nguSusan Glasser, Novemba 13, 2017
Kusukela I-Politico
"Bafuna ukwazi ukuthi uyahlanya yini," kusho uSuzanne DiMaggio, "noma ngabe lesi yisenzo nje."
“Ba” izikhulu zaseNyakatho Korea. Futhi “yena” nguDonald Trump. Izikhathi ezine ngonyaka owedlule, eGeneva, Pyongyang, Oslo naseMoscow, iDiMaggio ihlangane ngasese nabantu baseNyakatho Korea ukukhuluma ngohlelo lwenuzi lwenuzi. Kepha abafuna ukukhuluma ngakho, uDiMaggio uthe engxoxweni entsha ebanzi yeThe Global Politico, ngumongameli wezwe laseMelika onesibindi.
AbaseNyakatho Korea abamcelanga nje kuphela uma uTrump enamantongomane, kusho uDiMaggio, kodwa nokuthi angacabangani ngayo yonke into kusuka ekuchithekeni komphakathi kwakhe uNobhala Wezwe Rex Tillerson ukuze athole izeluleko ezikhethekile mayelana nophenyo lukaRobert Mueller mayelana nemikhankaso engase ibe khona neRussia.
"Bafuna ukwazi ukuthi uyini umdlalo wakhe wokugcina," kusho uDiMaggio, isazi saseNew America esikhuluma ngokukhethekile nezikhulu zombuso futhi sisebenzise iminyaka emibili kulezi zingxoxo eziyimfihlo nabaseNyakatho Korea. Ukholelwa ukuthi babekulungele ngemuva kokhetho lokumangala lukaTrump lokuxoxa ngomzuliswano omusha wezingxoxo ezisemthethweni ne-US ukuzobeka phansi izikhali zabo zempi yezikhali zenuzi - kodwa lokho kukhula kukaTrump okwakukhona nokuqhamuka kwakhe kanye nokugcotshwa kweTwitter okufana nokumpela kwakhe ngempelasonto ngempelasonto " UKim Jong Un kungenzeka ukuthi uyinqamisile leyo nketho. “Bazilandela kakhulu izindaba; babuka i-CNN 24 / 7; Bafunda amakhompiyutha akhe nezinye izinto. ”
Phakathi kwezinkinga abantu baseNyakatho Korea abakhulume nazo ezinyangeni ezisanda kwedlula, kusho uDiMaggio, ukuthi konke bekuvela kuTrump enxusa uTilleron ukuthi ayeke ukukhulumisana neNorth Korea ("Ingabe leli yiphoyisa elihle noma elibi alisebenzayo noTilleron?") Isinqumo sikaTrump sokuwa kokuphazamisa ukuhambisana nokuhambisana kokulandela kwe-Iran nesivumelwano senuzi esenziwa yimbangi yakhe, uBarack Obama. Ukuthi, uDiMaggio uthe, "uthumele isikhangiso esicacile kwabaseNyakatho Korea: Kungani kufanele benze isivumelwano nathi, uma singeke sibambisane nakho?"
"Babuzana naye ngokuziphatha kwakhe okuyiphutha, nezinkinga zakhe ezinkulu lapha ekhaya, nophenyo olwenziwe nguRobert Mueller, babuza, 'Kungani kufanele siqale izingxoxo nabaphathi bakaTrump, lapho uDonald Trump engeke abe ngumongameli isikhathi eside? ? '”
***
Iminyaka, DiMaggio noJoel Wit, USolwazi osekuphele iminyaka eminingi wasebenza e-US wasebenza e-Johns Hopkins University owasungula iwebhusayithi enethonya elibukhali eNyakatho Korea i-38North, bebelokhu behlangana buthule nabaseNyakatho Korea bezokhuluma ngohlelo lwenuzi. Esikhathini esedlule, bebengazivumi izingxoxo, okuyingxenye yengxoxo ye- “Track 2” egcine umugqa uvulekele kubushiqela ababodwa ngisho nalapho ohulumeni bobabili bebengekho emthethweni.
Kepha lokho bekungaphambi kukaTrump.
Emihlanganweni yabo nabaseNyakatho Korea selokhu kukhethwe uTrump, uDiMaggio kanye neWit babukela i-alamu yabo ekhulayo nokudideka njengokuqala kokufika ngemuva kokhetho okwahlola ukusabela kwe-US ezinkulumweni ezintsha zenyukliya kwehla ukufutheka kweTrumpian yokubizwa ngamagama, ukuphindiselana kanye nokwenyuka kwezempi . Manje yena noWit bakhuluma ngaphandle kokungabaza kwabo okwedlule ngisho nokuvuma imihlangano yaseNorth Korea, beyichaza muva nje New York Times i-op-ed futhi sengeza imininingwane entsha kusiqephu saleli sonto se-Global Politico podcast yethu. "Akukhulunywa njalo ngomsebenzi wami we'Trans 2 'ngendlela yomphakathi," kusho uDiMaggio kuTitter. "Kepha lezi yizikhathi zakudala."
