Ibhalwe nguBruce Haigh, Amaparele nokuCasulwa, Okthoba 30, 2022
Sishaqekile, sacasuka, futhi saphazamiseka ngalokho esikufunde ku-Washington Post mayelana nokufakwa okuyimfihlo kwezikhulu eziphezulu zezokuvikela zase-US kanye nama-Admirals endaweni yezokuvikela yase-Australia. Okungenani oyedwa usebenze endimeni ephakeme kakhulu yokuthatha izinqumo ngaphakathi koMnyango Wezokuvikela wase-Australia njengesakhamuzi saseMelika.
Isinqumo sokuqasha lawa ma-mercenaries senziwa nguMorrison noDutton. Obani abanye kulowo hulumeni owonakele owayesamukele lesi sinqumo? Uma sekukhona kanye neqhaza labo kumele kube ulwazi olujwayelekile eminyangweni yezokuvikela, yezobunhloli nezindaba zangaphandle kanye nobubanzi obuvela ekubonakaleni kwabo kuma-cocktail namaphathi akusihlwa, iCanberra Club kanye neMilitary Messes eCanberra nezinye izikhulu. Kufanele kucatshangwe ukuthi i-ASPI yayiyingxenye yokubeka izibhamu eziqashiwe.
Ukwambulwa kwalokhu kubukela phansi okumangalisayo kobukhosi base-Australia akuvelanga ku-MSM yase-Australia kodwa kuvela ephephandabeni lase-US. Indlela yokudabukisa.
Sekuyisikhathi eside ngigcizelele ukuthi kwakuyi-US eyabukela phansi isivumelwano semikhumbi-ngwenya yaseFrance futhi ukufakwa kwekholomu yesihlanu yaseMelika kungaphakamisa ukuthi lokhu kwakunjalo. Ngaso sonke isikhathi bazi ukuthi isivumelwano se-nuclear submarine kwakuyisikrini somusi sokusekela imikhumbi-ngwenya yenuzi yase-US e-Australia. I-AUKUS kwakuyisiphakamiso esinzima abaqhamuke naso. I-half-cocked ngoba ihlanganisa ne-UK ukunikeza umbono othile ukuhlonishwa kanye namandla adonsela phansi. Yeka ubuwula. I-UK iyizwe eliwayo. UCameron, uJohnson, uTruss, nabanye bakubonile lokho. I-Brexit ingenye yezinkinga ezinkulu ze-Tory up. Ayikho indlela i-UK engasebenzisa ngayo empumalanga ye-Suez nganoma iyiphi indlela ephusile, nganoma yisiphi isikhathi.
I-AUKUS i-Trojan Horse i-US eyisebenzisayo ukuze iguqule inyakatho ye-Australia ibe umkhakha wase-US wethonya lezempi ekuqaleni ukusabisa i-China futhi 'njengesisekelo' lapho izohlasela khona i-China. Ngoba, ungalenzi iphutha, i-US ijaha ukuya eChina, ikhumule amasokisi ayo, ithumele ekhoneni, ifundise isifundo. Ungadlali ne-USA. Ungaphonseli inselelo ubukhulu be-USA. Kubhalwe kabusha I-West Side Story, iluhlaza futhi iqinile, ikakhulukazi uma uTrump eba umongameli futhi.
Umsebenzi wokuvikela kanye namalungiselelo wenziwa ngaphansi kwesambulela se-AUKUS. Iningi layo yimali yabakhokhi bentela engazange iye phambi kwamakomiti ephalamende afanele. Akukaze kube nokucutshungulwa yiphalamende lase-Australia. Lutho. Amathangi ayikhulu namashumi amathathu nanhlanu e-Abrams Mark II athengwe e-US ngamadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-3.5, okuthi nangaphambi kokuba asetshenziswe afakwe amabhu eSouth Australia. Ubani owaphusha lokhu kuthengiswa okungakaze kubonwe ngaphambili? Ingabe bekuyi-lobbyist yase-US efakiwe?
Konke lokhu kuvela ekubuseni okuyimfihlo kukaMorrison. Ngabe wayebuye abe ngungqongqoshe wezokuvikela ngesikhathi sokulwa nabamhlophe base-US? Uma ingekho into ephambene kuphephile ukucabanga kanjalo. Kodwa-ke, akuyena uMorison oziphatha njengesitha sabantu esiphazamisayo, ukuthi i-Albanese ivumile.
Nginesiqiniseko sokuthi akanakho ukuqonda okukhulu nge-AUKUS kune-Australia yonke, kodwa uye wahambisana nayo. Kumele ukuthi yena noMarles babazi ngobukhona bePentagon emahhovisi aseRussel Hill, kodwa u-Albanese akazange asho lutho. Cishe uvumela ukubukelwa phansi kobukhosi base-Australia, ngoba kungani futhi engathula?
