Isithembiso sikaBiden esaphukileyo sokuNqanda iMfazwe kunye neRussia sinokusibulala sonke

Uhlaselo kwi-Kerch Strait Bridge edibanisa iCrimea neRashiya. Ikhredithi: Getty Images

NguMedea Benjamin noNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Oktobha 12, 2022

Nge-11 kaMatshi 2022, uMongameli uBiden waqinisekiswa Uluntu lwaseMelika kunye nehlabathi ukuba i-United States kunye namahlakani ayo e-NATO ayengalwanga neRussia. “Asizukulwa imfazwe neRussia eUkraine,” utshilo uBiden. "Ungquzulwano oluthe ngqo phakathi kwe-NATO neRussia yiMfazwe yeHlabathi yeSithathu, into ekufuneka sizame ukuyinqanda."
Kuvunywa ngokubanzi ukuba amagosa ase-US kunye ne-NATO ngoku inxaxheba ngokupheleleyo kucwangciso lwemfazwe olusebenzayo lwaseUkraine, luncediswa luluhlu olubanzi lwase-US ukuqokelela ubukrelekrele kunye nohlalutyo lokuxhaphaza ubuthathaka bomkhosi waseRussia, ngelixa imikhosi yase-Ukraine ixhobe ngezixhobo zase-US kunye ne-NATO kwaye iqeqeshelwe ukuya kufikelela kwimigangatho yamanye amazwe e-NATO.

Ngo-Oktobha 5, uNikolay Patrushev, intloko yeBhunga lezoKhuseleko laseRashiya, yaziwa ukuba iRashiya ngoku ilwa neNATO eUkraine. Ngeli xesha, uMongameli uPutin ukhumbuze ihlabathi ukuba iRashiya inezixhobo zenyukliya kwaye ikulungele ukuzisebenzisa “xa ubukho belizwe bubekwe esichengeni,” njengoko imfundiso esemthethweni yaseRashiya yezixhobo zenyukliya yathi ngoJuni ka-2020.

Kubonakala ngathi, phantsi kwaloo mfundiso, iinkokeli zaseRussia ziya kutolika ukulahlekelwa yimfazwe e-United States kunye ne-NATO kwimida yazo njengokuhlangana komda wokusetyenziswa kwezixhobo zenyukliya.

UMongameli Biden yavuma ngo-Okthobha we-6 ukuba uPutin "akahleki" kwaye kuya kuba nzima ukuba iRashiya isebenzise "isixhobo" senyukliya "kwaye ingapheleli ngeArmagedon." UBiden uvavanye ubungozi bomgangatho opheleleyo imfazwe yenyukliya phezulu kunalo naliphi na ixesha ukusukela kwintlekele ye-missile yaseCuba ngo-1962.

Nangona evakalise ukuba sinokubakho isoyikiso sokusinda kwethu, iBiden yayingakhuphisi silumkiso esidlangalaleni kubantu baseMelika nakwihlabathi, kwaye ibhengeze naluphi na utshintsho kumgaqo-nkqubo wase-US. Ngokungaqhelekanga, umongameli wayexoxa ngethemba lemfazwe yenyukliya kunye nabaxhasi beqela lakhe lezopolitiko ngexesha lonyulo lwengxowa-mali yonyulo kwikhaya le-media mogul James Murdoch, kunye neentatheli zeendaba ezimameleyo.

Ku Ingxelo ye-NPR malunga nobungozi bemfazwe yenyukliya eUkraine, uMatthew Bunn, ingcali yezixhobo zenyukliya kwiYunivesithi yaseHarvard, waqikelela ithuba lokuba iRashiya isebenzise isixhobo senyukliya kwi-10 ukuya kuma-20 ekhulwini.

Siye sahamba njani ekulawuleni ukubandakanyeka ngokuthe ngqo kwe-US kunye ne-NATO kwimfazwe ukuya ekubandakanyekeni kwe-US kuzo zonke iinkalo zemfazwe ngaphandle kokuphuma kwegazi kunye nokufa, kunye ne-10 eqikelelwayo kwi-20 yeepesenti zemfazwe yenyukliya? UBunn wenze olo qikelelo kungekudala phambi kokutshatyalaliswa kwebhulorho yeKerch Strait eya eCrimea. Ngawaphi amathuba anokuthi awenze kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ukusuka ngoku ukuba omabini amacala ahlala ethelekisa ukunyuka omnye komnye ngokunyuka okungaphezulu?

