NguNicolas JS Davies, nge-12 kaOktobha, 2017
ukusuka News Consortium
Imithombo yeendaba yaseNtshona ibisoloko ithelekelela ukuba kutheni, malunga nonyaka ophelileyo, ubunkokheli base-North Korea "obungenangqondo" ngequbuliso basungula inkqubo yengozi yokuphucula amandla ayo e-ballistic missile. Lowo mbuzo uphendulwe ngoku.
Ngo-Septemba ka-2016, imikhosi yezokhuselo yase-North Korea yangena kwiikhompyuter zomkhosi wase Mzantsi Korea yaza yakhuphela ama-gigabytes ama-235 amaxwebhu. I-BBC ityhile ukuba la maxwebhu aquka izicwangciso ezithe kratya zase-US zokubulala umongameli wase-North Korea, u-Kim Jong Un, kunye nokuqalisa umlo ophela e-North Korea. Owona mthombo uphambili kweli bali nguRhee Cheol-Hee, ilungu leKomiti yezoKhuselo yeNdlu yoWiso-mThetho yase-Korea.
Ezi zicwangciso zemfazwe enolunya sele zininzi ekudala zisenziwa. Kwi-2003, i-US isike isivumelwano Ityikitywe ngo-1994 apho iNorth Korea yaxhoma inkqubo yenyukliya kwaye i-US yavuma ukwakha izixhobo zamanzi ezikhanyayo ezimbini eMantla Korea. La mazwe mabini avumile ngokwenyathelo nenyathelo lokumisa ubudlelwane. Nokuba emva kokuba i-US ichithe i-1994 Agreed Framework e-2003, i-North Korea ayizange iwuqale umsebenzi kwi-arhente yomkhenkce yomkhenkce emibini phantsi kwesivumelwano, ngoku ebengayenza i-plutonium eyaneleyo ukwenza izixhobo zenyukliya ezininzi ngonyaka.
Nangona kunjalo, okoko i-2002-03, xa uMongameli uGeorge W. Bush wafaka i-North Korea "kububi obubi," wemka kwiNkqubo-eqinisekisiweyo, kwaye waqalisa ukuhlasela kwe-Iraq ngenxa yamabango e-WMD e-bogus, iNorth Korea yaphinda yaqala ukucebisa i-uranium kunye ukwenza inkqubela ethe xhaxhe ekuphuhliseni izixhobo zenyukliya kunye nemipu ye-ballistic yokuhlangula.
Nge-2016, amaKorea aseNyakatho nawo ayekho bazi kakuhle ngekamva elothusayo le-Iraq neLibya kunye neenkokheli zabo emva kokuba amazwe enikezele ngezixhobo zawo ezingaqhelekanga. I-US ayikhokelelanga kugonyamelo olunamagazi nje kuphela kodwa iinkokheli zamazwe zabulawa ngokungenalusini, uSaddam Hussein ngokuxhonywa uMuammar Gaddafi walala nomntu ngemela emva koko wadubula entloko.
I-Pyongyang kwaye yaqala inkqubo yokuqhekeka engazange ibonwe ngaphambili ukuba yandise ngokukhawuleza inkqubo ye-missile yaseNyakatho Korea. Uvavanyo lwayo lwezixhobo zenyukliya lumisele ukuba lunokuvelisa inani elincinci lezixhobo zenyukliya zokuqala, kodwa lufuna inkqubo esebenzayo yokuhambisa ngaphambi kokuba luqiniseke ukuba ukuthintela kwenyukliya kuya kuba nakho ukuthembeka kuhlaselo lwaseMelika.
Ngamanye amagama, eyona njongo iphambili yaseNyakatho Korea ibikukuvala umsantsa phakathi kweenkqubo ezikhoyo zokuhambisa kunye netekhnoloji yemijukujelwa eya kuyidinga ukuze isungule isitrayikhi sokuziphindezela nxamnye ne-United States. Iinkokheli zase-North Korea zikubona oku njengethuba labo lokuphela kolu hlobo lwentshabalalo olutyelele iNorth Korea kwimfazwe yokuqala yase-Korea, xa imikhosi yezomkhosi ekhokelwa yi-US yatshabalalisa zonke izixeko, iidolophu kunye neendawo zamashishini kwaye u-General Curtis LeMay waqhayisa esithi uhlaselo yabulala i-20 yepesenti yabemi.
