezi azesabise.
Ngenkathi abaholi baseNtshonalanga bebexwayisa ngokuhlasela kweRussia e-Ukraine, izikhulu zaseRussia, i-DPR kanye ne-LPR bezilokhu zixwayisa izinyanga ukuthi amabutho kahulumeni wase-Ukraine ayebhebhethekisa impi yombango futhi abe nayo 150,000 amasosha nezikhali ezintsha zilungele ukuhlasela i-DPR ne-LPR.
Kuleso simo, i-US enkulu ne-Western ukuthunyelwa kwezikhali Ukufika e-Ukraine ngesizathu sokuvimbela ukuhlasela kweRussia empeleni bekuhloselwe ukusetshenziswa ekuhlaseleni kukahulumeni wase-Ukraine osekuhleliwe.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma uMongameli wase-Ukraine uZelensky kanye nohulumeni wakhe behlela ukuhlasela eMpumalanga, kungani bevela esidlangalaleni kangaka? ukudlala phansi ukwesaba ukuhlasela kweRussia? Impela bazobe bejoyina ikhorasi evela eWashington, London naseBrussels, bebeka inkundla yokukhomba iRussia ngokushesha nje lapho beqala ukukhuphuka kwabo.
Futhi kungani amaRussia engakhulumi kakhulu ekuxwayiseni umhlaba ngengozi yokwanda kwamabutho kahulumeni wase-Ukraine azungeze i-DPR ne-LPR? Impela amaRussia anemithombo ebanzi yezobunhloli ngaphakathi kwe-Ukraine futhi angazi ukuthi ngabe i-Ukraine ngempela ibihlela ukuhlasela okusha. Kepha amaRussia abukeka ekhathazeke kakhulu ngokuwohloka kobudlelwano base-US-Russian kunalokho amasosha ase-Ukraine angahle akwenze.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, isu le-US, UK kanye ne-NATO lenkulumo-ze lihlelwe ngokusobala, ngesambulo esisha "sobuhlakani" noma isimemezelo sezinga eliphezulu sansuku zonke zenyanga. Ngakho-ke yini abangase bayifake emikhonweni yabo? Ingabe bayaqiniseka ngempela ukuthi bangakwazi ukunyathela amaRussia ngokungalungile futhi babashiye bephethe ikani ukuze benze umsebenzi wokukhohlisa ongase uqhudelane I-Tonkin Gulf isigameko noma i Amanga e-WMD mayelana ne-Iraq?
Uhlelo lungaba lula kakhulu. Amasosha kahulumeni wase-Ukraine ahlasela. I-Russia iza ekuvikeleni i-DPR ne-LPR. Biden futhi Boris Johnson memeza uthi “Ukuhlasela,” futhi “Sikutshelile!” UMacron noScholz bavumelana ngokuthula bathi “Invasion,” kanye nokuthi “Sima ndawonye.” I-United States kanye nabalingani bayo bafaka unswinyo “olukhulu” eRussia, futhi izinhlelo ze-NATO zokwakhiwa kwekhethini elisha lensimbi kulo lonke elaseYurophu enza accompli.
Umbimbi owengeziwe kungaba uhlobo "ifulegi lamanga" indaba yokuthi izikhulu zase-US kanye ne-UK ziye zasho kaningi. Ukuhlasela kukahulumeni wase-Ukraine ku-DPR noma i-LPR kungadluliswa eNtshonalanga “njengefulege lamanga” elicasulwa yiRussia, ukuze kudideke umehluko phakathi kokwanda kukahulumeni wase-Ukraine kwempi yombango kanye “nokuhlasela kweRussia.”
Akukacaci ukuthi lezi zinhlelo zizosebenza yini, noma zizovele zihlukanise iNATO ne-Europe, amazwe ahlukene athathe izikhundla ezahlukene. Ngokudabukisayo, impendulo ingase incike kakhulu ekutheni ugibe lwaqubuka ngobuqili kangakanani kunasemalungelweni noma emaphutheni engxabano.
Kodwa umbuzo obalulekile uzoba ukuthi ngabe amazwe e-EU akulungele yini ukudela ukuzimela kwawo kanye nokuchuma kwezomnotho, okuncike ngokwengxenye ekunikezeni igesi yemvelo evela eRussia, ngezinzuzo ezingaqinisekile kanye nezindleko eziwohlozayo zokuqhubeka nokuzithoba embusweni wase-US. I-Europe izobhekana nokukhetha okuqinile phakathi kokubuyela ngokugcwele endimeni yayo yeMpi Yomshoshaphansi emgqeni wempi yenuzi engase ibe khona kanye nekusasa elinokuthula, elinokubambisana i-EU iye yakha kancane kancane kusukela ngo-1990.
