Ikhredithi yesithombe: I-Economic Club yaseNew York
NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Januwari 3, 2023
UNobhala-Jikelele we-NATO uJens Stoltenberg, owaziwa ngokusekela kwakhe i-Ukraine, muva wembula ukwesaba kwakhe okukhulu ngalobu busika kumuntu oxoxisana naye we-TV endaweni yangakubo eNorway: ukuthi ukulwa e-Ukraine kungaphuma ekulawuleni futhi kube impi enkulu phakathi kwe-NATO neRussia. “Uma izinto zingahambi kahle,” waxwayisa ngesankahlu, “zingahamba kabi kakhulu.”
Kwakuyivelakancane yokwamukelwa kumuntu owayehileleke kangaka empini, futhi kukhombisa ukungaboni ngaso linye ezitatimendeni zakamuva phakathi kwabaholi bezepolitiki base-US kanye ne-NATO ngakolunye uhlangothi nezikhulu zezempi ngakolunye. Abaholi bezakhamuzi basabonakala bezibophezele ekulweni impi ende nevulekile e-Ukraine, kuyilapho abaholi bezempi, njengoSihlalo waseMelika we-Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley, bakhulume futhi banxusa i-Ukraine ukuthi "ishumi nesithupha okwamanje” zezingxoxo zokuthula.
U-Admiral osewathatha umhlalaphansi uMichael Mullen, owayenguSihlalo we-Joint Chiefs of Staff, wakhuluma kuqala, mhlawumbe ehlolela uMilley amanzi, ukutshela I-ABC News ukuthi i-United States kufanele "yenze konke okusemandleni ethu ukuzama ukufika etafuleni ukuxazulula le nto."
I-Asia Times kubika ukuthi abanye abaholi bezempi be-NATO banombono kaMilley wokuthi akukho iRussia noma i-Ukraine engakwazi ukuzuza ukunqoba okuqondile kwezempi, kuyilapho ukuhlolwa kwezempi yaseFrance naseJalimane kuphetha ngokuthi isikhundla esinamandla sokuxoxisana i-Ukraine esizuzile ngempumelelo yayo yezempi yakamuva iyohlala isikhashana uma ihluleka ukulalela. Iseluleko sikaMilley.
Pho kungani abaholi bezempi base-US kanye ne-NATO bekhuluma ngokuphuthuma kangaka ukwenqaba ukuqhubeka kwendima yabo eyinhloko empini yase-Ukraine? Futhi kungani bebona ingozi engaka isondela uma abaphathi babo bezombangazwe begeja noma beshaya indiva izinkomba zabo zokushintshela ku-diplomacy?
I-Pentagon-commissioned Rand Corporation cwaningo eyanyatheliswa ngoDisemba, enesihloko esithi Responding to a Russian Attack on NATO Phakathi Nempi Yase-Ukraine, inikeza imikhondo yokuthi yini uMilley nozakwabo bezempi abakuthola kwethusa kangaka. Ucwaningo luhlola izinketho zase-US zokuphendula izimo ezine lapho iRussia ihlasela khona uhla lwezinhloso ze-NATO, kusukela esathelayithi yezobunhloli yase-US noma idepho yezikhali ye-NATO ePoland kuya ekuhlaselweni kwemicibisholo emikhulu ezisekelweni zomoya ze-NATO namachweba, okuhlanganisa i-Ramstein US Air Base. kanye nechweba laseRotterdam.
Lezi zimo ezine zonke ziwumcabango futhi zisekelwe ekukhuphukeni kweRussia ngaphesheya kwemingcele ye-Ukraine. Kepha ukuhlaziya kwababhali kuveza ukuthi umuhle futhi uyingozi kangakanani umugqa phakathi kwezimpendulo zamasosha ezinomkhawulo nezilinganiselayo ekukhuphukeni kweRussia kanye nokukhuphuka kokuqina okungaphuma ekulawuleni futhi kuholele empini yenuzi.
Umusho wokugcina wesiphetho salolu cwaningo ufundeka kanje: “Amandla okusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi anezela isisindo emgomweni wase-US wokugwema ukwanda okwengeziwe, umgomo ongase ubonakale ubucayi ngokwengeziwe ngemva kokuhlasela okulinganiselwe okuvamile kwaseRussia.” Nokho ezinye izingxenye zocwaningo ziphikisana nokwehla kwezinga eliphezulu noma nezimpendulo ezingaphansi kwezingalingani ekukhuphukeni kweRussia, ngokususela ekukhathazekeni okufanayo “nokuthembeka” kwe-US okubangele ukukhuphuka okulimazayo kodwa kwagcina kuyize eVietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan kanye nokunye okulahlekile. izimpi.