Enye yezinkinga u-Albanese abhekene nazo ukuthi nge-AUKUS angazithola esempini ngaphandle kwesixwayiso sangaphambili. I-US iqondise ukuzulazula kwemikhumbi yempi yase-Australia kanye nezindiza eSouth China Sea, eduze, uma kungenjalo endaweni yaseShayina, noma ngasiphi isikhathi kungaholela ekuziphindiseleni kwamasosha ngamaShayina adinwe ukucasuka abamele. Ngokulinganayo ukujikeleza kwe-US kungaletha umphumela ofanayo.
Njengamanje kunesinyathelo sabase-Australia se-War Powers Reform, i-AWPR, engiyilungu lekomidi layo; ekhonsathini nabanye, ukuze iphalamende licubungule futhi lixoxisane ngokuya empini. I-AUKUS, ngokuqhuba impi efana nemisebenzi, yayingabona i-Australia empini ngaphambi kokuba ngisho nesikhulu sazi. Kungakho zonke izindaba eziphathelene ne-AUKUS kufanele zethulwe futhi kuxoxwe ngazo ephalamende, okuhlanganisa nokuba khona kwabeluleki bezokuvikela base-US abenza ngokwezintshisekelo zesakhiwo semboni/ezempi sase-US.
Kungani ama-Albanese ethathe futhi asebenzisa inqubomgomo yezindaba zangaphandle neyokuvikela ehlulekile kahulumeni wangaphambilini we-LNP? Kodwa uma kwenzeka kungekho muntu owabona ukuthi kwakungu-Howard owaqala inqubo yokubukela phansi ubukhosi base-Australia ne-Iraq ne-Afghanistan, ecasha ngaso sonke isikhathi ngemuva kwe-ANZUS ne-ANZAC, akekho owayenolwazi ngakho.
Kube nomonakalo omkhulu owenziwa uhulumeni wangaphambilini we-LNP owayezifunela yena kangangokuthi eceleni kokulawulwa komonakalo wasekhaya owenziwe yi-Albanese, ngosizo longqongqoshe abathile abanekhono kakhulu, ubukeka emuhle. Dlulisela ujule kancane futhi isithombe asikho ndawo esiseduze njenge-rosy. U-Wong kumele adabule izinwele zakhe ezitatimendeni zakhe eziqhubekayo zokhuni, eduze ne-neocon nge-China. I-China, okuhle noma okubi kakhulu, kukhona ukuhlala. I-ajenda yabo iyaziwa futhi yaphindwa kwangama-20th UKhongolose. I-saber rattling yase-Albanese ngeke ishintshe lutho. Kungcono uthumele abantu abahlakaniphile ekudaleni nasekuqhubekiseleni phambili idiplomacy ehlakaniphile.
I-Albanese ikhombisa ukudumala kulezi zikhathi ezinzima. Uyawubona umthelela wokuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu kodwa nokho uyamelana nokwakha inhlangano kazwelonke ezolawula umphumela wezikhukhula nomlilo. Uyaqhubeka nokweseka imboni kaphethiloli.
Sifunda nge-AUKUS, 'siyazi' umsebenzi owenziwa e-WA, NT naseQueensland ukuze kujabulise abantu baseMelika kodwa nokho akukho okungaziwa emphakathini. Konke mayelana ne-AUKUS kufanele kwethulwe ePhalamende lase-Australia. I-Australia ithobelana ne-US ngezindleko zentando yeningi yase-Australia. Ngenkathi i-MSM, osopolitiki kanye nezinhlangano zezobunhloli zikholelwa ukuthi iChina yayizifaka ekuthathweni kwezinqumo futhi amanyuvesi ehla kanzima. Lapho iMelika yenze izinto ezimbi kakhulu ngokwezibalo, izikhulu ezibusayo eziyekethisekile ziyafulathela, zigweme ukubheka kwazo. Iyini iphuzu lomthetho wokugxambukela kwamanye amazwe uma usetshenziswa ngokukhetha?
I-China ayilona usongo e-Australia; i-United States. Siyiswa kwenye impi eyinhlekelele, konke ukuze sisindise i-ego yeqembu elibusayo laseMelika eligcwele abamhlophe.
I-Australia isenkingeni, ngokwengxenye yesimo sezulu futhi ingxenye yenziwa yi-US. I-Albanese kufanele ithole futhi/noma ibonise isibindi sokuziphatha kanye nomqondo ojwayelekile. Udinga ukudalula uMorrison noDutton, into abeyiyo, nganoma yisiphi isizathu, enyanya ukuyenza; futhi udinga ukuqeda i-Marles, i-ASPI ne-American Trojan Horse. Umfelandawonye we-lop-sided uzosinda kumthamo oqinile wobukhosi base-Australia.
