I-Third Industrial Industrial Revolution

NguJeremy Rifkin

Amanqaku ayenziwe nguRuss Faure-Brac

Utshintsho olukhawulezayo

• Ukuveliswa kweoyile encochoyini kwenzeka xa isiqingatha seendawo zokugcina ioyile ezinokufunyanwa ekugqibeleni zisetyenzisiwe. Umphezulu wegophe umele indawo yokubuyisela ioyile. Emva koko, imveliso yehla ngokukhawuleza njengoko inyuka.

• Xa ioli ifaka irekhodi ye-$ 147 ngomgqomo ngoJulayi 2008, uluntu lwabhankini luvale i-credit, i-market market yaphahlazeka kwaye ukugqithiswa kwehlabathi kwanyuka.

• Ukuhlaziywa yilanga, umoya, i-hydro, ukushisa kwe-geothermal, i-biomass kunye namaza olwandle kunye namanxuwa.

• Amafutha e-Fossil afunyanwa kuphela kwiindawo ezikhethiweyo, ezifuna utyalomali olukhulu emkhosini ukukhusela ukufikelela kwazo. Njengoko sinyanzelwa ukuba sisuke kwioyile, eso sidingo sokhuseleko lomkhosi siya kuncipha.

• Kukho kuphela izixhobo zombane zenyukliya emhlabeni ezivelisa kuphela iipesenti ezi-442 zamandla ewonke. Ukuba nefuthe elincinci kutshintsho lwemozulu kuya kufuna ukwakhiwa kwezityalo ezitsha ezintathu rhoqo kwiintsuku ezingamashumi amathathu kule minyaka ingamashumi amane izayo ngexabiso le- $ 6 trillion.

WeMveliso ePheleleyo eyenziwe kweli

• Amanyathelo e-GDP ayinto engentle kunye nomsebenzi oqinisekileyo woqoqosho - izixhobo, iintolongo, ukhuseleko lwamapolisa, imeko engcolileyo, impilo yabantu ecekethekileyo. Ezinye iindlela kwi-GDP: Isalathiso seNtlalontle yoQoqosho (ISEW), iFordham Index yezeMpilo yoLuntu (FISH), Isalathiso sokwenyani seNkqubela (GPI), i-Index yeNtlalontle yoQoqosho (IEWB) kunye ne-UN's Human Development Index (HDI).

• Amanyathelo amasha okubandakanya - ukufa kwezingane, ixesha elide lobomi, ukufumaneka kwezempilo, izinga lokufikelela kwimfundo, isilinganiso semali nganye yeveki, ukupheliswa kobuhlwempu, ukungalingani kwemali, ukuhlawuleka kwezindlu, ukucoceka kwendalo, ukunyuka kwezinto eziphilayo, ukuhla ulwaphulo-mthetho, ixesha lokuphumla, njl njl.

• Oorhulumente baseFransi, iUnited Kingdom, i-European Union kunye ne-OECD baye badala zonke iimbosi zokuphila ngokusemgangathweni.

• Umcimbi ungaphezulu kwendlela esijonga ngayo ukuba sithetha ntoni ngomsebenzi kunokuba sijonge nje indlela esibabamba ngayo abasebenzi. Zine iindawo apho abantu banokuzibandakanya nomsebenzi: ezentengiso, urhulumente, uqoqosho olungekho sikweni kunye noluntu. Ezokuqala ezintathu ziya kuncipha njengoko uqoqosho lwendabuko lutshintshela kwimibutho yezobugcisa. Oko kushiya imibutho yoluntu (engenzi nzuzo, imibutho engekho phantsi kukarhulumente [ii-NGO]) njengendlela yokuqesha.

• I-Third Industrial Industrial Revolution inikeza ithuba lokuba ubuncinane, ukuba amazwe angamahlwempu eMhlabeni, awayekushiywa ngaphandle kwezoBuququzeleli bokuQala kunye neSibini zeShishini, kunokuthi i-leapfrog ibe yinkqubo entsha yokutshatyalaliswa kweengxowa-mali kwi-half half next.

Iimodeli zoshishino ezintsha

• Ukuguqulwa okukhulu kwezoqoqosho kwimbali kwenzeka xa iteknoloji entsha yonxibelelwano iguqulela ngeenkqubo ezintsha zamandla:
  • I-Industrial Revolution yokuqala
  • Okwesibini: ukufakelwa kombane kunye ne-injini yomoya
  • Okwesithathu: I-intanethi kunye namandla anokuvuselela

• Intsika ezintlanu zeTIR:

1. Ukutshintshwa kwamandla avuselelekayo
2. Izityalo ezinamandla ezivuselelekayo zamandla kwizakhiwo
3. Hydrogen nezinye ubuchwepheshe bokugcina ukugcina amandla angaphakathi
4. Ukwabelana ngamandla phakathi kwamanye amazwe phakathi kwesigidi (unidirectional kune-bidirectional) usebenzisa i-intanethi
5. I-plug-in yamandla kunye nezithuthi zeseli

• Sidinga izicwangciso eziqhelekileyo zokuqhagamshela izikhala ezikhoyo ezikhoyo, izithuba zokusebenza kunye neendawo zokudlala kunye ne-biosphere.

