nguRyan Black, IsiCwangciso soPhakamiso, UEpreli 26, 2022
Uhlaselo lwaseRashiya lobugebenga eUkraine lwazise ithuba eliyingozi lemfazwe yenyukliya kwingqwalasela entsha. Ukusabela kolu hlaselo, amazwe amaninzi ajonge ukonyusa inkcitho yasemkhosini, nto leyo evuyisa kakhulu abo babenzi bezixhobo. Okona kukhwankqisa nangakumbi zizikhwelo zokuthi kwandiswe utyalo-mali kubuchule benyukliya ngamazwe axhobe ngenyukliya, kunye nezikhwelo zokuthunyelwa kwezixhobo zenyukliya zase-US kumazwe angazibambisiyo ngoku.
Khumbula ukuba, isixhobo esinye senyukliya sinokutshabalalisa isixeko, sibulale amakhulu amawaka okanye kwanezigidi zabantu. Ngoku ka NukeMap, isixhobo esiqikelela impembelelo yohlaselo lwenyukliya, abantu abangaphezu kwezigidi ezisibhozo bebeya kubulawa, yaye abanye abaphantse babe zizigidi ezisixhenxe benzakala, ukuba eyona bhombu yenyukliya inkulu yaseRashiya ibinokuphoswa kwisiXeko saseNew York.
Ishumi elinesithathu lamawaka eebhombu zeNyukliya kwihlabathi jikelele
I-US sele iqikelelwa kwikhulu lezixhobo zenyukliya eYurophu. Amazwe amahlanu e-NATO-i-Itali, iBelgium, iNetherlands, iTurkey kunye neJamani-athatha inxaxheba kulungiselelo lokwabelana ngenyukliya, ngalinye libamba izixhobo zenyukliya ezingamashumi amabini zase-US.
IJamani, ukongeza ekubambeni ii-nukes zase-US, ikwanyusa inkcitho yayo emkhosini ukuya kwi-100 yeebhiliyoni zee-Euro. Kutshintsho olukhulu kumgaqo-nkqubo waseJamani, ilizwe lizibophelele ekuchitheni ngaphezulu kwe-2% ye-GDP yalo emkhosini. IJamani nayo izibophelele ekuthengeni eyenziwe yi-US Inqwelomoya yeF-35 - iijethi ezikwaziyo ukuthwala izixhobo zenyukliya - ukuthatha indawo yezazo zokulwa zeTornado.
E-Poland, ilizwe elisemdeni we-Ukraine kunye ne-Russian ally i-Belarus kwaye ayinazo naziphi na izixhobo zenyukliya, inkokeli ye-right-wing yelizwe-Conservative Law and Justice Party. uthi ngoku "zivulekile" kwi-US yokubeka izixhobo zenyukliya apho.
Umkhuhlane wenyukliya awukho eYurophu kuphela. iTshayina i ukukhawulezisa ukwakheka kwayo kwenyukliya phakathi kokunyuka koloyiko lokungquzulana ne-US - kunye neTaiwan i-flashpoint ezayo. I-China iceba ukwakha umhlaba olikhulu izisele zemijukujelwa yenyukliya, kwaye ingxelo yePentagon ithi bayakuba newaka imikhosi yenyukliya ekupheleni kweshumi leminyaka. Oku kuyakongeza malunga neshumi elinesithathu lamawaka ezixhobo zenyukliya esele zikhona kwihlabathi jikelele. I-China nayo isondele ekugqityweni kwayo uthathu wenyukliya - ukukwazi ukuqalisa izixhobo zenyukliya ngomhlaba, ulwandle, kunye nomoya-okuthi, ngokobulumko obuqhelekileyo, bukhusele iqhinga labo lokuthintela inyukliya.
Ukongeza, iNorth Korea iphinde yaqala kwakhona inkqubo ye-ICBM kwaye isandul 'ukuqalisa i-missile yokuvavanya okokuqala ukususela ngo-2017. I-North Korea ithi i-missile "inamandla okuthintela imfazwe yenyukliya," ingqiqo efanayo yonke enye ilizwe elinezixhobo zenyukliya elisetyenziselwa ukwakha kunye nokwakha. ukugcina izixhobo zenyukliya.
Amaqabane ase-US kummandla akakhuselekanga kwiifowuni zezixhobo zenyukliya. Owayesakuba yinkulumbuso yaseJapan uShinzo Abe, kudala efuna iJapan enomkhosi othe kratya, kutsha nje ucele ilizwe ukuba lithathele ingqalelo ukusingathwa kwezixhobo zenyukliya zase-US-ngaphandle kweJapan kuphela kwendawo eMhlabeni yokuzazi ngokwethu uloyiko olwenziwe ngqo ebantwini ngenyukliya. -ukuhlaselwa kwezixhobo. Ngethamsanqa, amagqabantshintshi afumene ukubuyiselwa umva kwinkokeli yangoku uFumio Kishida, othe lo mbono "awamkelekanga."
Kodwa iinkokeli ezininzi azilixhathisi ikhwelo lezixhobo zenyukliya ezingakumbi.
