Izimpi kanye nezinguquko zombuso ezinodlame eKosovo, Iraq, Haiti naseLibya zibashiye becwile enkohlakalweni engapheli, ububha nezinxushunxushu. Izimpi zama-proxy ezihlulekile eSomalia, eSyria naseYemen zidale impi engapheli kanye nezinhlekelele zobuntu. Izijeziso zaseMelika eCuba, Iran, North Korea kanye neVenezuela zibaphuce abantu bakhona kodwa zehluleka ukuguqula ohulumeni bazo.
Ngaleso sikhathi, ukuketula umbuso okusekelwe yi-US eChile, Bolivia naseHonduras sekube khona maduze
ibuyiselwe emuva yizinhlangano zasemazingeni ukuze kubuyiswe uhulumeni wentando yeningi, wezenhlalakahle. I-Taliban ibusa i-Afghanistan futhi ngemuva kwempi yeminyaka engu-20 yokuxosha ibutho lase-US kanye ne-NATO, okuyinto abalahlekelwe kakhulu manje. ukulamba izigidi zama-Afghan.
Kepha ubungozi nemiphumela yeMpi Yomshoshaphansi yase-US eRussia ingendlela ehlukile. Inhloso yanoma iyiphi impi ukunqoba isitha sakho. Kodwa ungasinqoba kanjani isitha esizinikele ngokusobala ekuphenduleni ithemba lokunqotshwa okukhona ngokubhubhisa umhlaba wonke?
Lokhu empeleni kuyingxenye yemfundiso yezempi yase-United States neRussia, abanakho ndawonye ngaphezu kwe-90% zezikhali zenuzi zomhlaba. Uma omunye wabo ebhekana nokunqotshwa okukhona, bazimisele ukucekela phansi impucuko yabantu esibhicongweni senuzi esizobulala abantu baseMelika, abaseRussia nabangathathi hlangothi ngokufanayo.
NgoJuni 2020, uMongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin wasayina isimemezelo ethi, "I-Russian Federation inelungelo lokusebenzisa izikhali zenuzi ekuphenduleni ukusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi noma ezinye izikhali zembubhiso ngokumelene nayo kanye/noma noma abasekeli bayo ... izikhali ezivamile, lapho khona kanye ubukhona bombuso busengozini.”
Inqubomgomo yezikhali zenuzi yase-US ayisaqinisekisi. Amashumi eminyaka umkhankaso ngenqubomgomo yezikhali zenuzi yase-US "yokungasebenzisi kuqala" isawela ezindlebeni ezingezwa eWashington.
I-2018 US Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) ethembisiwe ukuthi i-United States ngeke isebenzise izikhali zenuzi ngokumelene nezwe elingelona elenuzi. Kodwa empini nelinye izwe elihlome ngezikhali zenuzi, yathi, "I-United States izocabangela kuphela ukusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi ezimweni ezimbi kakhulu ukuvikela izithakazelo ezibalulekile ze-United States noma abalingani bayo nabalingani bayo."
I-NPR ka-2018 yandisa incazelo "yezimo ezimbi kakhulu" ukuze ihlanganise "ukuhlasela okukhulu okungezona zenuzi," eyathi "kuzofaka, kodwa kungagcini lapho, ukuhlaselwa kwe-US, abalingani noma abalingani bezakhamuzi noma ingqalasizinda, kanye nokuhlaselwa kwe-US. I-US noma amabutho enuzi ahlangene, umyalo nokulawula kwawo, noma ukuhlolwa kokuxwayisa nokuhlasela. " Ibinzana elibucayi elithi, “kodwa alikhawulelwe kokuthi,” lisusa noma yikuphi ukuvinjelwa esitelekeni sokuqala senuzi sase-US.
Ngakho-ke, njengoba iMpi Yomshoshaphansi yase-US ngokumelene neRussia neChina ishuba, okuwukuphela kwesibonakaliso sokuthi umkhawulo onenkungu ngamabomu wokusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi e-US uwele kungaba amafu amakhowe okuqala aqhuma phezu kweRussia noma iChina.
