Berlin Bulletin No. 134, Septhemba 25 2017
Ibhalwe nguVictor Grossman
Umphumela obalulekile okhethweni lwaseJalimane akukhona ukuthi u-Angela Merkel neqembu lakhe elikabili, iChristian Democratic Union (CDU) kanye neBavarian CSU (Christian Social Union), bakwazile ukuhola ngamavoti amaningi, kodwa ukuthi bathole inkani, ukulahlekelwa okukhulu kusukela ekusungulweni kwabo.
Umphumela wesibili obalulekile ukuthi i-Social Democrats (SPD) nayo yaphazamiseka, nayo yaba nemiphumela emibi kakhulu selokhu kwaba nempi. Futhi njengoba laba abathathu babeshade kuhulumeni womfelandawonye eminyakeni emine edlule, ukukhwabanisa kwabo kwabonisa ukuthi abavoti abaningi babengezona izakhamuzi ezijabule, ezanelisekile ngokuvamile ezifanekiselwa ngu-You-never-had-it-so-good- Merkel, kodwa bakhathazekile. , ephazamisekile futhi ethukuthele. Bathukuthele kangangokuthi balahla amaqembu aholayo eSimisweni, lawo amele futhi avikela isimo esikhona.
Indaba yesithathu eyisihluthulelo, eyethusa ngempela, ukuthi abavoti abayisishiyagalombili, cishe amaphesenti angu-13, bakhiphe intukuthelo yabo endaweni eyingozi kakhulu - eqenjini elincane le-Alternative for Germany (AfD), abaholi bayo abahlukene phakathi abacwasi kanye nokucwasa ngokwedlulele kwesokudla. Njengoba cishe amasekela angama-80 enomsindo ku-Bundestag entsha - ukuphumelela kwawo kokuqala ezweni lonke - abezindaba manje kufanele bawanikeze isikhala esiningi kakhulu kunangaphambili ukuze baveze umyalezo wabo onoshevu (futhi abezindaba abaningi bebelokhu benomusa kubo kuze kube manje).
Le ngozi imbi kakhulu eSaxony, okuyisifunda esiqine kakhulu saseMpumalanga Jalimane, esibuswe kusukela ekuhlanganisweni kweCDU elandela imithetho. I-AfD isinyukele endaweni yokuqala ngama-27 %, ihlula i-CDU kancane ngengxenye yeshumi yamaphesenti, ukunqoba kwabo kokuqala okunjalo kunoma isiphi isimo (abakwesobunxele bathole u-16.1, i-SPD kuphela i-10.5 % eSaxony). Isithombe sasifana kakhulu ezindaweni eziningi eziphansi, ezibandlulula i-East Germany kanye nasezindaweni ezake zaba yisizinda seSocial Democratic, isifunda sase-Rhineland-Ruhr eNtshonalanga Jalimane, lapho izigaba eziningi zabasebenzi kanye nabangasebenzi ngisho nangokwengeziwe babebheke izitha zabo. isimo esikhona - futhi wakhetha i-AfD. Amadoda yonke indawo kunabesifazane.
Kunzima ukungazinaki izincwadi zomlando. Ngo-1928 amaNazi athola u-2.6% kuphela, ngo-1930 lokhu kwakhula kwafinyelela ku-18.3%. Ngo-1932 - ngezinga elikhulu ngenxa ye-Depression - base beyiqembu elinamandla elinamaphesenti angaphezu kwama-30%. Izwe liyakwazi okwenzeka ngonyaka olandelayo. Imicimbi ingahamba ngokushesha.
