Ukunqoba okuqinile kukaMengameli wase-Iran u-Rouhani kuvula indlela yokuthi i-Iran iqhubeke nemizamo yayo yokuxhumana kabusha nomphakathi womhlaba nokwandisa inkululeko ekhaya, kubika u-Trita Parsi.
Ibhalwe ngu-Trita Parsi, I-ConsortiumNews.
Ukuthuthuka kwezepolitiki kwabantu base-Irani kuyaqhubeka nokuhlaba umxhwele. Naphezu kwesistimu yezombangazwe enephutha kakhulu lapho ukhetho lungenabulungiswa futhi lukhululekile, iningi kakhulu lakhetha indlela engenalo udlame ukuletha inqubekela phambili.
U-Hassan Rouhani, uMongameli we-Islamic Republic of Iran, ukhuluma ne-United Nations General Assembly, Septhemba 22, 2016 (Isithombe se-UN)
Babambe iqhaza kakhulu okhethweni ngamaphesenti angama-75 - uma kuqhathaniswa nababekhona okhethweni lwase-US ngo-2016, abangamaphesenti angama-56 - futhi banikeza uMongameli owayekhona esikhundleni u-Hassan Rouhani ukunqoba ngamalengiso ngamaphesenti angama-57 amavoti.
Esimeni sesifunda, lolu khetho luphawuleka nakakhulu. Emazweni amaningi aseMpumalanga Ephakathi, ukhetho alubanjwa. Thatha iSaudi Arabia njengesibonelo, ukukhetha kukaMongameli uDonald Trump ohambweni lwakhe lokuqala lwangaphandle.
Kunezinto ezimbalwa esingazisho mayelana nencazelo yesenzo esihlangene sabantu base-Irani.
Okokuqala, abantu base-Irani baphinde bavotela umuntu obekholakala ukuthi uthandwa nguMholi Ophakeme wase-Iran u-Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Lena manje iphethini eqinile.
Okwesibili, ama-Irani akhuze amaqembu aphikisayo ayedingisiwe kanye noklebe baseWashington kanye nama-neocons abanxuse abantu base-Irani ukuthi badube ukhetho noma bavotele lowo owayengenele ukhetho u-Ebrahim Raisi ukuze kusheshiswe ukungqubuzana. Ngokusobala, lezi zakhi azinabalandeli e-Iran.
Okwesithathu, naphezu kokubukela phansi kukaTrump isivumelwano senuzi ne-Iran, futhi naphezu kwezinkinga ezinkulu ngenqubo yokusiza unswinyo eshiye abantu abaningi base-Irani bedumele esivumelwaneni senuzi, abantu base-Irani basakhetha i-diplomacy, detente kanye nokulinganisela phezu komugqa wokungqubuzana we-Iranian yangaphambilini yokuphatha. I-Iran namuhla ingelinye lamazwe ambalwa emhlabeni lapho umlayezo wokulinganisela nokumelene nomphakathi ukuvikeleka ekunqobeni ukhetho ngamalengiso.
Igunya Lamalungelo Esintu
Okwesine, naphezu kokuhluleka kukaRouhani ezithembisweni zakhe zokuthuthukisa isimo samalungelo abantu e-Iran, ama-Irani kanye nabaholi babaholi be-Green Movement bamnike ithuba lesibili. Kodwa manje usenegunya elinamandla - kanye nezaba ezimbalwa. Manje yisikhathi sokuthi afeze izithembiso ezagqugquzela amashumi ezigidi zabantu base-Irani ukuthi bamkhethe kabili njengomongameli.
Ingane yase-Iranian ephethe isithombe soMholi Ophakeme wase-Iran u-Ali Khamenei kokunye ukubonakala kwakhe esidlangalaleni. (Isithombe sikahulumeni wase-Iranian)
Kumelwe athathe isinyathelo esiwujuqu ukuvikela amalungelo abantu kanye nenkululeko yomphakathi yabantu base-Iranian, aphishekele ubudlelwano obuthuthukisiwe nomhlaba, futhi akhuthaze ukukhula komnotho kubantu base-Iran. Amandla aqinile abangela ukuboshwa kuka-Iran ngokungafanele kanye nokubulawa kwabantu ngesihluku angase angaphenduli ngokuqondile kuRouhani, kodwa abantu base-Irani abamkhethile balindele ukuthi enze okwengeziwe esikhathini sakhe sesibili ukuletha izinguquko.
