IUkraine kunye neengozi yokuPhumela kweNkcazo yeNgqungquthela

NguDavid Swanson

Andiqinisekanga ukuba ikhona incwadi ebhaliweyo ebhaliweyo epapashiweyo okwangoku kulo nyaka kunokuba I-Ukraine: I-Grand Chessboard yeZbig kunye nendlela iNtshona yaHlolwa ngayo, kodwa ndiqinisekile ukuba akubikho enye ebaluleke ngakumbi. Ngama-17,000 amabhomu enyukliya ehlabathini, i-United States ne-Russia ine-16,000 yazo. I-United States idlala ngomsindo omkhulu ngeMfazwe yesithathu yeHlabathi, abantu baseMelika abanalo uluvo lokuba kutheni okanye kutheni, kwaye ababhali uNatalie Baldwin noKermit Heartsong bayichaza ngokucacileyo. Qhubeka undixelele ukuba akukho nto uchitha ixesha lakho kuyo engabalulekanga kunale.

Le ncwadi inokuba yeyona ibhaliweyo ibalaseleyo endiyifundileyo kulo nyaka. Ibeka zonke iinyani ezifanelekileyo-ezo ndizaziyo kwaye ezininzi andizenzi- kunye ngokufutshane kunye nombutho ogqibeleleyo. Iyenza ngombono wehlabathi onolwazi. Ingandishiyi nto ukuba ndikhalaze kwaphela, ephantse ingavakali kuhlolo lwam lweencwadi. Ndikufumanisa kuhlaziya ukudibana nababhali abanolwazi oluninzi nabakuqondayo ukubaluleka kolwazi lwabo.

Phantse isiqingatha sencwadi sisetyenziselwa ukuseta umxholo weziganeko zamva nje eUkraine. Kuyanceda ukuqonda ukuphela kwemfazwe ebandayo, intiyo engekho ngqiqweni yaseRussia egubungele ukucinga kwe-US, kunye neepatheni zokuziphatha ezibuyisela ngokwazo ngoku ngevolumu ephezulu. Ukuxhokonxa abalweli abanenzondelelo e-Afghanistan naseChechnya naseGeorgia, kwaye bejolise eUkraine kusetyenziso olufanayo: lo ngumxholo we-CNN awuyi kubonelela. Ubambiswano lwee-neocons (ekuxhobiseni nasekuvuseleleni ubundlobongela eLibya) kunye namagorha oluntu (ekukhweleni ukuhlangula kutshintsho lolawulo): esi sisibonelo kunye nemodeli engazukukhankanywa yi-NPR. Isithembiso sase-US sokungayandisi i-NATO, ukwandiswa kwe-NATO kwe-NATO kumazwe ayi-12 ukuya kuthi ga kumda waseRussia, ukurhoxa e-US kwiSivumelwano se-ABM kunye nokufuna "ukhuselo lwemijukujelwa" - le yimvelaphi ukuba iFox News ayinakuze ibonakale ibalulekile . Inkxaso yaseMelika kulawulo lwee-oligarchs zolwaphulo-mthetho ezikulungeleyo ukuthengisa ngezixhobo zaseRussia, kunye nokuchasana neRussia kwezo zikimu - ezo akhawunti zinokungaqondakali ukuba utye kakhulu "iindaba" zase-US, kodwa zichaziwe kwaye zibhalwe kakuhle nguBaldwin no-Heartsong.

Le ncwadi ibandakanya imvelaphi egqwesileyo ekusetyenzisweni nasekuxhatshazweni kweGene Sharp kunye nemibala eyahlukileyo ekhuthazwe ngurhulumente wase-US. Ukufakwa kwesilivere kungafunyanwa, ndicinga ukuba, ngexabiso lesenzo esingenabundlobongela esaziwa ngabo bonke ababandakanyekayo- nokuba kungokuhle okanye kukugula. Isifundo esifanayo sinokufunyanwa (ngokulungileyo ngeli xesha) ekuchaseni amajoni ase-Ukraine entwasahlobo ka-2014, kunye nokwala (kweminye) imikhosi ukuhlasela abantu.

