I-Latest Act kuMkhankaso we-Iran we-Nyukliya Disinformation Campaign

NguGareth Porter, ngoMeyi 3, 2018

ukusuka News Consortium

Inkulumbuso yase-Israel uBenjamin Netanyahu ibango kwithiyetha yakhe I-minute ye-20 Ukuhluthwa ngokwasemzimbeni kuka-Israeli “kwindawo yokugcina athom” yase-Iran e-Tehran ngokuqinisekileyo yayiya kuba “yeyona mpumelelo inkulu yobukrelekrele” awaqhayisa ngayo ukuba yenzekile ngokwenene. Kodwa ibango alibambeki phantsi koqwalaselo olucokisekileyo, kwaye isimangalo sakhe sokuba u-Israyeli ngoku unerekhodi enkulu yenkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya yaseIran ngokuqinisekileyo bubuqhophololo.

Ibali likaNetanyahu lokuhlasela ubuntlola bakwa-Israel eTehran ethe yakhupha iifayile zephepha ezingama-55,000 kunye nezinye iiCD ezingama-55,000 ukusuka “kwindawo efihlakeleyo” ifuna ukuba samkele isindululo esingenangqiqo ebusweni baso: ukuba abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo baseIran bagqibe kwelokuba bagcine ezona mvakalelo zibuthathaka emkhosini. iimfihlo kwindlu encinane enophahla lwezinki kungekho nto ukuyikhusela kubushushu (ngaloo ndlela phantse ngokuqinisekileyo iqinisekisa ilahleko yedatha kwiiCD kwiminyaka embalwa) kwaye akukho phawu naluphi na ukhuseleko, ngokusekelwe kumfanekiso wesathelayithi oboniswe kumboniso wesilayidi. (NjengoSteve Simon ya phawula in INew York Times tucango belungabonakali nokutshixa.)

Ingcaciso ehlekisayo kucetyiswa ngamagosa akwaSirayeli ukuba Daily Telegraph- ukuba urhulumente waseIran woyika ukuba iifayile zinokufunyanwa ngabahloli bamazwe ngamazwe ukuba bahlala "kwiziseko ezikhulu" - ubonisa nje indelelo enkulu uNetanyahu anayo koorhulumente baseNtshona kunye neendaba. Nokuba i-Iran ibilandela izixhobo zenyukliya ngokufihlakeleyo, iifayile zabo ezikulo mbandela ziya kugcinwa kwiSebe lezoKhuselo, hayi kwiziseko zomkhosi. Kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo intshukumo etyholwayo kodwa engenakwenzeka ngokupheleleyo ukuya kwindawo entsha engenakwenzeka yeza kanye njengoko uNetanyahu wayefuna ibali elitsha elimangalisayo ukuze akhuthaze uTrump ukuba axhathise ukunyanzeliswa okuqinileyo kobudlelwane baseYurophu ekugcineni iSicwangciso esiHlangeneyo soMthetho (JCPOA) isivumelwano senyukliya ne-Iran.

Ngapha koko, akukho vimba omkhulu weefayile eziyimfihlo malunga ne-Iran “Manhattan Project.” Iishelufu zezibophelelo ezimnyama kunye neeCD ezivezwe nguNetanyahu ngokukhula okumangalisayo ukusukela ngo-2003 (emva koko i-US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) yathi i-Iran iyishiyile nayiphi na inkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya) kwaye yaba yinto engaphaya kweqonga elifana nebhombu yekhathuni. eyasetyenziswa nguNetanyahu kwiZizwe eziManyeneyo ngo-2012.

Iphulo leDisinformation

Ibango lika-Netanyahu malunga nendlela u-Israyeli awalufumana ngayo olu “gcino lweatom” luphawu lwamva nje lwephulo lexesha elide lokubulala iintsholongwane elathi urhulumente wase-Israeli waqala ukusebenza kulo ngo-2002-03. Amaxwebhu abhekiswa kuwo uNetanyahu kumboniso aye aziswa kumajelo eendaba kunye ne-International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) eqala ngo-2005 njengevela kwinkqubo yophando eyimfihlo yaseIran ngezixhobo zenyukliya. Kangangeminyaka emininzi amajelo eendaba aseUnited States aye amkela loo maxwebhu njengayinyaniso. Kodwa nangona imidiya eqinileyo ihlangene ngaphambili emva kwelo bali, ngoku siyazi ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba loo maxwebhu angaphambili ayeyinkohliso kwaye adalwe yi-Mossad yakwaSirayeli.

