Kungani INorth Korea Ifuna I-Nuke Deterrence

Umholi waseLibya owaxoshwa u-Muammar Gaddafi ngaphambi nje kokuba abulawe ngo-Okthoba 20, 2011.
Umholi waseLibya owaxoshwa u-Muammar Gaddafi ngaphambi nje kokuba abulawe ngo-Okthoba 20, 2011.

nguNicolas JS Davies, Okthoba 12, 2017

Kusukela Izindaba ze-Consortium 

Imithombo yezindaba yaseNtshonalanga ibilokhu igcwele ukuqagela ukuthi kungani, esikhathini esingangonyaka odlule, ubuholi "obuhlanya" baseNyakatho Korea buvele bethula uhlelo lokuphahlazeka ukuze bathuthukise kakhulu amakhono abo emicibisholo eyi-ballistic. Lowo mbuzo manje usuphenduliwe.

NgoSepthemba 2016, amasosha aseNyakatho Korea angena kumakhompyutha ezempi aseNingizimu Korea futhi akhipha imibhalo engamagigabhayithi angu-235. I-BBC idalule ukuthi le mibhalo ihlanganisa nezinhlelo eziningiliziwe ze-US zokubulala umongameli waseNyakatho Korea, uKim Jong Un, nokuqala impi enzima eNorth Korea. Umthombo omkhulu we-BBC wale ndaba nguRhee Cheol-Hee, ilungu leKomidi Lezokuvikela leSishayamthetho Sikazwelonke SaseNingizimu Korea.

Lezi zinhlelo zempi enolaka empeleni sezinesikhathi eside zenziwa. Ngo-2003, i-US yachitha isivumelwano eyasayinwa ngo-1994 lapho iNorth Korea yamisa khona uhlelo lwayo lwenuzi futhi i-US yavuma ukwakha iziphehlisi ezimbili zamanzi amancane eNyakatho Korea. Lawa mazwe womabili aphinde avuma ukuthi ubudlelwano bube bujwayelekile ngesinyathelo ngesinyathelo. Ngisho nangemva kokuba i-US yalaxaza Uhlaka Okuvunyelenwe Ngalo lwango-1994 ngo-2003, iNorth Korea ayizange iqale kabusha ukusebenza kuma-reactor amabili afriziwe ngaphansi kwaleso sivumelwano, okungenzeka ukuthi manje isikhiqiza i-plutonium eyanele ukwenza izikhali zenuzi ezimbalwa njalo ngonyaka.

Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngo-2002-03, lapho uMongameli uGeorge W. Bush ehlanganisa iNyakatho Korea "esigabeni sakhe sobubi," wahoxa ku-Agreed Framework, futhi waqala ukuhlasela kwe-Iraq ngezimangalo ze-WMD mbumbulu, iNorth Korea yaphinde yaqala ukunothisa i-uranium kanye ne-uranium. ukwenza inqubekelaphambili eqhubekayo ekuthuthukiseni izikhali zenuzi kanye nemicibisholo ecitshwayo ukuze izilethe.

Ngo-2016, abaseNyakatho Korea nabo base ukwazi kahle isiphetho esibi se-Iraq neLibya kanye nabaholi bazo ngemuva kokuthi amazwe esenikele ngezikhali zawo ezingajwayelekile. Akugcinanga ngokuthi i-US ihole ekuhlaselweni okuchitha igazi “okuguquguquka kombuso” kodwa abaholi bezizwe babulawa ngesihluku, uSaddam Hussein ngokulengiswa kwathi uMuammar Gaddafi wadliswa ummese wabe esedutshulwa ekhanda.

I-Pyongyang futhi iqalise uhlelo lokuphahlazeka olungakaze lubonwe ukuze kunwetshwe ngokushesha uhlelo lwe-Ballistic missile yaseNyakatho Korea. Ukuhlolwa kwayo kwezikhali zenuzi kwaveza ukuthi ingakhiqiza isibalo esincane sezikhali zenuzi zesizukulwane sokuqala, kodwa yayidinga uhlelo olusebenzayo lokulethwa ngaphambi kokuba iqiniseke ukuthi isivimbeli sayo senuzi sizokholeka ngokwanele ukuvimba ukuhlasela kwe-US.

