NguPatrick T. Hiller
Ngosuku okwafinyelelwa ngalo isivumelwano esiyingqophamlando senuzi phakathi kwe-Iran ne-United States, i-United Kingdom, iRussia, iChina, iFrance neJalimane (P5+1), uMongameli u-Obama wamemezela ukuthi “umhlaba ungenza izinto ezimangalisayo uma sinombono wokuthula. ukubhekana nezingxabano.” Ngaso leso sikhathi, uNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle Wase-Iranian u-Javad Zarif uzwakalise ukwazisa kwakhe “ngenqubo yokufinyelela isixazululo esiphumelelayo ... futhi uvule imibono emisha yokubhekana nezinkinga ezinkulu ezithinta umphakathi wethu wamazwe ngamazwe.”
NginguSosayensi Wokuthula. Ngifunda ngezimbangela zempi nezimo zokuthula. Emkhakheni wami sinikeza ezinye izindlela ezisekelwe ebufakazini zokulwa nempi sisebenzisa ulimi olufana "nokubhekana nokungqubuzana ngokuthula" kanye "nezixazululo zokunqoba." Namuhla usuku oluhle, njengoba lesi sivumelwano sidala izimo zokuthula futhi siyindlela ephumelela kakhulu kubo bonke abahilelekile ukuthi baqhubekele phambili.
Isivumelwano senuzi siyimpumelelo yokungaqhamuki kwezikhali zenuzi emhlabeni wonke. I-Iran ibilokhu igcizelela ukuthi ibingazilandeli izikhali zenuzi. Lesi simangalo sisekelwe yilowo owayengumhlaziyi weCIA kanye nochwepheshe waseMiddle East woMnyango Wezwe LaseMelika, uFlynt Leverett, ophakathi kwalabo chwepheshe ungakholelwa ukuthi i-Iran ibifuna ukwakha izikhali zenuzi. Noma kunjalo, uhlaka lwesivumelwano kufanele lubhekane nokukhathazeka kwalabo abesaba i-Iran ehlome ngezikhali zenuzi. Eqinisweni, lesi sivumelwano kungenzeka sivimbele umjaho wezikhali zenuzi kulo lonke elaseMpumalanga Ephakathi.
Ukukhululwa kwezijeziso kuzovumela ukusebenzelana kwezepolitiki, kwezenhlalo kanye nezomnotho njengokujwayelekile. Ubudlelwano bezohwebo, ngokwesibonelo, buzokwenza ukuba izingxabano ezinodlame zibe mancane amathuba. Bheka nje i-European Union, eyavela emphakathini wezohwebo. Inkinga ekhona njengamanje neGreece ikhombisa ukuthi kukhona ukungqubuzana phakathi kwamalungu ayo, kodwa akucabangeki ukuthi bazolwa bodwa.
Njengezivumelwano eziningi okuxoxiswene ngazo, lesi sivumelwano sizovula izindlela ezidlula ukungezwani kwezikhali zenuzi kanye nokukhululeka kwezinhlawulo. Singalindela ukubambisana okwengeziwe, ubudlelwano obuthuthukisiwe nezivumelwano ezihlala njalo phakathi kwe-P5+1 ne-Iran, kanye nabanye abalingisi besifunda nabasemhlabeni. Lokhu kubaluleke kakhulu lapho kubhekwana nezinkinga eziyinkimbinkimbi ezizungeze i-Syria, i-Iraq, i-ISIS, i-Yemen, uwoyela, noma ukungqubuzana kwe-Israel-Palestine.
Abagxeki balesi sivumelwano sebevele bematasa bezama ukusibhidliza. Lokhu akulona “ukulungiswa okusheshayo” obekulindelwe ukungenelela kwamasosha okukhohlisayo obekungaba yikho. Kuhle lokho, njengoba kungekho sixazululo esisheshayo emazweni asexabene iminyaka engaphezu kwamashumi amathathu. Lena indlela eyakhayo eya phambili engagcina ibuyisele ubudlelwano. Njengoba U-Obama uyazi kahle, kungathatha iminyaka ukukhokha futhi akekho olindele ukuthi lolu hlelo lungabi nezinselele. Lapha yilapho amandla okuxoxisana eqala khona ukusebenza futhi. Uma amaqembu efinyelela izivumelwano ezindaweni ezithile, maningi amathuba okuthi anqobe izithiyo kwezinye izindawo. Izivumelwano zivame ukuholela ezivumelwaneni eziningi.
Elinye iphuzu elivamile lokugxeka ukuthi imiphumela yezingxoxo zokuxoxisana ayicacile. Lokho kulungile. Ezingxoxweni, nokho, izindlela ziqinisekile futhi azifani nempi azifiki nezindleko ezingamukeleki zomuntu, zezenhlalo, nezomnotho. Asikho isiqinisekiso sokuthi izinhlangothi zizogcina izibopho zazo, ukuthi izindaba zingase zidinge ukuphinde kuxoxwe ngazo, noma iziqondiso zezingxoxo zizoshintsha. Lokhu kungaqiniseki akulona iqiniso ngempi, lapho ukubulawa kwabantu nokuhlupheka kuqinisekisiwe futhi kungenakuhlehliswa.
Lesi sivumelwano singaba inguquko emlandweni lapho abaholi bomhlaba babona khona ukuthi ukusebenzisana komhlaba wonke, ukuguqulwa kwezingxabano ezakhayo, kanye noshintsho lwezenhlalo kudlula impi nodlame. Inqubomgomo yezangaphandle yase-US eyakha kakhulu izosebenzisana ne-Iran ngaphandle kosongo lwempi. Kodwa-ke, ukusekelwa komphakathi kubalulekile, njengoba kusenesibalo esikhulu samalungu ekhongolose abambelele kumbono ongasebenzi wesixazululo sezempi. Manje kukubantu baseMelika ukukholisa abameleli babo ukuthi lesi sivumelwano sidinga ukwenziwa. Ngeke sikwazi ukukhokhela izimpi ezengeziwe kanye nokwehluleka kwazo okuqinisekisiwe.
UPatrick. T. Hiller, Ph.D., obanjwe ngu PeaceVoice,uyisifundiswa seNguquko Yezingxabano, uprofesa, kuMkhandlu Ophethe we-International Peace Research Association, ilungu le-Peace and Security Funders Group, kanye noMqondisi we-War Prevention Initiative ye-Jubitz Family Foundation.
