UNancy Pelosi Angasenza Sibulawe Sonke

NguNorman Solomon, RootsAction.org, Agasti 1, 2022

Ukuzikhukhumeza kwamandla kuyethusa kakhulu futhi kuyadelela lapho umholi kahulumeni ebeka engcupheni izimpilo eziningi ukuze enze umnyakazo ovusa inkanuko ku-geopolitical chessboard yomhlaba. Uhlelo lukaNancy Pelosi lokuvakashela eTaiwan likuleso sigaba. Ngenxa yakhe, amathuba okungqubuzana kwezempi phakathi kweChina ne-United States anyukele phezulu.

Osekushise isikhathi eside eTaiwan, ukungezwani phakathi kweBeijing neWashington manje sekuzovutha, ngenxa yesifiso sikaPelosi sokuba isikhulumi seNdlu yokuqala ukuvakashela eTaiwan eminyakeni engama-25. Naphezu kwezixwayiso zokuthi izinhlelo zakhe zokuhamba seziqalile, uMongameli Biden uphendule enamahloni - yize iningi lesikhungo lifuna ukubona uhambo lukhanseliwe.

"Hhayi-ke, ngicabanga ukuthi amasosha acabanga ukuthi akuwona umqondo omuhle njengamanje," uBiden wathi mayelana nohambo oluzoba ngo-July 20. “Kodwa angazi ukuthi sinjani isimo salo.”

UBiden ubengalubeka phansi unyawo lwakhe lukamongameli futhi akhiphe isinqumo sohambo lukaPelosi lwaseTaiwan, kodwa akazange akwenze lokho. Nokho, njengoba izinsuku zihamba, kwavela izindaba zokuthi ukuphikiswa kwalolu hambo kwakukukhulu ezindaweni eziphakeme zokuphatha kwakhe.

"Umeluleki wezokuphepha kuzwelonke uJake Sullivan kanye nezinye izikhulu eziphezulu zeNational Security Council ziyaluphikisa lolu hambo ngenxa yengozi yokushuba kwesimo eTaiwan Strait," i-Financial Times. kubika. Futhi phesheya kwezilwandle, "ingxabano ngohambo idale ukukhathazeka phakathi kwabalingani baseWashington abakhathazekile ngokuthi kungase kubangele inkinga phakathi kwe-US neChina."

Ukugcizelela ukuthi umkhuzi omkhulu wase-US ungumuntu obukele omsulwa ngokohambo lukaPelosi, izikhulu zidalule ukuthi iPentagon ihlose ukuhlinzeka ngezindiza zempi njengeziphelezeli uma edlula nokuvakasha kwaseTaiwan. Ukungazimiseli kukaBiden ukuhoxisa ngokusobala ukuvakasha okunjalo kukhombisa isitayela esicashile sendlela yakhe yokubhekana neChina.

Esikhathini esingaphezu konyaka odlule - ngaphansi kwesihloko esifanelekile se-New York Times "Inqubomgomo ye-Biden yaseTaiwan Iyiqiniso, Ayinandaba Kakhulu" - UPeter Beinart wabonisa ukuthi kusukela ekuqaleni kobumongameli bakhe uBiden "wayephuma" kunqubomgomo ende yaseMelika "yeChina eyodwa": "Biden waba umongameli wokuqala waseMelika kusukela ngo-1978 ukusingatha isithunywa saseTaiwan ekugcotshweni kwakhe. Ngo-April, ukuphatha kwakhe kumemezela bekudambisa imikhawulo yamashumi eminyaka koxhumana nabo abasemthethweni base-US nohulumeni waseTaiwan. Lezi zinqubomgomo zandisa amathuba empi eyinhlekelele. Lapho i-United States neTaiwan bevala ngokusemthethweni umnyango wokuhlangana kabusha, maningi amathuba okuba iBeijing ifune ukuhlangana kabusha ngenkani. ”

UBeinart wanezela: “Okubalulekile ukuthi abantu baseTaiwan balondoloze inkululeko yabo ngabanye futhi iplanethi ayibekezeleli impi yezwe yesithathu. Indlela engcono kakhulu yokuba i-United States iphishekele leyo migomo iwukugcina ukusekelwa kwezempi kweMelika eTaiwan kuyilapho ilondoloza uhlaka ‘lweChina eyodwa’ osekuyiminyaka engaphezu kwamashumi amane lusiza ekugcineni ukuthula kwenye yezindawo eziyingozi kakhulu emhlabeni.”