Ingxubakaxaka engenakusonjululwa ejongene neenkokeli zaseNtshona kukuba le yimeko engaphumeleliyo. Bangayinqoba njani iRashiya, xa iphethe i-6,000 imikhosi yenyukliya kwaye imfundiso yayo yasemkhosini ichaza ngokucacileyo ukuba iya kuzisebenzisa ngaphambi kokuba yamkele ukoyiswa komkhosi okukhoyo?

Kwaye kunjalo yiloo nto indima ekhulayo yaseNtshona e-Ukraine ngoku ijolise ngokucacileyo ukuyifezekisa. Oku kushiya umgaqo-nkqubo we-US kunye ne-NATO, kwaye ke ubukho bethu, bujinga ngomsonto omncinci: ithemba lokuba uPutin uyabhanxa, ngaphandle kwezilumkiso ezicacileyo zokuba akanjalo. UMlawuli weCIA UWilliam Burns, uMlawuli woBuntlola beSizwe UAvril Haines kunye nomlawuli we-DIA (i-Arhente yoBuntlola boKhuselo), uLieutenant General Scott Berrier, bonke baye balumkisa ukuba singayithathi lula le ngozi.

Ingozi yokunyuka okungapheliyo ukuya kwiArmagedon yinto omabini la macala ajongana nawo kuyo yonke iMfazwe Yomlomo, yiyo loo nto, emva kokuvuka kwentlekele ye-missile yaseCuba ngo-1962, i-brinkmanship eyingozi yanikezela kwisakhelo sezivumelwano zolawulo lwezixhobo zenyukliya kunye neendlela zokukhusela. ukuthintela iimfazwe zeproxy kunye nezivumelwano zomkhosi eziqhubela phambili kwimfazwe yenyukliya ephelisa ihlabathi. Nokuba kukho ezo zikhuselo zikhoyo, bekukho iminxeba emininzi esondeleleneyo – kodwa ngaphandle kwayo, ngekhe singabikho apha ukuze sibhale ngayo.

Namhlanje, le meko yenziwa ibe yingozi ngakumbi ngokuchithwa kwezo zivumelwano nezixhobo zokukhusela izixhobo zenyukliya. Ikwagqithiswa, nokuba icala lizimisele okanye hayi, yi ishumi elinambini ukuya kwelinye ukungalingani phakathi kwenkcitho yasemkhosini yase-US kunye neRussia, eshiya iRussia inokhetho olulinganiselweyo lwesiqhelo lwasemkhosini kunye nokuxhomekeka okukhulu kwiinyukliya.

Kodwa bekusoloko kukho iindlela ezizezinye zokwanda okungayekeleliyo kwale mfazwe ngamacala omabini okusibangele ukuba sifikelele kweli nqanaba. Ngo-Epreli, Amagosa aseNtshona bathatha inyathelo elibi xa becenga uMongameli Zelenskyy ukuba ahlukane nothethathethwano lwaseTurkey kunye ne-Israel kunye neRussia oluvelise ithemba. Isikhokelo samanqaku ali-15 ukuphelisa imfazwe, ukurhoxiswa kweRashiya kunye nekamva elingathathi hlangothi le-Ukraine.

Eso sivumelwano besiza kufuna ukuba amazwe aseNtshona abonelele ngeziqinisekiso zokhuseleko e-Ukraine, kodwa bala ukuba yinxalenye yaso kwaye endaweni yoko bathembisa ngenkxaso yasemkhosini yase-Ukraine kwimfazwe ende yokuzama ukoyisa iRussia ngokugqibeleleyo kwaye ibuyise yonke indawo ebiphulukene nayo i-Ukraine ukusukela ngo-2014.

Unobhala wezoKhuselo wase-US uAustin wabhengeza ukuba injongo yeNtshona emfazweni ngoku yayiza "yenza buthathaka" iRashiya ukusa kwinqanaba lokuba ingabi nawo amandla omkhosi okuhlasela iUkraine kwakhona. Kodwa ukuba iUnited States namahlakani ayo banokusondela ekufikeleleni olo sukelo, ngokuqinisekileyo iRashiya ibiya kubona ukoyiswa komkhosi ngokupheleleyo njengokubeka “ubukho belizwe esichengeni,” nto leyo ebangela ukuba kusetyenziswe izixhobo zenyukliya phantsi kwemfundiso yayo yenyukliya echazwe esidlangalaleni. .