Ngasohlangothini lwethu lwaseNtshonalanga, iRussia isixwayise ngokusobala ukuthi izosebenzisa izikhali zenuzi uma ikholelwa ukuthi i-United States noma i-NATO isongela ubukhona bombuso waseRussia. Lona umkhawulo ukuthi i-United States ne-NATO sezivele zikhona ukudlala ngothando njengoba befuna izindlela zokwandisa ingcindezi yabo eRussia ngempi yase-Ukraine.
Ukwenza izinto zibe zimbi kakhulu, i ishumi nambili kuya kokunye ukungalingani phakathi kwezindleko zezempi zase-US nezaseRussia kunomphumela, noma ngabe yiluphi uhlangothi oluhlosile noma cha, wokukhulisa ukuthembela kweRussia endimeni yezikhali zayo zenuzi lapho ama-chips esenkingeni efana nale.
Amazwe e-NATO, eholwa yi-United States ne-United Kingdom, asevele ehlinzeka i-Ukraine ngokufika 17 izindiza-imithwalo wezikhali ngosuku, ukuqeqesha amabutho ase-Ukraine ukuthi azisebenzise futhi anikeze okubalulekile nokubulalayo ubuhlakani besathelayithi kubakhuzi bezempi base-Ukraine. Amazwi kaHawkish emazweni e-NATO aphusha kanzima indawo okungeyona impukane noma enye indlela yokukhulisa impi futhi asebenzise ubuthakathaka obubonwa yiRussia.
Ingozi yokuthi oklebe eMnyangweni Wezwe kanye neCongress ingakholisa uMongameli Biden ukuthi akhulise indima yaseMelika empini yenze iPentagon ukuthi imininingwane yokuvuza we-Defence Intelligence Agency's (DIA) ukuhlolwa kokuziphatha kweRussia empini kuWilliam Arkin weNewsweek.
Izikhulu eziphezulu ze-DIA zitshele u-Arkin ukuthi iRussia iwise amabhomu ambalwa nemicibisholo e-Ukraine ngenyanga kunamasosha ase-US awela e-Iraq ngosuku lokuqala lokuqhuma kwamabhomu ngo-2003, nokuthi abuboni ubufakazi bokuthi iRussia iqondise ngqo izakhamuzi. Njengezikhali zase-US "ezinembayo", izikhali zaseRussia cishe zimayelana 80% enembile, ngakho amakhulu amabhomu alahlekile nemicibisholo abulala futhi alimaze izakhamuzi futhi ashaya ingqalasizinda yabantu, njengoba enza ngendlela enyantisayo kuzo zonke izimpi zase-US.
Abahlaziyi be-DIA bakholelwa ukuthi iRussia izibambele mathupha empini ebhubhisa kakhulu ngoba empeleni ekufunayo akukhona ukucekela phansi amadolobha ase-Ukraine kodwa ukuxoxisana ngesivumelwano sobunxusa ukuze kuqinisekiswe i-Ukraine engathathi hlangothi, engachemile.
Kodwa iPentagon ibonakala ikhathazeke kakhulu ngomthelela wenkulumo-ze yempi yaseNtshonalanga ne-Ukraine ephumelela kakhulu kangangokuthi ikhiphe ubuhlakani obuyimfihlo ku-Newsweek ukuzama ukubuyisela isilinganiso esithile seqiniso ekuvezweni kwabezindaba kwempi, ngaphambi kokuba ingcindezi yezombangazwe yokukhuphuka kwe-NATO iholele. empini yenuzi.
Kusukela i-United States kanye ne-USSR benza iphutha esivumelwaneni sabo sokuzibulala ngezikhali zenuzi ngawo-1950, sesiyaziwa ngokuthi i-Mutual Assured Destruction, noma i-MAD. Njengoba iMpi Yomshoshaphansi iqala, babambisana ukunciphisa ubungozi bokubhujiswa okuqinisekisiwe ngokusebenzisa izivumelwano zokulawula izikhali, inombolo yocingo phakathi kweMoscow neWashington, kanye nokuxhumana okuvamile phakathi kwezikhulu zase-US neSoviet.
