Izindlela eziyi-10 Izenzo zikaTrump ngokumelene ne-Iran zilimaze abaseMelika kanye nesifunda

NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, ngoJanuwari 10, 2020

Ukubulawa kwabantu baseMelika uGeneral Qassem Soleimani akukaze kusenze silwele impi egcwele ne-Iran ngenxa yokuphendula okulinganiselwe kukahulumeni wase-Iran, okukhombisile amandla ayo ngaphandle kokulimaza amasosha ase-US noma ekwephuleni ingxabano. Kepha ingozi yempi egcwele ngokuphelele isekhona, futhi isenzo sikaDonald Trump sesivele sibanga usizi.

Ukuphahlazeka kambi kwendiza yabagibeli baseKukran eshiye 176 ifile kungenzeka kube yisibonelo sokuqala salokhu, uma ngabe ngempela yadutshulwa yibhanoyi lase-Iran lase-jittery elaliphethe kabi inkampani yezindiza ngeplanethi yezempi yaseMelika.

Izenzo zikaTrump zenza isifunda, nabantu baseMelika, baphephe okungenani ngezindlela eziyishumi ezibalulekile.

 1. Umphumela wokuqala wama-Trump blunders ungahle ube ukwanda kokushona kwempi yaseMelika ngaphesheya kwe-Middle East enkulu. Ngenkathi lokhu kugwenywa ekubuyiselweni kokuqala kwe-Iran, abezempi base-Iraq naseHezbollah eLebanon sebevele benakho wafunga ukufuna ukuziphindiselela ngokufa kukaSoleimani namasosha ase-Iraq. Izisekelo zamasosha ase-US, izimpi zempi kanye cishe i-80,000 Amasosha ase-US esifundeni ahleli amadada ukuphindisela yi-Iran, abalingani bawo kanye nanoma yiliphi elinye iqembu elicasulwe isenzo se-US noma limane linqume ukuxhaphaza le nkinga eyenziwe nge-US.

Ukufa kwempi yaseMelika kokuqala ngemuva kwezimpi nokubulawa kwabantu e-US e-Iraq amaMelika amathathu abulawa ngu-Al-Shabab eKenya ngoJanuwari 5th. Ukukhuphuka ngokwengeziwe kwe-US ngokuphendula i-Iranian kanye nokunye ukuhlaselwa kwabantu baseMelika kuzokwandisa lo mjikelezo wobudlova.

2. Izenzo zaseMelika zempi e-Iraq ziye zalimaza ngisho ukwehla ngokwengeziwe nokuqina kokuqina esifundeni esivele sidlakazwe yimpi nesiqhumane. Umngane osondelene ne-US, iSaudi Arabia, ubona imizamo yayo yokuxazulula izingxabano zayo neQatar neKuwait iphonswa engcupheni, futhi manje kuzoba nzima ukuthola isisombululo sezombusazwe empini eyinhlekelele e-Yemen – lapho abaseSaudis nabase-Iran behlukene khona izinhlangothi zempi.

Ukubulawa kukaSoleimani kungenzeka futhi kucekele phansi inqubo yokuthula namaTaliban ase-Afghanistan. IShiite Iran ngokomlando yayiphikisana namaSunni Taliban, kanti uSoleimani waze wasebenza ne-United States ngemuva kokuketulwa kweMelika kweTaliban ngo-2001. Manje isimo sesishintshile. Njengoba i-United States ibilokhu ihlanganyela ezingxoxweni zokuthula namaTaliban, kanjalo ne-Iran. Ama-Irani manje asekulungele ukuhlangana neTaliban ngokumelene ne-United States. Isimo esiyinkimbinkimbi e-Afghanistan kungenzeka sidonsele ePakistan, omunye umdlali obalulekile esifundeni esinabantu abaningi baseShiite. Bobabili ohulumeni base-Afghan nasePakistan sebevele benayo bazwakalise ukwesaba kwabo ukuthi ukungqubuzana kwe-US-Iran kungadala udlame olungalawuleki emhlabathini wabo.

Njengokunye ukungenelela kwe-US okubona nje okufushane nokubhubhisayo eMiddle East, ukushayisana kukaTrump kungenzeka kube nemiphumela engahlosiwe ezindaweni eziningi abantu baseMelika abangakaze bezwe ngayo, besebenzisa uchungechunge olusha lwezinkinga zenqubomgomo yezangaphandle zase-US.

