I-ICBM: I-Incubating Catastrophe Ngapha koMlinganiselo

NguDavid Swanson, World BEYOND War, UDisemba 29, 2022

Kukho umbono olula, ophuhliswe kakhulu ngempumelelo ngu Daniel Ellsberg. Nokuba uyazithanda izixhobo zenyukliya, kholelwa ukuba ngelishwa ziyimfuneko, okanye ucinga ukuba zezona nto zisisidenge owakhe wachitha isenti - ngaphantsi kweebhiliyoni zeedola-kuloo, awufanelanga ucinge ngesidingo esingaphezulu kwe-nukes kwiinqanawa ezintywilayo kunye ne-submarines. iinqwelomoya. Ukuba nazo emhlabeni ngokunjalo, nokuba uyibiza ngokuba yiNtatu eNgcwele yeentlobo zezixhobo zenyukliya okanye akunjalo, kufanele ukuba iqondwe njengenyani, isimumu ngokwenene, nokuba ucinga ntoni ngokulayisha ii-subs kunye neenqwelomoya ezinezixhobo ezaneleyo zokuphelisa bonke ubomi. Umhlaba amaxesha amaninzi. Unokuthi, njengoko ndenzayo, ukholelwa ukuba phantse akukho nto inokuba yi-crazier kune-nukes kwii-subs kunye neenqwelomoya; okanye ungafunga ukuba ukusasazwa okunjalo kufikelela esona senzo silumkileyo sakha sathatyathwa ludidi lwabantu, okanye nge-4% yoluntu onika isohlwayo, okanye nantoni na phakathi. Kodwa kukho into ephambeneyo, ekufuneka sonke sikwazi ukuhlangana kwaye siyiqonde njengeyona nto iphambili: ii-nukes emhlabeni, ii-ICBMs, i-Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles.

I-ICBMs ziyaphambana ngenxa yokuba iRashiya iyazi apho zonke i-US zikhoyo, kwaye ngokuphambeneyo, kwaye ngenxa yokuba kukho izicwangciso ezimbini kuphela zokuzisebenzisa: (1) ukuqalisa ukuphela kobomi kwiplanethi, (2) ukwenza i-mad. Isigqibo esikhawulezileyo kwimizuzu embalwa ukuba kukho ubungqina obuqinisekileyo bokuba kukho umntu oqalise isiphelo sobomi emhlabeni kwaye wacima ngokukhawuleza ii-ICBMs ukuze uqiniseke ukuba udlala indima ekutshatyalalisweni koMhlaba. Ewe kukho iintlobo ezahlukeneyo zeengozi ezinokwenzeka, kodwa olunye uhlobo lolo kukwenza isigqibo esingalunganga senyani, ukholelwa ngobuxoki ukuba omnye umntu uye wasungula ii-nukes ezijolise ngqo kwii-nukes zakho, kwaye engafumani xesha (njengoko kwenzekileyo). ) ukuba eneneni ingxaki ngumhlambi wamarhanisi okanye impazamo yekhompyuter. Ngee-nukes kwiinqwelomoya nakwiinkwili, imeko yesibini ayikho ngenxa yokuba iinqwelomoya kunye nee-subs azihlali amadada, omnye umfana akazazi ukuba ziphi na, ngoko banokucinga ngendima yabo ekuhlaselweni okunokwenzeka ngokukhululeka ngakumbi.

Nokuba sonke siyavumelana ngesidingo sokukwazi ukwenza uMhlaba ungabi nabomi amaxesha amaninzi-kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo ukuvuma oko kuthetha umqondiso obalulekileyo wokuvuma ukwamkela nantoni na ocinga ukuba uyayiqonda - kufuneka sikwazi ukuvumelana ngayo. Inzuzo yokuba nemizuzu embalwa eyongezelelweyo ngexesha lokuqinisekisa ukuba intshabalalo sele idaliwe okanye hayi, ukuze ukwazi ukunqanda ukuyiqala ukuba ayibanga njalo, ngelixa ukwazi ukufezekisa okubonakalayo okubalulekileyo ukuba isenzo sokugula ukuthatha inxaxheba ngenkuthalo kuyo ukuba iyenzile.