Kepha i-United States manje isihoxile kweziningi zalezo zivumelwano zokulawula izikhali kanye nezindlela zokuvikela. Ingozi yempi yenuzi inkulu namuhla njengoba kwake kwaba njalo, njengoba i-Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists ixwayisa unyaka nonyaka onyakeni wayo waminyaka yonke. I-Doomsday Clock isitatimende. I-Bulletin nayo isishicilele ukuhlaziya okuningiliziwe yokuthi intuthuko ethile yezobuchwepheshe ekwakhiweni kwezikhali zenuzi zase-US kanye namasu ikhulisa kanjani ingozi yempi yenuzi.
Ngokuqondakalayo umhlaba waphefumulela phezulu ngesikhathi iMpi Yomshoshaphansi ibonakala iphela ekuqaleni kwawo-1990. Kodwa phakathi neminyaka eyishumi, ukuhlukaniswa kokuthula umhlaba okulindelekile kwancishiswa yi-a i-dividend yamandla. Izikhulu zase-US azizange zisebenzise isikhathi sazo se-unipolar ukwakha umhlaba onokuthula kakhudlwana, kodwa ukusizakala ngokuntuleka komlingani wezempi ukwethula inkathi yokwanda kwezempi yase-US kanye ne-NATO kanye nobudlova obuqhubekayo ngokumelene namazwe abuthaka kwezempi kanye nabantu bawo.
NjengoMichael Mandelbaum, umqondisi we-East-West Studies eMkhandlwini Wezobudlelwane Nangaphandle, wayekhala ngo-1990, "Ngokokuqala ngqa eminyakeni engu-40, singaqhuba imisebenzi yezempi eMpumalanga Ephakathi ngaphandle kokukhathazeka ngokuqala iMpi Yezwe Yesithathu." Ngemva kweminyaka engamashumi amathathu, abantu kuleyo ngxenye yomhlaba bangase baxolelwe ngokucabanga ukuthi i-United States namadlelandawonye ayo empeleni baye badedela iMpi Yezwe Yesithathu, ngokumelene nabo, e-Afghanistan, e-Iraq, eLebanon, eSomalia, ePakistan, eGaza, eLibya, eSiriya. , Yemen kanye naseNtshonalanga Afrika yonkana.
Umongameli waseRussia u-Boris Yeltsin wakhononda kabuhlungu kuMongameli uClinton ngezinhlelo zokunwetshwa kwe-NATO eMpumalanga Yurophu, kodwa iRussia yayingenawo amandla okuyivimba. IRussia yayivele ihlaselwe ibutho le wongxiwankulu ohlulekile Abeluleki bezomnotho baseNtshonalanga, “okwelapha ukushaqeka” kwehlise i-GDP yayo ngu-65%, kuncishiswe iminyaka yokuphila kwabesilisa kusukela 65 kuya ku-58, futhi inikeze amandla isigaba esisha sama-oligarchs ukuthi aphange izinsiza kazwelonke kanye namabhizinisi kahulumeni.
UMongameli u-Putin ubuyisele amandla ombuso waseRussia futhi wenza ngcono izinga lokuphila kwabantu baseRussia, kodwa akazange aqale ahlehle ngokumelene nokwanda kwezempi yase-US kanye ne-NATO. Nokho, lapho NATO kanye Arab yayo abahlanganyeli be-monarchist waketula uhulumeni kaGaddafi eLibya wabe eseqala umkhankaso wokuchitha igazi eliningi proxy impi ngokumelene neSyria esebenzisana neRussia, iRussia yangenelela ngezempi ukuze ivimbele ukuketulwa kukahulumeni waseSyria.
Russia basebenzisane i-United States ukususa nokucekela phansi izikhali zamakhemikhali zaseSyria, futhi yasiza ekuvuleni izingxoxo ne-Iran ezagcina ziholele esivumelwaneni senuzi se-JCPOA. Kodwa indima yaseMelika ekuketulweni umbuso e-Ukraine ngo-2014, ukuhlanganiswa kabusha kweRussia neCrimea kanye nokweseka kwayo abahlukanisi abamelene nokuketulwa umbuso eDonbass kwakhokhela ukusebenzelana okwengeziwe phakathi kuka-Obama noPutin, kwafaka ubudlelwano phakathi kwe-US neRussia esimweni esibi osekuholele ekutheni nathi ukuze umphetho impi yenuzi.
