NguRay McGovern, Antiwar.com, Disemba 6, 2021
NgoMeyi 25, 2021, ngesikhathi kumenyezelwa usuku lukaJuni 16 engqungqutheleni phakathi kukaMongameli uBiden noPutin, kubonakale kuwumqondo omuhle ukungachithi sikhathi ekuxwayiseni uBiden nabeluleki bakhe be-neophyte ukuthi uguquko olukhulu “ekuxhumaneni kwamandla omhlaba” (ukuboleka igama elidala laseSoviet) kuzomele kube nethonya elikhulu. izinkulumo zikaJuni. I-China, vele, ngeke ibambe iqhaza ezingxoxweni zamazwe amabili, kodwa izoba khona kakhulu.
Ngamanye amazwi, engxenyeni yonyaka edlule, sasikhathazekile:
"Ukuthi i-Washington Official ilwazisa ngokugcwele ushintsho oluhamba kancane - kodwa olujulile - ebudlelwaneni obunxantathu beMelika neRussia kanye neChina emashumini eminyaka amuva nje, okusobala ukuthi i-US isizenze isahluleki esikhulu. Unxantathu ungase usalingana, kodwa manje, empeleni, usuyizinhlangothi ezimbili ngokumelene neyodwa. …
“Kunophawu oluncane lokuthi abenzi benqubomgomo banamuhla base-US banolwazi olwanele kanye nobuhlakani bokubona leli qiniso elisha futhi baqonde imithelela ebalulekile yenkululeko yokusebenza yase-US. Noma kunjalo mancane amathuba okuba babone ukuthi lesi sixhumanisi esisha singadlala kanjani phansi, olwandle noma emoyeni.”
Kwaba sobala ukuthi into entsha ye-Russia-China entente izokwengeza ukubaluleka kwezindaba ezingabalulekile kangako; futhi besingenaso isiqiniseko sokuthi iBiden izokwaziswa ngokufanelekile.
AmaShayina "Khama"
Ngokusobala, uMongameli Biden akalitholanga igama - noma mhlawumbe ukhohlwe. Nansi indlela exakile uBiden ayichazayo, emaphephandabeni akhe angemva kwengqungquthela, indlela yakhe yokubuyela emuva kuPutin eChina:
"Ngaphandle kokumcaphuna [uPutin] - engicabanga ukuthi akufanele - ake ngibuze umbuzo ongasho lutho: Unomngcele wamamayela ayizinkulungwane eziningi neChina. I-China ifuna ukuba umnotho onamandla kakhulu emhlabeni kanye nebutho lezempi elikhulu nelinamandla kunawo wonke emhlabeni. "
Esikhumulweni sezindiza, abahambi bakaBiden benza konke okusemandleni abo ukumfaka endizeni, kodwa behluleka ukumvimba ukuthi abelane ngemibono yakhe ngeChina - kulokhu mayelana “nokumpintsha” iRussia kwamasu:
“Ake ngikhethe amagama ami. I-Russia isendaweni enzima kakhulu njengamanje. Bacindezelwa yiChina. ”
Ngabe uMongameli Biden usazodla isidlo sasemini ngalolu daba olubalulekile? Ngabe abeluleki bakhe abasafufusa bazifunele izincwadi ezintsha, ezibuyekezwe kulezo okungenzeka ukuthi bazifunda ngeminyaka yama-70s kanye nama-80s, futhi bafunda ukuthi iRussia neChina azikaze zisondele - ukuthi, ngempela, banayo yini imali elingana nembimbi yezempi?
Lokhu kungabonakala kuyinto ebalulekile ukwenza isiqiniseko sokuthi uBiden uyafunda - futhi uyakhumbula. Kungaba kuhle kakhulu uma othile emezisa ngaphambi nje komhlangano wakhe wangempela noPutin kusasa (ngoLwesibili). Nansi umzamo wami wokwenza lokho ngemva nje kwengqungquthela kaJuni.
“Isandla Esidala SaseShayina NesiRashiya Esidala”
Njengoba kade safinyelela isimo “se-alumni”, mina neNxusa u-Chas Freeman siye saba nenzuzo yokubuka ubudlelwano beSino/Russia amashumi eminyaka. Eqinisweni, Amb. UFreeman, njengoba iningi labafundi lazi kahle, wayengudokotela ophambili, njengoba echaze uMengameli uRichard Nixon ohambweni lwakhe oluyingqophamlando eBeijing ngoFebhuwari 1972, futhi wabamba iqhaza elikhulu ekwakheni inqubomgomo ye-China eyodwa egcine ukuthula - at okungenani kuze kube manje. Ngahola igatsha le-CIA's Soviet Foreign Policy ekuqaleni kwawo-70s; abahlaziyi bethu badlale indima ebalulekile ekuphothuleni izivumelwano ze-SALT ngoMeyi 1972 (kanye nochwepheshe bezobuchwepheshe obuphezulu abanikeze u-Nixon okubalulekile: Yebo, singaqinisekisa uma uyethemba).