Nge-2015 kunye ne-2016 yokuqala, i-North Korea yavavanya enye kuphela i-missile entsha IPukkuksong-1 Umjukujelwa wamanzi olwandle. Umjukujelwa usungulwe kulwandle lwaphantsi kwamanzi kwaye wabhabha iikhilomitha ezingama-300 kuvavanyo lwayo lokugqibela, olwayimpumelelo, olwaluhambelana noqeqesho lomkhosi wase-US-South Korea ngo-Agasti 2016.
I-North Korea iphinde yasungula i-satellite yayo enkulu ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ngo-Februwari 2016, kodwa isithuthi sokumiliselwa sasibonakala ngathi sihlobo olunye nolo Unha-3 isetyenziselwe ukuqalisa isatellite encinci kwi2012.
Nangona kunjalo, okoko kwafunyanwa isicwangciso semfazwe yase-US-South Korea kunyaka ophelileyo, i-North Korea iyikhawulezisile inkqubo yayo yokuphuhliswa kombumbulu, iqhuba. iimvavanyo ezingama-27 ngaphezulu Uluhlu olubanzi lweemijukujelwa ezintsha kunye nokuzisondeza kakhulu kuthintelo lwenyukliya oluthembekileyo. Nalu uluhlu lweemvavanyo:
-Iilingo ezingaphumelelanga kuvavanyo lwe-Hwasong-10 ephakathi noluhlu lwe-missile e-Oktobha 2016.
Uvavanyo oluyimpumelelo lwePukguksong-2 oluphakathi oluphakathi, ngoFebruwari nangoMeyi 2017. Imijukujelwa ilandele imikhondo efanayo, inyuka ibe ziimayile ezingama-340 kwaye yamisa elwandle iimayile ezingama-300. Abahlalutyi baseMzantsi Korea bakholelwa ukuba uluhlu olupheleleyo lweemijukujuku okungenani ziimayile ezingama-2,000 XNUMX, kwaye iNorth Korea yathi iimvavanyo ziqinisekisile ukuba zikulungele ukuveliswa kwemveliso.
-Iimpazamo zethu eziphakathi okumgangatho ophakathi ezihamba ngebhayisekile ezibaleka umndilili weemayile ze-620 ukusuka kwiziko lendawo yeTongchang-ri ngoMatshi 2017.
-Okubonakala ukuba akaphumelelanga kuvavanyo lwesiphosiso esisekweni sangaphantsi kweSinpo ngo-Epreli 2017.
-Imvavanyo ezingagungqiyo zeHwasong-12 imiphini ye-ballistic ephakathi (uluhlu: I-2,300 ukuya kwi-3,700 yeemayile) ukusukela ngo-Epreli 2017.
-Uvavanyo olungaphumeleliyo lomjukujelwa ekukholelwa ukuba yi "KN-17" esuka e-Pukchang airbase ngo-Epreli 2017.
-Uvavanyo lwenqanawa yokulwa nenqanawa yaseScud eyabhabha iikhilomitha ezingama-300 yaza yafika kuLwandle lwaseJapan, kunye nezinye iimvavanyo ezimbini ngoMeyi ka-2017.
-Izikrelemnqa zokuhamba ngenqanawa zonke zagxothwa kunxweme lwaseMpuma ngoJuni 2017.
-Uvavanyo lwe-injini entsha yerokethi, mhlawumbi ye-ICBM, ngoJuni 2017.
I-North Korea ivavanye ii-Hwasong-14 ezimbini “ezikufutshane-ICBM” ngoJulayi ka-2017. Ngokusekwe kwezi mvavanyo, iHwasong-14 inakho ukubetha iithagethi ezilingana nesixeko eAlaska okanye eHawaii ngentloko enye yenyukliya, kodwa ayikafiki Unxweme lwaseNtshona.
