Misa Umongameli Olandelayo Ekulweni Impi Elandelayo

U-Hillary Clinton manje uthi "inombolo yokuqala yokuqala" yakhe eSyria ukususwa kukaBashar al-Assad, okusibeka endleleni yempi neSyria neRussia ngonyaka ozayo. Ukuthi uyamvotela noma cha, kufanele uzibophezele ukuthi uzomvimba kulobu buhlanya, uMongameli Obama awugwema ngobuhlakani ngo-2013. I-Syria neRussia ngempela benza ubugebengu bempi e-Aleppo, kodwa uma ulingeka ukuthi uthenge "indawo okungeyona impukane" noma "ukungenelela kosizo" ngokumelene namabutho aseSyria, eRussia, nase-Iranian, cabangela lawa maqiniso ayishumi nokuphawuliwe:

1/  Asikaze sizwe ngonya olwenziwa amasosha amaSunni ayesekwe yi-US, okuhlanganisa nama-Islamist ahambisana ne-Al Qaeda manje asefakwe buthule ezinhlwini zamavukelambuso. Ukushintsha kombuso kungazelelwe eSyria kuzoholela ekutheni la mabutho aphethe, futhi alwe ngomunye nomunye ukuze athole amandla. Abanye abahlubuki abanqobile bazokwenza ukuhlanzwa kwezinhlanga / kwehlelo ngokumelene nama-Alawites, amaKristu, namaKurds, okwenza abaningi balaba kanye nabanye abancane besabe abahlubuki njengoba iningi lamaSunni lisaba u-Assad. Yebo, impi ingaba yimbi kakhulu futhi izoba yimbi nakakhulu ngokungenelela okwengeziwe kwangaphandle.

2/  Noma iyiphi "indawo okungeyona impukane" phezu kweSyria ngokuqinisekile izolandelwa ukudutshulwa kwezindiza zaseRussia nase-US, ekukhuphukeni okungalindelekile okungasakazeka kalula kwenye indawo esifundeni noma emhlabeni. Ukuqhunyiswa kwamabhomu amabutho aseSyria/Russia kungaholela ekufeni kwabantu abaningi, hhayi ukufa kwabantu abambalwa. Embhalweni oputshuziwe wango-2013, u-Hillary uvumile, “Ukuze ube nendawo okungeyona impukane, kufanele ukhiphe zonke izivikelo zomoya, eziningi zazo ezitholakala ezindaweni ezinabantu abaningi. Ngakho-ke imicibisholo yethu, noma kuyimicibisholo ejikijelwayo ukuze singabeki abashayeli bethu bezindiza engcupheni - uzobulala amaSyria amaningi."

I-3/ I-US isiza ngenkuthalo ukuqhuma kwamabhomu eSaudi kwabavukeli baseHouthi eYemen, ngomonakalo nokufa kwezakhamuzi okuhluke kancane ekuqhunyisweni kwamabhomu eSyria/Russian e-Aleppo. I-US isanda kwethula imicibisholo ejikijelwayo ngokumelene namaHouthis, esifaka engxenyeni eyingozi kakhulu yempi yommeleli wesifunda phakathi kweSaudi Arabia ne-Iran. Umkhulumeli woMnyango Wezwe uJohn Kirby ubambe iqhaza lapho izintatheli zimcela ukuthi achaze umehluko phakathi kweRussia eSyria namaSaudis eYemen.

I-4/ I-US inezisekelo zamasosha angaphandle angama-800 emhlabeni jikelele. I-Russia inezisekelo ezimbili ncamashi ngaphandle kwendawo yangaphambili yeSoviet-bobabili eSyria. UPutin uzama ukulingisa okwenziwa yi-US e-Iraq nase-Afghanistan, ngokusungula iRussia njengamandla esifunda nawomhlaba jikelele. I-Russia yenza khona kanye lokho okwenziwa yi-US ePanama–ingenelele ngesibindi ezindabeni zezwe elibamba izisekelo zalo. I-US ayinalo igunya lokugxeka i-imperialism yomhlaba wonke, noma ukufaka idemoni iRussia ngokwenza unya olufanayo nolwenziwa ngamabutho ase-US e-Fallujah nakwezinye izindawo.

5/  IRussia ngeke ihlehle uma siqala ukudubula indiza yayo. U-Putin wayengu "Butcher of Grozny" e-Chechnya (njengoba iNtshonalanga yavala amehlo), futhi uye wangenela ngokumelene nohulumeni bobuzwe eGeorgia nase-Ukraine. Uzobhekisa amabombo kwenye indawo emhlabeni-ahlomise i-Iran, asungule isizinda samasosha ase-Egypt, noma asabise iLatvia. Enye indlela yokunciphisa isikhalo sakhe esidumile ukuyeka ukufaka inkulumo-ze yakhe yobuzwe yokuthi i-NATO izungeza iRussia futhi isekela ngobumnene ama-fascists kanye nama-ultranationalists emingceleni yayo. Uphumelela kwezombusazwe kuphela lapho ingcindezi yezempi yaseNtshonalanga ikhula, futhi angakwazi ukuzibonakalisa emelene ne-NATO. Kokubili iRussia ne-Iran nazo ziyachuma lapho i-US ne-Israel saber-rattling ikhuphula amanani kawoyela womhlaba.

