Ubume obunzulu beMfazwe ebandayo kunye ne-EU

nguMikael Böök, World BEYOND War, Novemba 22, 2021

Utitshala wobuchule uStefan Forss wenza amabango kwiphepha-ndaba laseHelsinki Hufvudstadsbladet ukuba iRashiya ilungiselela ukuhlasela kweUkraine.

Yiloo ndlela ekhangeleka ngayo.

Ukuba kunjalo, iRussia iphendula kumalungiselelo oorhulumente base-US kunye ne-Ukraine okudibanisa ngokuqinisekileyo i-Ukraine kubukumkani behlabathi baseMelika, igqibezela ukuqhubela phambili komkhosi waseNtshona ngokuchasene neRussia okwaqala kwisiqingatha sokugqibela se-1990s.

UForss uhlabela mgama ekholelwa ukuba “ingxaki eyonyanyekayo yeembacu kwi-EU kunye nemida yeNATO ePoland naseLithuania . . . ibonisa iimpawu zentsebenzo yokukhohlisa yaseRashiya, i-maskirovka ", enye indlela yokubeka lonke ityala kwizinto ezenzeka kwimida yasePutin.

Umngcipheko wongquzulwano olukhulu lomkhosi ngelishwa lonyukile kwindawo yethu yehlabathi kwangaxeshanye ungquzulwano lomkhosi nezopolitiko luye lwanda e-Asiya, ubuncinci malunga nombuzo wekamva laseTaiwan. Ukusetyenziswa kwamawakawaka abantu abafudukayo njengamaqhekeza emidlalo kuvusa ukuzonya okufanelekileyo, kodwa zeziphi iimvakalelo ukusetyenziswa kwe-Ukraine ye-45 yezigidi kunye nabemi baseTaiwan abazizigidi ezingama-23 ezivusa njengeetshiphusi kumdlalo we-geopolitical?

Mhlawumbi oku akufuneki kukhokelele kugqabhuko-dubulo lweemvakalelo nezityholo, kodwa kufuneka kuxhokonxe ingcinga.

IMfazwe Yomlomo ayizange iphele kwiSoviet Union. Iyaqhubeka, nangona ngeendlela ezininzi ze-Orwellian geopolitical kunangaphambili. Ngoku kukho amaqela amathathu ehlabathi kuyo kanye njenge-“Eurasia, Oceania ne-East Asia” kwi-Orwell's “1984”. I-propaganda, "izenzo ezixubileyo" kunye nokubekw' esweni kwabemi nazo ziyi-dystopian. Umntu ukhumbula izityhilelo zika-Snowden.

Oyena nobangela weMfazwe Yomlomo, njengangaphambili, ziinkqubo zezixhobo zenyukliya kunye nesisongelo esiqhubekayo kwezi kwimozulu nobomi emhlabeni. Ezi nkqubo zenze kwaye ziyaqhubeka ukwenza "isakhiwo esinzulu seMfazwe yoMlo". Ndiboleka intetho kumbhali-mbali u-EP Thompson kwaye ke ndinethemba lokukhumbuza ngokhetho lwendlela enokuthi isavulekele thina. Singazama ukusebenzisa i-UN kunye nomthetho wamazwe ngamazwe njengeqonga lethu lokuphelisa iinkqubo zezixhobo zenyukliya. Okanye sinokuqhubeka siqhubela iMfazwe Yomlomo kwintlekele yenyukliya ngenxa yokutshisa kobudlelwane bamandla amakhulu okanye ngempazamo.

I-European Union yanamhlanje, eyandisiweyo yayingekabikho ngexesha lesigaba sokuqala seMfazwe Yomlomo. Yabakho ngeminyaka yoo-1990, xa abantu babenethemba lokuba iMfazwe Yomlomo iphelile embalini. Kuthetha ukuthini kwi-EU ukuba iMfazwe ebandayo isaqhubeka? Okwangoku nakwixesha elizayo elingekude, abemi be-EU badla ngokuhlukana babe ngamaqela amathathu. Okokuqala, abo bakholelwa ukuba i-ambrela yenyukliya yase-US yinqaba yethu enamandla. Okwesibini, abo bafuna ukukholelwa ukuba umkhosi wenyukliya waseFransi unokuba okanye uya kuba yinqaba yethu enamandla. (lo mbono ngokuqinisekileyo wawungekho wasemzini ku-de Gaulle kwaye usandula usasazwa nguMacron). Ekugqibeleni, uluvo olufuna iYurophu engenazixhobo zenyukliya kunye ne-EU ehambelana neNgqungquthela yeZizwe eziManyeneyo malunga nokuVinjelwa kwezixhobo zeNyukliya (TPNW).

Nabani na ocinga ukuba umgca wesithathu woluvo umelwe ngabemi abambalwa be-EU baphazama. Uninzi lwamaJamani, amaTaliyane, amaBelgians, kunye namaDatshi afuna ukususa iziseko zenyukliya zase-US kwimimandla yamazwe abo e-NATO. Inkxaso yoluntu yokuthotywa kwezixhobo zenyukliya zaseYurophu kunye nokufikelela kwiNgqungquthela yeZizwe eziManyeneyo yomelele kulo lonke elaseNtshona Yurophu, hayi kancinci kumazwe eNordic. Oku kusebenza nakwilizwe laseFransi lezixhobo zenyukliya. Uphando (olwenziwa yi-IFOP kwi-2018) lubonise ukuba i-67 ipesenti yabantu baseFransi bafuna ukuba urhulumente wabo ajoyine i-TPNW ngelixa i-33 ipesenti yayicinga ukuba akufanele. I-Austria, i-Ireland, ne-Malta sele ivumile i-TPNW.

Kuthetha ntoni konke oku kwi-EU njengeziko? Oku kuthetha ukuba i-EU kufuneka ibe nesibindi kwaye iphume kwi-closet. I-EU kufuneka ibe nobuganga bokutenxa kwindlela esele ithathwe ngoku ngabachasi beMfazwe yoMlomo. I-EU kufuneka yakhe kwimbono yomsunguli wayo u-Altiero Spinelli ukuba iYurophu kufuneka i-denuclearized (eyayibonisa kwinqaku elithi "i-Atlantic Pact okanye Ubumbano lwaseYurophu", Imicimbi yabangaphandle No. 4, 1962). Ngaphandle koko, iManyano iya kuhlukana ngelixa umngcipheko wemfazwe yehlabathi yesithathu ukwandisa.

Amazwe avumileyo kwiNgqungquthela yeZizwe eziManyeneyo malunga noThintelo lwezixhobo zeNyukliya kungekudala aza kuhlangana okokuqala ukusukela oko waqala ukusebenza ngoJanuwari. Intlanganiso icwangciselwe ukuba yenzeke eVienna ngoMatshi 22-24, 2022. Kuthekani ukuba iKhomishini yaseYurophu yayiza kubonisa inkxaso yayo? Inyathelo elichule elinjalo kwicala le-EU liya kuba litsha ngokwenene! Ukubuyisela, i-EU iya kuphinda ifane nebhaso loxolo elanikezelwa yiKomiti yeNobel kwi-Union kwangoko ngo-2012. I-EU kufuneka ibe nesibindi sokuxhasa iNgqungquthela ye-UN. Kwaye iFinland kufuneka ibe nobuganga bokunika i-EU utyhala oluncinci kweli cala. Zonke iimpawu zobomi kumlo ochasene neMfazwe Yomlomo ziya kwamkeleka. Umqondiso omncinci wobomi uya kuba, njengeSweden, ukuthatha isimo sokubukela kunye nokuthumela ababukeli kwintlanganiso eVienna.