NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Februwari 17, 2022
Yonke imihla izisa ingxolo entsha kunye nobushushu kwingxaki yaseUkraine, uninzi luvela eWashington. Kodwa yintoni enokwenzeka ngokwenene?
Kukho iimeko ezintathu ezinokubakho:
Eyokuqala kukuba iRussia iya kuqalisa ngequbuliso uhlaselo olungaphendukiyo lwaseUkraine.
Okwesibini kukuba urhulumente wase-Ukraine e-Kyiv uya kuqalisa ukunyuka kwemfazwe yakhe yombutho ngokuchasene ne-self-declared People's Republics yaseDonetsk (I-DPRkunye neLuhansk (I-LPR), exhokonxa iimvakalelo ezahlukahlukeneyo ezivela kwamanye amazwe.
Okwesithathu kukuba akukho nanye kwezi eya kwenzeka, kwaye ingxaki iya kudlula ngaphandle kokunyuka okukhulu kwemfazwe kwixesha elifutshane.
Ngoko ngubani oya kwenza ntoni, yaye amanye amazwe aya kusabela njani kwimeko nganye?
Uhlaselo lwaseRashiya olungavumelekanga
Oku kubonakala kusesona siphumo sincinci.
Uhlaselo lokwenyani lwaseRussia luya kukhupha iziphumo ezingalindelekanga kunye nezimbi ezinokunyuka ngokukhawuleza, ezikhokelela kwiingxwelerha zabantu abaninzi, ingxaki entsha yababaleki eYurophu, imfazwe phakathi kweRussia neNATO, okanye nokuba. imfazwe yenyukliya.
Ukuba iRussia ibifuna ukubamba i-DPR kunye ne-LPR, ngeyenze njalo phakathi kwengxaki eyalandela Ubhukuqo-mbuso oluxhaswa yi-US e-Ukraine ngo-2014. IRashiya sele ijongene nempendulo enomsindo yaseNtshona malunga nokufakwa kwayo kweCrimea, ngoko ke iindleko zamazwe ngamazwe zokudibanisa i-DPR kunye ne-LPR, nazo zazicela ukuba buyela eRashiya, ngebengaphantsi kunangoku.
Endaweni yoko iRashiya yamkela isikhundla esiqingqwe ngocoselelo apho yanika iiRiphabliki kuphela inkxaso efihlakeleyo yomkhosi nezopolitiko. Ukuba iRussia ibikulungele ngokwenene ukubeka umngcipheko ngakumbi ngoku kunango-2014, oko bekuya kuba ngumboniso owoyikekayo wokuba ubudlelwane base-US-Russia batshone kangakanani na.
Ukuba iRussia isungula uhlaselo olungafunwayo lwe-Ukraine okanye ihlomele i-DPR kunye ne-LPR, uBiden sele etshilo ukuba i-United States kunye ne-NATO ziya ungalwi ngokuthe ngqo Imfazwe neRashiya phezu kweUkraine, nangona eso sithembiso sinokuvavanywa ngokuqatha ngookhetshe kwiCongress kunye ne-media hellbent ekuvuseleleni i-anti-Russia hysteria.
Nangona kunjalo, i-United States kunye namahlakani ayo ngokuqinisekileyo baya kuwisa izohlwayo ezitsha eRashiya, beqinisa ulwahlulo lwezoqoqosho nezopolitiko lwehlabathi phakathi kwe-United States kunye namahlakani ayo kwelinye icala, kunye neRashiya, i-China kunye namahlakani abo kwelinye. Umnumzana Biden uyakufezekisa iMfazwe ebandayo egcweleyo apho abalawuli baseMelika bebepheka ishumi leminyaka, kwaye kubonakala ngathi yinjongo engachazwanga yale ngxaki yenziweyo.
Ngokubhekiselele kwiYurophu, injongo ye-geopolitical yase-US ngokucacileyo kukwenza ukuchithwa okupheleleyo kobudlelwane phakathi kweRashiya kunye ne-European Union (EU), ukubopha iYurophu kwi-United States. Ukunyanzela iJamani ukuba irhoxise i-11 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ze-Nord Stream 2 yegesi yendalo evela eRashiya ngokuqinisekileyo iya kwenza iJamani ngakumbi. kuxhomekeke kumandla kwi-US kunye namahlakani ayo. Isiphumo esipheleleyo siya kuba kanye njengoko iNkosi u-Ismay, uNobhala Jikelele wokuqala we-NATO, echazwe xa watshoyo izizathu Lo mfelandawonye yayikukugcina “amaRashiya engaphandle, amaMerika ngaphakathi namaJamani ephantsi.”