Abaholi bezombangazwe base-US bahlale besaba ukuthi uma bengaphenduli ngamandla ngokwanele ezenzweni zesitha, izitha zabo (manje ezihlanganisa ne-China) zizophetha ngokuthi ukunyakaza kwabo kwezempi kungaba nomthelela omkhulu kunqubomgomo yase-US futhi kuphoqe i-United States nabalingani bayo ukuthi bahlehle. Kepha ukukhuphuka okubangelwa ukwesaba okunjalo kuye kwaholela kuphela ekunqotshweni okuwujuqu nokululazayo kwe-US.
E-Ukraine, ukukhathazeka kwe-US mayelana “nokwethembeka” kuhlanganiswe nesidingo sokubonisa kubalingani bayo ukuthi i-Article 5 ye-NATO—ethi ukuhlasela kwelungu elilodwa le-NATO kuzothathwa njengokuhlasela wonke umuntu—kuwukuzibophezela okungenwa amanzi ngempela ukubavikela.
Ngakho-ke inqubomgomo yase-US e-Ukraine ibanjwe phakathi kwesidingo esinedumela lokusabisa izitha zayo futhi isekele abalingani bayo ngakolunye uhlangothi, kanye nezingozi zomhlaba wangempela ezingacabangeki zokukhuphuka ngakolunye. Uma abaholi base-US beqhubeka nokwenza njengoba benza esikhathini esidlule, bethanda ukwenyuka ngaphezu kokulahlekelwa “ukwethembeka,” bazobe bedlala ngothando ngempi yenuzi, futhi ingozi izokhula kuphela ngokusonteka ngakunye kwe-scalatory spiral.
Njengoba ukungabikho “kwesixazululo sezempi” kuqala kancane kumasosha asezihlalweni zezikhali eWashington nase-NATO, angena buthule ezitatimendeni zawo zomphakathi. Okuphawuleka kakhulu, bafaka esikhundleni sokugcizelela kwabo kwangaphambilini ukuthi i-Ukraine kumele ibuyiselwe emingceleni yayo yangaphambi kuka-2014, okusho ukubuya kwawo wonke amaDonbas kanye neCrimea, nesicelo sokuthi iRussia ihoxise kuphela ngaphambi kukaFebhuwari 24, 2022, izikhundla, okuyinto. I-Russia yayikhona ngaphambili ngivume ezingxoxweni eTurkey ngoMashi.
UNobhala Wezwe waseMelika u-Antony Blinken utshele I-Wall Street Journal yango-December 5 ukuthi inhloso yempi manje “ukubuyisela indawo ethathwe [e-Ukraine] kusukela ngomhla zingama-24 kuNhlolanja.” Idatha ye-WSJ kubika ukuthi “Osopolitiki ababili baseYurophu… kusho [uMeluleki Wezokuphepha Kazwelonke wase-US uJake] Sullivan uncome ukuthi ithimba likaMnu. Zelenskyy liqale ukucabanga ngezimfuno zalo ezingokoqobo nezinto ezibalulekile ezingxoxweni, okuhlanganisa nokucutshungulwa kabusha kwenhloso yalo eshiwo yokuthi i-Ukraine ibuyise iCrimea, eyahlanganiswa ngo-2014. .”
In elinye I-Wall Street Journal icaphuna izikhulu zaseJalimane zithi, “zikholelwa ukuthi akunangqondo ukulindela ukuthi amasosha aseRussia azoxoshwa ngokuphelele kuzo zonke izindawo ezithathiwe,” kuyilapho izikhulu zaseBrithani zachaza isisekelo esincane sezingxoxo ngokuthi ukuzimisela kweRussia “ukuhoxa ezikhundleni. iqale ukusebenza ngoFebhuwari 23."
Esinye sezenzo zokuqala zikaRishi Sunak njengoNdunankulu wase-UK ekupheleni kuka-Okthoba kwaba ukuthi uNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela uBen Wallace abize uNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela waseRussia uSergei Shoigu okokuqala ngqa selokhu kwahlaselwa iRussia ngoFebhuwari. UWallace utshele uShoigu ukuthi i-UK iyafuna yehlisa ukungqubuzana, uguquko olukhulu ezinqubweni zoNdunankulu bangaphambili u-Boris Johnson kanye no-Liz Truss. Isikhubekiso esikhulu esibambe osomaqhinga baseNtshonalanga ukuthi bahlehle etafuleni lokuthula yinkulumo esezingeni eliphezulu kanye nezikhundla zokuxoxisana zikaMongameli Zelenskyy kanye nohulumeni wase-Ukraine, obelokhu ephikelela kusukela ngaleso sikhathi. Ngo-April ukuthi ngeke ivumele noma yini emfushane yobukhosi obugcwele kuyo yonke intshi yezindawo i-Ukraine eyayinazo ngaphambi kuka-2014.