Obo bungqina bobuqhophololo buqala ngesityholo semvelaphi yayo yonke ingqokelela yamaxwebhu. Amagosa aphezulu ezobuntlola kulawulo lukaGeorge W. Bush axelele iintatheli ukuba amaxwebhu aphuma “kwikhompyuter ebiweyo ye-Iranian laptop”, njengoko. The New York Times umbiko ngoNovemba 2005. I Maxesha ucaphule amagosa ezobuntlola ezingachazwanga ngamagama egxininisa ukuba amaxwebhu ayengaveli kwiqela elichasayo lase-Iranian, eliya kubangela amathandabuzo anzulu ekuthembekeni kwabo.iphulo le-disinformation apho urhulumente wase-Israel waqala ukusebenza kwi-2002-03. Amaxwebhu abhekiswa kuwo uNetanyahu kumboniso aye aziswa kumajelo eendaba kunye ne-International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) eqala ngo-2005 njengevela kwinkqubo yophando eyimfihlo yaseIran ngezixhobo zenyukliya. Kangangeminyaka emininzi amajelo eendaba aseUnited States aye amkela loo maxwebhu njengayinyaniso. Kodwa nangona imidiya eqinileyo ihlangene ngaphambili emva kwelo bali, ngoku siyazi ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba loo maxwebhu angaphambili ayeyinkohliso kwaye adalwe yi-Mossad yakwaSirayeli.

Kodwa kwajika ukuba iziqinisekiso zaloo magosa ezobuntlola zaziyinxalenye yokuhanahanisa okusemthethweni. I-akhawunti yokuqala ethembekileyo yendlela yamaxwebhu eya eUnited States yafika kuphela kwi-2013, xa owayesakuba ligosa eliphezulu le-ofisi yaseJamani uKarsten Voigt, owathatha umhlala-phantsi kwisikhundla sakhe sexesha elide njengomququzeleli wentsebenziswano yaseJamani-North America, wathetha nalo mbhali. irekhodi.

UVoigt ukhumbule indlela amagosa aphezulu kwi-arhente yezobuntlola yangaphandle yaseJamani, i Bundesnachtrendeinst okanye BND, wayemchazele ngoNovemba 2004 ukuba babeqhelene namaxwebhu malunga nenkqubo yesityholo senyukliya yase-Iran, kuba umthombo othile-kodwa ingeyiyo iarhente yobukrelekrele yokwenene-yayibonelele ekuqaleni kwaloo nyaka. Ngapha koko, amagosa e-BND achaza ukuba ayewujonga umthombo "njengothandabuzayo," wakhumbula, kuba umthombo wawungowe-Mujahideen-E Khalq, iqela elichasayo lase-Iran elalilwe ne-Iran egameni le-Iraq ngexesha lemfazwe yeminyaka esibhozo. .

Amagosa e-BND ayenenkxalabo yokuba ulawulo lukaBush luqalisile ukucaphula loo maxwebhu njengobungqina obuchasene ne-Iran, ngenxa yamava abo nge "Curveball" - injineli yase-Iraq yaseJamani eyayixelele amabali e-Iraqi mobile bioweapons labs ezijike zaba bubuxoki. Ngenxa yaloo ntlanganiso kunye namagosa e-BND, uVoigt wayenike i udliwanondlebe ukuba TheWall Street Journal  ebeyichasile isiqinisekiso samagosa ezobuntlola ase-US angachazwanga ukuba Amaxesha aNdaye ndalumkisa ukuba ulawulo lukaBush akufuneki lusekele umgaqo-nkqubo walo kumaxwebhu aqala ukuwakhankanya njengobungqina benkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya yaseIran, kuba ngokwenene babephuma “kwiqela eliphikisayo laseIran.”