Ewe, unokucwangcisa ukuvumela ii-ICBMs (kunye nentshona-ntshona ye-United States) ukuba zitshatyalaliswe yimijukujelwa okrokrela ukuba ingenayo, kuba, ukuba ulungile, i-United States ephezulu ephakathi-ntshona iya kutshatyalaliswa nokuba uqalise imijukujelwa okanye uyishiye emhlabeni, kwaye umhlaba wonke uza kubulawa bubusika benyukliya ukuba uchanekile okanye awulunganga kodwa uqalise imijukujelwa. Unokubashiya emhlabeni oomatshini abaphaphazelayo be-apocalypse kwaye ngokuzolileyo wenze izigqibo zakho malunga nokuqalisa kwi-subs kunye neenqwelomoya.

Kodwa oko akuyi kusebenza. Kwaye isizathu sokuba ingasebenzi ayinanto yakwenza nokuthintela. Unokukholelwa zonke iintlobo zezinto malunga nokuthintela, kodwa awukwazi ukuba zingaphi izixhobo zenyukliya e-United States neRashiya, kunye nokukwazi ukuzibeka kwiinqwelomoya kunye neenqwelo-moya, kunye nokuba yintoni ubusika benyukliya, kwaye ubange nokuba ukuba ii-ICBMs zongeza ekuthinteleni okanye ekunyanzeliseni iRussia (okanye iTshayina, okanye iRussia neTshayina oyiqhubela kwintsebenziswano ngokuchasene nawe) ukudubula imijukujelwa emininzi kumbindi-ntshona weUnited States ngandlela thile kuphazamisa amandla eRussia ukutshabalalisa yonke eminye imimandla. Umhlaba. Ukuphawula ukuba ummandla omnye oneziqhushumbisi zenyukliya, nganye nganye kangangamakhulu amaxesha oko kwenziwa eHiroshima okanye eNagasaki, iya kutshabalalisa bonke ubomi eMhlabeni nokuba iinqanawa ezintywilayo kunye neenqwelomoya bezingekho.

Hayi, isizathu sokuba ayizukusebenza ukugcina zonke ezo ICBMs kodwa ucwangcise ukungazisebenzisi, kukuba awukwazi ukufumana abantu ukuba bawuthathele ingqalelo umsebenzi wokuzigcina ngoku. Ukuba abasebenzi basemkhosini ababelwe ukugcina kunye nokugada nokuziqhelanisa nokusebenzisa izinto zonke zenziwe ukuba ziqonde ukuba azinakuze zisetyenziswe - hayi nje loo thiyori yokuthintela ibhengeza ukuba ayisoze isetyenziswe, kodwa eneneni ayinakuze isetyenziswe - umngcipheko we-apocalypse ngengozi uya phalisa amahashe amane. Sele, njengoko injalo, inani leempazamo ezikufutshane icebisa ukuba ukugcina nje naziphi na izixhobo zenyukliya zikhona kusinika ixesha elilinganiselweyo lethamsanqa lethu. Kakade, abantu ngengozi (okanye ngakumbi) uncamathelise ii-nukes ezingaziwayo kwiinqwelomoya kwaye ubhabhe ngeenxa zonke e-US ngaphandle kokuxelela nabani na. Ngoku, ukugada ezona zixhobo zinamandla kwakha kuthathwa njengowona msebenzi unqwenelekayo kumkhosi wase-US, kwaye abantu abakwenzayo ndicaphukile, xa kungenjalo iziyobisi kwaye ukukopela kwiimvavanyo zabo, okanye ukufumana unxilile kwaye uqhuba ii-nukes kwilizwe jikelele, kunye a unxilile ekulawuleni yenkqubo yonke, singasathethi ke US ngameli zaphuma ezingqondweni zabo ezibuhlungu. Sele zijongene ne-ICBMs zikhukhula iingozi. Kakade, abantu abanjalo hlala kufutshane nezinto kunzima ukubanika ingcinga edlulayo.