Ngamanye amazwi, inhloso enkulu yeNyakatho Korea kube ukuvala igebe phakathi kwezinhlelo zayo ezikhona zokulethwa kwezidingo kanye nobuchwepheshe bezikhali ezicitshwayo obuzobudinga ukuze iqalise isiteleka sokuziphindiselela senuzi ngokumelene ne-United States. Abaholi baseNyakatho Korea babona leli njengethuba labo kuphela lokubalekela uhlobo olufanayo lwembubhiso eyavakashelwa eNyakatho Korea ngeMpi yokuqala yaseKorea, lapho amasosha asemoyeni ayeholwa yi-US ebhubhisa wonke amadolobha, amadolobha nezimboni kanti uGeneral Curtis LeMay waqhosha ngokuthi kwabulala amaphesenti angu-20 abantu.

Ngo-2015 nasekuqaleni kuka-2016, iNorth Korea yahlola umcibisholo owodwa omusha kuphela I-Pukkuksong-1 imicibisholo eyethulwe ngaphansi kolwandle. Umcibisholo wethulwa kumkhumbi-ngwenya ongaphansi kwamanzi futhi wandizela amamayela angu-300 esivivinyweni sawo sokugcina, esibe yimpumelelo, esiqondana nezivivinyo zaminyaka yonke zamasosha ase-US-South Korea ngo-August 2016.

INorth Korea iphinde yethula isathelayithi yayo enkulu kunazo zonke kuze kube manje ngoFebhuwari 2016, kodwa imoto yokwethulwa ibonakala iwuhlobo olufanayo ne Unha-3 esetshenziswa ukwethula isathelayithi encane ngo-2012.

Kodwa-ke, selokhu kwatholakala izinhlelo zempi yase-US-South Korea ngonyaka odlule, iNorth Korea ilusheshise kakhulu uhlelo lwayo lokuthuthukisa imicibisholo, iqhuba. okungenani ezinye izivivinyo ezingama-27 yezinhlobonhlobo zemicibisholo emisha emisha futhi iyisondeze eduze kwesivimbeli senuzi esithembekile. Nali umugqa wesikhathi wezivivinyo:

-Ukuhlolwa okubili okuhlulekile kwemicibisholo ecitshwayo ye-Hwasong-10 yebanga eliphakathi nendawo ngo-Okthoba 2016.

-Ukuhlolwa okubili okuphumelelayo kwemicibisholo ye-Pukguksong-2 yebanga eliphakathi le-ballistic, ngoFebhuwari nangoMeyi 2017. Imicibisholo yayilandela izindlela ezifanayo, ikhuphukela kubude obungamamayela angu-340 futhi yehlela olwandle ngamamayela angu-300. Abahlaziyi baseNingizimu Korea bakholelwa ukuthi uhla oluphelele lwalo mcibisholo okungenani lungamakhilomitha angu-2,000, kanti iNorth Korea ithe ukuhlolwa kuqinisekisile ukuthi isilungele ukukhiqizwa ngobuningi.

-Imicibisholo ejikijelwayo yebanga eliphakathi emine eyandizela amamayela angu-620 ukusuka esikhungweni sasemkhathini saseTongchang-ri ngoNdasa wezi-2017.

-Izivivinyo ezimbili ze-missile ezihlulekile ngokusobala ezivela esikhungweni sangaphansi kwamanzi eSinpo ngo-Ephreli 2017.

-Ukuhlolwa okuyisithupha kwemicibisholo ecitshwayo ye-Hwasong-12 yebanga eliphakathi nendawo (ububanzi: amamayela ayi-2,300 kuye kwangama-3,700) kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2017.

-Ukuhlolwa okuhlulekile komcibisholo okukholakala ukuthi yi-"KN-17" evela ku-airbase yasePukchang ngo-Ephreli 2017.

-Ukuhlolwa kwe-Anti-ship missile yohlobo lwe-Scud eyandiza amakhilomitha angu-300 futhi yahlala oLwandle LwaseJapane, kanye nezinye izivivinyo ezimbili ngoMeyi 2017.

