Ngoxa ama-America agxininise kwi-ACA kunye neTrump kunye neRussia, iTump ixakekile ukukhulisa i-American troop phambi kweSiriya.
NguSenator Chris Murphy, IHotff Post, Matshi 25, 2017.
Ngesibindi, ngelixa amaMelika sele agxininise kwi-drama eqhubekayo ngokuphelisa uMthetho ojongene noNonophelo ongenakunqwenelekayo kunye neembonakaliso ezintsha malunga noxanduva lwe-Trump kunye neRussia, uMongameli uTumpump uxakeke ngokuphawulekayo kwi-Armed States e-Syria. Kwaye akukho namnye eWashington uye waphawula. Abantu baseMelika banelungelo lokukwazi ukuba yiTump uceba nokuba ngaba oku kuya kubangela umsebenzi wase-Iraq weSiriya iminyaka ezayo.
Ngaphandle kwezaziso ezisemthethweni, uTumpump wathumela i-500 imikhosi entsha yaseMerika eSiriya, ngokufanelekileyo ukuba ithathe inxaxheba ekuhlaselweni okuzayo kwi-ISIS inqaba yaseRaqqa. Iingxelo zeendaba zibonisa ukuba ukuthunyelwa kunokuthi kube yintsika ye-iceberg, enye ithi isicwangciso semininzi yamanye amazwe aseMelika ukuba afakwe kwiimvavanyo kwiiveki ezizayo. Akukho mntu uyazi ukuba mangaphi amabutho ase-Aram ngoku, kuba ulawulo luye lwazama kakhulu ukugcina ukwakha imfihlo.
Oku kuthunyelwa kubangela ingozi ebalulekileyo, e-United States nakwixesha elizayo laseSiriya naseMiddle East. ICongress ayikwazi ukuthula ingqalelo kulo mbandela. Ndide ndide ndibeke amabutho ase-US ehlabathini eSiriya-ndichasene nembono ngexesha lolawulo luka-Obama kwaye ndikuchasene nalo ngoku, kuba ndikholelwa ukuba sizimisele ukuphinda iimpazamo ze-Iraq War xa sizama ukuphoqelela ukuzinza kwezopolitiko nje ngokusebenzisa umbhobho wesibhamu. Ndiyakhuthaza oogxa bam abangazange bajolise kumbuzo we-US troop phambi kweSiriya ukuya kuthi, ubuncinci, bafune ukuba ulawulo luphendule imibuzo emibili engundoqo phambi kokuba ungayinyi imali kwimali yokuxhoma ukukhula kwesiyingozi.
Okokuqala, yintoni umsebenzi wethu kwaye yintoni isicwangciso sethu sokuphuma?
Inkcazo yoluntu yokunyuka kwempi iye yalungiselela ukuhlaselwa kuRaqqa. Ukuthatha iRaqqa yinjongo efunekayo nexesha elide lifunwa. Ingxaki ikhona ekwenzeni amabutho ase-US ibe yingxenye engabonakaliyo yamandla okuhlasela, mhlawumbi kuya kufuna ukuba sihlale size sibe yingxenye engenakwenzekayo yamandla okusebenza. Yiyo eyenzekayo e-Iraq nase-Afghanistan, kwaye andiyi kubona isizathu sokuba asinakujamelana nomgibe ofanayo eSiriya. Kodwa ukuba akusiyo icebo lolawulo, kufuneka bacacise ngoku. Bamele baqinisekise iCongress kunye ne-America ukuba siseSiriya kwaze kwaba yilapho uRaqqa ewa, kwaye akasekho.
Kukho eminye imibuzo ebalulekileyo ukuyibuza. Kungekudala, iTrump yathumela iqela elincinci labaqhubi beeMfuno zoLuntu eManbij ukugcina uxolo phakathi kwamaqela aseKurdish kunye namaTurkey axhasa ukulawulwa kweli candelo elikude elisenyakatho yeSiriya. Oku kubonisa ukuba umsebenzi wethu wempi uninzi kakhulu-kwaye unzima kakhulu kunokuba nje uncede ukufumana uRaqqa.
