Kwenzeka Ntoni Ukuba iNgxaki yeMozulu kunye ne-Ecological iqulunqwe njengoMsongelo weSizwe?

Umfanekiso: iStock

nguLiz Boulton, Iiparele kunye nezicaphukiso, Oktobha 11, 2022

Kwiminyaka engama-30, umngcipheko wokutshintsha kwemozulu eyingozi, onokuthi wenze umhlaba ungahlali kuninzi lweentlobo zezityalo, uphathwe njengomba wolawulo lwesayensi kunye noqoqosho. Ngokuyinxenye ngenxa yezithethe zembali, kodwa nangenxa yeenkxalabo ezisemthethweni malunga ukhuseleko, le ibiyimicimbi yasekuhlaleni ngokungqongqo.

Ngoxa izazinzulu zifunda amathuba okuba ubomi beplanethi buwohloke; icandelo lezokhuselo, elijongene nokukhusela i-States, abantu kunye nemimandla, (kwaye lixhaswa ngemali ukwenza njalo) lijolise kwenye indawo. Amazwe aseNtshona amisela eyona ngxaki inkulu yokhuseleko ngoku njengomboniso phakathi kwedemokhrasi ngokuchasene neendlela zolawulo lwentando yesininzi. Izizwe ezingezizo zasentshona zifuna ukusuka kwi-unipolar ukuya kwihlabathi elineepolar ezininzi.

Kulo mmandla we-geopolitical, njengentloko yeZiko lase-US leMozulu kunye noKhuseleko uJohn Conger Ichaza, ukufudumala kwehlabathi kugqalwa njengesithako esinye kwizinto ezininzi eziyingozi. Kuyo 2022 Ingcinga yeQhinga I-NATO ilandela ngokulandelayo, ichaza utshintsho lwemozulu njengomngeni apho idwelisa okokugqibela kwiinkxalabo zokhuseleko ze-14. Ezi zakhelo ziyaphinda USherri Goodman's isakhelo sokuqala “sokufudumala kwehlabathi njengesongelo esiphindaphindayo”, esaziswa ngo-2007 Ingxelo ye-CNA.

Ngo-2022, oku kuyindlela eqhelekileyo yendlela ukhuseleko olusondela ngayo. Abantu bahlala kwii-silos zabo zemisebenzi kwaye basebenzisa iifreyimu eziphambili kunye nezakhiwo zamaziko ukusuka kwixesha langaphambi kwe-Anthropocene kunye nasemva kweWW2. Eli lungiselelo lisenokukhululeka ngokwasentlalweni nangokwengqondo, kodwa ingxaki kukuba, alisasebenzi.

Indlela entsha ebizwa ngokuba 'Isicwangciso E' ibeka imiba yemozulu kunye nokusingqongileyo kungeyiyo 'impembelelo' kwimeko-bume esisongelayo, okanye 'isoyikiso esiphindaphindayo' kodwa, njengoko 'isoyikiso esiphambili' ukuba igcinwe. Uphando lubandakanya ukudala ingcamango entsha yesoyikiso - i uloyiko olukhulu ingcinga – kwaye emva koko ibeke 'i-hyperthreat' kuhlalutyo olulungisiweyo lwesisongelo somkhosi kunye nenkqubo yokucwangcisa impendulo. Ingqiqo yale ndlela engaqhelekanga, kunye neendlela ezisetyenzisiweyo zichazwe kwi-2022 Spring Ijenali yeZifundo zoMkhosi eziPhambili. Ukukhuthaza ukucinga okubanzi malunga nokuba imeko entsha yesoyikiso inokujongeka njani, umboniso okhaphayo, okanye iprototype entsha. iqhinga elikhulu, PLAN E, nayo yenziwe.

Ngelixa inobungozi kwaye i-taboo, le lensi entsha yohlalutyo ivumele iimbono ezintsha.

1. 1. Okokuqala, ibonise amandla okubona umhlaba ogcweleyo we-21^st I-Century iphazamiseka ngenxa yolwakhiwo lwefilosofi yakudala kunye neembono zehlabathi.
   2. Okwesibini, yabonisa ingcamango yokuba uhlobo lobundlobongela, ukubulala kunye nokutshatyalaliswa ngokusisiseko lutshintshile; ngokunjalo kunendalo kunye nemo yenjongo yobutshaba.
   3. Okwesithathu, kwacaca ukuba ukufika kwe-hyperthreat kuphakamisa iindlela zanamhlanje zokhuseleko. 20^th Isicwangciso sokhuseleko senkulungwane sasijikeleza ekuxhaseni iindlela zexesha loshishino lwamandla karhulumente, axhomekeke ekutsalweni kwezixhobo kunye nonikezelo 'lokuphumelela ioli'. emfazweni. Njengoko uDoug Stokes Ichaza, ngakumbi emva kweminyaka yee-1970, njengoko amakhonkco okubonelela ngehlabathi aye asengozini yokuphazamiseka, kwakukho ingxabano yehlabathi jikelele yokusebenzisa izixhobo zamandla, njenge-Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) kunye nomkhosi wase-US "ukugcina inkqubo."