Ukusebenzisa i-MEK

Umnqweno wolawulo lukaBush wokulawula ukushicilelwa kwamaxwebhu angaphakathi e-Iranian ekucingelwa ukuba kude ne-MEK kuyaqondakala: inyani malunga nendima ye-MEK iya kukhokelela kwaSirayeli kwangoko, kuba yayisaziwa, ukuba i-arhente yobuntlola yakwa-Israel uMossad yasebenzisa i-MEK ukwenza. Ulwazi loluntu awayengafuni ukuba amaSirayeli lubalulwe ngokwalo-kuquka indawo echanekileyo yoncedo lwase-Iran lwe-Natanz. Njengoko iintatheli zakwa-Israel u-Yossi Melman kunye noMeir Javadanfar babona kwinqaku labo Ncwadi ye-2007Kwinkqubo yenyukliya yase-Iran, esekwe kwi-US, iBhritane kunye namagosa akwa-Israeli, "Ulwazi 'luhluzwa' kwi-IAEA kusetyenziswa amaqela aphikisayo e-Iranian, ngakumbi iBhunga leSizwe lokuLawula lase-Iran."

I-Mossad yasebenzisa i-MEK ngokuphindaphindiweyo ngeminyaka yoo-1990 kunye nasekuqaleni koo-2000 ukuze ifumane i-IAEA ukuba ihlole nasiphi na isiza ekurhaneleka ukuba amaSirayeli asenokuba sinxulumene nenyukliya, esenza ukuba abathengi babo base-Irani babenegama elibi kakhulu kwi-IAEA. Akukho mntu uqhelene nerekhodi ye-MEK unokukholelwa ukuba iyakwazi ukwenza amaxwebhu aneenkcukacha agqithiselwe kurhulumente waseJamani. Loo nto yayifuna umbutho onobuchule kwizixhobo zenyukliya kunye namava ekuqulunqeni amaxwebhu - omabini i-Mossad yakwaSirayeli yayinobuninzi bayo.

UNetanyahu unike uluntu umbono wokuqala womnye wale mizobo ngoMvulo xa walatha kulo ngoloyiso njengobungqina obubonakalayo be-Iranian perfidy. Kodwa lo mzobo ucetyiweyo wawunesiphako esisisiseko esangqina ukuba wona kunye nabanye abasesixekweni kwakungeyonyani: wawubonisa "idunce cap" uyilo lwemoto yokungena kwakhona yohlobo olujulwayo lweShahab-3 olwaluvavanyiwe ukusuka ngo-1998 ukuya ku-2000. Yayiyimilo leyo abahlalutyi bezobuntlola bangaphandle kwe-Iran ababeyicinge ngo-2002 nango-2003 i-Iran yayiza kuqhubeka nokuyisebenzisa kumjukujelwa wayo. nganye kuzo kukho imilo engqukuva emele isixhobo senyukliya. Loo mizobo yachazwa koorhulumente bamazwe angaphandle kunye ne-International Atomic Energy Agency njengeenzame ezili-18 ezahlukeneyo zokudibanisa isixhobo senyukliya kwiShahab-3.

I-Nose Cone entsha

Ngoku kuqiniswe kakuhle, nangona kunjalo, ukuba i-Iran iqalile ukuphinda ihlaziye i-missile ye-Shahab-3 kunye nesithuthi esine-conical reentry okanye i-nosecone ekuqaleni kwe-2000 kwaye ithathe indawo yoyilo olwahluke ngokupheleleyo olune-"triconic" okanye "ibhotile yomntwana". Yenze ukuba ibe ngumjukujelwa onobuchule bokubhabha obahlukileyo kwaye ekugqibeleni yabizwa ngokuba yi-Ghadr-1. UMichael Elleman, ingcali ekhokelayo yehlabathi kwimijukujelwa yase-Iranian, ubhale ngokuyilwa ngokutsha komjukujelwa kwindawo yakhe. uphononongo oluqhawukayo luka-2010 yenkqubo yemijukujelwa yaseIran.