3. Ukuhlaselwa kukaTrump kwe-Iran kungenzeka empeleni hlinzeka isitha esivamile, i-Islamic State, ongasizakala ngezinxushunxushu ezidalwe e-Iraq. Ngenxa yobukhokheli bukaJenene Soleimani wase-Iran, i-Iran yadlala indima enkulu ekulweni ne-ISIS, cishe ochotshoziwe ngokuphelele ngonyaka ka-2018 ngemuva kwempi yeminyaka emine.

Ukubulawa kukaSoleimani kungaba yisibusiso ezinsaleleni ze-ISIS ngokuvusa intukuthelo kwabase-Iraq ngokumelene nemesis yeqembu, abaseMelika, nokwakha uqhekeko olusha phakathi kwamabutho – kubandakanya i-Iran ne-United States – abekade elwa ne-ISIS. Ngaphezu kwalokho, umfelandawonye oholwa yi-US obulokhu ulandela i-ISIS une "kumiswe okwesikhashana"Umkhankaso wawo wokulwa ne-Islamic State ukuze ulungele ukuhlaselwa okungenzeka ukuthi kube nokuhlaselwa kwe-Iranian ezisekelweni zase-Iraq eziphethe amasosha omfelandawonye, ​​okunikeze elinye ithuba lokuvula i-Islamic State.

 4. I-Iran imemezele ukuthi iyahoxa kuyo yonke imikhawulo yokucebisa i-uranium ebeziyingxenye yesivumelwano senuzi se-2015 JCPOA. I-Iran ayikaze ihoxe ngokusemthethweni kwi-JCPOA, futhi ayikwenqabanga ukuphathwa kwamazwe omhlaba ngohlelo lwayo lwenyukliya, kepha lokhu kunjalo igxathu elilodwa ekwambuleni isivumelwano senuzi ukuthi umphakathi wezwe wasekela. UTrump wayezimisele ukudicilela phansi i-JCPOA ngokudonsa i-US ngonyaka ka-2018, futhi ukwanda ngakunye kwe-US unswinity, izinsongo kanye nokusebenzisa amandla ngokumelene ne-Iran kwenza buthaka i-JCPOA futhi yenze ukuwa kwayo ngokuphelele kube ngaphezulu.

 5. Abaphula umthetho kaTrump zacekela phansi ithonya elincane i-US eyayinayo nohulumeni wase-Iraq. Lokhu kucace bha ngokuvota kwePhalamende kwakamuva nje ukuze kuxoshwe amasosha aseMelika. Ngenkathi amasosha ase-US elindele ukuhamba ngaphandle kwezingxoxo ezinde, ezakhishwa, amavoti angu-170-0 (amaSunnis namaKurds awazange avele), kanye nesixuku esikhulu esaphuma ukuhlangana nomngcwabo kaSoleimani Ukubulawa kwabantu kubuye kwavuselela imizwa enkulu yokulwa namaMelika e-Iraq.

Ukubulawa kwabantu sekuphinde kwaqeda ukugqekeza kwase-Iraq inhlangano yentando yeningi. Ngaphandle kwengcindezelo enonya eyabulala ababhikishi abangaphezu kuka-400, intsha yase-Iraq yahlangana ngo-2019 ifuna uhulumeni omusha ongenayo inkohlakalo nokuphathwa kabi ngabezizwe. Baphumelele ekuphoqeleleni ukwesula kukaNdunankulu u-Adil Abdul-Mahdi, kepha bafuna ukubuyisa ngokuphelele ubukhosi base-Iraq kubaphaphethi abakhohlakele base-US nabase-Iranian abaphathe i-Iraq kusukela ngo-2003. Manje umsebenzi wabo usudidekile ngenxa yezenzo zase-US eziqinise kuphela Abezombusazwe namaqembu ase-Iran.

6. Omunye umphumela ongenakugwenywa wenqubomgomo kaTrump ye-Iran yehlulekile ukuthi iqinisa amaqembu aqinile, amaqembu aqinile e-Iran. Njenge-US namanye amazwe, i-Iran inezombusazwe zayo zangaphakathi, enemibono ehlukile. UMongameli Rouhani kanye noNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle uZarif, owaxoxisana ne-JCPOA, bavela ophikweni lwezinguquko e-Iran okholelwa ukuthi i-Iran ingakwazi futhi kufanele ifinyelele kwezokuxhumana kuwo wonke umhlaba futhi izame ukuxazulula izingxabano zayo esezinesikhathi eside ne-US Kodwa kukhona futhi iphiko elinamandla elilondolozayo elikholelwa ukuthi i-US izibophezele ekubhubhiseni i-Iran ngakho-ke alisoze lafeza noma yiziphi izibopho elizenzayo. Qagela ukuthi yiliphi uhlangothi uTrump aqinisekisa futhi aqinise ngenqubomgomo yakhe enesihluku yokubulawa kwabantu, unswinyo nokusongelwa?