-Imicibisholo eminingi ye-cruise yadutshulwa isuka ogwini olusempumalanga ngoJuni 2017.

-Ukuhlolwa kwenjini yerokhethi entsha enamandla, mhlawumbe ye-ICBM, ngoJuni 2017.

-INorth Korea yahlola ama-Hwasong-14 amabili "eduze ne-ICBM" ngoJulayi 2017. Ngokusekelwe kulezi zivivinyo, i-Hwasong-14 ingase ikwazi ukushaya okuhlosiwe okulinganiselwe kwedolobha e-Alaska noma e-Hawaii nge-nuclear warhead eyodwa, kodwa ayikwazi ukufinyelela I-US West Coast.

-Eminye imicibisholo emine eyahlolwa ngo-August 2017, kuhlanganise ne-Hwasong-12 eyandiza phezu kweJapane futhi yahamba amakhilomitha angu-1,700 ngaphambi kokuhlukana, mhlawumbe ngenxa yokwehluleka "Imoto Yokukhuphula Iposi" engezwe ukuze kuthuthukiswe ububanzi nokunemba.

-Omunye umcibisholo we-ballistic wandiza amamayela angu-2,300 phezu kwePacific ngoSepthemba 15, 2017.

Ukuhlaziywa kwezivivinyo ezimbili ye-Hwasong-14 ngoJulayi yi-Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (BAS) yaphetha ngokuthi le micibisholo ayikakakwazi ukuthwala umthwalo okhokhelwayo ongu-500 kg ukuya e-Seattle noma kwamanye amadolobha ase-US West Coast. I-BAS iphawula ukuthi isikhali senuzi sesizukulwane sokuqala esisekelwe kumfuziselo wasePakistan okukholakala ukuthi iNorth Korea iyasilandela asikwazanga ukuba nesisindo esingaphansi kuka-500 kg, lapho isisindo sebhokisi lekhanda lempi kanye nesivikelo sokushisa ukuze sisinde ekungeneni kabusha emkhathini woMhlaba. i-akhawunti.

Ukusabela Kwembulunga yonke

Ukuqwashisa ngeqhaza lohlelo lwempi yase-US ekugqugquzeleni ukwanda okumangazayo kohlelo lwemicibisholo yaseNyakatho Korea kufanele kube wushintsho endleleni umhlaba osabela ngayo enkingeni yaseKorea, ngoba kukhombisa ukuthi ukushesha kwamanje kohlelo lwemicibisholo yaseNyakatho Korea kuwukuzivikela. impendulo kusongo olukhulu futhi olungaba khona oluvela e-United States.

Uma uMkhandlu Wezokuphepha WeZizwe Ezihlangene ungethuswanga ngokwezobuzwe nangokwezempi yi-United States, lolu lwazi kufanele luvuse isinyathelo esiphuthumayo eMkhandlwini Wezokuphepha ukuze zonke izinhlangothi zizibophezele ngokuqinile ekuxoxisaneni okunokuthula nokubopha ukuze kuqedwe ngokusemthethweni iMpi YaseKorea futhi kususwe impi. usongo lwempi kubo bonke abantu baseKorea. Futhi umhlaba wonke ubuzobumbana kwezepolitiki nangokwezokuxhumana ukuvimbela i-US ekusebenziseni i-veto yayo ukugwema ukuziphendulela ngeqhaza layo eliphambili kule nkinga. Ukusabela okuhlangene komhlaba wonke kuphela ekuhlaselweni okungase kube khona kwe-US okungaqinisekisa iNorth Korea ukuthi izoba nesivikelo esithile uma ekugcineni imisa uhlelo lwayo lwezikhali zenuzi.

Kodwa ubunye obunjalo naphezu kosongo lobudlova base-US buyoba obungakaze bubonwe. Iningi lezithunywa ze-UN lihleli buthule lalalela ngoSepthemba 19 lapho uMongameli uDonald Trump ethula izinsongo ezicacile zempi kanye nobudlova obubhekiswe. e-North Korea, Iran futhi Venezuela, ngenkathi eqhosha ngesiteleka sakhe esicitshwayo ngokumelene neSyria ngo-Ephreli 6 ngenxa yezinsolo ezingabazekayo neziphikisanayo mayelana nesigameko sezikhali zamakhemikhali.