AmaNazi akhelwe phezu kokunganeliseki, intukuthelo kanye nokuphikisana namaJuda, eqondisa intukuthelo yabantu kumaJuda esikhundleni sama-Krupps anecala ngempela noma osozigidi beDeutsche Bank. Ngokufanayo, i-AfD manje isiqondisa ulaka lwabantu, kulokhu akuvamile ukuthi ibhekiswe kumaJuda kodwa imelene namaSulumane, “amaSulumane”, abokufika. Bagxiliswe kulaba “abanye abantu” okusolwa ukuthi batotoswa ngemali “yabaseJalimane abalungile” abasebenza, futhi basola u-Angela Merkel nabambisene naye, iSocial democrats - yize bobabili behlehla ngokushesha kulo mbuzo futhi ukuqhubekela kumikhawulo eyengeziwe kanye nokuxoshwa. Kodwa ingalokothi isheshe ngokwanele i-AfD, esebenzisa amaqhinga afanayo naseminyakeni edlule, kuze kube manje ngempumelelo efanayo kakhulu. Bangaphezu kwesigidi abavoti be-CDU kanye nabacishe babe ingxenye yesigidi abavoti be-SPD bashintshe ukwethembeka ngeSonto ngokuvotela i-AfD.
Kukhona ukufana okuningi kwenye indawo eYurophu, kodwa futhi cishe kuwo wonke amazwekazi. Izigebengu ezikhethiwe e-USA zingabantu base-Afrika-baseMelika, kodwa baseLatinos futhi manje - njengaseYurophu - amaSulumane, "ama-Islamists", abokufika. Imizamo yokulwa nalawa maqhinga ngemikhankaso yokulwa ne-alamu kanye nenzondo yabantu baseRussia, abaseNyakatho Korea noma abase-Irani yenza lolu daba lube lubi nakakhulu - futhi lube yingozi kakhulu, lapho amazwe anamandla amakhulu ezempi nezikhali ze-athomu ethinteka. Kodwa ukufana kuyethusa! Futhi eYurophu iJalimane, kuzo zonke ngaphandle kwezikhali ze-athomu, iyizwe eliqine kakhulu.
Ngabe bezingekho ezinye izindlela ezingcono kune-AfD zabamelene “nokuhlala esifundweni”? AmaFree Democrats, isixuku esinesizotha esinobudlelwano obucishe bube nebhizinisi elikhulu kuphela, akwazile ukuzuza ukubuya okuqinile ekuweni okusongelwa, ngamaphesenti agculisayo ayi-10.7, kodwa hhayi ngenxa yeziqubulo zawo ezingasho lutho kanye nomholi ohlakaniphile, ongenazimiso, kodwa ngenxa yokuthi ubengahlanganyeli esikhungweni esibusayo.
Bekungekhona abakwaGreens kanye ne-DIE LINKE (kwesobunxele). Ngokungafani namaqembu amabili amakhulu, womabili athuthukise amavoti awo kunawango-2013 - kodwa ngo-0.5% kuphela kwabaHlaza kanye no-0.6 % kwesobunxele, okungcono kunokulahlekelwa, kodwa kokubili ukudumala okukhulu. AbakwaGreens, ngendlela yabo eya ngokuchuma, ubuhlakani kanye nobungcweti, abanikezanga ikhefu elikhulu ekusungulweni.
I-Left, naphezu kokuphathwa kabi kwabezindaba ngokungaphezi, bekufanele kube nenzuzo enkulu. Iphikisana nomfelandawonye wezwe ongathandwayo futhi yathatha izinyathelo zokulwa ezindabeni eziningi: ukuhoxiswa kwamasosha aseJalimane ezingxabanweni, ukungabi nazikhali ezindaweni ezingqubuzanayo (noma kuphi), amaholo amancane aphezulu, impesheni yangaphambili kanye neyobuntu, intela yangempela yezigidigidi kanye nosozigidi abagebenga. AmaJalimane nomhlaba.