I-Brexit (ukusuka e-UK kwi-EU) yavala i-UK kwi-EU kwaye yaqinisa "ubudlelwane obukhethekileyo" kunye nobudlelwane bomkhosi kunye ne-United States. Kule ngxaki ikhoyo ngoku, lo mfelandawonye we-US-UK udibana kwakhona nendima eyidlalileyo kubunjineli bezozakuzo kunye neemfazwe e-Iraq ngo-1991 nango-2003.
Namhlanje, i-China kunye ne-European Union (ekhokelwa yiFransi neJamani) zizo zombini ezikhokelayo amaqabane orhwebo kumazwe amaninzi ehlabathi, isikhundla esasifudula sihlala yi-United States. Ukuba isicwangciso sase-US kule ngxaki siyaphumelela, siya kumisa i-Iron Curtain entsha phakathi kweRashiya kunye neYurophu iphela ukuba ibophe ngokungenakuhluthwa i-EU e-United States kwaye iyithintele ekubeni ibe yipali ezimeleyo kwihlabathi elitsha le-multipolar. Ukuba uBiden uyayisusa le nto, uya kube ewucuthile “uloyiso” olubhiyozelwayo lwaseMelika kwiMfazwe ebandayo ukuze adilize nje i-Iron Curtain kwaye ayakhe kumakhulu ambalwa eemayile ukuya empuma kwiminyaka engama-30 kamva.
Kodwa uBiden unokuzama ukuvala ucango lwebhadi emva kokuba ihashe libotshiwe. I-EU sele inamandla oqoqosho azimeleyo. Yahlukene ngokwezopolitiko kwaye ngamanye amaxesha yahlukene, kodwa iyantlukwano yayo yezopolitiko ibonakala ilawuleka xa ithelekiswa nezopolitiko ingxabano, rhwaphilizo kwaye ubuhlwempu obugqugqisayo eUnited States. Uninzi lwabantu baseYurophu bacinga ukuba iinkqubo zabo zezopolitiko zisempilweni kwaye zilawulwa ngokwentando yesininzi kuneMelika, kwaye zibonakala zichanekile.
NjengeTshayina, i-EU kunye namalungu ayo babonisa ukuba bangamaqabane athembekileyo orhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe kunye nophuhliso olunoxolo kune-United States e-self-absorbed, capricious kunye ne-militaristic militaristic, apho amanyathelo afanelekileyo ngolawulo olunye luhlala luhlehliswa ngolulandelayo, kunye noncedo lwezempi. kunye nokuthengiswa kwezixhobo kudodobalisa amazwe (njengoko eAfrika ngoku), kwaye womeleze zolawulo kunye noorhulumente baphiko lasekunene kwihlabathi liphela.
Kodwa uhlaselo lwaseRussia olungaphendukiyo lwaseUkraine luza kuzalisekisa injongo kaBiden yokuhlukanisa iRussia kwiYurophu, ubuncinci kwixesha elifutshane. Ukuba iRashiya yayikulungele ukuhlawula loo xabiso, kuya kuba ngoku ibona i-Cold War yaseYurophu ehlaziyiweyo yi-United States kunye ne-NATO njengento engenakunqandwa kwaye ingenakunqandwa, kwaye igqibe ekubeni kufuneka idibanise kwaye iqinise ukhuseleko . Oko kuya kuthetha ukuba iRussia ineTshayina inkxaso epheleleyo ngokwenza oko, ukubhengeza ikamva elimnyama neliyingozi ngakumbi kwihlabathi liphela.
Ukunyuka kwemfazwe yamakhaya eUkraine
Imeko yesibini, ukunyuka kwemfazwe yamakhaya yimikhosi yaseUkraine, kubonakala ngathi kunokwenzeka.
Nokuba luhlaselo olupheleleyo lwe-Donbas okanye into encinci, eyona njongo yayo iphambili ngokwembono yase-US iya kuba kukuxhokonxa iRussia ukuba ingenelele ngokuthe ngqo e-Ukraine, ukuzalisekisa ingqikelelo kaBiden "yohlaselo lwaseRussia" kwaye ikhuphe ubuninzi. izohlwayo zoxinzelelo azisoyisileyo.
Ngelixa iinkokeli zaseNtshona ziye zalumkisa ngokuhlaselwa kweRussia eUkraine, iRussia, iDPR kunye namagosa eLPR aye alumkisa iinyanga ukuba imikhosi karhulumente waseUkraine iyanda imfazwe yamakhaya kwaye iye 150,000 imikhosi kunye nezixhobo ezitsha zilungele ukuhlasela i-DPR kunye ne-LPR.
