Ukwakheka Okujulile Kwempi Yomshoshaphansi kanye ne-EU

Ibhalwe nguMikael Böök World BEYOND War, November 22, 2021

Uthisha wamaqhinga uStefan Forss uthi ephephandabeni lase-Helsinki Huffvudstadsbladet ukuthi iRussia ilungiselela ukuhlasela kwe-Ukraine.

Kubukeka kanjalo.

Uma kunjalo, iRussia iphendula amalungiselelo kahulumeni wase-US kanye no-Ukraine wokuhlanganisa ngokuqinisekile i-Ukraine embusweni womhlaba wase-US, iphothula impi yaseNtshonalanga ngokumelene neRussia eyaqala engxenyeni yokugcina yama-1990s.

UForss uqhubeka ekholelwa ukuthi “inkinga yababaleki enyanyekayo emngceleni we-EU kanye ne-NATO ePoland naseLithuania . . . ibonisa izici zokusebenza kokukhohlisa kweRussia, i-maskirovka ", okungenye indlela yokubeka lonke icala ngalokho okwenzeka emingceleni kaPutin.

Ubungozi bokungqubuzana kwezempi enkulu ngeshwa bukhule engxenyeni yethu yomhlaba ngesikhathi esifanayo lapho ukungezwani kwezempi nezombusazwe kukhuphuke khona e-Asia, hhayi okungenani mayelana nombuzo wekusasa le-Taiwan. Ukusetshenziswa kwezinkulungwane zabafuduki njengezicucu zemidlalo kuvusa ukunengwa okufanele, kodwa yimiphi imizwa ukusetshenziswa kwezakhamuzi zase-Ukraine eziyizigidi ezingu-45 kanye nezigidi ezingu-23 zaseTaiwan ezivusa amaphuphu emdlalweni wezwe?

Mhlawumbe lokhu akufanele kuholele ekuqhumeni kwemizwelo nokusolana, kodwa kufanele kushukumise ingqondo.

IMpi Yomshoshaphansi ayizange iphele ngeSoviet Union. Kuyaqhubeka, nakuba kungamafomu amaningi e-Orwellian geopolitical kunangaphambili. Manje sekunamaqembu amathathu omhlaba kuwo njengokuthi “i-Eurasia, i-Oceania ne-East Asia” ku-Orwell's “1984”. Inkulumo-ze, "izenzo ezixubile" kanye nokubhekwa kwezakhamizi nazo ziyi-dystopian. Umuntu ukhumbula izambulo zika-Snowden.

Imbangela eyinhloko yeMpi Yomshoshaphansi iwukuba, njengakuqala, izinhlelo zezikhali zenuzi kanye nosongo oluqhubekayo oluvela kulokhu kuya esimweni sezulu kanye nokuphila emhlabeni. Lezi zinhlelo zakhiwe futhi ziyaqhubeka nokwakha “isakhiwo esijulile seMpi Yomshoshaphansi”. Ngiboleka le nkulumo kusazi-mlando u-EP Thompson futhi ngaleyo ndlela ngithemba ukukhumbuza ukukhetha kwendlela okungenzeka isasivulekele. Singazama ukusebenzisa i-UN kanye nomthetho wamazwe ngamazwe njengenkundla yethu yokuqeda izinhlelo zezikhali zenuzi. Noma singaqhubeka nokuqhubezela iMpi Yomshoshaphansi enhlekeleleni yenuzi ngenxa yokushisa ngokweqile kobudlelwane bamandla amakhulu noma ngephutha.

I-European Union yesimanje, eyandisiwe yayingakakabi khona phakathi nesigaba sokuqala seMpi Yomshoshaphansi. Ize yaba khona ngeminyaka yawo-1990, lapho abantu babenethemba lokuthi iMpi Yomshoshaphansi ekugcineni isingene emlandweni. Kusho ukuthini nge-EU ukuthi iMpi Yomshoshaphansi isaqhubeka? Okwamanje futhi esikhathini esizayo esiseduze, izakhamizi ze-EU zivame ukuhlukana zibe amaqembu amathathu. Okokuqala, labo abakholelwa ukuthi isambulela senuzi sase-US siyinqaba yethu enamandla. Okwesibili, labo abafuna ukukholelwa ukuthi umbutho wezikhali zenuzi waseFrance ungaba noma uzoba yinqaba yethu enamandla. (lo mbono ngokuqinisekile ubungewona ongaphandle ku-de Gaulle futhi usanda kusakazwa nguMacron). Okokugcina, umbono ofuna i-Europe engenazikhali zenuzi kanye ne-EU enamathela ku-UN Convention on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW).

Noma ubani ocabanga ukuthi umugqa wesithathu wombono umelwe izakhamuzi ezimbalwa ze-EU unephutha. Iningi lamaJalimane, amaNtaliyane, amaBelgium, namaDashi afuna ukususa izisekelo zenuzi zase-US ezindaweni zamazwe abo e-NATO. Ukwesekwa komphakathi kokuchithwa kwezikhali zenuzi kwe-Europe kanye nokungena ku-UN Convention kunamandla kulo lonke elaseNtshonalanga Yurophu, hhayi emazweni aseNordic. Lokhu kuyasebenza nasezweni laseFrance elinezikhali zenuzi. Ucwaningo (olwenziwa yi-IFOP ngo-2018) lubonise ukuthi amaphesenti angu-67 abantu baseFrance afuna uhulumeni wabo ajoyine i-TPNW kuyilapho amaphesenti angu-33 ecabanga ukuthi akufanele. I-Austria, Ireland, ne-Malta sezivele ziyivumile i-TPNW.

Kusho ukuthini konke lokhu nge-EU njengesikhungo? Lokhu kusho ukuthi i-EU kumele ibe nesibindi futhi iphume ekamelweni. I-EU kumele ilokothe ​​ichezuke endleleni ethathwa manje izitha zeMpi Yomshoshaphansi. I-EU kumele yakhele embonweni womsunguli wayo u-Altiero Spinelli wokuthi iYurophu kumele isuswe yinuclearized (ayethule esihlokweni esithi “Atlantic Pact noma European Unity”, Izindaba Zangaphandle Inombolo 4, 1962). Uma kungenjalo, iNyunyana izowa ngenkathi ingozi yempi yezwe yesithathu ikhula.

Izifundazwe ezivumelene ne-UN Convention on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons maduze zizohlangana okokuqala selokhu zaqala ukusebenza ngoJanuwari. Umhlangano uhlelelwe ukuthi ube eVienna ngoMashi 22-24, 2022. Kuthiwani uma iKhomishini YaseYurophu ibingazwakalisa ukusekela kwayo? Isinyathelo esinjalo samasu engxenyeni ye-EU singaba sisha ngempela! Ngokubuyisela emuva, i-EU uma ibheka emuva izofaneleka ukuthola umklomelo wokuthula owanikezwa iKomidi likaNobel kuNyunyana ekuqaleni kuka-2012. I-EU kumele izame ukweseka Isivumelwano Se-UN. Futhi iFinland kumele ilinge ukunikeza i-EU amaphusha amancane kuleyo ndlela. Zonke izimpawu zokuphila ekulweni neMpi Yomshoshaphansi zingamukeleka. Isibonakaliso esincane sempilo kungaba, njengeSweden, ukuthatha isimo sombukeli nokuthumela ababukele emhlanganweni eVienna.