Abantu abaningi baseYurophu badangele ngale ndaba wongxiwankulu ohlulekile ukuhleleka kwezomnotho nezombusazwe i-EU eyamukele, kodwa kwaba ukuzithoba e-United States okwabaholela phansi kuleyo ndlela engadini kwasekuqaleni. Ukuqinisa nokujulisa lokho kuthobela manje kuzohlanganisa umbuso wentando yeningi kanye nokungalingani okwedlulele kwe-neoliberalism eholwa yi-US, kungaholeli endleleni yokuphuma kukho.
U-Biden angase ahlukane nokusola amaRussia ngayo yonke into lapho ehambela oklebe futhi elungiselela amakhamera we-TV eWashington. Kepha ohulumeni baseYurophu banezikhungo zabo zezobunhloli futhi abeluleki bezempi, abangekho bonke ngaphansi kwesithupha se-CIA ne-NATO. Izikhungo zezobunhloli zaseJalimane naseFrance zivame ukuxwayisa abaphathi bazo ukuthi bangalandeli i-pied piper yase-US, ikakhulukazi I-Iraq ngo-2003. Kufanele sithembe ukuthi akubona bonke abalahlekelwa umbono wabo, amakhono okuhlaziya noma ukwethembeka emazweni abo kusukela ngaleso sikhathi.
Uma lokhu kuhlasela i-Biden, futhi iYurophu ekugcineni yenqaba ukubizelwa kwakhe kwezikhali ngokumelene neRussia, lesi kungaba yisikhathi lapho iYurophu ithatha isibindi sokuthatha indawo yayo njengamandla anamandla, azimele emhlabeni osafufusa onama-multipolar.
Akukho okwenzekayo
Lona kungaba umphumela omuhle kunayo yonke: umvuthwandaba omelene nokugubha.
Ngesinye isikhathi, ngaphandle kokuhlasela kweRussia noma ukwanda kwe-Ukraine, uBiden kuzomele ayeke ukukhala ngokuthi “Impisi” nsuku zonke.
Zonke izinhlangothi zingahle zihlehle kusukela ekubunjweni kwazo kwezempi, inkulumo ethusayo kanye nezigwegwe ezisongelayo.
The I-Minsk Protocol ingavuselelwa, ibuyekezwe futhi iqiniswe kabusha ukuze inikeze izinga eligculisayo lokuzimela kubantu be-DPR ne-LPR ngaphakathi kwe-Ukraine, noma kube lula ukuhlukana ngokuthula.
I-United States, i-Russia ne-China ingaqala izingxoxo ezibucayi kakhulu zokunciphisa usongo lwe impi yenuzi futhi baxazulule ukungezwani kwabo okuningi, ukuze umhlaba uphokophele phambili ekuthuleni nasekuchumeni esikhundleni sokuhlehlela emuva eMpini Yomshoshaphansi kanye ne-nuclear brinkmanship.
Isiphetho
Kodwa-ke iyaphela, le nkinga kufanele ibe ikhwelo lokuvusa abantu baseMelika bazo zonke izigaba kanye nemibono yezepolitiki ukuthi bahlaziye kabusha isikhundla sezwe lethu emhlabeni. Sisaphaze izigidigidi zamadola, kanye nezigidi zezimpilo zabanye abantu, ngezempi yethu kanye ne-imperialism. Isabelomali samasosha ase-US ilokhu ikhuphuka ngokungapheli—futhi manje ukungqubuzana neRussia sekube esinye isizathu sokubeka phambili ukusetshenziswa kwezikhali ngaphezu kwezidingo zabantu bakithi.
Abaholi bethu abakhohlakele bazamile kodwa behluleka ukuklinya umhlaba osafufusa onama-multipolar ngesikhathi uzalwa ngokusebenzisa impi nokuphoqelela. Njengoba sibona ngemva kweminyaka engu-20 yempi e-Afghanistan, asikwazi ukulwa futhi sibhomule indlela yethu eya ekuthuleni noma ekuzinzeni, futhi unswinyo olucindezelayo lwezomnotho lungacishe lube nonya futhi lucekele phansi. Kufanele futhi sihlole kabusha indima ye-NATO kanye umoya phansi lo mfelandawonye wezempi osephenduke amandla anolaka futhi acekela phansi emhlabeni.
Esikhundleni salokho, kufanele siqale ukucabanga ngokuthi iMelika yangemva kombuso ingadlala kanjani indima yokubambisana neyakhayo kulo mhlaba omusha ogcwele izifunda eziningi, ngokusebenzisana nabo bonke omakhelwane bethu ukuxazulula izinkinga ezibucayi kakhulu ezibhekene nesintu ekhulwini lama-21.
UMedea uBenjamin uhlanganisa CODEPINK for Ukuthula, nombhali wezincwadi eziningana, kufaka phakathi Ngaphakathi kwe-Iran: Umlando Weqiniso Nezombangazwe YeRiphabhulikhi Yase-Islamic yase-Iran.
UNicolas JS Davies yintatheli ezimele, umcwaningi we-CODEPINK kanye nomlobi we Igazi ezandleni Zethu: I-American Invasion kanye nokubhujiswa kwe-Iraq.
