Abangane BaseRussia Abangenakho Ukukhetha

NguDavid Swanson, World BEYOND War, May 24, 2023

Nansi “i-syllogism” enyantisayo evela kumuntu omangalisayo, uRay McGovern, isisebenzi se-CIA sesikhathi eside, ngaleso sikhathi owayeyisishoshovu sokuthula isikhathi eside, futhi manje owayephikisana unyaka wonke ukuthi iRussia yayingenayo enye indlela ngaphandle kokuhlasela i-Ukraine.

“AmaRussia ayenezinye izindlela zokuhlasela i-Ukraine.
Bahlasela i-Ukraine 'ngempi yokuzikhethela'; futhi isongela i-NATO.
Ngakho-ke, iNtshonalanga kufanele ihlome i-Ukraine ngamazinyo, ibeke engcupheni impi ebanzi. "

Lokhu kuthiwa kuyincazelo yokucabanga kwethu thina makholwa ukuthi iRussia yayinokukhetha ngaphandle kokuhlasela i-Ukraine. Eqinisweni, libonisa ibanga elidabukisayo nelilikhulu phakathi kokucabanga kwabantu abake bavuma ukuthi impi yayinokuziphatha okubi, kodwa manje asebechithe isikhathi esingaphezu konyaka behluleka ngokuphelele ukukholisana nganoma yini.

Yebo lesi sicaphuno esingenhla asiyona i-sylogism nhlobo. Lena i-sylogism:

Usongo lwempi ludinga impi.
I-Russia isongelwa ngempi.
I-Russia idinga impi.

(Noma bhala into efanayo esikhundleni se-Ukraine eRussia.)

Kodwa kunjalo nalokhu:

Usongo lwempi aludingi impi.
I-Russia isongelwa ngempi.
I-Russia ayidingi impi.

(Noma bhala into efanayo esikhundleni se-Ukraine eRussia.)

Ukungavumelani kuphezu kwesisekelo esikhulu. I-syllogism empeleni ayilona ithuluzi eliwusizo kakhulu lokucabanga; okokucabanga nje kwakudala mayelana nokucabanga. Umhlaba empeleni uyinkimbinkimbi, futhi othile angakhela leli cala, futhi: "Usongo lwempi kwesinye isikhathi ludinga impi, kuya ngokuthi." (Babe ube nephutha.)

Ukuthi usongo noma impi, ngisho nempi yangempela, ezimweni eziningi ayizange idinge impi ekuphenduleni kodwa ihlulwe ngezinye izindlela kuyirekhodi. Ngakho umbuzo uthi ngabe lesi sikhathi besihlukile yini kuzo zonke lezo zikhathi.

Nakhu okunye ukungaboni ngaso linye. Ikuphi okuyiqiniso kulokhu?

"Ukumelana nohlangothi olulodwa lwempi kudinga ukuvikela olunye uhlangothi."

or

"Ukuphikisana nohlangothi olulodwa lwempi kungenzeka kube yingxenye yokuphikisana nazo zonke izinhlangothi zazo zonke izimpi."

Lona umbuzo oyiqiniso, futhi, indaba erekhodiwe. Labo bethu abachithe zonke lezi zinyanga eziningi begxeka zonke izenzo zempi ezinhlangothini zombili zempi e-Ukraine bangakhombisa uhlangothi ngalunye zonke izinsolo esizitholile zokusekela zombili izinhlangothi zabo kanye nolunye uhlangothi - futhi bonke ubufakazi ukuthi bonke banephutha.

Kodwa mhlawumbe akunandaba ukuthi othile ucabanga ukuthi ngijabulela i-NATO futhi ngasese ekukhokheni kuka-Lockheed Martin. Bamane bafuna impendulo yombuzo omangalisayo we-slam-dunk drop-the-mic win-the-whole-internet othi “Yini-ke i-eff engabe iRussia ibingayenza, ngokunokwenzeka?”

Ngaphambi kokuthi ngichaze ukuthi yini eyayingenziwa iRussia, ngesikhathi sobunzima obukhulu futhi ezinyangeni ezedlule neminyaka namashumi eminyaka, kufanelekile ukumba amaGreki asendulo futhi:

I-Russia kwadingeka ivikele ngokumelene ne-NATO.
Ukuhlasela kwe-Ukraine kwaqinisekiswa ukuthi kuzonikeza umfutho omkhulu kunawo wonke owake wabonwa yi-NATO empilweni yakhe yonke.
Ngakho-ke iRussia kwadingeka ihlasele i-Ukraine.