Ininzi yeSiriya iingcali ziyavuma ukuba xa uRaqqa ethathwa kwi-ISIS, ukulwa kuqale nje. Umncintiswano uqala phakathi kwamandla amaninzi e-proxy (i-Saudi, isi-Iranian, isiRashiya, isiTurkey, isiKurdish) ngokugqithiseleyo ngubani olawulayo isixeko. Ingaba amabutho ase-US aya kulelo nqanaba, okanye isicwangciso seTump sicinga ukuba siya kuhlala sixoxise ukulawulwa kwexesha elikhulu kwiindawo zokulwa? Le nto yayiza kuba isibuko sase-Iraq, apho amawaka aseMerika afela khona ezama ukufumana ukulungiswa kwee-akhawunti phakathi kweSunni, iShia, neeKurds. Kwaye kunokubangela ukuba igazi laseMerika likhulu.
Okwesibini, ngaba sinesicwangciso sezopolitiko okanye isicwangciso somkhosi?
NgoLwesine owedlule, ndajoyina namanye amalungu eKomiti yezoBudlelwane beeNkcazo zangaphandle kwi-Senate yase-United States kunye neNobhala kaRhulumente uReex Tillerson. Ndivuyiswa kukuba uTillerson wayezimisele ukuvula iingcango zeSebe likaRhulumente kwiqela labaphathi beSenators, kwaye ingxoxo yethu yayinyanisekile kwaye inganyaniseki. Kwintlanganiso, uTillerson wabonisa ukuthanda ukuvuma ukuba isicwangciso somkhosi sasikude phambi kwesicwangciso sezopolitiko eSiriya.
Kodwa le nto yayingummiselo obalaseleyo. Ngaphandle kokuba isicwangciso semfihlelo sikhona ukuba iTrump igcina ivela kwi-Senators yase-US kunye noNobhala wayo kaRhulumente, akukho sicwangciso sokuba ngubani olawula i-ISIS Raqqa, okanye emva kwe-Assad eSiriya.
Imingcipheko kwisicwangciso sezopolitiko ngekamva likaRaqqa kunyuka ngeveki. Iinkokeli zemikhosi zase-United States zifuna ukuthembela kumaqhawe aseKurdish naseArabhu ukuba athathe uRaqqa, kodwa anethemba lokuba amaKurds aya kulahlela umzi emva kokulahlekelwa ngamakhulu okanye amawaka amajoni abo ekuhlaselweni. Nangona le fantasy yayiza kuba yinyaniso, yayiza kuhlawulelwa-amaKurds ayelindela into ekubuyiseleni kwimizamo yabo. Kwaye namhlanje, asinayo ingcamango yokuba sifeze njani le nyathelo ezimbini ngaphandle kokuxhatshazwa yiTurks, ehlala ephikisana ngokukhawuleza ekunikezeni intsimi yamaKurds. Ukongeza iingxaki, imikhosi yaseRashiya neye-Iranian, ehleli ngaphandle kweRaqqa namhlanje, ayiyi kuvumela uhulumeni waseArabhu okanye uArabhu / waseRussia ukuba afakwe uxolo ngaphakathi kwesi sixeko. Baya kufuna isahlulo sezenzo, kwaye asinaso isicwangciso esithembekileyo sokubanceda namhlanje.
Ngaphandle kwesicwangciso sezopolitiko kwixesha elizayo likaRaqqa, icebo lempi lingenasiphelo. Ewe, ukufumana i-ISIS ngaphandle kweRaqqa kukunqoba kwaye ngokwayo, kodwa ukuba sibeka inqumlezo kwimiba yeziganeko ezandisezela ingxabano ebanzi, i-ISIS izakuqokelela ngokukhawuleza iziqwenga kwaye isebenzise ingxubusho eqhubekayo yokuhlanganisa kunye nokuphindaphinda. Sifanele sifunde e-Iraq, e-Afghanistan naseLibya ukuba ukunqoba kwezempi ngaphandle kwesicwangciso sento ezayo emva koko akuyikunqoba. Kodwa ngokungaqinisekiyo, sibonakala senza le mpazamo kwakhona, ngenxa yokuba (iyaqondakala) inzondelelo yokuthatha ukulwa kulutshaba olubi.
Ndifuna i-ISIS ihambe. Ndifuna zitshatyalaliswe. Kodwa ndifuna yenziwe ngendlela eyiyo. Andifuni ukuba amaMelika asweleke kwaye iibhiliyoni zeedola zichithwe emfazweni eyenza iimpazamo ezifanayo nokuhlasela kweMelika e-Iraq. Kwaye andifuni ukuba imfazwe iqale emfihlakalweni, ngaphandle kweCongress ndingaqapheli nokuba iyaqala. ICongress kufuneka ingene kumdlalo kwaye iqale ukubuza imibuzo- ngaphambi kokuba ihambe kakhulu.
