Amasosha ase-US nawase-Ukraine ahambele umcimbi wokuvula izivivinyo zamasosha "RAPID TRIDENT-2021".
NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Mashi 13, i-2024
UMongameli Biden waqala inkulumo yakhe ye-State of the Union ngentukuthelo isixwayiso ukuthi ukuhluleka ukudlulisa iphakethe lakhe lezikhali zamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-61 e-Ukraine “kuzobeka i-Ukraine engozini, iYurophu ibe sengozini, izwe elikhululekile libe sengozini.” Kodwa noma ngabe isicelo sikamongameli singaphasiswa ngokuzumayo, siyomane sinwebe, futhi sibhebhethekise ngendlela eyingozi, impi enonya ecekela phansi i-Ukraine.
Ukucatshangwa kwezikhulu zezombusazwe zaseMelika ukuthi iBiden yayinesu elisebenzayo lokunqoba iRussia futhi ibuyisele imingcele yase-Ukraine yangaphambi kuka-2014 kufakazele njengephupho elilodwa lokunqoba laseMelika eliphenduke iphupho elibi. I-Ukraine ijoyine iNyakatho Korea, iVietnam, iSomalia, iKosovo, i-Afghanistan, i-Iraq, iHaiti, iLibya, iSyria, iYemen, manje neGaza, njengenye isikhumbuzo esaphukile seMelika. ubuhlanya bezempi.
Lokhu bekungaba enye yezimpi ezimfishane kakhulu emlandweni, ukube uMongameli uBiden ubesanda kusekela isivumelwano sokuthula nokungathathi hlangothi okwaxoxwa ngaso eTurkey ngoMashi nango-Ephreli 2022 ama-champagne corks kuqhamuka eKyiv, ngokusho kwengxoxo yase-Ukraine u-Oleksiy Arestovych. Esikhundleni salokho, i-US ne-NATO bakhetha ukunweba futhi bakhulise impi njengendlela yokuzama ukunqoba nokwenza buthaka iRussia.
Ezinsukwini ezimbili ngaphambi kwenkulumo ye-Biden's State of the Union, uNobhala Wezwe uBlinken umemezele ukwesula kusenesikhathi kweSekela LikaNobhala Wezwe uVictoria Nuland, esinye sezikhulu ezibambe iqhaza kakhulu eminyakeni eyishumi yenqubomgomo yase-US eyaba yinhlekelele ngase-Ukraine.
Emasontweni amabili ngaphambi kokumenyezelwa kokuthatha umhlalaphansi kukaNuland eneminyaka engama-62, uvumile enkulumweni yakhe eCentre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) ukuthi impi yase-Ukraine isiphenduke yaba impi yobandlululo ayiqhathanisa neMpi Yezwe Yokuqala. , futhi yena avunyelwe ukuthi abaphathi beBiden babengenaPlan B ye-Ukraine uma iCongress ingakhwehleli ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-61 ukuthola izikhali ezengeziwe.
Asazi noma uNuland waxoshwa ngenkani, noma mhlawumbe wayeka ebhikisha ngenxa yenqubomgomo ayilwela waze yamlahlekela. Kunoma ikuphi, ukugibela kwakhe ekushoneni kwelanga kuvulela abanye umnyango ukuze benze i-Plan B edingeka kakhulu yase-Ukraine.
Okubalulekile kumele kube wukuhlela indlela yokubuyela emuva kule mpi yokungezwani engenathemba kodwa elokhu ikhula njalo iye etafuleni lezingxoxo i-US neBrithani abaliphakamisa ngo-Ephreli 2022 - noma okungenani baye ezingxoxweni ezintsha ngesisekelo sokuthi uMongameli Zelenskyy. kuchazwe ngo-March 27, 2022, lapho etshela abantu bakhe, “Umgomo wethu usobala: ukuthula nokubuyisela ukuphila okuvamile endaweni yakithi ngokushesha ngangokunokwenzeka.”