Kuyisibonelo sokusangana okusemthethweni ukuthi abaholi base-US, NATO kanye nabaseRussia baphinde bavusa leMpi Yomshoshaphansi, izwe lonke eligubhe ngayo ukuphela kwayo, evumela izinhlelo zokuzibulala kwabantu abaningi kanye nokushabalala kwabantu ukuthi ziphinde zizenze inqubomgomo yezokuvikela enesibopho.
Nakuba iRussia inomthwalo wemfanelo ogcwele wokuhlasela i-Ukraine nakho konke ukufa nokucekelwa phansi kwale mpi, le nkinga ayizange ivele nje. I-United States kanye nabalingani bayo kumele bahlole kabusha eyabo indima ekuvuseni iMpi Yomshoshaphansi eyadala le nkinga, uma kwenzeka sibuyela emhlabeni ophephile wabantu yonke indawo.
Ngokudabukisayo, esikhundleni sokuphelelwa yisikhathi ngosuku lwayo lokuthengisa ngeminyaka yawo-1990 kanye neSivumelwano saseWarsaw, i-NATO isiziguqule yaba umfelandawonye wezempi womhlaba onolaka, iqabunga lomkhiwane le-US imperialism, kanye ne-US. forum ukuze kuhlaziywe usongo oluyingozi, oluzigcwalisayo, ukuze kuthethelelwe ukuqhubeka kwalo, ukwanda okungapheli kanye namacala obudlova emazwenikazi amathathu, Kosovo, Afghanistan futhi Libya.
Uma ngempela lokhu kuhlanya kusiqhubezela ekuqothulweni kwabantu abaningi, ngeke kube yinduduzo kwabasindile abahlakazekile nabafayo ukuthi abaholi babo baphumelele ukucekela phansi izwe lezitha zabo. Bazovele baqalekise abaholi nhlangothi zonke ngobumpumputhe nobuwula babo. Inkulumo-ze lapho uhlangothi ngalunye ludimonise olunye izoba yinhlekisa nje uma isiphetho sayo sesibonakala siwukucekelwa phansi kwayo yonke into abaholi nhlangothi zonke abathi bayayivikela.
Leli qiniso livamile kuzo zonke izinhlangothi kuleMpi Yomshoshaphansi evuka kabusha. Kodwa, njengamaphimbo ezishoshovu zokuthula eRussia namuhla, amazwi ethu anamandla kakhulu lapho sithatha abaholi bethu ukuba baziphendulele futhi sisebenzela ukuguqula ukuziphatha kwezwe lethu.
Uma abantu baseMelika benanela inkulumo-ze yaseMelika, bephika indima yezwe lethu ekubhebhethekiseni le nkinga futhi baphendulele yonke intukuthelo yethu kuMongameli uPutin kanye neRussia, kuzothuthukisa ukungezwani okwandayo futhi kulethe isigaba esilandelayo sale ngxabano, noma yiluphi uhlobo olusha oluyingozi. lokho kungathatha.
Kodwa uma sikhankasela ukuguqula izinqubomgomo zezwe lethu, sinciphise izingxabano futhi sithole izinto esivumelana ngazo nomakhelwane bethu e-Ukraine, eRussia, e-China nasemhlabeni wonke, singabambisana futhi sixazulule izinselele zethu ezinzima ndawonye.
Okuhamba phambili kufanele kube ukuhlakaza umshini we-Doomsday yenuzi esihlanganyele singahlosile ukuze siwakhe futhi siwugcine iminyaka engama-70, kanye nomfelandawonye wezempi we-NATO ongasasebenzi noyingozi. Asikwazi ukuvumela "ithonya elingagunyaziwe" kanye "namandla abekwe kabi" we Isakhiwo Sezimboni Nezimboni qhubeka usiholela ezinkingeni zezempi eziyingozi kakhulu kuze kube yilapho enye yazo iphuma ekulawuleni futhi isibhubhise sonke.
UNicolas JS Davies uyintatheli ezimele, umcwaningi weCODEPINK kanye ne umbhali we Igazi Ezandleni Zethu: Ukuhlasela Nokubhujiswa kwe-Iraq.