Noma umongameli olandelayo wase-US ezibophezele ngempela ekuthuleni ne-Iran, angagcina ehleli ngaphesheya kwetafula kubaholi base-Iranian abanesizotha abathi, ngesizathu esihle, bangathembi lutho abaholi baseMelika abazibophezele kulo.

Ukubulawa kukaSoleimani kumise nemibhikisho ethandwayo eyayisenziwa ngohulumeni wase-Iran eyaqala ngoNovemba 2019 futhi yahlukunyezwa ngonya. Esikhundleni salokho, abantu manje baveza ukuphikisana kwabo ne-US

 7. Amaphutha kaTrump kungenzeka utshani bokugcina babangane nabangane baseMelika abanamathele e-US ngeminyaka engama-20 yenqubomgomo yezangaphandle yase-US ekhubazekile nebhubhisayo. Izimbangi zase-Europe azivumelani nokukhishwa kukaTrump kwisivumelwano senuzi futhi bazamile, yize kunjalo, ukukusindisa. Ngenkathi uTrump ezama ukuhlanganisa iqembu lamasosha aphesheya kwezilwandle ukuvikela ukuthunyelwa eStrait of Hormuz ngonyaka ka-2019, yi-UK kuphela, i-Australia kanye nezinye izifundazwe zasePersian Gulf ezazifuna noma iyiphi ingxenye yalokho, futhi manje amazwe ayishumi ase-Europe nakwamanye amazwe ayajoyina ukusebenza okuhlukile eholwa yiFrance.

Engqungqutheleni yabezindaba kaJanuwari 8, uTrump wanxusa iNATO ukuthi ibambe iqhaza elikhulu eMiddle East, kodwa uTrump ubelokhu evuthela futhi ebanda kwiNATO – kwesinye isikhathi eyibiza ngokuthi ayisasebenzi futhi esabisa ngokuhoxa. Ngemuva kokubulawa kukaTrump komphathi omkhulu wase-Iran, abalingani beNATO baqala ukuhoxiswa amabutho avela e-Iraq, okubonisa ukuthi abafuni ukubanjwa lapho kuqubuka impi kaTrump e-Iran.

Ngokukhula komnotho kweChina, kanye nezombusazwe zamazwe omhlaba zaseRussia ezivuselelwe, amagagasi omlando ayashintsha futhi umhlaba onamacala amaningi uyavela. Ngokuya ngokwanda komhlaba, ikakhulukazi eningizimu yomhlaba wonke, ubona impi yase-US njengengemfu yamandla amakhulu afiphele ukuzama ukugcina isikhundla sayo esiphakeme emhlabeni. Mangaki amathuba okuthi i-US ekugcineni ithole leli lungelo futhi izitholele indawo esemthethweni ezweni elisha elizamile futhi lehluleka ukubamba lapho izalwa?

8. Izenzo zase-US e-Iraq zephula umthetho wamazwe omhlaba, wasekhaya nowe-Iraq, ukubeka isigaba sezwe lokungabi namthetho okukhulu kakhulu. I-International Association of Democratic Lawyers (IADL) isibhalile isitatimende echaza ukuthi kungani ukuhlaselwa kanye nokubulawa kwabantu e-Iraq e-Iraq kungafaneleki njengezenzo zokuzivikela kanti empeleni kuyizenzo zobulelova ezephula uMthethosisekelo we-UN. UTrump uphinde wathumela nge-imeyili ukuthi iMelika isilungele ukushaya izingosi ezingama-52 e-Iran, kubandakanya nemigomo yezamasiko, nayo ezobe yephula umthetho wamazwe omhlaba.

Amalungu eCongress athukuthele ukuthi ukuhlaselwa kwamasosha kukaTrump kwephule uMthethosisekelo wase-US, ngoba i-Article I idinga ukuvunywa kwenhlangano ngezenzo ezinjalo zamasosha. Abaholi be-DRM abaze baziswa ngesiteleka saseSoleimani ngaphambi kokuthi senzeke, kungasaphathwa-ke ukuthi bacelwe ukuthi basigunyaze. Amalungu eCongress manje izama ukunqanda Trump kusuka ukuya empini ne-Iran.

Okwenziwe nguTrump e-Iraq nakho kwephule umthetho-sisekelo wase-Iraq, abase-US basiza ukubhala nokuthi yikuphi ezinqatshelwe ukusebenzisa insimu yezwe ukulimaza omakhelwane bayo.