Ngokufanelekileyo, ngokuthatha umsebenzi “wogcino lwenkqubo”, ngokungaqondanga icandelo lezokhuseleko linokugqibela lisebenzela i-hyperthreat (eyandisa ukukhutshwa kwerhasi yegreenhouse kunye nokonakalisa iinkqubo ze-ikholoji). Kwangaxeshanye, nini Ilandelwa ngenkohlakalo, “ukugcinwa kweenkqubo” kubangela inzondo yaye kunokukhokelela ekubeni “intshona” igqalwe njengesisongelo esifanelekileyo kwezinye iintlanga. Xa zidibene, ezo mpembelelo zinokuthetha ukuba imikhosi yezokhuseleko yehlabathi ngempazamo ijongela phantsi ukhuseleko lwayo kunye nolwabanye. Oku kuthetha ukuba ukuma kwethu kwesoyikiso akusahambelani.

4. 4. Okwesine, ukugcina umgaqo-nkqubo wemozulu kunye nokusingqongileyo kwisisele esinye, kunye nesicwangciso sokhuseleko kwenye, kwakuthetha ukuba, nangona uthethathethwano lwemozulu lweSivumelwano saseParis lufana nemfazwe yase-Iraq, le miba mibini yayingafane idityaniswe kuhlalutyo lokhuseleko lwemozulu. Njengoko UJeff Colgan ufumanisa, ioli yayingumqhubi omkhulu wale ngxabano, kwaye ngokufanelekileyo, ngokungaqhelekanga, usebenzisa i-lens entsha, iMfazwe yase-Iraq inokujongwa njengemfazwe elwelwe egameni lentshaba yethu entsha - i-hyperthreat. Lo msantsa wohlalutyo udidayo awunakuqhubeka kuhlalutyo lokhuseleko lwexesha elizayo.
   5. Okwesihlanu, ayisiso isiduko-inzululwazi yendalo esingqongileyo okanye ukhuseleko luye lwakuqonda ukungahambelani koluntu lulungiselela 'ukulwa' zombini ezoyikiso zomkhosi eziya zisanda ngaxeshanye. Ngenxa yeemfuno zayo ezinokubakho kumafutha efosili; ubunjineli bomntu; Izibonelelo zetekhnoloji nezemali, amalungiselelo azimiseleyo emeko yeMfazwe yeHlabathi yeSithathu (WW3), (okanye imfazwe enkulu yokwenyani ngexesha lowama-2022 ukuya kowama-2030), inokuwuphazamisa umsebenzi onzima wokuguqula uluntu luye kwiindlela ezikhutshwayo, kunye nokubanjwa isiganeko sokuphela kwesithandathu.
   6. Okwesithandathu, ukusilela ukuthathela ingqalelo ubume bezoyikiso njengenxalenye yempendulo esebenzayo yoluntu kwi-hyperthreat bukhanyela ubuntu uninzi lwezakhono zokuhlalutya, zemethodological, kunye nezentlalo abantu abaphuhliswe kwinkulungwane yeminyaka ukuzikhusela kwingozi eyingozi kunye nesoyikiso esoyikekayo. Ikwayicimlisile into enokwenzeka yecandelo lezokhuselo nokhuseleko lokujikeleza, ukuhlengahlengisa, kunye nokuguqula ingqwalasela yalo kunye namandla abalulekileyo ehashe kwimpendulo ephezulu.

Nangona utshintsho lwemozulu oluyingozi kudla ngokuthethwa ngalo “njengesona sisongelo sikhulu;” Isimo soloyiko soluntu asizange sitshintshe ngokusisiseko.

ISICWANGCISO E inika enye indlela: icandelo lezokhuselo lijika ngokukhawuleza ingqwalasela yalo kunye nenkxaso “yokugcinwa kweenkqubo” kude kumafutha efosili kunye necandelo lemithombo yomthombo. Ixhasa umsebenzi ohlukeneyo "wokugcinwa kweenkqubo": ukukhuselwa kwenkqubo yobomi beplanethi. Ngokwenza njalo, iphinda ilungelelaniswe nesiseko sayo sokukhusela abantu bayo kunye nemimandla - kwelona dabi libalulekileyo elakha laziwa uluntu.