I-Iran yagcina umjukujelwa wayo osandula ukuyilwa kunye nesithuthi sokubuyisela ibhotile yosana iyimfihlo evela kwihlabathi langaphandle kude kube kuvavanyo lwayo lokuqala phakathi ku-2004. U-Elleman wagqiba kwelokuba i-Iran yayilahlekisa ngabom ihlabathi liphela-kwaye ngakumbi amaSirayeli, awayemele esona sisongelo sisongelo sokuhlaselwa kwe-Iran-ukukholelwa ukuba imodeli yakudala yayiyi-missile yexesha elizayo ngelixa sele iguqule ukucwangcisa kwayo kuyilo olutsha. , nto leyo eyayiza kwenza wonke uSirayeli afikeleleke okwesihlandlo sokuqala.

Ababhali bemizobo eboniswe nguNetanyahu kwiscreen ke babesebumnyameni malunga notshintsho kuyilo lwaseIran. Umhla wokuqala woxwebhu lokuyilwa ngokutsha kwesithuthi sokungena kwakhona kwingqokelela efunyenwe yi-intelligence yase-US yayingu-Agasti 28, 2002 - malunga neminyaka emibini emva kokuba uhlengahlengiso lwangempela luqalile. Elo mpazamo inkulu libonisa ngokungathandabuzekiyo ukuba imizobo yeskim ebonisa isixhobo senyukliya kwinqwelo yokungena kwakhona ye-Shahab-3- into uNetanyahu awayibiza ngokuba “luyilo oludityanisiweyo lwentloko yemfazwe” yayibubuqhetseba.

Umboniso wesilayidi sikaNetanyahu uqaqambise uthotho lwezityhilelo ezityholwa ukuba zivela kwindawo entsha “yogcino lweathom” malunga nento ebizwa ngokuba “yiSicwangciso seAmad” kunye nokuqhubekeka kwemisebenzi ye-Iranian ekuthiwe ikhokele iprojekthi yezixhobo zenyukliya efihlakeleyo. . Kodwa amaphepha elinye lamaxwebhu olwimi lwesiFarsi awakhanyisayo kwiscreen nawo avela ngokucacileyo kwi-cache efanayo yamaxwebhu esazi ngoku avela kwindibaniselwano ye-MEK-Israel. Loo maxwebhu akazange angqinwe, kwaye uMlawuli-Jikelele we-IAEA u-Mohamed ElBaradei, owayethandabuza ubunyani bawo, wa gxi ninisa ukuba ngaphandle kobungqina obunjalo, akanakutyhola i-Iran ngokuba nenkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya.

Ubuqhophololo obungakumbi

Kukho ezinye izinto ezibonisa ubuqhophololo nakulo ngqokelela yamaxwebhu. Into yesibini ekucingelwa ukuba yinkqubo yezixhobo ezifihlakeleyo ezinikwe igama elithi “Isicwangciso se-Amad” “yayiyinkqubo yokuqukuqela itshati” yenkqubo yesikali sokuguqula i-uranium ore ukuze ityetyiswe. Yayinegama lekhowudi elithi "Project 5.13", ngokutsho kwe ngcaciso nguSekela Mlawuli we-IAEA u-Olli Heinonen, kwaye wayeyinxalenye enkulu ebizwa ngokuba yi "Project 5", ngokwengxelo esemthethweni ye-IAEA. Enye iprojekti engaphantsi kwaloo rubrikhi yayiyi-“Project 5.15”, ebandakanya ukulungiswa kwentsimbi ekrwada kuMgodi we-Gchine. Zombini ezi projekthi ziphantsi kuthiwa ziqhutywa yifemu yokubonisana egama linguKimia Maadan.

Kodwa amaxwebhu ukuba Iran kamva inikezelwe kwi-IAEA yangqina ukuba, eneneni, "iProjekthi 5.15" ikho, kodwa yayiyiprojekthi yoluntu ye-Atomic Energy Organisation yase-Iran, ingeyonxalenye yenkqubo efihlakeleyo yezixhobo zenyukliya, nokuba isigqibo senziwe ngo-Agasti 1999 - ezimbini. iminyaka ngaphambi kokuqala kwesityholo esithi "Isicwangciso se-Amad" kwathiwa siqalile.