 9. Ukuhamba kukaTrump okunolaka kuqinisa abenzi bezikhali. Iqembu elilodwa labanentshisekelo e-US linesheke esingenalutho sokuhlasela uMgcinimafa wase-US futhi lenze inzuzo kuyo yonke impi yase-US nokwandiswa kwezempi: isakhiwo sezempi nezimboni uMongameli Eisenhower axwayisa ngaso abantu baseMelika ngo-1960. Ngaphandle kokulalela isiyeleliso sakhe, sivumele lokhu kubonga ukukhuphula amandla alo nokulawulwa kwenqubomgomo yase-US.

Amanani esitoko wezinkampani zezikhali zase-US asevele akhuphukile kusukela ukubulawa kwabantu base-US kanye nezindiza e-Iraq kanye nabaphathi bezinkampani zezikhali sekuvele sezivele ngokucebile kakhulu. Abezindaba baseMelika bebelokhu beqotha uhlu olujwayelekile lwabasebenza ezinkampanini zezikhali kanye namalungu ebhodi ukushaya izigubhu zempi futhi bancoma ukushisa kukaTrump - ngenkathi bethule ukuthi bazuza kanjani bona uqobo.

Uma sivumela inkampani yezempi yezimboni ukuthi yenze impi yayo ne-Iran, izokhipha izigidigidi, mhlawumbe izigidigidi, ngaphezulu kwizisetshenziswa esizidingayo kangaka kwezempilo, ezemfundo kanye nezinsizakalo zomphakathi, futhi senze umhlaba ube yindawo eyingozi kakhulu.

10. Noma yikuphi ukwanda okukhona phakathi kwe-US ne-Iran kungaba inhlekelele emnothweni wezwe, esivele sigibela i-roller-coaster ngenxa yezimpi zokuhweba zikaTrump. I-Asia isengozini ikakhulukazi kunoma yikuphi ukuphazamiseka kokuthengiswa kukawoyela e-Iraq, esethembele kuye njengoba ukukhiqizwa kwe-Iraq sekukhuphukile. Isifunda esikhulu sePersian Gulf siyikhaya elinabantu abaningi kakhulu abafinyelela emithonjeni yamafutha negesi, okokuhlanza namathangi emhlabeni.  Ukuhlasela okukodwa isivele ivaliwe ingxenye yokukhiqizwa kuka-Saudi Arabia ngoSepthemba, futhi lokho bekungukunambitheka okuncane kwalokho okufanele sikulindele uma iMelika iqhubeka nokwanda impi yayo ne-Iran.

Isiphetho

Ukufakelwa kukaTrump kusibuyisele emuva endleleni eya empini eyinhlekelele yangempela, nemingcele yamanga evimba zonke izindlela ezivulekile. Izimpi zaseKorea, iVietnam, i-Iraq kanye ne-Afghanistan zidle izimpilo zabantu, zashiya igunya lomhlaba jikelele lokuziphatha laseMelika emgodini futhi lazidalula njengezimpi futhi ziyingozi amandla ombuso emehlweni omhlaba omningi. Uma sehluleka ukudonsa abaholi bethu abakhohlisiwe babuya emaphethelweni, impi yaseMelika e-Iran ingakhomba ukuphela okuyihlazo kwesikhathi sobukhosi bezwe lethu futhi ivimbe indawo yezwe lethu phakathi kwabahlaseli abahlulekile izwe elibakhumbula ngokuyinhloko njengabavukeli bomlando wesintu .

Ngenye indlela, thina, bantu baseMelika, singavuka ukunqoba amandla enkampani yezempi nezimboni futhi phatha ikusasa lezwe lethu. Imibhikisho elwa nempi eyenzeka ezweni lonke iyisibonakaliso esihle sokuzwela komphakathi. Lesi yisikhathi esibucayi sokuthi abantu balesi sizwe bavuke endaweni ebonakala kakhulu, ngesibindi nangokuzimisela ukumisa uhlanya eWhite House kanye nokufunwa, ngezwi elilodwa elikhulu: Hhayi. OKUNINGI. IMFAZWE.

UMedea uBenjamini, umsunguli weCODEPINK for Ukuthula, ungumbhali wezincwadi eziningana, kufaka phakathiNgaphakathi kwe-Iran: Umlando Weqiniso Nezombangazwe YeRiphabhulikhi Yase-Islamic yase-Iran futhiUmbuso Wabangalungile: Ngokwe-US-Saudi Connection.

UNicolas JS Davies yintatheli ezimele, umcwaningi weCODEPINK, nombhali weIgazi ezandleni Zethu: I-American Invasion kanye nokubhujiswa kwe-Iraq.