Eminyakeni engu-20 noma ngaphezulu edlule, i-United States iye yagubha “njengamandla amakhulu okugcina asele” kanye “nesizwe esibalulekile,” umthetho wembulunga yonke ngokwayo, isebenzisa izingozi zokwanda kobuphekula nokwanda kwezikhali kanye nokucasuka okukhulu “ngomashiqela” njengezindaba zenkulumo-ze zokuthethelela izimpi ezingekho emthethweni, ubushokobezi obusekelwa yi-CIA, ukwanda kwezikhali zabo, kanye nokusekelwa kwabashiqela abathandwayo njengababusi abanonya baseSaudi Arabia namanye amakhosi ama-Arab.

Sekuyisikhathi eside i-United States ibhekene nobuso obubili mayelana nomthetho wamazwe ngamazwe, ibeka lapho izitha ezithile zingasolwa ngokwephula kodwa zinganaki lapho i-US noma abalingani bayo benyathela amalungelo ezwe elithile elingathandeki. Lapho iNkantolo Yobulungisa Yamazwe Ngamazwe ugwebe i-United States ngobudlova (okubandakanya izenzo zobuphekula) ngokumelene ne-Nicaragua ngo-1986, i-US yahoxa endaweni ebophayo ye-ICJ.

Kusukela lapho, i-US ibambe ikhala layo kuso sonke isakhiwo somthetho wamazwe ngamazwe, iqiniseka emandleni ezombusazwe we-propaganda yayo noma "Impi yolwazi" ukuze izenze njengomnakekeli womthetho nokuhleleka emhlabeni, ngisho nanjengoba iphula ngokuhlelekile imithetho eyisisekelo eshiwo kuSomqulu we-UN kanye neziVumelwano zase-Geneva.

Inkulumo-ze yase-US iphatha i- I-UN Charter futhi Imihlangano Yesigodi, inkulumo yomhlaba ethi “Ngeke Ngiphinde” impi, ukuhlukunyezwa nokubulawa kwezigidi zabantu eMpini Yezwe Yesibili, njengezinsalela zesinye isikhathi okwakungaba ubuwula ukuzithatha ngokungathi sína.

Kepha imiphumela yezinye izindlela zase-US - inqubomgomo yayo yempi engenamthetho "ingase ilunge" - manje isicacile kubo bonke. Eminyakeni engu-16 edlule, izimpi zaseMelika zangemva kuka-9/11 sezivele zabulala okungenani abantu abayizigidi ezimbili, mhlawumbe abaningi abengeziwe, abangenasiphelo ekubulaweni kwabantu njengoba inqubomgomo yase-US yempi engekho emthethweni ilokhu ingena emazweni ngamazwe odlameni olunganqamuki neziyaluyalu.

Ukwesaba kuka-Ally

Njengoba nje izinhlelo zemicibisholo yaseNyakatho Korea ziyisu lokuzivikela elinengqondo lapho ibhekene nosongo iPyongyang ebhekene nalo e-US, ukuvezwa kohlelo lwempi yase-US ngabalingani baseMelika eSouth Korea kuyisenzo esinengqondo sokuzivikela, ngoba nabo besongelwa ukuthi kungenzeka kube nempi enhlonhlweni yaseKorea.

Manje mhlawumbe amanye amadlelandawonye ase-US, amazwe acebile ahlinzeke ngesembozo sezombangazwe nesobunxusa emkhankasweni weminyaka engama-20 wempi engekho emthethweni yase-US, ekugcineni azophinda aqinise ubuntu bawo, ubukhosi bawo kanye nezibopho zawo siqu ngaphansi komthetho wamazwe ngamazwe, futhi aqale ukucabanga kabusha ngezindima zawo njenge. ozakwethu abancane kubudlova base-US.

