I-US "Pivot to Asia" iyi-Pivot to War

Isitatimende soMkhandlu Wokuthula wase-US

I-URL yalokhu okuthunyelwe: http://bit.ly/1XWdCcF

UMkhandlu Wokuthula wase-US ugxeka uchuku lwakamuva lwamasosha ase-US emanzini aseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia.

Umphakathi wase-US futhi - ngisho nangaphezulu, inhlangano elwa nempi yase-US - kudingeka baqonde umongo omkhulu walokhu kucasulwa okuthile.

Ngomhla zingama-27 kuMfumfu wezi-2015 umkhumbi wezempi wase-US, i-USS Lassen, umcibisholo oqondiswa imicibisholo, wahamba ibanga elingamakhilomitha angu-12 ukusuka kwesinye seziqhingi zaseBeijing eziqhingini eziqhudelanayo ze-Spratly. Kungokokuqala ngqa kusukela ngo-2012 ukuthi i-US iphonsele inselelo ngqo izimangalo zaseChina zomkhawulo wendawo yesiqhingi.

Umkhuzi wamasosha asolwandle eChina u-Admiral Wu Shengli utshele uzakwabo waseMelika ukuthi isigameko esincane singadala impi eSouth China Sea uma i-United States ingaziyeki “izenzo zayo ezicasulayo” emzileni ophikiswayo, okuwumzila omatasatasa wemikhumbi, odotshwa kakhulu, njengoba kanye nokucebile ngamafutha angaphansi kolwandle.

I-US ayizange ixolise, inikeze amaphuzu abalulekile okuthi isenzo sayo sasolwandle sasisekelwe emthethweni wamazwe ngamazwe wolwandle, ezimisweni “zenkululeko yokuhamba”.

Kungalindelwa ukucasulwa okwengeziwe kwe-US e-Asia ngoba lesi sigameko asizange sibe ngengozi. Ukucasulwa kubonisa inqubomgomo elungisiwe yase-US, i-Pivot to Asia.

Isabelomali sikaMongameli u-Barack Obama sika-2016 sokuvikeleka kuzwelonke siyinkomba yesifiso sabaphathi sokubambelela ngokuqinile esu lakho le-Asia-Pacific pivot ngisho nezinsongo ezintsha njengokukhula kwe-Islamic State kanye nodlame lwase-Russia e-Europe kubeka izimfuno ezintsha zokusebenzisa imali kuma-ejensi ahlukahlukene ase-US.

Isabelomali sabaphathi baka-Obama sika-$4 trillion sika-2016 sihlanganisa amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-619 ochungechungeni olubanzi lwezinhlelo zokuvikela kanye nenye imali eyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-54 zamaRandi azo zonke izinhlaka zezobunhloli zase-US ukuhlangabezana nezinselelo zesikhathi eside kanye nezinsongo ezengeziwe ezivele kule minyaka emibili edlule. Egcizelela ukugxila e-Asia, uNobhala Wezwe u-John Kerry, esimisweni sesabelomali somnyango wakhe, ubize i-pivot yesifunda sase-Asia-Pacific ngokuthi “izinto eziza kuqala kuqala” kuwo wonke umuntu wethu ekuphathweni [kuka-Obama].

Futhi ePentagon, iPhini likaNobhala Wezokuvikela u-Bob Work uthe ukugxila e-Asia kuseseqhulwini ezintweni ezinhlanu ezibalulekile embuthweni wezempi ngonyaka ozayo.

Phezulu ohlwini, u-Work utshele izintatheli, imizamo "yokuqhubeka nokulingana esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific." Siyaqhubeka nokwenza lokho.