Mhlawumbe i-syllogism ingaba usizo ngemuva kwakho konke? Lezi zindawo ezimbili ziyiqiniso ngokuphelele. Ukhona yini ongayibona i-illogic? Akubonakali, okungenani hhayi ngonyaka wokuqala nekota. I-US yabeka ugibe futhi iRussia yayingenakho ukukhetha ngaphandle kokuthatha isiyezo? Ngempela? Yeka inhlamba eRussia!

Esikhathini esingaphezu konyaka odlule ngabhala isihloko esithi “Izinto Ezingenalo Udlame ezingama-30 ezazingenziwa iRussia kanye nezinto ezingama-30 ezingenabo Udlame ezazingenziwa yi-Ukraine.” Nalu uhlu lwesiRashiya:

I-Russia ingaba:

1. Iqhubekile nokubhuqa izibikezelo zansuku zonke zokuhlasela futhi yadala ukujabula komhlaba wonke, kunokuba ihlasele futhi yenze izibikezelo zivele ziphele ngezinsuku ezimbalwa.
2. Iyaqhubeka nokukhipha abantu baseMpumalanga ye-Ukraine ababezizwa besongelwa uhulumeni wase-Ukraine, amasosha, nezigebengu zamaNazi.
3. Inikeze abaphumayo ngaphezulu kwama-$29 ukuze baphile; babanikeze izindlu, imisebenzi, kanye nemali engenayo eqinisekisiwe. (Khumbula, sikhuluma ngezinye izindlela zokulwa nezempi, ngakho-ke imali ayiyona into futhi akukho zindleko ezinkulu eziyoke zibe ngaphezu kokwehla ebhakedeni lezindleko zempi.)
4. Wenze isiphakamiso sokuvota eMkhandlwini Wezokuphepha we-UN ukuze kwenziwe intando yeningi le nhlangano futhi kuqedwe i-veto.
5. Ucele i-UN ukuthi yengamele ivoti elisha eCrimea mayelana nokujoyina kabusha iRussia.
6. Ujoyine Inkantolo Yobugebengu Yamazwe Ngamazwe.
7. Ucele i-ICC ukuthi iphenye ubugebengu eDonbas.
8. Kuthunyelwe e-Donbas izinkulungwane eziningi zabavikeli abangahlomile.
9. Kuthunyelwe ku-Donbas abaqeqeshi abahamba phambili emhlabeni ekulweni nodlame emphakathini.
10. Izinhlelo zemfundo ezixhaswe ngezimali emhlabeni wonke mayelana nenani lokuhlukahluka kwamasiko ebunganeni nasemiphakathini, kanye nokwehluleka okukhulu kokucwasa, ubuzwe, nobuNazi.
11. Kukhishwe amalungu ama-fascist kakhulu ebuthweni laseRussia.
12. Inikezwe njengezipho e-Ukraine izikhungo zokukhiqiza amandla elanga, umoya, namanzi ezihamba phambili emhlabeni.
13. Vala ipayipi legesi elinqamula e-Ukraine futhi wazibophezela ukuthi ngeke akhe elinye enyakatho lapho.
14. Umemezele ukuzibophezela kokushiya izibaseli zaseRussia ezimbiwa phansi ngenxa Yomhlaba.
15. Kunikelwa njengesipho kungqalasizinda kagesi yase-Ukraine.
16. Kunikelwa njengesipho sobungani nengqalasizinda kaloliwe yase-Ukraine.
17. Umemezele ukwesekwa kwediplomacy yomphakathi uWoodrow Wilson azenza sengathi uyayeseka.
18. Yaphinde yamemezela izimfuno eziyisishiyagalombili eqale ukuzenza ngoDisemba, futhi yacela izimpendulo zomphakathi kuhulumeni wase-US ngayinye.
19. Ucele abantu baseRussia-America ukuthi bagubhe ubungane baseRussia-America etsheni lesikhumbuzo le-teardrop elinikezwe i-United States yiRussia ngaphandle kwe-New York Harbor.
20. Ujoyine izivumelwano zamalungelo abantu ezinkulu engakaqinisekiswa, futhi wacela ukuthi nabanye benze okufanayo.
21. Imemezele ukuzibophezela kwayo ekusekeleni izivumelwano zokuhoxiswa kwezikhali ezihlakazwe yi-United States, futhi yakhuthaza ukuphindisela.
22. Imemezele inqubomgomo yenuzi engasebenzisi kuqala, futhi yakhuthaza okufanayo.
23. Umemezele inqubomgomo yokukhipha imicibisholo yenuzi nokuyigcina ingekho esimweni sokuqaphile ukuze ivumele ngaphezu kwemizuzu nje embalwa ngaphambi kokwethula i-apocalypse, futhi yakhuthaza okufanayo.
24. Kuphakanyiswe ukuvinjelwa kokuthengiswa kwezikhali kwamanye amazwe.
25. Izingxoxo ezihlongozwayo yibo bonke ohulumeni abahlome ngezikhali zenuzi, kuhlanganisa nalabo abanezikhali zenuzi zase-US emazweni abo, ukuze kuncishiswe futhi kuqedwe izikhali zenuzi.
26. Izibophezele ekungazinakekelini izikhali noma amasosha phakathi kuka-100, 200, 300, 400 km nanoma yimiphi imingcele, futhi yacela okufanayo komakhelwane bayo.
27. Ihlele ibutho elingahlomile elingenalo udlame ukuthi lihambe liye futhi libhikishele noma yiziphi izikhali noma amasosha eduze kwemingcele.
28. Biza umhlaba wonke ukuthi amavolontiya ajoyine uhambo nokubhikisha.
29. Kugujwe ukuhlukahluka komphakathi womhlaba wezishoshovu futhi kuhlelwe imicimbi yamasiko njengengxenye yombhikisho.
30. Kubuzwa izifundazwe zaseBaltic ezihlele izimpendulo ezingenalo udlame ekuhlaselweni kweRussia ukusiza ukuqeqesha amaRussia nabanye abantu baseYurophu ngokufanayo.