-Iimpazamo ezininzi ezenziweyo kuvavanyo ngo-Agasti 2017, kubandakanya iHwasong-12 eyandiza iJapan kwaye yahamba i-1,700 yeemayile ngaphambi kokuqhekeka, mhlawumbi ngenxa yokusilela kwi- “Post Boost Vehicle” eyongezwe ukuphucula uluhlu nokuchaneka.
-Iqela elingelolakho elalilingana ne-ballistic lahamba ngenqwelomoya kwi-2,300 yeekhilomitha ngaphaya kwePacific ngoSeptemba 15, 2017
Uhlalutyo lweemvavanyo ezimbini ye-Hwasong-14 ngoJulayi yi-Bulletin ye-Atomic Scientists (BAS) igqibe kwelokuba le mijukujelwa ayikabinakho ukuthwala umthwalo we-500 kg ukuya eSeattle okanye kwezinye iidolophu zase-US West Coast. I-BAS iqaphela ukuba izixhobo zokuqala zenyukliya ezisekwe kwimodeli yasePakistan ekukholelwa ukuba iNyakatho Korea iyalandela ayinakuba nobunzima obungaphantsi kwe-500 kg, nje ukuba ubunzima bentloko yomlo kunye nekhaka lobushushu lokusinda ekungeneni kwakhona kumhlaba womhlaba zithathiwe. iakhawunti.
Ukuphendula kwehlabathi
Ukuqaqanjiswa kwendima yesicwangciso semfazwe yase-US ekuvuseleleni ukunyuka okukhulu kwenkqubo yemijukujelwa yaseNyakatho Korea kufanele ukuba ibe kukutshintsha umdlalo kwimpendulo yehlabathi kwingxaki yaseKorea, kuba oko kubonisa ukuba ukukhawuleziswa kwenkqubo yemijukujelwa yaseNyakatho Korea kuyazikhusela impendulo kwisoyikiso esinzulu esinokubakho esivela eMelika.
Ukuba iBhunga lezoKhuseleko leZizwe eziManyeneyo alizange loyikiswe ngumkhosi waseMelika, olu lwazi kufuneka luqalise inyathelo elingxamisekileyo kwiBhunga lezoKhuseleko ukuba lifune onke amacala ukuba azibophezele ngokuqinileyo kuzibophelelo loxolo nolubophelelayo lokuphelisa iMfazwe yaseKorea ngokususa. isoyikiso semfazwe kubo bonke abantu baseKorea. Kwaye ilizwe liphela liyakuhlangana kwezopolitiko nakwizopolitiko ukukhusela i-US ekusebenziseni i-veto yayo ukunqanda ukuphendula malunga nendima yayo ekhokelayo kule ntlekele. Impendulo emanyeneyo yomhlaba wonke kubundlobongela base-US obunokubangela ukuba i-North Korea iqiniseke ukuba iyakhuselwa ukuba ekugqibeleni iyayimisa inkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya.
Kodwa umanyano olunje xa ujongene nesoyikiso sobundlongondlongo base-US alunakuze lubekho ngaphambili. Uninzi lwabathunywa be-UN bahlala ngokuzolileyo bemamele nge-19 kaSeptemba xa uMongameli uDonald Trump wazisa izoyikiso ezicacileyo zemfazwe kunye nobundlongondlongo ngokuchasene emantla ekorea, Iran kwaye Venezuela, ngelixa eqhayisa ngesitayile sakhe sokuphanga ngokuchasene neSyria ngo-Epreli 6 ngaphezulu kwamabango angaziwayo kwaye aphikisayo malunga nesigameko seekhemikhali.
