Imfazwe e-Ukraine kunye nee-ICBMs: Ibali elingachazwanga leNdlela abanokuthi bavuthulule ngayo ihlabathi

NguNorman Solomon, World BEYOND War, Februwari 21, 2023

Ukusukela oko iRussia yahlasela i-Ukraine kunyaka ophelileyo, ukusasazwa kweendaba ngemfazwe akuzange kuquke nokukhankanywa okuncinci kwemijukujelwa ye-intercontinental ballistic (ICBMs). Nangona kunjalo imfazwe iwanyuse amathuba okuba ii-ICBMs ziqalise imbubhiso yehlabathi. Amakhulu amane kubo - ahlala elumkisa ngeenwele - axhobe ngokupheleleyo ngeentloko zenyukliya kwiisilos eziphantsi komhlaba ezisasazeke kulo lonke elaseColorado, eMontana, eNebraska, eNorth Dakota naseWyoming, ngelixa iRussia isasaza malunga nama-300 ayo. Owayesakuba ngunobhala wezomkhosi uWilliam Perry ubize ii-ICBMs "zezinye zezona zixhobo ziyingozi emhlabeni," isilumkiso ukuba “zinokubangela imfazwe yenyukliya ngempazamo.”

Ngoku, ngenxa yokungavisisani okuphakamileyo phakathi kwamagunya amabini enyukliya ehlabathi, amathuba okuba ii-ICBM ziqale uqhushululu lwenyukliya anyukile njengoko imikhosi yaseMelika neyaseRussia ijongene kufutshane. Ukwenza impazamo a isivusi esingamanga kuba uhlaselo lomjukujelwa wenyukliya lunokwenzeka ngakumbi phakathi koxinzelelo, ukudinwa kunye ne-paranoia eza nemfazwe ethatha ixesha elide kunye neendlela zokuhamba.

Ngenxa yokuba basengozini ngokukodwa njengezixhobo ezicwangcisiweyo ezisekelwe emhlabeni - kunye nomyalelo womkhosi othi "zisebenzise okanye uzilahlekele" - ii-ICBMs zimiselwe ukuqaliswa ngesilumkiso. Ke, njengoko uPerry ecacisile, "Ukuba izinzwa zethu zibonisa ukuba imijukujelwa yotshaba isendleleni eya e-United States, umongameli kuya kufuneka athathele ingqalelo ukusungula ii-ICBMs ngaphambi kokuba imijukujelwa yotshaba ibatshabalalise. Nje ukuba ziqaliswe, azinakukhunjulwa. Umongameli uzakuba nemizuzu engaphantsi kwe-30 ukwenza eso sigqibo sibi. ”

Kodwa endaweni yokuxoxa ngokuphandle - kwaye uncede ukunciphisa - iingozi ezinjalo, imithombo yeendaba yase-US kunye namagosa ajongela phantsi okanye abakhanyele ngokuthula. Olona phando lubalaseleyo lwezenzululwazi lusixelela ukuba imfazwe yenyukliya iya kubangela “ubusika benyukliya,” okubangela ukufa kwabantu malunga neepesenti ze-99 yabantu beplanethi. Ngelixa imfazwe yaseUkraine inyusa amathuba okuba intlekele engathethekiyo iya kwenzeka, amaqhawe eelaptop kunye neepundits eziqhelekileyo ziqhubeka zivakalisa umdla wokuqhubeka nemfazwe ngokungenasiphelo, ngetshekhi engenanto yezixhobo zase-US kunye nokunye ukuthunyelwa e-Ukraine esele ingaphezulu kwe-110 yeebhiliyoni zeedola.

Ngeli xesha, nawuphi na umyalezo othanda ukuya kwidiplomacy yokwenyani kunye nokwehla ukuphelisa impixano eyoyikekayo eUkraine kufanelekile ukuba uhlaselwe njenge-capitulation, ngelixa iinyani zemfazwe yenyukliya kunye neziphumo zayo zibhalwe phantsi ngokukhanyela. Ibilibali leendaba zosuku olunye kwinyanga ephelileyo xa-ibiza eli "xesha lengozi engazange ibonwe ngaphambili" kunye "neyona ntlekele yakha yabakho ehlabathini lonke" - iBulletin yeAtomic Scientists. umemezele ukuba "Iwotshi yeDoomsday" isondele ngakumbi kwi-apocalyptic ezinzulwini zobusuku - nje imizuzwana engama-90, xa kuthelekiswa nemizuzu emihlanu kwiminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo.

Indlela ebalulekileyo yokunciphisa amathuba embubhiso yenyukliya kukuba iUnited States iwuchithe wonke umkhosi wayo we-ICBM. Owayesakuba ngumlawuli we-ICBM uBruce G. Blair kunye noGen. James E. Cartwright, owayesakuba ngusekela-sihlalo we-Joint Chiefs of Staff, wabhala: "Ngokuchitha amandla omjukujelwa asekelwe kumhlaba osesichengeni, nasiphi na isidingo sokuqalisa isilumkiso siyanyamalala." Ukuchaswa kwe-United States ukuba ivale ii-ICBMs ngokwayo (nokuba ngaba iRussia okanye iTshayina) ifana nokunyanzelisa ukuba umntu ome emadolweni echibini lepetroli akafuneki ayeke ukuhambelana nezibane.

