I-ambassador yaseTouth Korea yeTrump ikhetha ukuphikisa iNyakatho. Ngakho iTump yamdumaza.

Ekuqaleni kwakhe State of the Union inkulumo, uMongameli uDonald Trump uchithe isikhathi esiningi exoxa ngalesi simo neNorth Korea. Wachaza izwe kakhulu ngendlela uGeorge W. Bush ayeyichaze ngayo i-Iraq ngo-2002: njengombuso ononya, ongenangqondo ozikhali zawo ziwusongo olungabekezeleleki ezweni laseMelika.

Kepha noma bekukhathaza ukuzwa uTrump enza icala elimbozwe kancane ngenye impi yokuvikela, bekungeyona indaba ekhathaza kakhulu mayelana nenqubomgomo yaseNyakatho Korea ukuthi iphume izolo ebusuku.

Ngaphambi nje kokuthi kuqale inkulumo kaTrump, i-Washington Post ibike ukuthi ukhetho lukaTrump lokuba yinxusa eSouth Korea - uVictor Cha, ongomunye wochwepheshe abahlonishwa kakhulu eNyakatho Korea eMelika - luyahoxiswa. Isizathu esishiwo yi-Post besingesihle: U-Cha ubephikisana nesiphakamiso sabaphathi sesiteleka esilinganiselwe samasosha emhlanganweni wangasese. UCha konke kodwa ukuqinisekisile lokhu ngokwakhe emahoreni ambalwa ngemuva kokuvela kwezindaba lapho eshicilela i-op-ed kulona leli phepha ligxeka umqondo wokuhlasela iNorth Korea.

Ukuhoxa kuka-Cha kukhathazeke kakhulu Uhulumeni waseNingizimu Korea, ebigunyaze ngokusemthethweni ukukhetha. Kuphinde kwethuse ochwepheshe baseNyakatho Korea, abakubona kuwuphawu olucacile lokuthi inkulumo yempi yayingeyona nje ingxoxo.

"Lokhu [kuhoxisa u-Cha njengoqokiwe] kuphakamisa ukuthi abaphathi bacabangela ngokujulile ... isiteleka," kusho u-Kingston Reif, umqondisi wenqubomgomo yokunciphisa izikhali kanye nokunciphisa izinsongo ku-Arms Control Association.

USteve Saideman, isazi senqubomgomo yezangaphandle yase-US e-Carleton University, ukubeke ngembaba on Twitter: "Impi entsha yaseKorea manje kungenzeka ukuthi ingenzeki ngo-2018."

Kungani isiqephu sikaVictor Cha senza kubonakale sengathi impi iyeza

U-Cha unguchwepheshe ohamba phambili waseNyakatho Korea. Isifundiswa esinesikhathi eside, wasebenza embusweni kaGeorge W. Bush kusukela ngo-2004 kuya ku-2007 njengomqondisi woMkhandlu Kazwelonke Wezokuphepha Ezindabeni zase-Asia futhi njengamanje unguprofesa eGeorgetown University.

Uphinde abe sekupheleni kwe-hawkish ye-spectrum yochwepheshe baseNyakatho Korea. Ugunyaze ukuthatha izinyathelo ezinolaka ukuvikela ohlelweni lwenuzi lwaseNyakatho, njengokumisa intambo yasolwandle ezungeze iNorth Korea ukuze kunqandwe noma yiziphi izinto zenuzi ezama ukuzithengisa kumaphekula noma eminye imibuso ekhohlakele.

Uklebe waseNyakatho Korea onolwazi olunzulu futhi ohlonishwa kabanzi ubonakala ekhethelwe kahle ukuphatha uTrump, ngakho-ke kusho ukuthi ukuqokwa kuka-Cha kubonakale sengathi kuphazamisekile ngoba dovish kakhulu eqenjini likaTrump.

Imininingwane eyodwa yesigameko, ebikwe ngu i-Financial Times, ngempela leli phuzu liya ekhaya:

Ngokusho kwabantu ababili abajwayelene nezingxoxo phakathi kukaMnu Cha kanye ne-White House, wabuzwa yizikhulu ukuthi ngabe uzimisele yini ukusiza ukuphatha ukukhishwa kwezakhamizi zaseMelika eSouth Korea - ukuhlinzwa okwaziwa ngokuthi yimisebenzi yokuphuma ngaphandle kwezempi - cishe nakanjani zisetshenziswe ngaphambi kwanoma yisiphi isiteleka samasosha. Laba bantu ababili bathi uMnu Cha, obonakala ngasohlangothini lwe-hawkish eNyakatho Korea, uzwakalise ukungabaza kwakhe nganoma yiluphi uhlobo lwesiteleka samasosha.

Le akhawunti iqinisekisa ukuthi yenza kubonakale sengathi abaphathi bakaTrump balungiselela ukuhlasela eNyakatho Korea - kangangokuthi bacubungula ngokujulile indlela yokuvikela inani elikhulu lezakhamuzi zaseMelika eNingizimu. U-Cha uphikise umqondo wokuhlaselwa kweNorth Korea, okubonakala sengathi kumenze wangakufanelekela ukucatshangelwa.