Uguquko lweorenji eUkraine ngo-2004, iRose Revolution eGeorgia ngo-2003, kunye neUkraine II ngo-2013-2014 zibaliswa kakuhle, kubalwa namaxesha. Kuyamangalisa ngenene ukuba kungakanani okuxeliweyo esidlangalaleni okushiyekayo kungcwatywa. Iinkokheli zaseNtshona zadibana kaninzi kwi-2012 kunye ne-2013 yokuceba ikamva le-Ukraine. I-Neo-Nazi ukusuka e-Ukraine zathunyelwa ePoland ukuba ziqeqeshe i-coup. Ii-NGOs ezisebenza ngaphandle kozakuzo wase-US eKiev zilungiselele uqeqesho lwabathathi-nxaxheba. Ngomhla kaNovemba 24, 2013, kwiintsuku ezintathu emva kokuba iUkraine ingavumanga isivumelwano se-IMF, kubandakanya ukwala ukuqhawula ubudlelwane neRussia, abaqhankqalazi baseKiev baqala ukungqubana namapolisa. Abaqhankqalazi basebenzise ubundlobongela, ukutshabalalisa izakhiwo kunye nezikhumbuzo, kunye nokuphosa ii-cocktail zaseMolotov, kodwa uMongameli Obama walumkisa urhulumente waseUkraine ukuba angaphenduli ngokunyanzela. (Thelekisa loo nto kunyango lwentshukumo ye-Occupy, okanye ukudubula eCapitol Hill yowasetyhini owenza i-U-turn engamkelekanga kwimoto yakhe nosana lwakhe.)

Amaqela axhaswa ngemali e-US aququzelele inkcaso yaseUkraine, axhasa ngemali ijelo elitsha leTV, kwaye akhuthaza utshintsho kulawulo. Isebe likaRhulumente waseMelika lichithe i-5 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Unobhala Welizwe wase-US okhethe iinkokheli ezintsha, wazisa ekuhleni ii-cookies kubaqhankqalazi. Xa abo baqhankqalazi babhukuqa urhulumente ngoFebruwari 2014, iUnited States kwangoko yabhengeza ukuba urhulumente wobhukuqo-mthetho usemthethweni. Lo rhulumente mtsha wawavala amaqela amakhulu ezopolitiko, kwaye wahlasela, wangcungcuthekisa, kwaye wabulala amalungu abo. Urhulumente omtsha waquka ii-neo-Nazi kwaye kungekudala wayeza kubandakanya amagosa angeniswe e-United States. Urhulumente omtsha waluphelisa ulwimi lwaseRussia - ulwimi lokuqala kubemi abaninzi baseUkraine. Izikhumbuzo zemfazwe zaseRussia zatshatyalaliswa. Abantu abathetha isiRashiya bahlaselwa babulawa.

ICrimea, ingingqi ezimeleyo yaseUkraine, yayinepalamente yayo, yayiyinxalenye yeRashiya ukusukela ngo-1783 ukuya kowe-1954, yayivotele esidlangalaleni ubudlelwane obusondeleyo neRussia ngo-1991, 1994, nango-2008, kwaye ipalamente yayo ivotele ukuphinda ijoyine iRussia ngo-2008. Ngomhla we-16 kuMatshi ngo-2014, ama-82% abantu baseCrimea bathathe inxaxheba kwireferendamu, kwaye i-96% yabo bavotela ukujoyina iRussia kwakhona. Le ntshukumo ingenabundlobongela, engenagazi, yedemokhrasi, kunye nezomthetho, ngaphandle kokwaphula umgaqo-siseko waseUkraine owawuchithwe ngogonyamelo olunobundlobongela, wakhawuleza wagxekwa eNtshona njengesihlaselo "saseRussia" eCrimea.

I-Novorossiya, nayo, yafuna ukuzimela kwaye yahlaselwa ngumkhosi omtsha waseUkraine ngosuku olulandelayo emva kokuba uJohn Brennan etyelele eKiev wayalela ulwaphulo-mthetho. Ndiyazi ukuba amapolisa aseFairfax County aye andigcina nabahlobo bam kude nendlu kaJohn Brennan eVirginia abanalo nofifi lokuba wayevulelwa ntoni ngabantu abangenakuzinceda amawaka eekhilomitha. Kodwa oko kungazi kuyaphazamisa njengobubi obunolwazi. Abemi bahlaselwa ziijethi kunye neehelikopta kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ekubulaweni okubi kakhulu eYurophu ukusukela ngeMfazwe yesibini (II) yeHlabathi. Umongameli wase-Russia u-Putin ucinezele ukuphindaphinda uxolo, ukupheliswa komlilo, iingxoxo. Ukupheliswa komlilo ekugqibeleni kwafika ngoSeptemba 5, 2014.