Yintoni esemngciphekweni? Kudliwanondlebe emva kokupapashwa kwencwadi yakhe eyimbali ka-2017 ethi "Umatshini weDoomsday: Confessions of the Nuclear War Planner," uDaniel Ellsberg. wachaza ukuba imfazwe yenyukliya “ibiya kuphumela kwistratosphere izigidi ezininzi zeetoni zothuthu nomsi omnyama ophuma kwizixeko ezitshayo. Bekungayi kunetha kwi-stratosphere. Ibiya kujikeleza ihlabathi ngokukhawuleza okukhulu ize inciphise ukukhanya kwelanga kangangeepesenti ezingama-70, ibangele amaqondo obushushu anjengalawo eLittle Ice Age, ibulale izivuno ehlabathini lonke ize ibhubhe phantse wonke umntu osemhlabeni. Mhlawumbi bekungayi kubangela ukuphela. Siziqhelanisa neemeko. Mhlawumbi isi-1 ekhulwini sabemi bethu bangoku abazizigidi ezisisi-7.4 sinokuphila, kodwa ama-98 okanye ama-99 ekhulwini akanakuphila.”

Nangona kunjalo, kubantu abathanda imfazwe baseUkraine bayanda kwimithombo yeendaba yase-US, intetho enjalo ayiloncedo, ukuba ayiloncedo olubi kwiRussia. Abanamsebenzi, kwaye kubonakala ngathi bakhetha ukuthula kwiingcali ezinokuchaza "indlela imfazwe yenyukliya eya kukubulala ngayo nawe phantse wonke umntu.” Ukubethelwa rhoqo kukuba kufuneka kuncitshiswe amathuba emfazwe yenyukliya, ngelixa silandela idiplomacy enamandla ukuphelisa imfazwe yaseUkraine, zivela kwi-wimps kunye neekati ezisoyikayo ezikhonza iimfuno zikaVladimir Putin.

Enye intandokazi yemidiya yeshishini, UTimothy Snyder, ikhupha i-bellicose bravado phantsi kwengubo yokubambisana nabantu baseUkraine, ikhupha izibhengezo ezifana neyakhe. ibango lakutshanje ukuba “eyona nto ibalulekileyo onokuyithetha ngemfazwe yenyukliya” kukuba “ayenzeki.” Oku kuya kubonisa ukuba i-Ivy League eyaziwayo ngembali inokuqhwanyaza ngokuyingozi njengaye nawuphi na omnye umntu.

Ukuchwayita kunye ne-bankrolling imfazwe ukusuka kude kulula ngokwaneleyo - kwi amazwi afanelekileyo kaAndrew Bacevich, “ubuncwane bethu, igazi lomnye umntu.” Sinokuziva silungile malunga nokubonelela ngenkxaso ecacileyo kunye nebonakalayo yokubulala kunye nokufa.

umbhalo KwiNew York Times ngeCawa, umbhali wenkululeko uNicholas Kristof wacela i-NATO ukuba inyuse imfazwe yaseUkraine. Nangona waphawula ukuba kukho "iinkxalabo ezisemthethweni zokuba uPutin uxhaswa ekoneni, unokugqabhuka kwindawo ye-NATO okanye asebenzise izixhobo zenyukliya ezinobuchule," uKristof wongeza ngokukhawuleza isiqinisekiso: "Kodwa uninzi lwabahlalutyi bacinga ukuba akunakwenzeka ukuba uPutin asebenzise ubuchule. izixhobo zenyukliya.”

Yifumane? "Uninzi" abahlalutyi bacinga ukuba "ayinakwenzeka" - ngoko ke qhubeleka phambili kwaye uqengqe idayisi. Ungazikhathazi kakhulu ngokutyhala umhlaba kwimfazwe yenyukliya. Musa ukuba ngomnye wabo iinellies ezinovalo ngenxa nje yokuba ukwanda kwemfazwe kuya kuwanyusa amathuba okutsha kwenyukliya.

Ukucaca: Akukho sizathu sibambekayo sokuhlasela kweRussia eUkraine kunye nemfazwe eyoyikekayo eqhubekayo kwelo lizwe. Kwangaxeshanye, ngokuqhubekayo ukugalela izixa ezikhulu zezixhobo zetekhnoloji ephezulu neziphakamileyo zifaneleka njengaloo nto uMartin Luther King Jr. ayibiza ngokuba “bubudenge bomkhosi.” Ngexesha lakhe Intetho yeBhaso loXolo likaNobel, uKumkani wathi: “Andifuni ukuyamkela ingcamango egxekayo yokuba izizwe ngezizwe zimele zihle ngezinyuko zomkhosi ukuya kwisihogo sentshabalalo yenyukliya.”

Kwiintsuku ezizayo, ukufikelela kwi-crescendo ngoLwesihlanu kwisikhumbuzo sokuqala sokuhlasela kwe-Ukraine, ukuhlolwa kweendaba zemfazwe kuya kuqinisa. Uqhanqalazo oluzayo kwaye ezinye izenzo kwizixeko ezininzi zase-US - uninzi lufuna idiplomacy yokwenyani "ukuyeka ukubulala" kunye "nokuthintela imfazwe yenyukliya" - akunakwenzeka ukuba bafumane i-inki eninzi, iipikseli okanye ixesha lomoya. Kodwa ngaphandle kothethathethwano lokwenyani, ikamva libonelela ngoxhelo oluqhubekayo kunye nemingcipheko eyandayo yembubhiso yenyukliya.

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UNorman Solomon ngumlawuli kazwelonke weRootsAction.org kunye nomlawuli olawulayo weZiko lokuChaneka koLuntu. Incwadi yakhe elandelayo, Imfazwe Yenziwe Ingabonakali: Indlela iMelika Eyifihla Ngayo URhumo loMntu kuMatshini wayo woMkhosi, iya kupapashwa ngoJuni ka-2023 yiNew Press.