Muva nje, ngoJulayi 2020, lapho owayenguNobhala Wezwe uPompeo edlala inhlekisa enkantolo ememezela inqubomgomo entsha yase-US maqondana neChina futhi egxeka endala, Mina no-Chas sibambisene kulokhu.
Ekushintshaneni nge-imeyili ngempelasonto, ngicele noma yikuphi ukubuka okwengeziwe Amb. UFreeman angaba nakho, njengoba uBiden elungiselela ingqungquthela yakhe ebonakalayo noPutin ngoLwesibili. Ngemvume ka-Chas ngiwanikeza ngezansi:
“… Kuyacaca ukuthi i-Sino-Russian entente iyanda ngaphansi kwengcindezi yezinsongo zase-US kuzo zombili. Akukho okuzokwenzeka eTaiwan noma e-Ukraine ngaphandle kokuxhumana phakathi kweBeijing neMoscow. Kodwa itulo lethu elingelona iqiniso lokuphikisa umbono wase-US wentando yeningi lenziwa libe ngokoqobo “yingqungquthela yentando yeningi.” Lokhu kufune ukuhlomisa iTaiwan ngemibono ngokumelene neChina futhi kuholele ekuthini kube yinto engakaze ibonwe. isitatimende esihlangene seSino-Russian lokho okuzama ukubhoboza ukuzenzisa kwethu futhi kuphikisane nobumesiya bethu ngentando yeningi. "Ukuqagela kwami ukuthi manje sekuzoba nebutho lamasosha aseRussia elikhudlwana unomphela emngceleni we-Ukraine kodwa lokho, ngaphandle kokucasulwa ngamantongomane e-Ukraine, ngeke kube khona ukuhlasela. Esikhundleni salokho, iRussia izovuma ukuthola isisekelo esiqinile sokumangala kwamasu, nini futhi uma lokho kudingekile. Ngakho-ke, iChina cishe ayenzanga sinqumo ngeTaiwan kodwa ilungiselela indawo yempi okwamanje okufanele yenze kanjalo. I-China neRussia zombili zisebenza ngokufana ukuthuthukisa izinketho zezempi ebezingakazifuni ngaphambilini. … mayelana nomcibisholo we-Zircon waseRussia [Mach 9]: uhambisana nomzamo waseChina wokuthuthukisa ikhono lezikhali zenuzi elithembeke kakhulu ngokumelene ne-US”
Kungani Ungazami I-Diplomacy Encane?
Ngaso sonke isikhathi usomlomo, u-Chas angase abe nethemba lokuthi isithembiso sikaMongameli uBiden sokuqeda “impi engapheli” futhi aqale “izingxoxo ezingapheli” singase sithathe indawo yenyama futhi singahlali siyinkulumo engapheli. UFreeman unikeze le micabango eyengeziwe mayelana nokuthi umnyakazo wakamuva waseShayina nowaseRussia ungaholela kuphi, uma kubhekwa uzakwethu ozimisele:
"Lezi zinyathelo ziwukusebenzisa kwakudala usongo lwezempi ukuphoqa ukuthi kuncishiswe ukungezwani okuxoxiswana ngakho. UNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle WaseRussia uLavrov wafanisa iChina nenxusa uWang Yi eRoma, lapho uLavrov kamuva ehlangana noBlinken eStockholm. U-Wang Yi ufune ukuthi uhlangothi lwase-US luzibophezele 'enqubweni yangempela ye-China eyodwa, hhayi eyomgunyathi, ukuthi i-US igcwalise izibopho zayo e-China, nokuthi i-US isebenzise ngempela inqubomgomo ye-China eyodwa, esikhundleni sokusho into eyodwa kodwa yenze. omunye.'
"ULavrov wahambisana noPutin ekufuneni" iziqinisekiso zokuphepha ezinokwethenjelwa nezesikhathi eside, "okuhlanganisa 'izivumelwano eziqondile ezizokhipha noma yikuphi ukuqhubeka kwe-NATO ukuya ngasempumalanga kanye nokuthunyelwa kwezinhlelo zezikhali ezisongela thina eduze nendawo yaseRussia,' wengeza ngokuthi iMoscow izodinga. hhayi nje iziqinisekiso zomlomo, kodwa ‘iziqinisekiso ezingokomthetho.’”
URay McGovern usebenza no-Tell the Word, uphiko olushicilelayo lweSonto LamaSulumane loMsindisi elisenkabeni yedolobha iWashington. Umsebenzi wakhe weminyaka engama-27 njengomhlaziyi we-CIA ufaka phakathi ukusebenza njenge-Chief of the Soviet Foreign Policy Branch kanye nomlungiseli / umhlanganisi we-Daily Brief kaMongameli. Ungumsunguli weVeteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).