Ngokumangalisayo, ngokuchaseneyo noko besixelelwe kona, iRussia ayikhange ihlasele iUkraine nangaliphi na ixesha elininzi sixelelwe ukuba lenze nje oko. Sithweswe izidanga kwizixhobo eziyintsomi zentshabalalo, ngokusebenzisa izoyikiso eziyintsomi kubantu baseLibya, kunye nezityholo zobuxoki zokusetyenziswa kwezixhobo zemichiza eSyria, kwizityholo zobuxoki zokumilisela uhlaselo olungazange luqaliswe. "Ubungqina" bokuhlasela (s) kushiywe ngononophelo bungekho bendawo okanye naziphi na iinkcukacha eziqinisekisiweyo, kodwa konke kugqityiwe ukuba kuchotshiwe.

Ukwehliswa kwenqwelomoya ye-MH17 kwagxekwa eRashiya kungekho bungqina. I-US inolwazi malunga nokwenzekileyo kodwa ayizukuyikhupha. IRashiya yakhupha oko yayinako, kwaye ubungqina, ngokuvumelana namangqina wamehlo emhlabeni, kwaye ngokuvumelana nomlawuli wezithuthi zomoya ngelo xesha, kukuba inqwelomoya yadutyulwa yindiza enye okanye ezingaphezulu. "Ubungqina" bokuba iRussia yadubula inqwelo moya ngomjukujelwa butyhilwe njengamaqhinga obudenge. Umzila womphunga owawuya kushiya umjukujelwa waxelwa ngelinye ingqina.

U-Baldwin no-Heartsong basondele kwimeko yokuba iintshukumo zase-US zibuyise umva, ukuba eneneni abantu base-United States banalo uluvo lokuba kuqhubeka ntoni na okanye hayi, abarhwebi bamandla eWashington baneSibini esiLungisiweyo kunyawo. Isohlwayo ngokuchasene neRussia simenze uPutin wathandwa ekhaya njengoGeorge W. Bush emva kokuba ekwazile ukuba ngumongameli ngelixa iindiza zasiwa kwiZiko loRhwebo leHlabathi. Izigwebo ezifanayo ziye zaqinisa iRashiya ngokuyijika kwimveliso yayo nakwimibutho yamazwe angewona aseNtshona. I-Ukraine ihlupheke, kwaye i-Europe ihlupheka ngokunqunyulwa kwerhasi yaseRussia, ngelixa iRussia yenza isivumelwano neTurkey, i-Iran ne China. Ukugxotha isiseko saseRussia eCrimea kubonakala kunganathemba ngoku kunaphambi kokuba obu budenge buqale. I-Russia ikhokela phambili njengoko amazwe amaninzi eyishiya idola yaseMelika. Isohlwayo sokuziphindezela esivela eRussia senzakalisa iNtshona. Kude kude nekheswa, iRussia isebenza namazwe e-BRICS, uMbutho weNtsebenziswano weShanghai, kunye neminye imanyano. Kude nehlwempuzekileyo, iRussia ithenga igolide ngelixa i-US itshona ematyaleni kwaye iya ijongwa lihlabathi njengomdlali okhohlakeleyo, kwaye icatshukelwa yiYurophu ngokuhlutha urhwebo lwaseYurophu.

Eli bali liqala ngokungahambisani nentshutshiso ehlangeneyo evela kwintlawulelo yeMfazwe Yehlabathi II kunye nokuzonda iRashiya. Kufuneka iphele ngokufanayo. Ukuba i-US intshisekelo ibangela ukulwa neRussia e-Ukraine okanye kwenye indawo emngceleni waseRussia apho i-NATO ibandakanyeka kwimidlalo eyahlukeneyo yemfazwe kunye nokuzivocavoca, kusenokungabi namabali abantu abakhe bathetha okanye bakuva.