Amazwe afana ne-UK, i-France kanye ne-Australia ngokuhamba kwesikhathi kuzodingeka akhethe phakathi kwezindima ezibheke phambili emhlabeni osimeme, onokuthula onama-polar amaningi kanye nokwethembeka kobugqila ekubulaleni okuhlala kubi kakhulu kwe-US hegemony. Manje kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokwenza lokho kukhetha, ngaphambi kokuthi bahudulelwe ezimpini ezintsha zase-US eKorea, e-Iran noma eVenezuela.

Ngisho noSen. Bob Corker, uR-Tennessee, usihlalo weSenate Foreign Relations Committee, uyesaba ukuthi uDonald Trump uzohola isintu eMpini Yezwe Yesithathu. Kodwa kungase kumangaze abantu base-Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Libya kanye nezingxenye zamanye amazwe ayishumi nambili asevele ekhungethwe yizimpi eziqhutshwa yi-US ukuzwa ukuthi abekho kakade phakathi neMpi Yezwe Yesithathu.

Mhlawumbe okukhathaza kakhulu uSenator ukuthi yena nozakwabo bangase bangakwazi ukushanela lezi zenzo zonya ezingapheli ngaphansi komata abawubukhazikhazi bamahholo eCongress ngaphandle kobumnene u-Barack Obama e-White House ukuze bakhulume kamnandi nabalingani baseMelika emhlabeni jikelele futhi. gcina izigidi ezibulawa ezimpini zase-US kuma-TV ase-US nezikrini zamakhompiyutha, zingabonakali futhi zishiywe engqondweni.

Uma osopolitiki e-US nasemhlabeni wonke bedinga ububi bukaDonald Trump njengesibuko sokuhaha kwabo, ukungazi nokuzithoba, ukuze bahlazeke ekuguquleni izindlela zabo, makube njalo - noma yini edingekayo. Kodwa akumele kubaleke muntu noma yikuphi ukuthi isignesha yalolu hlelo lwempi yobuSathane manje esesabisa ngokubulala izigidi zamaKorea kwakungeyona ekaDonald Trump kodwa ekaBarack Obama.

UGeorge Orwell kungenzeka ukuthi wayechaza ubumpumputhe beqembu laseNtshonalanga nokwaneliseka, ukukhohliswa kalula, umphakathi we-neoliberal lapho. wabhala lokhu ngo-1945,

"Izenzo zithathwa njengezinhle noma zimbi, hhayi ngenxa yokufaneleka kwazo, kodwa ngokusho ukuthi ngubani ozenzayo, futhi cishe alukho uhlobo lwentukuthelo - ukuhlukunyezwa, ukusetshenziswa kwabathunjwa, ukusebenza ngempoqo, ukuxoshwa kwabantu abaningi, ukuboshwa ngaphandle kwecala, ukukhwabanisa. , ukubulawa, ukuqhunyiswa kwamabhomu kwezakhamuzi - okungashintshi umbala wako uma kwenziwa ngasohlangothini lwethu… I-Nationalist ayigcini nje ngokungahambisani nonya olwenziwa uhlangothi lwakhe, kodwa inekhono elimangalisayo lokungezwa ngisho nokuzwa ngabo. ”

Nali iphuzu elibalulekile: I-United States ibihlela ukubulala uKim Jong Un nokuqala impi enzima eNyakatho Korea. Lapho. Uzwile. Manje, usengakhohliswa ukholwe ukuthi uKim Jong Un umane “uyahlanya” futhi iNorth Korea iwusongo olukhulu ekuthuleni komhlaba?

Noma ingabe usuyaqonda manje ukuthi i-United States iwusongo lwangempela lokuthula eKorea, njengoba kwakunjalo e-Iraq, eLibya nakwamanye amazwe amaningi lapho abaholi babethathwa ngokuthi “bayahlanya” futhi izikhulu zase-US (kanye nabezindaba ezivamile zaseNtshonalanga) zakhuthaza impi njengendlela “enengqondo” kuphela?

 

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UNicolas JS Davies ungumlobi we Igazi Ezandleni Zethu: Ukuhlasela KweMelika Nokubhujiswa Kwe-Iraq. Ubuye wabhala ezahlukweni ezithi “Obama at War” in Grading the 44th President: a Card Card on the First Term of Barack Obama as Progressive Leader.

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