Unokwenza njengeTshayina kwaye ugcine ii-nukes kwaye ugcine imijukujelwa, kodwa uzigcine ngokwahlukeneyo, ungakulungeli ukubhabha ngesaziso somzuzwana, kodwa unokuba nengxaki efanayo: akukho mntu unokuzenza ngathi uzithatha ngokungathí sina. Ukuba ii-nukes azizange zibonise ukuthengiswa kwi-eBay, amatikiti okubakhenketha ayeza. Ke ukhetho kukuzisusa, kungabikho cala limbi ngokwembono yakhe nabani na ngaphandle kwabo benza inzuzo yezemali, okanye ubagcine kwaye bonke baxelelane ukuba babaluleke kakhulu, nokuba siyakholelwa okanye hayi, ukulibazisa usuku. ngengozi ethile yobudenge iphelisa yonke into. Olu lolona khetho lubalulekileyo esijongene nalo. Asinto inzima. Yenye ejongene norhwaphilizo lwemali, kodwa eyona ngxaki inkulu kukuba ayingobantu nje abahlala kufutshane nezinto abakuphephayo ukucinga ngazo. Darn kufutshane wonke umntu uyakuphepha ukucinga ngabo. Kwaye xa kuthethwa ngazo, lulwazi olungachanekanga kunye neengcinga, okanye ingcebiso ehlekisayo yesiXeko saseNew York ukuba kufuneka ujongane nengxaki yemfazwe yenyukliya ngokucwangcisa ukungena ngaphakathi.

Ngoko ke, yintoni esiyenzayo? UDan Ellsberg uyabhala iincwadi kwaye wenza iividiyo. Sonke si do ezingenakubalwa webinars. Kwiwebinar nganye siyaxelelana ngokungapheliyo ukuba inokuba luluvo oluhle kangakanani kumabonakude wothungelwano ukuba aphinde adlale kwakhona Usuku Emva. Thina I-imeyile kunye neCongress yefowuni. Sibhala kwaye sibize abeendaba, bonise, mbhikisho, yenza ubugcisa kunye i-t-shirts, rent mabhilidi, kwaye ipesenti encinci encinci yabantu inokwazi ukuba kuqhubeka ntoni. Abantu ababini okanye abathathu ngaphezulu, ngokuqhelekileyo abantu abasele bekwiklabhu encinci engafuni ukuba ubomi bupheliswe ngokutshabalalisa kokusingqongileyo, beza malunga nokungafuni ukuba iphele ngokukhawuleza ngokutshatyalaliswa kwendalo yenyukliya. Ewe, nantsi into entsha kum enokonyusa amanani ethu kancinci. Nantsi into eyandikhuthaza ukuba ndibhale oku. UPeter J. Manos upapashe inoveli, ingxelo eyintsomi enokwenzeka ngumntu ongatshatanga eMinot, eMntla Dakota, ozinikele ekuchaseni ii-ICBMs.

Incwadi ibizwa Shadows. Libali eloyikekayo, elizele luthando nobuhlobo kunye namayelenqe. Libali lokuphambana okugqithisileyo, kodwa ngaphakathi, ukuba akukho mfutshane kakhulu, inyaniso. Ndingathanda ukwazi ukuba abantu baseMinot, kuMntla Dakota, okanye naphi na emhlabeni, bacinga ntoni ngayo. Ibali ngokuyinxenye liyingcinga enokuthi ithathelwe kumajelo eendaba ukuba enze umsebenzi oluncedo. Kodwa kangangomkhamo iincwadi ezingeyontsomi zinokufikelela ngayo ebantwini iincwadi ezingeyonyaniso zingenako, kwaye zisishukumisele sonke ngendlela iincwadi ezingeyonyani zingenako, ukudalwa kwale ncwadi kusenokuba yimpendulo kumbuzo ewuphakamisayo newuphendulayo ngokwahlukileyo ngokusebenzisa ikhondo leencwadi ezingeyonyaniso. ibali layo elonwabisa kakhulu.