Impela umphakathi waseMelika kanye neCongress, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi iliphi iqembu, bangavuma ukuthi lezi zindleko azibekezeleleki futhi azicabangeki. Uma kubhekwa ukuba khona kosomaqhinga nabenzi benqubomgomo abaningi abahluzekile ekuphathweni, kubonakala kunengqondo ukuphetha ngokuthi ukuklolodela kwamasosha kuwubuwula. Uma kunjalo, ziyisiphazamiso embuzweni wangempela, ocindezelayo: Kufanele balinde isikhathi esingakanani phezu kwengcindezi yezomnotho ekhiqizwa unswinyo lwaseShayina, kunokuba baphishekele izinketho zobunxusa ezivulwe yizingxoxo eziqondile nokuzibandakanya?
Uhulumeni ka-Obama uthe sekuvulelekile ukuthi kuxoxiswane, kodwa bafaka imali yabo ekujezisweni nasekucindezelweni njengoba iNorth Korea yenza uguquko lwamandla ukusuka kuKim Jong Il kuya kuKim Jong Un. INorth Korea, ngeshwa, ayisengozini yokuncishwa isikhwama njengezizwe ezijwayelekile zokuhweba njenge-Iran. Abantu baseNyakatho Korea sebevele banqanyuliwe emnothweni womhlaba futhi banqanyuliwe emphakathini wamazwe omhlaba kangangokuthi ukuzihlukanisa okujulile kwenza okuncane kakhulu ekuguquleni izibalo zabo.
Into ethembisayo ngoKim Jong Un ukuthi unezifiso zokuthuthukisa umnotho waseNyakatho Korea, futhi izinqubomgomo zakhe zasekhaya sezikhulise ukukhula okuncane. Kodwa into ebaluleke kakhulu kuye kuqala ukusinda kombuso kanye nokuphepha kwezwe, futhi ngenxa yalokho, ubheka ukuthi ukuvimbela izikhali zenuzi kubalulekile (isiphakamiso esinengqondo, ngokudabukisayo). Iminyaka eyisishiyagalombili yezijeziso kanye nengcindezi - kodwa ngesiphithiphithi esisodwa sokuxoxisana ngaphambi nje kokufa kukaKim Jong Il - akwenzanga lutho ukudelela iPyongyang ngomqondo wokuthi idinga izikhali zenuzi, noma ukuvimbela iNorth Korea ekuthuthukiseni amakhono ayo kanye nokwandisa izikhali zayo.
The Ukuphathwa kukaTrump kuyamemezela ukuthi indlela ka-Obama “yokubekezela kwamasu” isiphelile. Kodwa uma ifuna ngempela ukuqala inkathi entsha, indlela yokwenza lokho akukhona ukuphazamisa umphakathi ngezinsongo zempi budedengu, kuyilapho ilinde ize uMongameli waseChina uXi Jinping ukuba aguqe ngamadolo uKim. Esikhundleni salokho, umnyakazo wobuhlakani kuzoba ukuvula izingxoxo eziqondile nePyongyang eziqala ngokuxoxisana ngokumiswa komjikelezo wokukhiqiza izinto ezishisayo, ukubuya kwabahloli be-International Atomic Energy Agency, kanye nokumiswa kokuhlolwa kwemishini yenuzi kanye nemicibisholo ejikijelwayo yebanga elide (kuhlanganisa nesathelayithi. iqala). Ngokubuyisela emuva, i-United States kufanele okungenani ijabulise isicelo esimile sika-Pyongyang sokumiswa kokuzivocavoca okuhlanganyelwe kwezempi ne-South Korea. UKim angase azimisele ukwamukela okuthile okuncane, njengokushintsha isikali. Noma angase avulekele uhlobo oluhlukile lohwebo - ukuqala izingxoxo zokuguqula Isivumelwano Se-Armistice sango-1953 sibe isivumelwano sokuthula esifanelekile sokuqeda iMpi YaseKorea, isibonelo. Okuwukuphela kwendlela yokuphenya lezi zinketho ukufika etafuleni. Nge izinyanga ezimbili zokuzivocavoca okukhulu ekupheleni, manje yisikhathi esihle sokwenza kanjalo.
Ukuqanda kumane kuyisinyathelo sokuqala kulokho okudingeka kube isu lesikhathi eside elishintsha ukuguquguquka okuyisisekelo futhi libhekane nalokho uhlangothi ngalunye olukubona njengomnyombo wenkinga. Ngeke sazi ngempela ukuthi uKim ufunani, nokuthi yini angayiyeka ukuze ayithole, kuze kube yilapho siqala inkhulumomphendvulwano. Kodwa selokhu athatha izintambo zombuso kube nezimpawu eziqinile zokuthi izifiso zakhe zidlulela ngale kwezikhali zenuzi, ukuthi umgomo wakhe wangempela wukuthuthukisa umnotho. Esikhundleni sokusongela impi noma ukujulisa unswinyo, indlela ekhiqiza kakhulu ukugudluza uKim emgwaqeni ofanayo namazwe amakhulu ase-East Asia athathe wonke: ukusuka emandleni ukuya engcebweni. Uma uKim efuna ukuba umashiqela othuthukayo waseNyakatho Korea, isu le-United States elingcono kakhulu lesikhathi eside ukumsiza enze njalo. Asikwazi ukulindela ngokunengqondo ukuthi anikele ngesivimbeli senuzi ekuqaleni kwaleyo nqubo, kodwa ukuphela kwendlela enengqondo yokumenza enze kanjalo ekugcineni.
Manje yisikhathi sokuqala umkhankaso wokusebenzelana ovula kabusha iziteshi, wehlise ukungezwani futhi uvale amakhono eNorth Korea lapho ekhona. Khona-ke, ngokusebenzisana eduze nohulumeni omusha eSeoul nabanye, i-United States kufanele isekele isu lesikhathi eside elihlanganisa iNorth Korea ekuzinzeni nasekuchumeni kwesifunda. Ngenxa yokuthi uhlelo lwenuzi luyinto yokugcina yesabelomali uKim azosinciphisa, unswinyo lujulisa kuphela usizi lwabantu baseNyakatho Korea, futhi ingcindezi iyehluleka ukwenza ngcono ukuhlukumeza amalungelo abantu phansi. Indlela engcono kakhulu yokunciphisa ukuhlupheka kwabantu baseNyakatho Korea iwukubanikeza ithuba lokuphumelela kwezomnotho nokusiza ekuvuleni izwe labo isinyathelo ngesinyathelo.
Ngokumane ibangele ubuhlungu bezomnotho, isongela iziteleka zezempi nokugcina ukungezwani kuphezulu, i-United States idlala ekuthambekeleni okubi kakhulu kohlelo lwaseNyakatho Korea. Izinhloso zenuzi zikaKim zizoqina futhi amandla eNorth Korea azokhula kuphela. Isikhathi sokuhlehla isifundo.
UJohn Delury ungumsizi kaprofesa wezifundo zesiShayina e-Yonsei University Graduate School of International Studies eSeoul.
I-Credit Photo: Imicibisholo ikhonjiswe kuKim Il Sung Square ngesikhathi sombukiso wezempi ePyongyang, eNyakatho Korea, ngo-April 15. (Wong Maye-E/Associated Press)