Iqiniso lokuthi u-Cha ushicilele i-op-ed kamuva egxeka impi nakho kubalulekile. Ugxeke ngokuqondile umqondo wesiteleka "esinegazi elinegazi" - ukuhlasela okulinganiselwe kwezempi yaseNyakatho Korea kanye nokufakwa kwezikhali zenuzi okuhloswe ukungabeki isimo sibe yimpi engapheli, kodwa ukukhombisa iPyongyang ukuthi imizamo eyengeziwe yokuqhubekisela phambili uhlelo lwayo lwenuzi izohlangatshezwa. ngamandla. Ngokusobala, wuhlobo lwesenzo sezempi ithimba likaTrump elincike kulo - futhi u-Cha ucabanga ukuthi kuyingozi kakhulu.

"Uma sikholelwa ukuthi uKim [Jong Un] akaphazamiseki ngaphandle kwesiteleka esinjalo, singakholelwa kanjani ukuthi isiteleka sizomvimbela ekuphenduleni okufanayo?" Cha wabhala. "Futhi uma uKim engabikezeli, ethatha amawala futhi emngceleni ongenangqondo, singalilawula kanjani iladi elikhuphukayo, elisekelwe ekuqondeni okunengqondo kwesitha kwamasignali nokuvinjelwa?"

Iqiniso lokuthi u-Cha waxoshwa ngemuva kokusakaza lolu hlobo lokugxeka ngaphakathi, kusho ochwepheshe, isibonakaliso esicacile sokuthi abaphathi bathatha umqondo wempi njengento ebaluleke kakhulu.

“Ukuthi uVictor Cha uzizwe ephoqelekile ukuthi aqophe umlando kuwuphawu lokuthi iyingozi kangakanani ingozi yeziteleka,” kubhala uMira Rapp-Hooper, Isazi saseNyakatho Korea eYale.

Ngisho noma impi ingakafiki, isimo se-Cha siyakhathaza

U-Adam Berry / Getty Izithombe

Kungenzeka futhi ukuthi lokhu kusongelwa kwamandla kuyiphutha, nokuthi ukuxoshwa kuka-Cha kuyingxenye yokuthunyelwa kokuphatha kukaTrump.

UJenny Town, umsizi womqondisi we-US-Korea Institute eJohns Hopkins uthi: “Umongameli uzama ngempela ukunikeza umbono wokuthi impi ingenzeka ukuze asabise iNorth Korea ukuze iziphathe ngokuqapha. "Kulelisu elinjalo, awukwazi ukuba nama-naysayers, ikakhulukazi ekuphathweni kwakho, uma ufuna usongo lube yiqiniso."

Kodwa uma lokhu kuyiqiniso, futhi ababukeli abaningi abanolwazi bacabanga ukuthi akunjalo, bese ukuthatha u-Cha ngaphandle kokucabangela kuseyingozi. Lapho abaphathi bakaTrump bethumela izimpawu zokuthi bazimisele ngempi, maningi amathuba okuthi baqale eyodwa bengahlosile.

"Inkinga yesu elinjalo, yiqiniso, ukuthi ngesikhathi sokuzama ukusungula usongo oluthembekile, iNorth Korea ingase iqale ukumkholelwa - futhi esikhundleni sokusatshiswa, izokwandisa kakhulu," kusho uDolobha. "Umbuzo uwukuthi, kunini lapho siwela khona ngengozi empini engadingekile futhi egwenywa ngokuphelele?"

Ukuntuleka kwenxusa eSeoul kwenza lesi simo sibe lula kakhulu. Amanxusa adlala indima ebalulekile ekuqinisekiseni abalingani nasekudluliseni imibono ehlangene emuva eWashington. Kuyivelakancane kakhulu ukungabi khona kwenxusa lezwe elinguzakwethu obalulekile kulesi sikhathi ekuphathweni okusha - ngesizathu esihle.

"Uma kubhekwa ukushuba kwesimo enhlonhlweni nokubaluleka komfelandawonye we-US-Korea, kubi kakhulu kunokungalungi kwezokuxhumana ukuthi kusasele inxusa laseMelika eSeoul," kusho uReif, uchwepheshe we-Arms Control Association.

Uma kwenzeka kuba nenhlekelele phakathi kwe-US neNyakatho Korea, u-Cha kungenzeka ukuthi ube yizwi elibalulekile lokuqapha ngaphakathi kwabaphathi. Ubezokwazi futhi ukudlulisa imininingwane ebalulekile mayelana neNyakatho kusuka kuhulumeni waseNingizimu Korea kuya emazingeni aphezulu kahulumeni wase-US, kanye nokudlulisa ukungabaza kukahulumeni waseNingizimu Korea nganoma yiluphi uhlobo lokukhuphuka kwezempi.

Ukuqokwa kuka-Cha, ngamafuphi, bekuzonikeza isheke elibalulekile enkingeni ephuma ekulawuleni. Alikho ithuba lalokho manje.

"Ukuyeka ukuqokwa kwenxusa lozakwethu omkhulu wesivumelwano phakathi nenhlekelele enkulu akukaze kwenzeke," kubhala u-Abraham Denmark, owakhonza njengo isekela likanobhala we-East Asia ekuphathweni kuka-Obama. "Iqiniso lokuthi ungumuntu onolwazi futhi ofaneleka njengoVictor Cha kufanele linikeze wonke umuntu isikhashana."