Kule minyaka ingama-20 idlulileyo okanye nangaphezulu, i-United States ibisoloko iziphethe "njengamandla okugqibela aseleyo" kunye "nohlanga olubaluleke kakhulu," umthetho wehlabathi kuwo, usebenzisa ubungozi bobunqolobi kunye nokwanda kwezixhobo kunye nengqumbo ekhethekileyo "ngoozwilakhe" njengeengxelo zepropaganda zokuthethelela iimfazwe ezingekho mthethweni, ubugrogrisi obuxhaswe yi-CIA, ukwanda kwezixhobo zayo, kunye nenkxaso kubazwilakhe ababathandayo njengabalawuli abakhohlakeleyo baseSaudi Arabia nabanye oothixo bama-Arabhu.
Kude kube ngoku, i-United States ijongene nemithetho emibini yamazwe aphesheya, iyicaphula xa omnye umchasi etyholwa ngolwaphulo mthetho kodwa engayikhathaleli xa i-US okanye amahlakani ayo enyathela amalungelo elizwe elithile elingathandwayo. Xa iNkundla yezoBulungisa yaMazwe ngaMazwe igwetywe iUnited States ngenkani (kubandakanya nezenzo zobugrogrisi) ngokuchasene neNicaragua kwi1986, i-US irhoxile kulawulo lwe-ICJ.
Ukusukela ngoko, i-US iye yayibamba ngeempumlo kulo lonke ulwakhiwo lomthetho wamazwe aphesheya, iqinisekile kumandla ezopolitiko e-propaganda yayo okanye "Ulwazi lwemfazwe" ukuziphosa njengomgcini wezomthetho nocwangco emhlabeni, nanjengoko isophula ngokweyona mithetho isisiseko ichazwe kwi-UN Charter nakwiiNdibano zeGeneva.
I-propaganda yase-US iphatha Charter UN kwaye i KwiiNdibano zeGenesva, "Akusayi kuphinda" emhlabeni, emfazweni, ukungcungcuthekiswa kunye nokubulawa kwezigidi zabantu kwiMfazwe yesibini yeHlabathi, njengezinto ezinqabileyo zelinye ixesha ebekungayi kuba nzulu ukuzithatha nzulu.
Kodwa iziphumo zendlela yase-US-umthetho wayo "onokuthi ulunge" umgaqo-nkqubo wemfazwe-ngoku ucacile kubo bonke. Kule minyaka ili-16 idlulileyo, iimfazwe zaseMelika zasemva kwe-9/11 sele zibulewe ubuncinci zizigidi ezibini, mhlawumbi uninzi ngakumbi, olungenasiphelo ekubulaweni njengoko umgaqo-nkqubo wase-US wemfazwe engekho mthethweni uqhubeka ungenisa ilizwe emva kwelinye kubundlobongela obungalawulekiyo kunye nesiphithiphithi.
Uloyiko luka-Ally
Njengoko iinkqubo zokuphoswa kwemfazwe eNorth Korea ziyindlela yokuzikhusela ebusweni besoyikiso ebusweni bukaPyongyang ovela e-US, ukubonakaliswa kwesicwangciso semfazwe yase-US ngabalingane baseMelika eSouth Korea kukwasisenzo esinengqondo sokuzigcina, kuba nabo benjalo yoyikiswa yinto yokuba kungenzeka ukuba kulwe imfazwe kwi-peninsula yaseKorea.
Ngoku mhlawumbi amanye amahlakani ase-US, amazwe atyebileyo athe abonelela ngezopolitiko kunye noonozakuzaku beminyaka engama-20 yase-US yemfazwe engekho mthethweni, ekugqibeleni baya kuqinisekisa ubuntu babo, ulawulo lwabo kunye noxanduva lwabo phantsi komthetho wamazwe aphesheya, kwaye baqale ukucinga ngendima yabo njenge amaqabane amancinci kubundlongondlongo baseMelika.
Amazwe afana ne-UK, i-France ne-Australia kungekudala okanye emva kwexesha kuya kufuneka bakhethe phakathi kweendima ezijolise phambili kwilizwe elizinzileyo, elinoxolo lemimandla emininzi kunye nokunyaniseka kobukhoboka bokufa okungapheliyo kwe-hegemony yase-US. Ngoku kungangumzuzu olungileyo wokukhetha, ngaphambi kokuba barhuqelwe kwiimfazwe ezintsha zase-US eKorea, e-Iran okanye eVenezuela.