Esikhundleni salokho, ngoFebhuwari 26, uphawu olukhathazayo kakhulu lokuthi inqubomgomo yamanje ye-NATO iholela kuphi, uMongameli waseFrance u-Emmanuel Macron wembula ukuthi abaholi baseYurophu ababehlangene eParis baxoxisane ngokuthumela isibalo esikhulu samasosha aphansi aseNtshonalanga e-Ukraine.
UMacron uveze ukuthi amalungu e-NATO akhuphule kancane ukwesekwa kwawo afinyelela emazingeni abengacabangeki lapho impi iqala. Waqokomisa isibonelo seJalimane, eyanikeza i-Ukraine izigqoko zokuzivikela kanye nezikhwama zokulala ekuqaleni kwengxabano futhi manje ithi i-Ukraine idinga imicibisholo eyengeziwe namathangi. “Abantu ababethi “akasoze” namuhla yilabo ababethi akukaze kube khona izindiza, akukaze kube nemicibisholo ejikijelwayo yebanga elide, akukaze kube namaloli. Bakusho konke lokho eminyakeni emibili edlule,” uMacron ukhunjulwe. “Kufanele sizithobe futhi siqonde ukuthi (besihlale) sekwephuzile ngezinyanga eziyisithupha kuya kweziyisishiyagalombili.”
UMacron uveze ukuthi, njengoba impi ishuba, amazwe e-NATO angagcina ethumele awawo amabutho e-Ukraine, futhi waveza ukuthi kufanele bakwenze lokho maduze kunokuba baphinde balwe kabusha uma befuna ukubuyisela impi.
Ukusikisela nje kwamasosha aseNtshonalanga alwa e-Ukraine kubangele ukukhala ngaphakathi eFrance-kusuka kwesokudla okwedlulele ku-National Rally kuya kwesobunxele i-La France Insoumise-nakwamanye amazwe e-NATO. UChancellor waseJalimane u-Olaf Scholz wagcizelela ukuthi abahlanganyeli emhlanganweni “babevumelana ngazwi linye” ekuphikisaneni nokuthumela amasosha. Izikhulu zaseRussia waxwayiswa ukuthi isinyathelo esinjalo singasho impi phakathi kweRussia neNATO.
Kepha njengoba umongameli kanye nondunankulu wasePoland beya eWashington emhlanganweni weWhite House ngoFebhuwari 12, uNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle wasePoland. Radek Sikorski utshele iphalamende lasePoland ukuthi ukuthumela amasosha e-NATO e-Ukraine "akunangqondo."
Kungenzeka ukuthi inhloso kaMacron bekuwukuveza le nkulumo-mpikiswano obala futhi aqede imfihlo ezungeze inqubomgomo engashiwongo yokunyukela kancane kancane kwempi egcwele neRussia iNtshonalanga eseyilandele iminyaka emibili.
UMacron wehlulekile ukusho esidlangalaleni ukuthi, ngaphansi kwenqubomgomo yamanje, amabutho e-NATO asevele engene ngokujulile empini. Phakathi amanga amaningi lokho uMongameli Biden akushilo enkulumweni yakhe yeSimo SeNyunyana, wagcizelela ukuthi "awekho amasosha aseMelika empini e-Ukraine."
Nokho, i-trove ye-Pentagon amadokhumenti okuputshulwe ngoMashi 2023 kuhlanganisa nokuhlola ukuthi sekukhona okungenani amasosha akhethekile angama-97 e-NATO asebenza e-Ukraine, okuhlanganisa nama-50 aseBrithani, ayi-14 aseMelika kanye namaFulentshi ayi-15. U-Admiral John Kirby, okhulumela uMkhandlu Kazwelonke Wezokuphepha, uphinde wavuma "ukuba khona kwezempi yase-US encane" ezinze eNxusa laseMelika e-Kyiv ukuzama ukulandelela izinkulungwane zamathani ezikhali zase-US njengoba zifika e-Ukraine.
