Ngokuqinisekileyo uluntu lwaseMelika kunye neCongress, kungakhathaliseki ukuba liphi iqela, banokuvuma ukuba ezi ndleko azinyamezeleki kwaye azinakucingelwa. Ngenxa yobukho bamagcisa anengqondo ephangaleleyo kunye nabaqulunqi bomgaqo-nkqubo kulawulo, kubonakala kunengqiqo ukugqiba ukuba izigculelo zasemkhosini ziyinto engekhoyo. Ukuba kunjalo, basisiphazamiso kumbuzo wokwenyani, ocinezelayo: Kufuneka balinde ixesha elingakanani kuxinzelelo lwezoqoqosho oluveliswe zizohlwayo zaseTshayina, kunokuba balandele iinketho zozakuzo ezivulwe yingxoxo ngqo kunye nothethathethwano?
Ulawulo luka-Obama luthe luvulelekile kwingxoxo, kodwa lubeka imali yalo kwizohlwayo kunye noxinzelelo njengoko iNorth Korea yenza utshintsho lwamandla ukusuka kuKim Jong Il ukuya kuKim Jong Un. INorth Korea, ngelishwa, ayinabungozi kwipinki yesipaji njengezizwe eziqhelekileyo zokurhweba njengeIran. Abantu baseNyakatho Korea sele beqhawule umtshato kuqoqosho lwehlabathi kwaye baqhawule umtshato kuluntu lwamazwe ngamazwe kangangokuba ukuzibekela bucala nzulu akwenzi nto incinci ukutshintsha izibalo zabo.
Eyona nto ithembisayo ngoKim Jong Un kukuba unamabhongo okuphucula uqoqosho lwaseNorth Korea, kwaye imigaqo-nkqubo yakhe yasekhaya sele ivelise ukukhula okuncinci. Kodwa eyona nto iphambili kuye kukuphila kolawulo kunye nokhuseleko lwesizwe, kwaye ngenxa yoko, ucinga ukuba isithintelo senyukliya sibalulekile (isindululo esinengqiqo, ngelishwa). Iminyaka esibhozo yezohlwayo kunye noxinzelelo - kodwa kwi-spasm enye yediplomacy ngaphambi nje kokusweleka kukaKim Jong Il - akenzanga nto ingako ukutshabalalisa iPyongyang ngengqiqo yokuba ifuna izixhobo zenyukliya, okanye ukuthintela iNorth Korea ekuphuculeni amandla ayo kunye nokwandisa izixhobo zayo.
The Ulawulo lukaTrump lubhengeza ukuba indlela ka-Obama “yomonde wobuchule” iphelile. Kodwa ukuba ngokwenene ifuna ukuqala ixesha elitsha, indlela yokwenza oko ayikokuphazamisa uluntu ngezisongelo zokungakhathali zemfazwe, ngelixa ulinde ilize uMongameli waseTshayina u-Xi Jinping ukuba aguqe uKim. Endaweni yoko, inyathelo lobulumko liya kuba kukuvula iingxoxo ezithe ngqo kunye nePyongyang eziqala ngothethathethwano lokumisa umjikelo wemveliso ye-fissile-material, ukubuyiswa kwabahloli be-International Atomic Energy Agency, kunye nokumiswa kovavanyo lwezixhobo zenyukliya kunye nemijukujelwa emide yoluhlu olude (kubandakanywa nesathelayithi. iqalisa). Ukubuyisa, iUnited States kufuneka ubuncinane yonwabise isicelo sikaPyongyang sokunqunyanyiswa kwemithambo edibeneyo yasemkhosini noMzantsi Korea. UKim usenokuvuma ukwamkela into encinane, njengohlengahlengiso kwisikali. Okanye unokuvulelwa kuhlobo olwahlukileyo lwezorhwebo - ukuqalisa iintetho zokuguqula i-1953 Armistice Agreement ibe yisivumelwano soxolo esifanelekileyo ukuphelisa iMfazwe yaseKorea, umzekelo. Ekuphela kwendlela yokuphonononga olu khetho kukufika etafileni. Nge iinyanga ezimbini zomthambo omkhulu sifikelela esiphelweni, ngoku lixesha elihle lokwenza oko.
Umkhenkce linyathelo lokuqala kwinto ekufuneka ibe sisicwangciso sexesha elide esitshintsha amandla asisiseko kwaye sijongane noko icala ngalinye likubona njengondoqo wengxaki. Asikwazi ngokwenene ukuba uKim ufuna ntoni, kwaye yintoni anokuyincama ukuze ayifumane, de siqalise ingxoxo. Kodwa ukusukela oko wathatha ulawulo, kuye kwakho imiqondiso enamandla yokuba amabhongo akhe angaphaya kwesithintelo senyukliya, ukuba eyona njongo yakhe kuphuhliso lwezoqoqosho. Endaweni yokugrogrisa imfazwe okanye ukohlwaywa nzulu, indlela enemveliso ngakumbi kukuthoba uKim ngendlela efanayo naleyo amazwe aphambili e-East Asia ayithathileyo: inguqu ukusuka kumandla ukuya kubutyebi. Ukuba uKim ufuna ukuba nguzwilakhe wophuhliso lwaseNyakatho Korea, esona sicwangciso sexesha elide sase-United States kukumnceda enze njalo. Asinakulindela ngokusengqiqweni ukuba anikezele ngesithintelo sakhe senyukliya ekuqaleni kwaloo nkqubo, kodwa kuphela kwendlela esengqiqweni yokumenza ukuba enze oko ekugqibeleni.
Ngoku lixesha lokutsiba-ukuqala inyathelo lezozakuzo eliphinda livule amajelo, lithobe ukungavisisani kunye nokubeka amandla eNorth Korea apho akhoyo. Emva koko, ukusebenzisana ngokusondeleyo norhulumente omtsha eSeoul nakwabanye, iUnited States kufuneka ixhase isicwangciso sexesha elide esidibanisa iNorth Korea ekuzinzeni kwengingqi kunye nokuchuma. Ngenxa yokuba inkqubo yenyukliya yinto yokugqibela yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali eya kunqunyulwa nguKim, izohlwayo zenza nzulu intlupheko yabemi baseNorth Korea, kwaye uxinzelelo luyasilela ekuphuculeni ukuxhatshazwa kwamalungelo abantu emhlabeni. Indlela efanelekileyo yokunciphisa ukubandezeleka kwabantu baseNyakatho Korea kukubanika ithuba lokuphumelela kwezoqoqosho kwaye bancede bavule ilizwe labo ngesinyathelo.
Ngokufaka nje iintlungu zoqoqosho, isoyikisa ugwayimbo lwasemkhosini kunye nokugcina uxinzelelo luphezulu, iUnited States idlala kwezona tyekelo zimbi zenkqubo yaseNorth Korea. Iinjongo zenyukliya zikaKim ziya kuba nzima kwaye amandla aseNorth Korea aya kukhula kuphela. Lixesha lokubuyela umva indlela.
UJohn Delury ngunjingalwazi onxulumene nezifundo zaseTshayina kwiYunivesithi yaseYonsei yeSikolo seSidanga seSifundo saMazwe ngaMazwe eSeoul.
I mboleko yefoto: Imijukujelwa ijikeleziswa kwiKim Il Sung Square ngexesha lomkhosi womkhosi ePyongyang, eMntla Korea, ngoAprili 15. (Wong Maye-E/Associated Press)