• Ubume obuhanjisiweyo bamandla ahlaziyekayo kufuna ukuba kubanjiswane endaweni yokuyalela ngokulandelelana kunye neendlela zolawulo, kukhokelela ekwabelaneni ngakumbi kobutyebi obuvelisiweyo. Ukutshintsha ukusuka kwiimarike ukuya kuthungelwano kuthabathel 'indawo ubudlelwane obuchaseneyo phakathi kwabathengi kunye nabathengisi kubudlelwane bokusebenzisana phakathi kwabanikezeli kunye nabasebenzisi. Inzala ekwabelwana ngayo ithatha indawo yomdla wakho. Imizekelo: iWikipedia, isasazwa kwimveliso nge "3-D yoshicilelo," Ezolimo eziXhaswa nguLuntu, imisebenzi yokwabelana ngeemoto (iZipcar), uMbutho woKujonga iCouch.

• Ukuxhaswa kobuNkulu-mali = Ulawulo lwezentando-mveliso loshishino - wonke umntu uba ngumvelisi wamandla akhe, efuna indlela yokusebenzisana yokwabelana kwamandla kuwo wonke amelwane, imimandla kunye nelizwekazi lonke.

• Uyakuthanda ukudalwa kwamashishini amashishini kuwo wonke ummandla ukuvumela abancinci, abavelisi bamandla amancinci ukuba baqokelele umyinge wabo kwaye basasaze umngcipheko wabo ukuze babe ngabadlali abafanelekileyo kwiimarike zamandla ezihambisa.

• Umngeni ngummandla wamandla oqhelekileyo, owakhelwe malunga namafutha epetroli kunye namandla enyukliya, acinga ngendlela ephakathi kunye neengcamango zenkampani ezibonakaliswe kwiCongress.

• Umhlaba jikelele uyafa. Imeko yezoqoqosho ngoku iyatshintsha isuka kuluntu jikelele iye kwilizwekazi lezopolitiko (iBiosphere politics). Sisenokuya kulawulo lwelizwekazi njenge-European Union kunye ne-ASEAN (Umbutho wamazwe akumazantsi mpuma eAsia Nations).

• Ooqoqosho bachaza imveliso ngokokuphuma kwiyunithi nganye yegalelo. Igalelo lichazwa njengenkunzi kunye nabasebenzi, kodwa into engekhoyo ngamandla. Iindleko ezipheleleyo ngokuhamba kwexesha kubantu besithathu, uluntu luphela kunye nokusingqongileyo kunye nezizukulwana ezizayo azikaze zithathelwe ingqalelo.

• Iindawo zentlalo ezinje ngeWikipedia kunye noFacebook zicela umngeni kwisiseko sethiyori yoqoqosho yeklasikhi, yokuba abantu zizidalwa ezizithandayo, zihlala zifuna ukuzimela. I-TIR ivelisa iiseti ezahlukeneyo zebhayiloji-isidingo sokwakha intlalontle kunye nemfuno yoluntu.

• Siza kuhamba siye kubudlelwane bobuhlobo noontanga kunokuba sitshintshiselane ngokuzimela. Ukutshintshiselana ngepropathi kwiimarike kuya kunika indlela yokufikelela kubudlelwane kuthungelwano lwentsebenziswano.

• I-TIR iya kunciphisa ngokumangalisayo iindleko zentengiselwano. Njengoko besondela ku-zero kwinyathelo ngalinye lenkqubo yokuguqula ukusuka kwimveliso ukuya kulwakhiwo ukuya kuthengiso kwakhona, akusekho lula ukugcina umda kwaye yonke ingqikelelo yenzuzo kufuneka iphinde icingwe. Amashishini ayenza njani inzuzo xa iindleko zentengiselwano ziyancipha kwaye imida inyamalala?

• Impendulo: Ipropathi iyakubakhona ezandleni zomvelisi kodwa iya kufumaneka ngokuhamba kwexesha ngokuqeshisa kunye nezinye iindlela - ukuqeshisa imoto, izabelo zexesha leholide. Abavelisi abazenzekelayo baya kuba nomdla wokufumana isithuthi esomeleleyo, esineendleko eziphantsi zolondolozo, ezenziwe ngezinto ezinokuphinda zisetyenziselwe ukuphinda zisebenze kwaye ezinendawo ephantsi yekhabhoni - ngokuchaseneyo nokuphelelwa lixesha okucwangcisiweyo. Utshintsho olusuka kubathengisi nakubathengi luye kubanikezeli kunye nakubasebenzisi-ukusuka kutshintshiselwano lobunini ukuya kufikelela kwiinkonzo-kuyatshintsha indlela esicinga ngayo ithiyori noqheliselo lwezoqoqosho.