Kepha amabutho amaningi ase-US, kungaba ngaphakathi noma ngaphandle kwe-Ukraine, abambe iqhaza ekuhleleni amasosha ase-Ukraine ukusebenza; ukuhlinzeka ngobuhlakani besathelayithi; futhi udlale kubalulekile izindima ekuqondisweni kwezikhali zase-US. Isikhulu sase-Ukraine sitshele iWashington Post ukuthi amabutho ase-Ukraine awakaze adubule amarokhethi e-HIMARS ngaphandle kwedatha eqondile eqondiswe ngamasosha ase-US eYurophu.
Wonke la mabutho ase-US kanye ne-NATO nakanjani "asempini e-Ukraine." Ukuba sempini ezweni elinezinombolo ezincane kuphela “zamabhuzu aphansi” kube wuphawu lwempi ye-21st Century US, njengoba noma yimuphi umshayeli weNavy ophethe indiza noma i-drone opharetha e-Nevada angafakaza. Yile mfundiso impela “yempi elinganiselwe” kanye nempi yommeleli esengozini yokuphuma ekulawuleni e-Ukraine, idedela iMpi Yezwe Yesithathu uMongameli Biden anayo. wafunga ukuthi uzogwema.
I-United States kanye ne-NATO bazamile ukugcina ukudlondlobala kwempi ngaphansi kokulawula ngokukhuphuka ngamabomu, okwandayo kwezinhlobo zezikhali abazihlinzekayo kanye nokuqapha, ukwanda okuyimfihlo kokubandakanyeka kwabo. Lokhu kuqhathaniswe nokuthi “ukubilisa ixoxo,” enyusa ukushisa kancane kancane ukuze agweme noma yikuphi ukunyakaza okungazelelwe okungase kweqe “umugqa obomvu” wesiRashiya bese kucupha a impi egcwele phakathi kwe-NATO neRussia. Kodwa njengoba uNobhala-Jikelele we-NATO uJens Stoltenberg exwayise ngoDisemba 2022, "Uma izinto zingahambi kahle, zingahamba kabi kakhulu."
Sekuyisikhathi eside sididwa yilokhu kungqubuzana okusobala enhliziyweni yenqubomgomo yase-US kanye ne-NATO. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, siyakholelwa uMongameli Biden lapho ethi akafuni ukuqala World War III. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, yilokho inqubomgomo yakhe yokwenyuka kwezinga eliholela kukho ngokungenakuvinjelwa.
Amalungiselelo e-US empi neRussia asevele engqubuzana nesibopho esikhona sokuqukatha ukungqubuzana. NgoNovemba 2022, Isichibiyelo se-Reed-Inhofe ku-FY2023 National Defence Authorization Act (NDAA) encengelwe amandla ezimo eziphuthumayo ngesikhathi sempi ukugunyaza uhlu lokuthenga olungavamile lwezikhali ezifana nalezi ezithunyelwe e-Ukraine, futhi zigunyazwe amadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane, izivumelwano zeminyaka eminingi zokungabhidi nabakhiqizi bezikhali zokuthenga i-10 izikhathi ezingu-20 inani lezikhali i-United States eyayinazo. empeleni ithunyelwe e-Ukraine.
UColonel Mark OwaseMhlalaphansi Wasolwandle I-Cancian, owayeyinduna ye-Force Structure and Investment Division eHhovisi Lokuphatha Nesabelomali, wachaza, “Lokhu akuthathi indawo esikunikeze yona [e-Ukraine]. Yakha izinqolobane zempi enkulu yaphansi [neRussia] esikhathini esizayo.”
Ngakho-ke i-United States ilungiselela ukulwa nempi enkulu yaphansi neRussia, kodwa izikhali zokulwa naleyo mpi kuzothatha iminyaka ukukhiqiza, futhi, noma ngaphandle kwazo, ezingakhula ngokushesha zibe impi. impi yenuzi. Ukuthatha umhlalaphansi ngaphambi kwesikhathi kukaNuland kungaba umphumela weBiden kanye nethimba lakhe lenqubomgomo yezangaphandle ekugcineni sebeqala ukubhekana nezingozi ezikhona zezinqubomgomo ezinonya azilwela.