Indima kaKimia Maadan kuzo zombini iiprojekthi eziphantsi icacisa ukuba kutheni iprojekthi yokulungisa intsimbi ekrwada iza kubandakanywa kwinkqubo ekuthiwa yimfihlelo yezixhobo zenyukliya. Elinye lamaxwebhu ambalwa kakhulu afakwe kwi-cache enokuqinisekiswa ngokwenene njengeyokwenene yayiyileta evela ku-Kimia Maadan kwesinye isifundo, ebonisa ukuba ababhali bamaxwebhu babesakha iqoqo malunga namaxwebhu ambalwa anokuqinisekiswa.

U-Netanyahu uphinde wazilazila ngenxa yokukhanyela kwe-Iran ukuba yenze nawuphi na umsebenzi kwi-"MPI" okanye ("Multi-Point Initiation") itekhnoloji "kwi-hemispheric geometry". Waqinisekisa ukuba "iifayile" zibonise i-Iran yenze "umsebenzi omkhulu" okanye "i-MPI" yovavanyo. Akazange achaze ngakumbi ngengongoma. Kodwa u-Israel wabubhaqa ubungqina obutyholwayo bovavanyo olunjalo kwityotyombe elifulelwe ngamazinki eTehran. Umba wokuba ingaba i-Iran yenze imifuniselo enjalo yayingumba ophambili kuphando lwe-IAEA emva kowama-2008. Ngxelo kaSeptemba 2008, ekucingelwa ukuba imalunga "novavanyo lwe-Iran ngokunxulumene nokuqaliswa kwe-symmetrical ye-hemispherical high explosive charge elungele uhlobo lwe-implosion yesixhobo senyukliya."

Akukho Matywina asemthethweni

I-IAEA yalile ukuveza ukuba leliphi ilizwe elililungu elinike uxwebhu kwi-IAEA. Kodwa owayesakuba nguMlawuli-Jikelele u-ElBaradei watyhila zakhe iimemori ukuba i-Israel idlulise uluhlu lwamaxwebhu kwi-Arhente ukuze iseke ityala lokuba i-Iran iqhubekile novavanyo lwezixhobo zenyukliya kude kube "ubuncinci be-2007." U-ElBaradei wayebhekisa kwixesha elifanelekileyo lokuvela kwengxelo kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ze-US NIE kaNovemba ka-2007 egqibe kwelokuba i-Iran yaluphelisa uphando lwayo olunxulumene nezixhobo zenyukliya ngo-2003.

UNetanyahu walatha kuthotho lwamaxwebhu kwiscreen kunye nenani lemizobo, iifoto kunye namanani obugcisa, kunye nefilimu endala emnyama nemhlophe, njengobungqina bokusebenza kwezixhobo zenyukliya zaseIran. Kodwa akukho nto malunga nabo ebonelela ngekhonkco lobungqina kurhulumente waseIran. Njengoko uTariq Rauf, owayeyintloko ye-IAEA yoQinisekiso kunye ne-Ofisi yoLungelelaniso loMgaqo-nkqubo woKhuseleko ukusuka kwi-2002 ukuya kwi-2012, ephawulwe kwi-imeyile, akukho nalinye lamaphepha esicatshulwa kwiscreen abonisa amatywina asemthethweni okanye amanqaku aya kubachonga njengorhulumente wokwenyani waseIran. amaxwebhu. Amaxwebhu e-Iranian ekucingelwa ukuba anikwe i-IAEA ngo-2005 ngokufanayo ayengenalo uphawu olusemthethweni, njengoko igosa le-IAEA lavuma kum ngo-2008.

Umboniso wesilayidi kaNetanyahu uveze okungaphezulu kunendlela yakhe yokucenga kumxholo weIran. Ibonelele ngobungqina obungaphezulu bokuba amabango aphumelele ngempumelelo i-US kunye namahlakani akwa-Israel ukuba ajoyine ekohlwayeni i-Iran ngokuba nenkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya ayesekelwe kumaxwebhu ayiliweyo asuka kwilizwe elalineyona njongo inamandla yokwenza loo nto-uSirayeli.

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UGareth Porter ngumongameli ozimeleyo wophando kunye nomlando-mlando kumgaqo-nkqubo wezokuphepha kazwelonke wase-US kunye nomkeli we-2012 Gellhorn umvuzo weendaba. Incwadi yakhe yakutshanje yintlupheko eyenziweyo: iNdaba engeyiyo ye-Iran Nuclear Scare, epapashwe kwi-2014.