Inani loTshintsho

• Ngenxa yokuba i-smart tech ithatha indawo yabasebenzi abaninzi nangakumbi, ngubani oza kuthenga zonke iimveliso eziveliswayo kunye neenkonzo ezibonelelweyo? I-TIR lithuba lokugqibela kwimbali yokudala izigidi zemisebenzi eqhelekileyo yemivuzo yabasebenzi. Ukuba uqikelelo lwangoku lubanjiwe, isiseko sentsha se-TIR kufanele ukuba sibe sikhona kumazwekazi amaninzi ngowama-2040 ukuya kowama-2050, ngelo xesha abasebenzi bezemizi-mveliso baya kuphakama kunye neethafa. Ukubeka phantsi iziseko zophuhliso ezibalulekileyo kule minyaka ingamashumi amane izayo kuya kufuna ukwanda kokugqibela kwamandla ezabasebenzi.

• Ukutshintshwa kwimizi-mveliso ukuya kwixesha elibambisanayo kuya kubonakala kwiminyaka eyi-50 okanye ngaphantsi, njengoko uKorzweil nabanye baqikelela.

•  Utshintsho olusuka kwimizi-mveliso luye kwixesha lokusebenzisana kunokwenzeka ukuba luvele kwiminyaka engama-50 okanye ngaphantsi, njengoko uKurzweil nabanye beqikelela. [me: uxolo lungenzeka ngokukhawuleza].

Millenials

• Ngaphandle Kwasekhohlo nasekunene-Iimbono ziyanyamalala. Ingqondo entsha yezopolitiko iyavela phakathi kwesizukulwane esincinci seenkokheli zopolitiko ezihlalisanayo kunxibelelwano lwe-Intanethi. Iipolitiki zabo zincinci malunga nelungelo xa kuthelekiswa nelasekhohlo nangakumbi malunga nokubekwa embindini kunye nokugunyazisa xa kuthelekiswa nokusasazwa kunye nokusebenzisana.
• Ukuqonda kwezingane zethu kwimiba yezoqoqosho kunye neengcamango zokulawula ezoqoqosho ziya kuba zihluke kakhulu kwizethu.

• Njengoko kuboniswe kwi-Spring Spring kunye ne-Occupy Movement, isizukulwana se-Intanethi sifuna ukuphela kokulawula kolawulo lwentlalo, ngokubanzi ukuze bakwazi ukuhlala kwihlabathi elivulekileyo, elibala, elingenakuphela.

• Ilungelo lokufikelela simahla nangokuvulelekileyo kumandla ahlaziyekayo ahlamba uMhlaba ngokuya esiba sisikhalazo sokuhlanganisana kwesizukulwana esincinci esizinikele kwindlela yokuphila ezinzileyo kunye nolawulo lwe-biosphere. Ubunini obuqhelekileyo kunye nolawulo lwamandla e-fossil ezandleni zamashishini amakhulu kunye noorhulumente baya kubonakala bengaqhelekanga kubantu abancinci kwi-2050, abakhulele kuqoqosho lwe-TIR kwaye bacinga ukuba amandla oMhlaba lulungile eluntwini- njengomoya phefumla - ukuze kwabelwane ngalo luluntu lonke. (Mna-Njengoko i-TIR iqhubeka, asizukuxhomekeka kwioyile kwaye nehlabathi liya kwabelana ngezixhobo ngakumbi, zombini eziya kuthi zikhokelele kwimfuno yomkhosi.

• Isizukulwana esincinane singakholelwa ukuba ngelixa kubalulekile ukuthuthuzelwa koqoqosho, ulonwabo lukwahlukana nokuqokelela "intlalo yoluntu."

• Uninzi lwabantu abancinci nabakhanyayo kwihlabathi liphela bajonga ingqesho yemveli kwindawo yentengiso kunye noorhulumente endaweni yokusebenza kwicandelo elingenzi nzuzo. Isizukulwana seminyaka eliwaka kunye nabantwana babo kuya kufuneka bafundiswe ukusebenza kwaye baphile kuzo zombini ezoqoqosho kunye nentsebenziswano kuqoqosho. Abantwana babo, nangona kunjalo, baya kuqeshwa ngakumbi kuluntu, benze intlalontle ngelixa itekhnoloji enobukrelekrele iya kuthabathela indawo okuninzi- kodwa ayizizo zonke- zabasebenzi babantu kwibala lezorhwebo.

Umngeni Wethu

• I-TIR iguqula imeko yethu yobudlelwane kunye noxanduva kwabanye abantu. Ukwabelana ngamandla ahlaziyekayo oMhlaba kwii-commons zentsebenziswano ezithi zenze ilizwekazi liphela azinakunceda kodwa zidale imeko entsha yesazisi seentlobo. Umgangatho wobomi uya kusekelwa kwintsebenziswano yokusebenzisana, unxibelelwano kunye nokuxhomekeka.