Ngaleso sikhathi, ukunyuka kweRussia kusukela “kuMsebenzi Okhethekile Wezempi” okulinganiselwe kuya kwamanje. ukuzibophezela ka-7% we-GDP yayo ekukhiqizeni impi nezikhali kudlule ukukhuphuka kwamazwe aseNtshonalanga, hhayi nje ekukhiqizeni izikhali kodwa emandleni nasemandleni ezempi angempela.
Umuntu angasho ukuthi iRussia iyayinqoba impi, kodwa lokho kuya ngokuthi yiziphi izinjongo zayo zempi zangempela. Kunegebe elizamulayo phakathi kwenkulumo kaBiden nabanye abaholi baseNtshonalanga mayelana nezifiso zaseRussia zokuhlasela amanye amazwe ase-Europe nalokho iRussia eyayikulungele ukukuxazulula ezingxoxweni ezaziseTurkey ngo-2022, lapho ivuma ukuhoxa ezikhundleni zayo zangaphambi kwempi. njengembuyiselo yokuzibophezela okulula kokungathathi hlangothi kwase-Ukraine.
Naphezu kwesimo esibuthakathaka kakhulu se-Ukraine ngemva kokuhluleka kwayo kokuhlasela kuka-2023 kanye nokuvikela kwayo okumba eqolo kanye nokulahlekelwa kwe-Avdiivka, amabutho aseRussia awagijimi e-Kyiv, noma ngisho nase-Kharkiv, e-Odesa noma emngceleni wemvelo woMfula i-Dnipro.
Reuters eMoscow Bureau kubika ukuthi iRussia yachitha izinyanga izama ukuvula izingxoxo ezintsha ne-United States ngasekupheleni kuka-2023, kodwa lokho, ngoJanuwari 2024, Umeluleki Wezokuphepha Kuzwelonke uJake Sullivan wavala lowo mnyango ngokwenqaba ngokuphelele ukuxoxisana nge-Ukraine.
Okuwukuphela kwendlela yokuthola ukuthi iRussia ifunani ngempela, noma ukuthi izoxazulula ini, wukubuyela etafuleni lezingxoxo. Zonke izinhlangothi zisebenzisane amademoni futhi zabeka izikhundla eziphezulu, kodwa yilokho okwenziwa yizizwe ezilwayo ukuze zithethelele ukuzinikela ezikufunayo kubantu bazo kanye nokwenqaba kwazo ezinye izindlela zezobunxusa.
Izingxoxo ezinzima zamanxusa manje sezibalulekile ukuze kwehle ku-nitty-gritty yalokho okuzodingeka ukuletha ukuthula e-Ukraine. Siyaqiniseka ukuthi kukhona amakhanda ahlakaniphile ngaphakathi kwe-US, French kanye nabanye ohulumeni be-NATO abakusho lokhu futhi, ngemuva kweminyango evaliwe, futhi lokho kungase kube isizathu sokuthi kungani uNuland ephumile nokuthi kungani uMacron ekhuluma ngokukhululekile mayelana nokuthi inqubomgomo yamanje ibhekephi. Sithemba ngobuqotho ukuthi kunjalo, nokuthi i-Biden's Plan B izoholela emuva etafuleni lezingxoxo, bese idlulisela ekuthuleni e-Ukraine.
UMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies bangababhali be Impi e-Ukraine: Ukwenza Umuzwa Wengxabano Engenangqondo, eshicilelwe yi-OR Books ngoNovemba 2022.
UMedea Benjamin ungumsunguli we CODEPINK for Ukuthula, kanye nombhali wezincwadi eziningana, kuhlanganise Ngaphakathi kwe-Iran: Umlando Weqiniso Nezombangazwe YeRiphabhulikhi Yase-Islamic yase-Iran.
UNicolas JS Davies uyintatheli ezimele, umcwaningi weCODEPINK kanye nombhali we Igazi ezandleni Zethu: I-American Invasion kanye nokubhujiswa kwe-Iraq.