Kepha leso sikhundla sokuqina kwaba ukuguqulwa okumangazayo kwesikhundla i-Ukraine eyasithatha ezingxoxweni zokumiswa komlilo eTurkey ngoMashi, lapho ivuma ukuyeka isifiso sayo sokujoyina i-NATO futhi ingasingethe izizinda zamasosha angaphandle ukuze ihoxise iRussia izikhundla zangaphambi kokuhlasela. Kulezo zingxoxo, i-Ukraine yavuma ukuxoxisana ikusasa Donbas futhi ukuze ihlehlise isinqumo sokugcina ngekusasa laseCrimea kuze kube yiminyaka eyi-15.
I-Financial Times iphule umthetho indaba yalolo hlelo lokuthula lwamaphuzu ayi-15 ngoMashi 16, kanye noZelenskyy wachaza “isivumelwano sokungathathi hlangothi” kubantu bakhe emsakazweni we-TV kazwelonke ngo-March 27, ethembisa ukusihambisa kunhlolovo kazwelonke ngaphambi kokuba iqale ukusebenza.
Kepha uNdunankulu wase-UK u-Boris Johnson wangenela ngo-Ephreli 9 ukuze aqede leso sivumelwano. Utshele uZelenskyy ukuthi i-UK kanye "neNtshonalanga ehlangene" "babekhona kuyo isikhathi eside" futhi bazoyibuyisela i-Ukraine ukuze ilwe impi ende, kodwa ngeke isayine kunoma yiziphi izivumelwano ezenziwa yi-Ukraine neRussia.
Lokhu kusiza ukuchaza ukuthi kungani uZelenskyy manje ecasulwa iziphakamiso zaseNtshonalanga ukuthi kufanele abuyele etafuleni lokuxoxisana. UJohnson useze wasula ngehlazo, kodwa washiya uZelenskyy kanye nabantu base-Ukraine bebambelele ezithembisweni zakhe.
Ngo-Ephreli, uJohnson wathi ukhulumela “iNtshonalanga ehlangene,” kodwa yi-United States kuphela eyathatha okufanayo esidlangalaleni isikhundla, Ngenkathi France, Germany futhi Italy bonke bacele izingxoxo ezintsha zokumiswa komlilo ngoMeyi. Manje uJohnson ngokwakhe wenze i- about-face, ebhala ngombhalo I-Ed-Ed kweThe Wall Street Journal ngoDisemba 9 kuphela ukuthi “amabutho aseRussia kumele ahlehliswe emngceleni we-de facto ka-February 24th.”
UJohnson kanye noBiden benze isiphithiphithi senqubomgomo yaseNtshonalanga nge-Ukraine, begxile kwezepolitiki enqubweni yempi engenamibandela, engapheli abeluleki bezempi be-NATO abayenqaba ngezizathu ezizwakalayo: ukugwema iMpi Yezwe Yesithathu ephelayo uBiden ngokwakhe. ethembisiwe ukugwema.
Abaholi base-US kanye ne-NATO ekugcineni bathatha izinyathelo zezingane eziya ezingxoxweni, kodwa umbuzo obalulekile umhlaba obhekene nawo ngo-2023 ngowokuthi ngabe amaqembu alwayo azofika yini etafuleni lezingxoxo ngaphambi kokuthi lesi simo esishubile singalawuleki.
UMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies bangababhali be Impi e-Ukraine: Ukwenza Umuzwa Wengxabano Engenangqondo, eshicilelwe yi-OR Books ngoNovemba 2022.
UMedea Benjamin ungumsunguli we CODEPINK for Ukuthula, kanye nombhali wezincwadi eziningana, kuhlanganise Ngaphakathi kwe-Iran: Umlando Weqiniso Nezombangazwe YeRiphabhulikhi Yase-Islamic yase-Iran.
UNicolas JS Davies yintatheli ezimele, umcwaningi we-CODEPINK kanye nomlobi we Igazi ezandleni Zethu: I-American Invasion kanye nokubhujiswa kwe-Iraq.