Nditsho no-Sen. Bob Corker, u-R-Tennessee, ongusihlalo we-Senate Foreign Relations Committee, woyika ukuba u-Donald Trump uzakukhokela ubuntu kwi-World War III. Kodwa kunokubothusa abantu eIraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Yemen, Somalia, Libya kunye namanye amazwe aliqela esele engene kwiimfazwe eziqhutywa yi-US ukuze zifunde ukuba azikho phakathi kweMfazwe yesibini yeHlabathi.
Mhlawumbi eyona nto ikhathaza uSenator kukuba yena noogxa bakhe abasayi kuphinda bakwazi ukutshayela ezi zenzo zenkohlakalo zingenasiphelo phantsi kweekhaphethi ezityebileyo zeeholo zeCongress ngaphandle komnumzana uBarack Obama kwiNdlu yeWhite House ukuze bathethe kamnandi nabadibanisi baseMelika kwihlabathi liphela kwaye gcina izigidi zibulawa kwiimfazwe zase-US kwiiTV zaseMelika nakwizikrini zekhompyuter, ngaphandle kwamehlo nangaphandle kwengqondo.
Ukuba abezopolitiko e-US nakwilizwe liphela bafuna ububi bukaDonald Trump njengesipili senkanuko yabo, ukungazi nokungakhathali, ukubaphoxa ukuze batshintshe iindlela zabo, makube njalo-nokuba kwenzeka ntoni. Kodwa akufuneki ukuba ibaleke naphi na apho utyikityo kwesi sicwangciso semfazwe esikhohlakeleyo esisisongelo sokubulala izigidi zabantu baseKorea yayingengoDonald Trump kodwa yayinguBarack Obama.
UGeorge Orwell kusenokwenzeka ukuba wayechaza ubumfama bokungoneliseki kwabantu baseNtshona abanelisekayo, abakhohliseka ngokulula, noluntu olungenabuntu xa wabhala oku ngo-1945,
Izenzo zibanjiwe zilungile okanye zimbi, kungezizo ezabo, kodwa ngokokusebenza kwazo, kwaye phantse akukho hlobo lokucaphukisa - ukungcungcuthekiswa, ukusebenzisa abantu abagxothwayo, ukugxothwa, ukugxothwa ebantwini, ukuvalelwa ngaphandle kwetyala, ubuqhetseba. , ukubulawa kwabantu, ukuqhushumbe kwabemi - okungayitshintshi umbala wayo xa kusenziwa ngakwicala lethu ... iNationalist ayisivumi kuphela ukungalunganga kwezenzo zayo, kodwa inesakhono sokungayiva nokuva ngayo. "
Nantsi eyona nto iphambili: I-United States icwangcise ukubulala uKim Jong Un kunye nokumilisela umlo ophela eNyakatho Korea. Pha. Uvile. Ngoku, ngaba usenakho ukukholelwa ekubeni uKim Jong Un "uphambene" nje kwaye iNorth Korea isisongelo esikhulu kuxolo lwehlabathi?
Okanye ngaba ngoku uyakuqonda ukuba iUnited States sisisongelo sokwenene soxolo eKorea, kanye njengokuba kwakunjalo e-Iraq, e-Libya nakwamanye amazwe amaninzi apho iinkokheli zazithathwa njengezo "ziphambeneyo" kunye namagosa ase-US (kunye namajelo eendaba aphambili aseNtshona) akhuthaza imfazwe njengeyona ndlela “eqiqayo”?
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UNicolas JS Davies ngumlobi we Igazi Ezandleni Zethu: Uhlaselo lwaseMelika kunye nokutshatyalaliswa kweIraq. Uye wabhala izahluko ezimalunga "no-Obama eMfazweni" ekuGreyini uMongameli wama-44: iKhadi leNgxelo kwiKota yokuQala kaBarack Obama njengeNkokeli eqhubela phambili.