Ilwe izimpi ezinhle futhi, ngokwenza njalo, yaphusha amanye amaqembu ekuthuthukisweni okuthile, ngenxa yokwesaba ukuzuza Kwesokunxele. Kodwa yaphinde yajoyina ohulumeni bomfelandawonye ezifundazweni ezimbili zaseMpumalanga Jalimane kanye naseBerlin (yaze yahola esinye sazo, eThuringia). Kwazama kanzima uma kwanhlanga zimuka nomoya ukuhlanganyela nabanye ababili. Kuzo zonke lezi zimo lakwazi ukulawula izimfuno zalo, ligwema ukunyakazisa isikebhe, okungenani kakhulu, ngoba lokho kungase kuvimbe amathemba okuhlonishwa nokusuka ekhoneni “lokungalaleli” ngokuvamile elinikezwe lona. Ayivamile ukuthola indlela ekude nezimpi zamazwi kanye nokungena emgwaqweni, isekela kakhulu abagadli nabantu abasatshiswa ngokudilizwa okukhulu, noma ukukhishwa ezindlini ngabacebi abacebile, ngamanye amazwi befaka inselelo yangempela yaso sonke isimo sokugula esikhona, ngisho nokuphulwa. imithetho kaninginingi, hhayi ngeziqubulo zasendle eziguquguqukayo noma amafasitela aphihliziwe kanye nemfucumfucu eshile kodwa ngokumelana okuthandwayo okukhulayo kuyilapho inikeza imibono ethembekile yekusasa, eduze nakude. Lapho lokhu kwakuntula khona, ikakhulukazi empumalanga yeJalimane, abantu abathukuthele noma abakhathazekile bakubuka, futhi, njengengxenye yokusungulwa kanye nomvikeli wesimo se-quo. Kwesinye isikhathi, kumazinga endawo, ngisho nesifunda, le gilavu ilingana kahle kakhulu. Cishe ukuntuleka kwayo okuphelele kwabafundi besigaba sabasebenzi kwaba nengxenye. Uhlelo olunjalo lwesenzo lungabonakala luwukuphela kwempendulo yangempela kuma-racists asongelayo nama-fascists. Okuncomekayo ukuthi yayiphikisana nenzondo yabantu bokufika nakuba lokhu kwalahlekisela abavoti abake babhikisha kanye nje; Abangu-400,000 basuka Kwesokunxele baya ku-AfD.
Induduzo eyodwa; eBerlin, lapho okungaphansi kukahulumeni womfelandawonye wendawo, iNxele lenze kahle, ikakhulukazi e-East Berlin, liphinde liqoka abantu abane ngqo futhi lisondela kakhulu kunangaphambili kwezinye izifunda ezimbili, kuyilapho amaqembu e-Left eNtshonalanga Berlin ezuze okungaphezu kwabadala. Izinqaba zase-East Berlin.
Ezingeni likazwelonke intuthuko enkulu ingase isondele. Njengoba i-SPD yenqaba ukuvuselela umfelandawonye ongajabulisi neqembu lika-Merkel eliphindwe kabili, uzophoqeleka, ukuthi athole izihlalo eziningi ku-Bundestag, ukujoyina kokubili ibhizinisi elikhulu le-FDP kanye ne-Greens edabukile, ehlaza. Bobabili abathandani ngokusuka enhliziyweni, kuyilapho abaningi abaluhlaza bephikisana nesivumelwano ne-Merkel noma i-FDP elwela ilungelo elifanayo. Ingabe labo abathathu bangakwazi ukuhlangana ndawonye futhi bakhe lokho okubizwa ngokuthi “umfelandawonye waseJamaica”- ngokusekelwe emibaleni yefulegi lalelozwe, elimnyama (CDU-CSU), eliphuzi (FDP) neliluhlaza? Uma kungenjalo, kuthiwani-ke? Njengoba kungekho muntu ozojoyina i-AfD ekude kwesokudla - okwamanje, noma kunjalo - asikho isisombululo esibonakalayo, noma okungenzeka.
Umbuzo omkhulu, ngaphezu kwakho konke, ucace kakhulu; kuzokwazi yini ukubuyisela emuva usongo lwephathi egcwele inanela yesikhathi esedlule esishaqisayo nesigcwele abantu abalithandayo, abafuna ngokusobala ukuphinde baphile enyameni, futhi abalungele ukusebenzisa noma iyiphi indlela ukuze bafeze amaphupho abo amaphupho amabi. Futhi ingabe, njengengxenye yokunqotshwa kwalolu songo, izingozi ezinjalo ezisongela ukuthula emhlabeni zingaqedwa?