Ngixoxile ngalokhu lo msakazo.

Ngiyaqiniseka ukuthi kuyize, kodwa ngicela wenze umzamo wangempela wokukhumbula ukuthi bekuyize esihlokweni ngalokho uhlangothi ngalunye olungayenza esikhundleni sobuhlanya bokubulalana kwabantu abaningi, ukufaka engozini i-apocalypse yenuzi, ukulamba kwembulunga yonke, ukuphazamisa ukusebenzisana kwesimo sezulu, nokucekela phansi izwe. Sicela wenze umzamo wangempela wokukhumbula ukuthi sonke besilokhu sikuqaphela kabuhlungu lonke udlame lwase-US olubhekiswe eRussia. Ngakho-ke, impendulo ethi "Ngingalokotha ngiphakamise ukuthi iRussia iziphathe kangcono kunohulumeni omubi kakhulu wezwe engihlala kulo, i-United States?" kuyinto evamile: Ngichitha isikhathi sami esiningi ngifuna ukuthi i-United States iziphathe kangcono, kodwa uma umhlaba wonke ungakuthola ngaphakathi kwawo ukuziphatha kahle kangangokuthi ukuphila emhlabeni kulondolozwe naphezu kwayo yonke imizamo yaseWashington, ngizokubonga lokho - futhi ngokuqinisekile ngeke ngikudikibalise.

Mhlawumbe izishoshovu zokuthula zaseRussia eziphikisa ngesibindi ukufudumala kwesizwe sazo, njengoba sonke kufanele siphikisane nokwethu, ziduke kakhulu, kodwa angicabangi ukuthi zinjalo.

Ngakho-ke, kungani kungenakwenzeka ngisho ukwenza omunye nomunye aqonde lapho sivela khona, mina nawe-Russia-Had-No-Choicers? Usola ukuthi ingubo endala kaRay ingishelela ukheshi noma ngesaba ukubizwa “ngoMthandi kaPutin” - sengathi angizange ngibe nezinsongo eziningi zokufa ngokuphikisana nempi yase-Iraq engangizohweba ngayo. ukushaya kwenhliziyo ukuze kuvele kuthiwe “Isithandwa sase-Iraq.”