I-akhawunti yabo iza ngomzuzu oshubile kule nkinga yokuhlaselana neNorth Korea, kanti uTrump waqongelela uhambo lwezinsuku zase-12 e-Asia ngemuva kokuthumela amasignali aphikisayo naphikisayo. Umongameli waqale waveza indlela engavikelekile yezokuxhumana kulolo hambo, ephakamisa ukuthi kuvuleleke izingxoxo ezintsha njengendlela yokuphuma kulokhu kuphazamiseka kwenyukliya, ethula ikheli elinamandla eSeoul mayelana nokuhlukunyezwa kwamalungelo abantu baseNorth Korea, futhi wacindezela amaShayina aseBeijing ukuthi enze okufanayo Imbangela ne-US ekukhuphukeni kwemijondolo ngokumelene nombuso wasenyakatho Korea.
Kodwa nangaphambi kokumiswa kokugcina eManila, uTrump wayebuyele empini yamagama noKim okwabonakala sengathi wayehlisa ubukhosi bakhe. Ngenkathi uDiMaggio noWit bebengenampendulo eqondile kubantu baseNyakatho Korea lapho babuze ukuthi ngabe uTrump uyahlanya yini, abaseNyakatho Korea bazifikela mathupha. Ephendula enkulumweni kaTrump kaSeoul, abezindaba besifundazwe saseNyakatho Korea bambiza ngokuthi "yindoda endala" ebheke ukuqala kwempi yenuzi. Ixwayise ukuthi iMelika ibhekane 'nokujabhiswa kwembubhiso' ngaphandle kokuthi isuse uTrump bese ilahla "inqubomgomo yakhe enobutha."
UTrump, i-71, wayebonakala ehlakaniphile ngokuhlaselwa kweminyaka yakhe kunobuhlakani bakhe. Elahla isitatimende esenziwe ngokucophelela ngabeluleki bakhe, waphinda wathathela intukuthelo yakhe ngokuthi wabizwa esemdala, ngenkathi egcizelela, mhlawumbe ngolimi, ukuthi wayezame ukuba "ngumngane" kaKim futhi ngokubabaza ethi okungenani wayengakaze wabiza umashiqela osemncane we-rotund ngokuthi “mfushane futhi unamafutha.”
Ngisho nangaphambi kwalokhu kushintshana, uDiMaggio noWit bangitshele ukuthi uTrump wayehlambalaza abantu baseNorth Korea nomholi wabo ngemibandela ephula umthetho ongafanele u-1 walokho okufundwe nguhulumeni wase-US kule minyaka edlule ngokuxhumana nabantu baseNyakatho Korea: “Noma yini oyenzayo , ungayithuki le ndoda, ”njengoba kusho uDiMaggio.
Eqinisweni, ukubizwa ngamagama kuphindaphinda iqhinga laseMelika elibuyisele emuva abaholi bangaphambilini baseNyakatho Korea. "Umbono wokuthi ukuphatha - ikakhulukazi uMongameli uTrump-ukuthi izinsongo ezandayo zizokwenza abaseNorth Korea babe nezimo eziningi, akulungile. Ukusabisa okwenyusa kuphela kwenza amaKorea aseNyakatho angashintshi, ”kusho uWit. Ubuye wengeza ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, "kubuye kube nzima ukwenza iphutha, ngoba abantu baseNyakatho Korea banamandla njengezipikili, kanti kubona, ukuba buthaka kufana nokuzibulala."
Kepha uTrump usebuye wangena futhi ezinkulumweni ezinzima. Ingabe kuzodingeka? Ngemuva kwakho konke, omongameli baseMelika bebelokhu bezama futhi behluleka ukumisa uKim, ongubaba wakhe kanye nomkhulu wakhe iminyaka engaphezu kwemashumi amabili ukusuka eNhlonhlo YaseKorea.
Futhi, engxoxweni, uDiMaggio kanye neWit balandisa lokho abakholelwa ukuthi kungukuzimisela okungaphezu kwamandla ukuthi abaseNyakatho Korea bazibandakanye ezingxoxweni ezintsha nokuphatha kukaTrump, inketho abasaba manje ukuthi ngeke isatholakala. "Okungikhathazayo ukuthi ngenxa yazo zonke lezi zinkulumo eziphikisanayo nezinsongo, ukuthi ngibona ukuthi iwindi elivulekile elivuliwe, ngiyakholelwa, ngoba ukwenza izinkulumo kuvalwa kancane kancane," kusho uDiMaggio.
Emavikini asanda kwedlula, iWit ibeke esidlangalaleni izingxabano zokuxabana kwezempi ngamaphesenti e-40, ngenkathi lowo owayengumqondisi we-CIA uJohn Brennan ebahlola ngamaphesenti ama-25 phakathi kwezimpawu zokwanda komsebenzi wezempi wase-US ongoti abaningi abakhathazayo ukuthi kungahle kubangele ukukhohlakala noma ulaka olusuka ngqo eNyakatho Korea. "Akuzona izinguquko zempi ezikhona," kusho u-Abraham Denmark, obesebenza njengePhini likaSekela Nobhala Wezokuvikela kwi-East Asia ngaphansi kuka-Obama. “Kuhlangana lapho kuhlanganiswa nalokhu okwenziwe ngesikhunta okwenziwe ngokweqile. Yilapho-ke ngiqala ukukhathazeka khona ngokwanda kokungaqondi — kanye nengxabano yangempela. ”
***
Kwakungafanele kuqhubeke ngale ndlela, ngokusho kukaDiMaggio noWit.