I-6/ Umkhuba "wokungenelela kosizo" usekela izindinganiso eziphindwe kabili lokho kugqamisa kuphela unya oluqhutshwa ngakolunye uhlangothi futhi hhayi ngabalingani base-US. Ukuqhuma kwamabhomu kukaBill Clinton eBosnia naseKosovo kwamisa ukuhlanzwa kohlanga ngamabutho aseSerbia, kodwa kwavumela ukuhlanzwa kohlanga ngamasosha aseCroatia nase-Albania. Ukuqhunyiswa kuka-Obama eLibya ukuze “asindise” iBenghazi kugcine kwenze iLibya yaba indawo engenamlilo. Belingangeni njengeqembu elingathathi hlangothi, kodwa lithatha uhlangothi empini yombango futhi liyelula. “Ukungenelela kosizo” kwangempela kungayala zonke izinhlangothi ukuba zibambe ongezansi, zingahlaseli umhlukumezi oyedwa wamalungelo abantu esikhundleni somunye.

7/  I-US ibonakala ifuna ukufaka i-rubberstamp ukuhlukaniswa kweSyria ibe yizigodi zobuhlanga / zamahlelo njengengxenye “yendawo yokuhlala,” njengoba kwenzeka eYugoslavia futhi ngokwezinga elikhulu e-Iraq. Ukwehlukanisa akulethi ukuthula okuhlala njalo, njengoba izibonelo zasePalestine naseNdiya zibonisa. Ukuzimela kwesifunda kuyasiza ekwakheni ukuthula, kodwa imiphakathi kanye nemindeni ixubene kakhulu ngokomlando ukuze ivumele ukuhlukaniswa kwezindawo “ezihlanzekile” ngaphandle kodlame olukhulu kanye nokuqothulwa kohlanga/amahlelo. Kodwa kusiza inhlokodolobha ye-neoliberal ukuthi ibe nezifundazwe ezinkulu ezixube izinhlanga ezihlukaniswe zibe yizifunda ezincane ezilawuleka kalula.

8/ Ziningi izindlela ezingalandelwanga ekuletheni ukuthula eSiriya kusukela uguquko lwangempela lwentando yeningi ngokumelene no-Assad lwaqala ngo-2011. Akukaze kube khona ukukhetha phakathi "kokwenza okuthile" kanye "nokungenzi lutho." I-US kanye ne-Israel bangase bayeke ukusekela amavukelambuso e-Sunni Islamist ukuze babuyisele iRussia kanye ne-Iran ukubamba ubudlova obukhulu bezempi obuholwa ngu-Assad e-Alawite, futhi ngendlela efanayo. Bobabili babekwazi ukusekela ukuzivikela okunamandla kwamaKurds ngokumelene ne-ISIS, esikhundleni sokuwathengisa (futhi) embuthweni wamasosha aseTurkey. Bangakwazi ukusebenzelana nomphakathi waseSyria owaqala uguquko, esikhundleni sokuhlomisa amasosha namasosha kuphela. Bangakwazi ukuxoxisana ngokuwohloka kwesifunda kanye nohulumeni womfelandawonye oqinisekisa amalungelo abantu abambalwa, futhi uvumele abaseSyria ukuthi bagxile ezinsongweni zangempela ze-ISIS kanye nokuwohloka kwezomnotho kwempi.

9/ Ukushintsha kombuso e-Iraq kuzobukeka njengamazambane amancane, uma Ukuphatha okusha kukhohlisa abantu baseMelika ukuthi bavumele lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "ukungenelela kosizo" eSyria. Singangena ngokushesha empini yesifunda egcwele yonke indawo—ne-US, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Gulf states, namaSyrian, Iraqi, kanye nama-Yemeni Sunni ohlangothini olulodwa, kanye neRussia, Iran, Syria, Iraqi Shi'as, IHezbollah, namaHouthis ngakolunye uhlangothi. Lesi sifunda siyimpushana, esinemifelandawonye ebambene njengeYurophu ngaphambi kweMpi Yezwe I. Bekungeke kuthathe isikhathi eside ukuthi lelo phupho elibi likhule libe ukulwa kwenuzi. I-Russia ngokusobala igqugquzela ukungqubuzana okungase kube khona, futhi isayina izexwayiso ngemithombo yezindaba yezwe kanye nokuzivocavoca kokuvikela umphakathi, kodwa asizange sitshelwe abaholi bethu ukuthi isimo sibe yingozi kangakanani.

10/ Okuningi kusengozini eSyria ngo-2017 kunase-Iraq ngo-2003.

Impi yase-Iraq ayizange ibe namandla okudlondlobala ibe impi egcwele iRussia ne-Iran, noma idale ukungqubuzana kwenuzi. Futhi njengoba bobabili uHillary Clinton kanye noDonald Trump bemukela ngokungagxeki umbono kaBenjamin Netanyahu nge-Iran njengesitha esikhulu eMpumalanga Ephakathi, i-Israel kanye ne-Gulf States izodedelwa ngonyaka ozayo ukuze kuqalwe kabusha ubudlelwano bezempi ne-Iran, okungasiletha futhi emasangweni e-Iran. isihogo.

Kungenzeka ukuthi ume ngokumelene no-Assad noPutin, futhi usaphikisana nezimpi eziqhutshwa uClinton noma uTrump ezizoshisa iMpumalanga Ephakathi. Noma ubani owinayo ngoNovemba 8^th, amagama abahluliwe azoshabalala ngokushesha. Our "inombolo eyodwa ebaluleke kakhulu" ngosuku olulandelayo kufanele kube ukumisa umongameli omusha ukuthi asisuse endleleni yempi enkulu entsha.