Abaphathi baka-Obama bathi isabelomali sePentagon siqhutshwa yi-2014 Quadrennial Defence Review, umbhalo wamasu weminyaka emine owawugxile kakhulu amabutho aseMelika esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific ngenkathi usiza abalingani ekuthuthukiseni izivikelo ukubhekana nezinkinga zesifunda okwakho. Lelisu lidinga ukuchitha imali eningi kumabhomu ahamba ibanga elide, ezindizeni ezintsha zokulwa ezifana ne-F-35 Joint Strike Fighters, nemikhumbi yasolwandle, kanye nemizamo yokuvikela i-cybersecurity.” Ngokumelene Nezinye Izinsongo, Isabelomali Sezokuphepha sika-Obama sinamathela ku-Asia-Pacific Pivot, Gopal Ratnam kanye no-Kate Brannen, umagazini Wenqubomgomo Yezangaphandle, Feb. 2, 2015

Isidingo “sokuzungeza” sibonisa izingqinamba ku-imperialism yase-US. Ibonisa ukwehla okuhlobene kwamandla ase-US. Imfundiso yamasu yangaphambili bekuyikhono lokulwa izimpi ezimbili ezinkulu ngesikhathi esisodwa.

• Lapho i-rebalance ngase-Asia iqinisekiswa ngokusemthethweni njengenqubomgomo yokuphatha ngoJanuwari 2012 ngokukhululwa kwePentagon kwenqubomgomo entsha yamasu.
  isiqondiso, (Bheka i-Pivot to the Pacific? I-"Rebalancing" ye-Obama Administration's Toward Asia, March 28, 2012, Umbiko WeCongress Olungiselelwe Amalungu NamaKomiti ECongress, Congressional Research Service 7-5700 http://www.crs.gov R42448) umfutho oyisisekelo wawucacile: Izinsiza zezokuvikela azikwazanga ukusekela isu le-US lesikhathi eside lokugcina ikhono lokulwa nezingxabano ezimbili ezinkulu ngesikhathi esisodwa - "izinga lezimpi ezimbili." (I-Pivoting Away from Asia, LA Times, Gary Schmitt, Aug. 11, 2014)

Isiyaluyalu sase-US siyisibonelo sakamuva kuphela se-Pivot to Asia. Ngo-2012, i-Obama Administration yaphetha ngokuthi usongo olukhulu oluvelayo kwakuyi-China. Ngo-2015, i-Pivot to Asia isiba ngokoqobo okuphathekayo, futhi hhayi nje e-South East Asia. Izibonelo ezimbalwa:

• Isizinda esisha samasosha ase-US ogwini olusenyakatho-ntshonalanga ye-Australia. Ekuqaleni kuka-2015 cishe ama-US Marines angu-1,150 aqala ukufika e-Darwin Australia njengengxenye yombutho wezempi wase-US obanzi "we-pivot" wesikhathi eside esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific. Inani labo lizokhuphuka lifinyelele ku-2500.
• I-US ibambe iqhaza ekuvuseni umbango ngeziqhingi zaseSouth China Sea. Ngaphambi kokucasulwa kwakamuva, i-US ibikade isebenzisa ithonya layo lokuxhumana ukuze ivune izimangalo zaseVietnam ezimelene neChina.
• Ukwesekwa kwe-US emizamweni kaNdunankulu u-Abe yokuvuselela umuzwa wezempi waseJapan, kanye nengcindezi eyimpumelelo yase-US yokwenza buthaka noma ukuqeda i-Article 9 yomthethosisekelo wokuthula waseJapan wango-1945.
• Ukutshalwa kwe-US kukahulumeni we-Modi e-India - kufuna "ubambiswano lwamasu."
• I-US-initiated Transpacific Partnership, isivumelwano "sokuhweba" samazwe angu-12 okuxoxiswene ngaso yi-US, Singapore, Brunei, New Zealand, Chile , Australia, Peru, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, Canada, kanye ne-Japan. Kodwa hhayi iChina.
• Ngosekelo lwe-US, i-South Korea yakha isizinda samasosha asolwandle esinezigidigidi zamadola esiqhingini sase-Jeju esiseduze neNingizimu Korea. Kuzoqedwa ngo-2015.

Akukhona nje kuphela ukuthi ukuchukuluzwa kwamasosha asolwandle kwakamuva kuhambisana nobungozi bempi yengozi. Kunomunye umphumela obaluleke kakhulu, ngokukhuphula izinga lokusongela, ngokudala i-NATO, ngokukhululeka, ngomjaho wezikhali - i-US yaphoqelela izifundazwe zezenhlalakahle ukuthi ziguqule izinsiza ezinyathelweni zokuzivikela futhi ziqhelelane nokwakhiwa kwezenhlalakahle ezinokuthula. I-People's China, isivele izwa ingcindezi, ibilokhu inyusa isabelomali sayo sezempi, sokusetshenziswa kwempi yase-US.