Eqinisweni, abaseNyakatho Korea bavumelana noTrump ukuthi inqubomgomo ka-Obama “yokubekezelela amasu” - empeleni, ukulinda ukubopha kwabo — yehlulekile. "Kade baqala, abaseNyakatho Korea baveza ukuthi babona uhlelo olusha njengesiqalo esisha," kusho uDiMaggio. "Ubudlelwano nabaphathi baka-Obama babujike babamuncu, ikakhulukazi ngemuva kokuthi uSom Jong Un ethole yena uqobo. Lokho kwabuqeda ubuhlobo bami namanzi. ”
UWit uvumile ukuthi, ngenkathi kuthathwa ukunakekelwa okuncane ngaleso sikhathi, abaphathi baka-Obama babemfundile kabi uKim ngenkathi engena esikhundleni sikayise e2010, futhi ehlulekile ukulandela izinkulumo ezintsha zenyukliya ngaphambi kwalesosikhathi okungenzeka ukuthi kwagcina amaKorea aseNyakatho ekude ekufinyeleleni inyukliya. -Izihlakala ezihlaselwe ngotshani ezihlanganisa izikhali ezingena kolwandle ezingafinyelela e-US yezwekazi, impumelelo manje esekupheleni kokwenza. Indlela ka-Obama, uWit uthe, manje kubukeka sengathi “yiphutha elikhulu.”
Banikezwe ukuthi iNorth Korea isondele kangakanani ekufezeni lokho kuqubuka, ababukeli baseNyakatho Korea bahlukaniswe ngokuthi bangakuthatha ngokungathi sína kangakanani ukufinyelela kwaseNyakatho Korea ekuqaleni kokuphatha kukaTrump futhi abaningi bakhathazekile ukuthi iqembu likaTrump, elinobuthakathaka bukaTilleron futhi odangele, odicilela phansi izidumbu zalo mbuso (azikho ngaphezu kwezikhulu zamanje zaseMelika, uWit uthe, abahlangane ngisho nabaseNyakatho Korea), ngeke bakwazi ukwenza izinkulumo zenukliya ezinengqondo noma kunjalo.
Kepha uDiMaggio wagcizelela engxoxweni ukuthi kwakuyindlela eqotho.
"Ngokuya ezingxoxweni zami nabo ngemuva kokuvulwa, lapho ngivakashele ePyongyang ukuyohlangana nabo, kucace bha ukuthi lokhu kungaba yisiqalo esisha," kusho yena. "Bebengenalo nhlobo iqiniso lokuthi izinto zizolula, kepha ngicabanga ukuthi babezimisele ukubheka umbono wezingxoxo ne-United States ngaphandle kwemibandela ngaleso sikhathi."
Ubuye wathi: “Nakho-ke lokho, senzelwe lowo ofakwe eMnyangweni Wezwe waseNorth Korea, uJoseph Yun, emihlanganweni awashayayo, futhi ukholwa ukuthi kungenzeka kwenzeke emasontweni ambalwa edlule, lapho ehlangana nosomlomo omkhulu waseNyakatho Korea eMoscow. "Ushiye umnyango uvulekile ukuthi ukhulume nezwe laseMelika," kusho uDiMaggio. "Ubenemicabango yokuthi yini ezodinga ukwenzeka ukuze lokho kwenzeke, kodwa bekuyindlela evulekile, futhi ngicabanga ukuthi yile ndlela okufanele siyihumushe."
Ngemuva kwalokho, ukuhlangana eMoscow kubuye kwagcizelela ukuthi iPyongyang isondele kangakanani ekufezeni isikhundla samandla enuzi asenesifiso eside: ukuzihlomisa ngengalo yenuzi engabhekisa ngqo e-United States. "Basazofinyelela lokho," kusho uDiMaggio. "Ngakho-ke, umbuzo wangempela uwukuthi, bazolinda yini kuze kube yilapho sebekwenzile lokho ukuthi bakutholile lokho, noma bakukhombise kuze kube yilapho bezizwa banelisekile ukuthi bathole imiphumela egculisayo? Futhi bazobuyela etafuleni ngaleso sikhathi? ”
Okungenani ngokwengxenye, impendulo ingahle incike kuyo yonke leyo mibuzo abebemphelezele yona mayelana neTrump. Ingabe ungxoxisana onokwethenjelwa? Isikhathi esifushane ehhovisi? Umhlanya noma nje umfana othanda ukudlala eyodwa ku-TV?
Ngemuva kwezinsuku ze-11 e-Asia, iNorth Korea ikhuphuke kuzo zonke izindawo zokuma eziningi zikaTrump, kodwa leyo mibuzo ayisondelanga ekuphenduleni.