Kuloo meko, i-US enkulu kunye neNtshona ukuthunyelwa kwezixhobo Ukufika e-Ukraine ngesizathu sokuthintela uhlaselo lwaseRussia ngokwenene kuya kuba nenjongo yokusetyenziswa kurhulumente waseUkraine osele ucwangcisiwe.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuba uMongameli wase-Ukraine uZelensky kunye norhulumente wakhe baceba ukukhubekisa eMpuma, kutheni basesidlangalaleni. idlala phantsi uloyiko lokuhlasela kweRashiya? Ngokuqinisekileyo baya kujoyina i-chorus evela eWashington, eLondon naseBrussels, bebeka iqonga lokukhomba iminwe yabo eRashiya ngokukhawuleza nje ukuba baqalise ukunyuka kwabo.
Kwaye kutheni amaRussia engathethi ngakumbi ekulumkiseni umhlaba ngengozi yokunyuka komkhosi wase-Ukraine ojikeleze i-DPR kunye ne-LPR? Ngokuqinisekileyo amaRussia anemithombo ebanzi yobukrelekrele ngaphakathi eUkraine kwaye ayazi ukuba ngokwenene iUkraine yayicwangcisa ukuhlasela okutsha. Kodwa abantu baseRussia babonakala bexhalabile kakhulu kukuwohloka kobudlelwane base-US-Russia kunokuba kunokuthiwa ngumkhosi waseUkraine.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iqhinga le-propaganda lase-US, i-UK kunye ne-NATO liququzelelwe ngokubonakalayo, kunye nesityhilelo esitsha "sobukrelekrele" okanye isibhengezo esikwinqanaba eliphezulu yonke imihla yenyanga. Ke yintoni abanokuthi bayibeke kwimikhono yabo? Ngaba baqinisekile ukuba banokuphosakela amaRashiya kwaye babashiye bethwele itoti ukuze benze umsebenzi wokukhohlisa onokukhuphisana eTonkin Gulf isiganeko okanye i Ubuxoki beWMD malunga neIraq?
Isicwangciso sinokuba lula kakhulu. Imikhosi karhulumente waseUkraine ihlasela. IRashiya iza kukukhusela iDPR kunye neLPR. Biden kunye UBoris Johnson khwaza “Uhlaselo,” yaye “Sikuxelele!” UMacron kunye noScholz bathetha "Uhlaselo," kwaye "Sima kunye." I-United States kunye namahlakani ayo banyanzelise "uxinzelelo olukhulu" izohlwayo kwiRussia, kwaye izicwangciso ze-NATO ze-Iron Curtain entsha kulo lonke elaseYurophu. yenza accompli.
Ukushwabana okongeziweyo kunokuba luhlobo “iflegi yobuxoki” Ingxelo yokuba amagosa ase-US nase-UK aye achaza amaxesha amaninzi. Uhlaselo lukarhulumente wase-Ukraine kwi-DPR okanye i-LPR inokugqithiswa eNtshona njenge "iflegi yobuxoki" exhokonxa yiRussia, ukuphazamisa umahluko phakathi kokunyuka kukarhulumente wase-Ukraine kwimfazwe yamakhaya kunye "nohlaselo lwaseRussia."
Akukacaci ukuba ezo zicwangciso ziya kusebenza na, okanye ziya kwahlulahlula nje i-NATO kunye neYurophu, kunye namazwe ahlukeneyo athatha izikhundla ezahlukeneyo. Okulusizi kukuba, impendulo inokuxhomekeka ngakumbi kwindlela owaphuhliswa ngayo ngobuchule kunamalungelo okanye ubugwenxa bongquzulwano.
Kodwa umbuzo obalulekileyo uya kuba ngaba amazwe e-EU akulungele ukuncama ukuzimela kunye nokuchuma kwezoqoqosho, okuxhomekeke ngokuyinxenye kunikezelo lwegesi yendalo evela eRashiya, ngenxa yeenzuzo ezingaqinisekanga kunye neendleko ezidodobalisayo zokuqhubeka nokuthobela ubukhosi base-US. IYurophu yayiza kujongana nokhetho olunzima phakathi kokubuyela ngokupheleleyo kwindima yayo yeMfazwe ebandayo kumgca ongaphambili wemfazwe yenyukliya enokubakho kunye nekamva elinoxolo, nentsebenziswano i-EU iye yakha kancinci kancinci ukusukela ngo-1990.
Abantu abaninzi baseYurophu baphoxekile ngoku neoliberal ucwangco lwezoqoqosho nezopolitiko i-EU yamkele, kodwa yayikukuthobela iUnited States okwabakhokelela ezantsi kuloo ndlela yegadi kwasekuqaleni. Ukuqinisa kunye nokwenza nzulu oko kuthobela ngoku kuya kudibanisa i-plutocracy kunye nokungalingani okugqithisileyo kwe-neoliberalism ekhokelwa yi-US, ingakhokeli kwindlela yokuphuma kuyo.