I-US inenkinga yokuzikhipha ezimpini zayo zaseMideast, ibona ukwethulwa kabusha kwamasosha ase-US e-Iraq nase-Afghanistan ngemuva "kokudonswa phansi" okunamandla, futhi manje ukuthunyelwa kwamasosha akhethekile ase-US eSyria. Akumangazi ukuthi i-pivot inzima. Ngokuhlasela kanye nokuhlaliswa kwabantu, ngokuqhunyiswa kwamabhomu ngamabhomu, ngokusekela ngokucashile nangokusobala i-jihadism, uBush no-Obama baye badala inqwaba yezinxushunxushu, ukuwa kombuso, kanye nempi - kusukela eTunisia naseLibya eNyakatho Afrika enqamula e-Asia Ephakathi ukuya emingceleni yeChina. , futhi kusukela emngceleni oseningizimu yeTurkey kuya oPhondweni lwe-Afrika. Izifundazwe zase-US kanye ne-EU zidale impi, ubuphekula, nosizi olungachazeki kulawa mazwe aseMpumalanga Ephakathi nase-Afrika.

Manje, ngenxa yalokho, ukufuduka kwezisulu eziphelelwe yithemba kuye kwaqalwa eYurophu. Akukhona okwethu ukwahlulela engxabanweni yezindawo osekunesikhathi eside ikhona ehlanganisa i-China, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia, Taiwan kanye neBrunei. Amazwe ama-Imperialist afana ne-US azama ukuxazulula izingxabano zendawo ngokusebenzisa ubuxhwanguxhwangu, ingcindezi yezempi, izinsongo ngisho nempi. Kodwa-ke, kule ngxabano, i-China neVietnam ziyizifunda ezinombono wezenhlalakahle. Abathuthukayo emhlabeni jikelele bazobamba izifundazwe ezinjalo ezingeni eliphezulu lokuziphatha. Sikholelwa ukuthi lezo zifundazwe kufanele zimelane namaqhinga ase-US ukuze aqhubekisele phambili ubutha bobuzwe phakathi kwazo. Kufanele bahole ekuxazululeni ingxabano kungaba ngezingxoxo ezibandakanya wonke umuntu ngokwethembeka noma ngokufuna ukulamula okungachemi ngaphansi kwenhlangano ye-UN.

Asibona abo “pivoting” noma “rebalance”. Okuwukuphela “kokulinganisa kabusha” okufanele igama akukona okushintsha ukungenelela kwe-US nezimpi ezinonya zisuka eMiddle East ziye eMpumalanga Asia. Ngokombono wethu, "ibhalansi" izosho inqubomgomo yezangaphandle yase-US ehluke ngokuphelele - eqeda ukungenelela nobudlova base-US ngokuphelele futhi evimbela amandla anamandla amnyama kakhulu ezweni lethu: izinkampani zikawoyela, amabhange kanye nesakhiwo sezempi-izimboni, okuyinto bangumsuka waleyo nqubomgomo yezangaphandle I-US imperialism ikhula budedengu futhi inamahloni. Ngesizathu esihle, izingqapheli ziye zabhekisela e-US njengesesimweni “sempi yaphakade, yembulunga yonke.” Lokhu kucasulwa okusha e-Asia kuza ngesikhathi lapho, ngokuphuthumayo, inhlangano elwa nempi kufanele igxile ezingozini ezimbi zempi eSyria nase-Ukraine, lapho amazwe ahlomile ngezikhali zenuzi abhekana khona.

I-US kanye ne-People's China amazwe ahlome ngezikhali zenuzi. Ngakho-ke kuzodingeka sizelule ukuze simelane nalokhu kusongela kwempi okukhulayo e-Asia. Cishe ngokuqinisekile, kuseza ukucasuka okwengeziwe.

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