NguPatrick T. Hiller
Ngomhla wokudibana nembali yenyukliya phakathi kwe-Iran ne-United States, i-United Kingdom, i-Russia, i-China, i-France ne-Jamani (i-P5 + 1), umongameli u-Obama wavuma ukuba "ilizwe lingenza izinto ezimangalisayo xa sabelana ngombono woxolo. Ukuphelisa impixano. "Kwangelo xesha, Umphathiswa Wezangaphandle eIran u-Javad Zarif uvakalise umbulelo wakhe" ngenkqubo yokufikelela kwisisombululo sokuphumelela ... nokuvula indawo ezintsha zokujongana neengxaki ezinkulu ezichaphazela uluntu lwethu lwamanye amazwe. "
NdinguSosayensi woXolo. Ndifunda oonobangela bemfazwe kunye neemeko zoxolo. Kwintsimi yam sinika iindlela ezizezinye ezinobungqina bemfazwe kusetyenziswe ulwimi olufana "nokusombulula uxolo ngezisombululo" kunye "nesisombululo sokuphumelela." Namhlanje lusuku oluhle, kuba olu ngeniso lwenza iimeko zoxolo kwaye yeyona ndlela isebenzayo ukubandakanyeka ukuya phambili.
Isivumelwano senyukliya kukufezekiswa kokungazibandakanyi kwenyukliya. I-Iran ibisoloko igxininisa ukuba ayilandeli izixhobo zenyukliya. Eli bango lixhaswe ngumntu owayesakuba ngumhlalutyi we-CIA kunye nengcali ye-Middle East ye-US State, uFlynt Leverett, ophakathi kwezo ngcali ungakholelwa ukuba i-Iran ibifuna ukwakha izixhobo zenyukliya. Nangona kunjalo, isakhelo sesivumelwano kufuneka sijongane neenkxalabo zabo boyika i-Iran enezixhobo zenyukliya. Ngapha koko, esi sivumelwano sinokuthintela ugqatso lweengalo zenyukliya kuMbindi Mpuma.
Ukukhululeka kwizohlwayo kuya kuvumela ukuba kube njalo ukuhlangana kwezopolitiko, ezentlalo nezoqoqosho. Ubudlelwane bezorhwebo, umzekelo, buya kwenza ungquzulwano olunobundlobongela lube ngaphantsi. Jonga nje i-European Union, eyayisuka ngaphandle kwezorhwebo. Ingxaki ekhoyo ngoku kunye neGrisi ibonisa ukuba ngokuqinisekileyo kukho ukungqubana phakathi kwamalungu ayo, kodwa akunakucingelwa ukuba baya kuya emfazweni kunye.
Njengezivumelwano ezininzi ekuthethwe ngazo, esi sivumelwano siza kuvula iindlela ngaphaya kokungazibandakanyi kwinyukliya kunye nezohlwayo. Sinokulindela ukusebenzisana okungakumbi, ubudlelwane obuphuculweyo kunye nezivumelwano ezingapheliyo phakathi kwe-P5 + 1 kunye ne-Iran, kunye nabanye abalinganiswa bengingqi nabamanye amazwe. Oku kubaluleke kakhulu xa ujongene nemicimbi entsonkothileyo ejikeleze iSyria, Iraq, ISIS, Yemen, oyile, okanye ungquzulwano lwe-Israeli-Palestina.
Abagxeki bale nto sele besebenza ukuzama ukuyiphazamisa. Le ayisiyiyo "ukulungiswa ngokukhawuleza" okongenelo olukhawulezileyo lokungenela umkhosi. Kulungile, kuba akukho lungiselelo likhawulezileyo lamazwe ebesengxakini ngaphezulu kweminyaka engamashumi amathathu. Le yindlela eyakhayo eya phambili enokubuyisela ubudlelwane ekugqibeleni. Njengoko U-Obama wazi kakuhle, kungathatha iminyaka ukuhlawula kwaye akukho mntu ulindele ukuba le nkqubo ibe ngaphandle kwemiceli mngeni. Apha kulapho ke amandla okuthetha-thethwano aze kwakhona adlale. Xa amaqela efikelela kwizivumelwano kwimimandla ethile, adla ngokoyisa imiqobo kwezinye iindawo. Izivumelwano zikholisa ukukhokelela kwizivumelwano ezingakumbi.
Enye inqaku eliqhelekileyo lokugxekwa kukuba iziphumo zeendawo ekuxoxiswene ngazo azicacanga. Kulungile. Kuthethathethwano, nangona kunjalo, iindlela ziqinisekile kwaye azifani nemfazwe azizanga neemali ezingamkelekanga zomntu, ezentlalo kunye nezoqoqosho. Akukho siqinisekiso sokuba amaqela ayakuzixhasa izibophelelo zawo, zokuba imiba kufuneka iphinde ixoxwe, okanye ukuba izikhombisi zothetha-thethwano ziya kutshintsha. Oku kuqinisekileyo akuyonyaniso emfazweni, apho ukwenzakala kwabantu nokubandezeleka kuqinisekisiwe kwaye akunakulungiswa.
Esi sivumelwano singaba yinguqu kwimbali apho iinkokheli zehlabathi ziye zamkela khona intsebenziswano yehlabathi, inguqu eyakhayo yongquzulwano, kunye nenguqu kwezoluntu ekuhlaleni nemfazwe nodlame. Umgaqo-nkqubo owakha wangaphandle wase-US uya kusebenzisana ne-Iran ngaphandle kwesongelo semfazwe. Nangona kunjalo, inkxaso yoluntu ibalulekile, njengoko kusekho ukuchasana okukhulu kwamalungu enkomfa axhonywe kwisisombululo sokungasebenzi komkhosi. Ngoku ixhomekeke kubantu baseMelika ukukholisa abameli babo ukuba eli phulo kufuneka liphunyezwe. Asinakho ukuhlawula iimfazwe ezininzi kunye nokusilela kwabo okuqinisekileyo.
UPatrick. T. Hiller, Ph.D., edibeneyo PeaceVoice,Ungumphengululi weNguqu kwiNgxabano, unjingalwazi, kwi-Council ye-International Peace Research Association, ilungu leQela loXolo kunye noKhuseleko, kunye noMlawuli wePhulo lokuthintela umlo kwiJubitz Family Foundation.