UBiden unokubaleka etyhola abantu baseRussia ngayo yonke into xa ejongana nookhetshe kwaye elungiselela iikhamera zeTV eWashington. Kodwa oorhulumente baseYurophu banezabo ii-arhente zobuntlola kunye abacebisi emkhosini, abangekho phantsi kwesithupha seCIA kunye ne-NATO. Iiarhente zobuntlola zaseJamani kunye nezaseFransi zihlala zilumkisa abaphathi bazo ukuba bangayilandeli i-pied piper yase-US, ngakumbi kwi. I-Iraq ngo-2003. Kufuneka sibe nethemba lokuba abakhange baphulukane nenjongo yabo, izakhono zokuhlalutya okanye ukunyaniseka kumazwe abo ukusukela ngoko.
Ukuba oku kubuyela umva kwi-Biden, kwaye iYurophu ekugqibeleni yalandula ubizo lwakhe lokuya kwizixhobo ngokuchasene neRussia, eli inokuba lixesha apho iYurophu ithatha isibindi sokuthatha indawo yayo njengamandla anamandla, azimeleyo kwihlabathi elitsha elivela kumazwe amaninzi.
Akukho nto yenzekayo
Esi iya kuba sisiphumo esihle kunazo zonke: i-anti-climax ukubhiyozelwa.
Ngaxa lithile, ukungabikho kohlaselo lwaseRussia okanye ukonyuka kweUkraine, uBiden kuya kufuneka ayeke ukukhala “ingcuka” yonke imihla.
Onke amacala anokuhla ehle ukusuka kulwakhiwo lwawo lomkhosi, intetho eyoyikayo kunye nezohlwayo.
The Iprothokholi yaseMinsk inokuvuselelwa, ihlaziywe kwaye ihlaziywe ukuze ibonelele ngenqanaba elanelisayo lokuzimela kubantu be-DPR kunye ne-LPR ngaphakathi kwe-Ukraine, okanye iququzelele ukwahlukana okunokuthula.
I-United States, i-Russia kunye ne-China inokuqalisa i-diplomacy enzulu ukunciphisa isoyikiso imfazwe yenyukliya kwaye basombulule iiyantlukwano zabo ezininzi, ukuze ihlabathi liqhubele phambili eluxolweni nakwimpumelelo endaweni yokuba libuyele umva kwiMfazwe yoMlomo kunye nenyukliya ebuqhophololo.
isiphelo
Nangona kunjalo iyaphela, le ngxaki kufuneka ibe ngumnxeba wokuvusa abantu baseMelika bazo zonke iindidi kunye neempembelelo zezopolitiko ukuba baphinde baphonononge isikhundla selizwe lethu emhlabeni. Sichithe iitriliyoni zeedola, kunye nezigidi zobomi babanye abantu, ngomkhosi wethu kunye nama impiriyali. Uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lomkhosi wase-US iqhubeka inyuka ngokungenasiphelo-kwaye ngoku ingxabano neRashiya iye yaba sesinye isizathu sokubeka phambili inkcitho yezixhobo kwiimfuno zabantu bethu.
Iinkokeli zethu ezonakeleyo zizamile kodwa zasilela ukukrwitsha ilizwe lezizwe ngezizwe elavelayo ngokuzalwa ngomkhosi kunye nokunyanzelwa. Njengoko sinokubona emva kweminyaka eyi-20 yemfazwe e-Afghanistan, asinakulwa kwaye sibhobhoze indlela yethu yoxolo okanye uzinzo, kwaye izohlwayo ezinyanzeliswayo zezoqoqosho zinokuba zinoburhalarhume kwaye ziyonakalisa. Kufuneka kwakhona sihlolisise indima ye-NATO kunye ugquthe phantsi lo mfelandawonye wezomkhosi othe waba ngamandla ndlongondlongo netshabalalisayo ehlabathini.
Endaweni yoko, kufuneka siqale ukucinga malunga nendlela i-post-impiriyali yaseMelika inokudlala ngayo indima yentsebenziswano kunye neyakhayo kweli hlabathi litsha le-multipolar, ukusebenzisana nabo bonke abamelwane bethu ukusombulula iingxaki ezinzima kakhulu ezijongene noluntu kwi-21st Century.
UMedea uBenjamin ungumcebisi CODEPINK yoxolo, kunye nombhali weencwadi ezininzi, kubandakanya Ngaphakathi kwe-Iran: Imbali Yembali kunye nezopolitiko zeRiphabhliki yase-Iran.
UNicolas JS Davies yintatheli ezimeleyo, umphandi nge-CODEPINK kunye nombhali we Igazi ezandleni zethu: Invasion yaseMelika kunye nokuTshatyalaliswa kwe-Iraq.