Izinsolo zami ngawe zingase zihluke njengezakho kimi, kodwa angicabangi ukuthi zinjalo, futhi ngizisho ngenhlonipho ephelele.

Ngisola ukuthi ucabanga ukuthi uma uhlangothi olulodwa lwempi lungalungile, olunye lulungile - futhi lulungile kuyo yonke imininingwane. Ngisola ukuthi uphikisana nohlangothi lwase-US lwempi yase-Iraq kodwa hhayi uhlangothi lwase-Iraq. Ngisola ukuthi uyaphikisana nohlangothi lwase-US lwempi yase-Ukraine, nokuthi ucabanga ukuthi kulandela ukuthi noma yini eyenziwa uhlangothi lwaseRussia iyancomeka. Ngicabanga ukuthi sobabili sibuyela emuva enkathini yokulwa. Ngizobe ngimemeza “Yekani lobu buqaba bobuwula, nina nobabili!” futhi ubungashesha ubuze ukuze ubone ukuthi yisiphi isiphukuphuku esihle nesibi. Noma ubungakwenza?

Ngisola ukuthi awufuni ukucabanga ngeminyaka izinhlangothi zombili eziyichithe zihluleka ukulungisa izivikelo ezingahlomile, nokuthi ucabanga ukuthi kungakhathaliseki ukuthi iRussia yenzani ukunxenxa izindinganiso zokuziphatha nokungenzeleli emhlabeni, baye bakhafulela iRussia futhi babamba ama-popcorn ukuze babuke i-US/NATO buildup. Nokho, noma iRussia yenza izenzo zokubulala ezinyantisayo, sesibonile ingxenye enkulu yomhlaba - kanye nohulumeni abaningi bomhlaba! - yenqaba ukuchema ne-NATO, naphezu kwengcindezi enkulu, futhi naphezu kwehlazo elibi lokubonakala livikela, noma lisolwa ngokuvikela, ukufudumala kweRussia. Ngeke sazi ukuthi umhlaba ubuyosabela kanjani ukube iRussia ibisebenzise isenzo esikhulu nesingenalo udlame, ukube iRussia ibijoyine izinhlaka zomthetho zamazwe omhlaba, ukuba iRussia isayine ezivumelwaneni zamalungelo abantu, ukube iRussia ibifuna ukwenza intando yeningi emhlabeni, ukube iRussia ibinxuse umhlaba. ukwenqaba i-US imperialism ivuna umhlaba ophethwe umhlaba wonke.

Mhlawumbe uhulumeni waseRussia akafuni ukuwela ngaphansi komthetho njengoba nje uhulumeni wase-US engafuni. Mhlawumbe ifuna ukulingana kwamandla, hhayi ukulingana kobulungisa. Noma mhlawumbe icabanga njengabantu abaningi emphakathini waseNtshonalanga - ngisho nabaningi abaye benza njengezishoshovu zokuthula iminyaka - ukuthi impi iyona kuphela impendulo ekugcineni. Futhi mhlawumbe isenzo esingenabudlova besingeke siphumelele. Kodwa kukhona ubuthakathaka obubili kulowo mcabango engicabanga ukuthi awunakuphikiswa.

Enye ukuthi manje sesisondele kakhulu kunangaphambili ku-apocalypse yenuzi, futhi lapho sesihambile ngeke siphikisane ngempela nokuthi ubani owayelungile kunobani.

Okunye ukuthi ukwakhiwa kwe-US/NATO kwakungaphezu kwamashumi eminyaka neminyaka nezinyanga. I-Russia yayingalinda olunye usuku noma i-10 noma i-200, futhi ngaleso sikhathi yayingase iqale ukuzama enye into. Akekho okhethe isikhathi sokukhuphuka kweRussia ngaphandle kweRussia. Futhi lapho ukhetha isikhathi sento ethile, ubunokukhetha ukuzama enye into kuqala.

Okubaluleke nakakhulu, ngaphandle uma izinhlangothi zombili zivuma iphutha elithile futhi zivumelane nokuyekethisa okuthile, impi ngeke iphele futhi ukuphila eMhlabeni kungase kube. Kungaba ihlazo ngempela uma singavumelani ngalokho okungako.