Manje, isinyathelo sikaPelosi sokuvakashela eTaiwan sesifana nokuguguleka ngamabomu kwenqubomgomo “yeChina eyodwa”. Impendulo ka-Biden ye-mealy-mouthed kuleso sinyathelo bekuwuhlobo olucashile lwe-brinkmanship.

Abahlaziyi abaningi abakhulu, nakuba begxeka kakhulu iShayina, bayawuvuma umkhuba oyingozi. "Abaphathi beBiden basazibophezele ekubeni yi-hawkish eChina ukwedlula eyandulelayo," isazi-mlando esilondolozayo u-Niall Ferguson. wabhala ngolwesihlanu. Ubuye wengeza wathi: “Kungenzeka ukuthi, izibalo eWhite House zisekhona, njengasokhethweni lwango-2020, ukuthi ukuba lukhuni kweChina kungumuntu ophumelele amavoti - noma, ukukubeka ngendlela ehlukile, ukuthi ukwenza noma yini amaRiphabhlikhi angakuveza 'njengobuthakathaka eChina. ' ulahlekelwe ngamavoti. Nokho kunzima ukukholelwa ukuthi lesi sibalo singabamba ukube umphumela ubuyinkinga entsha yamazwe ngamazwe, nayo yonke imiphumela engase ibe khona kwezomnotho.”

Ngaleso sikhathi, i-Wall Street Journal kufingqa umzuzu onzima wamanje onesihloko esithi ukuvakasha kukaPelosi "kungase kunciphise ukungezwani phakathi kwe-US, China."

Kepha imiphumela - kude nokuba yezomnotho nezokuxhumana kuphela - ingaba khona kuso sonke isintu. I-China inezikhali zenuzi ezingamakhulu amaningana ezilungele ukusetshenziswa, kuyilapho i-United States inezinkulungwane ezimbalwa. Amathuba okungqubuzana kwezempi kanye nokudlondlobala kungokoqobo kakhulu.

"Silokhu sithi inqubomgomo yethu 'yeChina eyodwa' ayishintshile, kodwa ukuvakasha ePelosi kuzoba yisibonelo futhi ngeke kuthathwe njengokuhambisana 'nobudlelwano obungekho emthethweni,'" wathi USusan Thornton, owayengumsizi kanobhala wezindaba zaseMpumalanga Asia nasePacific eMnyangweni Wezwe. UThornton wengeze wathi: "Uma ehamba, amathuba okuba nenkinga ayanda njengoba iChina izodinga ukuphendula."

Ngesonto eledlule, abahlaziyi benqubomgomo abavamile abavela ezinhlakeni zokucwaninga eziphakeme - i-German Marshall Fund kanye ne-American Enterprise Institute - wabhala kuyi<em>New York Times: “Inhlansi eyodwa ingase ibangele lesi simo esivuthayo sibe inhlekelele efinyelela impi yezempi. Ukuvakasha kukaNancy Pelosi eTaiwan kungakunikeza. ”

Kodwa uJulayi waphela izinkomba ezinamandla ukuthi uBiden unikeze ukukhanya okuluhlaza futhi uPelosi usahlose ukuqhubeka nokuvakasha okuzayo eTaiwan. Yilolu hlobo lobuholi olungasenza sibulawe sonke.

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UNorman Solomon ungumqondisi kazwelonke we-RootsAction.org kanye nombhali wezincwadi eziyishumi nambili ezihlanganisa Wenziwe Uthando, Wathola Impi: Ukuhlangana Okuseduze ne-America's Warfare State, eshicilelwe kulo nyaka kuhlelo olusha njenge i-e-book yamahhala. Ezinye izincwadi zakhe zihlanganisa Impi eyenziwe lula: Kanjani amaMongameli kanye namaPundits Aqhubeka Asigxilisa Ekufeni. Ubeyisithunywa sikaBernie Sanders esivela eCalifornia siya emihlanganweni yeDemocratic National Convention ka-2016 nango-2020. USolomon ungumsunguli nomqondisi omkhulu we-Institute for Public Accuracy.