Izoyikiso zeMfazwe yeNyukliya
Umongameli wase-Ukraine uVolodymyr Zelensky uneempawu ezininzi ezithandekayo, kodwa ngelishwa akancedi ekunciphiseni umngcipheko wemfazwe yenyukliya. Ukongeza kwiifowuni zakhe ze-a Indawo engenaFly, kutshanje uxelele Imizuzu engama-60: “Ihlabathi namhlanje lithi abanye abantu bazimele ngokwezopolitiko ngamabango okuba ‘asinakukwazi ukumela iUkraine kuba kusenokubakho imfazwe yenyukliya…kukholelwa ukuba xa ungayincedi iUkraine, uya kuzifihla kwiinukes zaseRashiya. andikholelwa.'”
Umongameli uZelensky ubonakala ecebisa ukuba kungakhathaliseki ukuba iNtshona ibandakanyeka kumkhosi othe ngqo weRashiya okanye hayi, ukujongana nenyukliya kukufutshane-ngokuqinisekileyo.
Unesizathu sokuxhalaba. I-Russian Federation ibango kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo ukuba ukusebenzisa izixhobo zenyukliya lukhetho ukuba iRussia ijongene nengxaki ekhoyo. I-Russia yade yabeka iinkqubo zayo zemijukujelwa kwindawo yokulinda. Uxelele uZelensky CNN, "onke amazwe ehlabathi" kufuneka alungiselele ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba uMongameli waseRashiya uVladimir Putin angasebenzisa izixhobo zenyukliya ezinobuchule kwimfazwe yakhe yaseUkraine.
Ingxaki kaZelensky ayinakucingelwa, ngokungathandabuzekiyo. Kodwa ulwimi oluthetha uhlaselo lwenyukliya olungenakuthintelwa kunye nemfuneko yokonyuka kokungenelela emkhosini kutyhalela iRussia kufutshane ekuqaliseni uhlaselo lwenyukliya- kunye nehlabathi lisingise kwimfazwe yenyukliya yehlabathi. Le ayisiyondlela i-Ukraine okanye ihlabathi elifanele lifune ukuyithatha. Eyona nto ifunekayo ludiplomacy ngakumbi.
I-US ayenzanga izinto zibe ngcono kwixesha elide njengenkokeli yehlabathi kwinyukliya. Kwaye i-US iyala ukwamkela "ukungasebenzi kokuqala" njenge umgaqo-nkqubo osemthethweni, eqinisekisa ihlabathi ngogwayimbo lokuqala oluhlaselayo lwezixhobo zenyukliya lusetafileni. Oku kwenzeka kumgaqo-nkqubo wenyukliya ofanayo ekwabelwana ngayo yiRashiya -umgaqo-nkqubo obetha uloyiko kwihlabathi liphela ngoku, kubandakanya phantse i-70% yabantu base-US ngoku. ndikhathazekile ngohlaselo lwenyukliya.
Oku kukhwankqisa kabini xa kuqwalaselwa imbali yase-US yokwenza ubungqina bokuya emfazweni, njengoko kwenzeka ngobuxoki bukaGeorge W. Bush malunga ne-WMDs e-Iraq kunye nobuxoki. Isiganeko seGulf of Tonkin eyayisetyenziswa njengesizathu sokwandisa iMfazwe yaseVietnam.
IiNukes azinakwenza uxolo
Ikamva loluntu lixhomekeke kumazwe alithoba anezixhobo zenyukliya, kunye namazwe ababelana nawo, angaze abenamntu ophetheyo ogqiba ukuba ilizwe labo lijongene nesoyikiso esikhoyo, olo lawulo alunakuze lujijisane nezandla ezingakhathaliyo okanye ezikhohlakeleyo. abaqweqwedisi abagqithi kwiinkqubo zokhuseleko zikarhulumente, okanye ukuba umhlambi weentaka awuphazami njengohlaselo lwenyukliya oluzayo, nto leyo ebangela ukusabela kobuxoki kwenyukliya. Kwaye hlala ukhumbula, ii-ICBM kunye nemijukujelwa esekwe elwandle ayinakubizwa emva. Xa sele begxothiwe, akusekho kubuya ngamva.
Esi sicwangciso sisemngciphekweni kunye nesiphezulu, esinokuphela kwehlabathi asinakuthetheleleka kwixesha apho izoyikiso zinokuthi zonakaliswe, hayi nje ngamaphondo akhohlakeleyo, kodwa ngabantu abaqhelekileyo kunye namaqela adibeneyo anxibelelene ngokungaziwa kwi-intanethi.
Impendulo kwisisongelo sezixhobo zenyukliya asizozixhobo zenyukliya ezingakumbi. Impendulo sisijikelezi-langa esisebenzisa ukuphelisa izixhobo ngokwenene ngenjongo yokungabi nazixhobo zenyukliya. Umhlaba kufuneka ungavumeli Imfazwe yaseRashiya engekho mthethweni eUkraine ibe ngunobangela wokwanda kwenyukliya kunye neengozi eziphakamileyo zemfazwe yenyukliya.