Ukwehluleka ukwenza lokho kubeka engcupheni isizukulwane sabantu base-Irani enkolelweni yokuthi izwi labo lingenza umehluko, okungenzeka lishiye ikusasa le-Iran emaphimbo aqinile azobuyisela izwe ekuzihlukaniseni kanye nasekubhekaneni namazwe aseNtshonalanga.
Okwesihlanu, ngenkathi iSaudi Arabia isingathe uTrump futhi imphoqa ukuthi abuyele kunqubomgomo yokuhlukaniswa ngokuphelele ne-Iran, inhloko Yenqubomgomo Yezangaphandle Ye-European Union uFederica Mogherini uhalalisele uRouhani ngokunqoba kwakhe okhethweni futhi waphinde wanikela i-EU esivumelwaneni senuzi. Imiphumela yokhetho izoqinisa ukuzinikela kwe-EU ekuqinisekiseni ukuthi isivumelwano siyasinda kanye nokuzibophezela kwayo ohlakeni olubandakanyayo lwezokuphepha lwaseMpumalanga Ephakathi.
Ngakho-ke, i-EU izophikisana nomzamo kaTrump kanye neSaudi Arabia wokuxoxisana ne-Iran. Lokhu kwenza ukuthi abaphathi bakaTrump baphinde bangasavumelani ne-Europe kanye namadlelandawonye ase-US aseNtshonalanga odabeni olubalulekile lwezokuphepha.
I-Diplomacy Over War
Okwesithupha, abantu base-Irani baphinde bagunyaza inqubomgomo yezingxoxo namazwe aseNtshonalanga, kodwa umbuzo uthi ingabe uTrump uzovala isibhakela sakhe futhi amukele leli windi lokuxoxisana. Njengoba nje inkinga yenuzi yaxazululwa ngezingxoxo, amaphuzu asele okungqubuzana phakathi kwe-US ne-Iran nawo angaxazululwa ngokwezokuxhumana, okubandakanya iSyria neYemen. Yilokhu okudingwa yi-Middle East manje - i-diplomacy eyengeziwe, hhayi ukuthengiswa kwezikhali okwengeziwe.
UNobhala Wezokuvikela uJim Mattis wamukela iPhini LeNkosana Yomqhele waseSaudi kanye noNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela uMohammed bin Salman ePentagon, Mashi 16, 2017. (Isithombe seDoD ngu-Sgt. Amber I. Smith)
Okwesikhombisa, iCongress kufanele igweme ukubukela phansi umlayezo ocacile wokuzibandakanya othunyelwe abantu base-Iranian kanye nokunika amandla ama-hardline ngokuqhubekisela phambili imithetho yenswinyo evusa inkanuko ngemuva kwemiphumela yokhetho. Izijeziso ezintsha zeSenethi zihlelelwe ukuphawulwa ekomitini kuleli sonto elizayo. Yeka impendulo embi kubantu base-Irani ngemuva kokuvotela idiplomacy nokulinganisela.
Ekugcineni, umbango wezikhundla e-Iran uzodlulela phambili embuzweni wokuthi ubani ozolandela u-Ayatollah Khamenei futhi abe ngumholi Ophakeme olandelayo wase-Iran. Kukholakala kabanzi ukuthi uRouhani usibhekile lesi sikhundla. Ngokunqoba kwakhe ngamalengiso, uthuthukise amathemba akhe. Ngokwezinga elithile, yilokhu okhethweni lukamongameli ngempela.
UTrita Parsi ungumsunguli nomongameli weNational Iranian American Council kanye nochwepheshe kwezobudlelwano base-US-Iranian, ipolitiki yangaphandle yase-Iranian, kanye ne-geopolitics yaseMpumalanga Ephakathi. Ungumbhali owine imiklomelo wezincwadi ezimbili, I-Treacher Alliance - I-Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran kanye ne-US (Yale University Press, 2007) kanye Umqulu Owodwa Wedayisi – Idiplomasi ka-Obama ne-Iran (Yale University Press, 2012). Ubhala kuTwitter ku @tparsi.