Ngomhla wama-23 kuMeyi, kwangaloo mini iCongress yapasisa ngayo i-40 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zoncedo e-Ukraine, kubandakanya i-24 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwinkcitho entsha yasemkhosini, ukuphikisana kunye nobungozi bomgaqo-nkqubo omtsha we-US-NATO e-Ukraine ekugqibeleni ukhuthaze impendulo ebalulekileyo evela kwi-New York Times. Ibhodi yoHlelo. A Ixesha lomhleli, enesihloko esithi "Imfazwe yaseUkraine Iba Yingxaki, kwaye iMelika Ayikalungi," yabuza imibuzo enzulu, ephononongayo malunga nomgaqo-nkqubo omtsha wase-US:

"Ngaba i-United States, ngokomzekelo, izama ukunceda ukuphelisa olu ngquzulwano, ngolungiso oluya kuvumela iUkraine ezimeleyo kunye nohlobo oluthile lobudlelwane phakathi kwe-United States neRashiya? Okanye ngaba iUnited States ngoku izama ukwenza buthathaka iRashiya ngokusisigxina? Ngaba injongo yolawulo itshintshele ekumosheni uPutin okanye ukuba asuswe? Ngaba iUnited States inenjongo yokubamba uPutin aphendule njengesaphuli-mthetho semfazwe? Okanye ngaba injongo yokuzama ukuphepha imfazwe ebanzi…? Ngaphandle kokucaca kule mibuzo, i-White House ... ibeka emngciphekweni uxolo nokhuseleko lwexesha elide kwilizwekazi laseYurophu. "

Abahleli be-NYT baqhubekile nokuvakalisa into abaninzi abaye bacinga ngayo kodwa bambalwa abaye baba nesibindi sokuthetha kwindawo yezopolitiko yezopolitiko, ukuba injongo yokubuyisela yonke indawo yase-Ukraine ilahlekile ukususela ngo-2014 ayinakwenzeka, kwaye imfazwe yokwenza oko iya " kutshabalalisa iUkraine.” Bacele uBiden ukuba athethe ngokunyanisekileyo noZelenskyy malunga "nokuba ingakanani intshabalalo iUkraine enokuyigcina" kunye "nomda wokuba i-United States ne-NATO ziya kujongana neRussia kude kangakanani."

Kwiveki kamva, uBiden uphendule ku I-Times kwi-Op-Ed enesihloko esithi "Into iMelika engayi kuyenza kwaye engayi kuyenza eUkraine." Ucaphule uZelenskyy esithi imfazwe "iya kuphela ngokuqinisekileyo ngediplomacy," kwaye wabhala ukuba iUnited States yayithumela izixhobo kunye nezixhobo ukuze iUkraine "ikwazi ukulwa kwindawo yedabi kwaye ibe kwindawo eyomeleleyo etafileni yothethathethwano."

Umnumzana Biden ubhale wathi, "Asifuni mfazwe phakathi kwe-NATO neRussia…. I-United States ayizukuzama ukukhupha [uPutin] eMoscow." Kodwa uqhubekile nokuthembisa ngenkxaso engenamda yase-US e-Ukraine, kwaye akazange aphendule imibuzo enzima ngakumbi ebuzwa yi-Times malunga ne-US endgame e-Ukraine, imida yokubandakanyeka kwe-US emfazweni okanye intshabalalo engaphezulu kwe-Ukraine inokugcina.

Njengoko imfazwe isanda yaye ingozi yemfazwe yenyukliya isanda, le mibuzo ayiphendulwanga. Izicelo zokupheliswa ngokukhawuleza kwemfazwe zavakala malunga neNdibano yeZizwe eziManyeneyo eNew York ngoSeptemba, apho Amazwe e-66, emele inkoliso yabemi behlabathi, ngokungxamisekileyo yacela macala onke ukuba aqalise ngokutsha iingxoxo zoxolo.

Eyona ngozi inkulu esijongene nayo yeyokuba iifowuni zabo aziyi kuhoywa, kwaye amagosa omkhosi wase-US ahlawulwe ngokugqithisileyo ahlala efumana iindlela zokunyusa uxinzelelo eRussia, ebiza i-bluff kunye nokungahoyi "imigca ebomvu" njengoko benzile ukusukela oko. Ngo-1991, bade bawele owona “mgca obomvu” obaluleke kakhulu kubo bonke.

Ukuba izibongozo zehlabathi zoxolo ziviwa ngaphambi kokuba lishiywe lixesha kwaye sisinde kule ngxaki, i-United States neRussia kufuneka zihlaziye izibophelelo zabo kulawulo lwezixhobo kunye nokuthotywa kwezixhobo zenyukliya, kwaye bathethathethane ngendlela bona kunye namanye amazwe axhobileyo. uya kutshabalalisa izixhobo zabo zentshabalalo enkulu kwaye bavume Unyango kuThintelo lweZikhali zeNyukliya, ukuze ekugqibeleni siphakamise le ngozi ingacingelwayo nengamkelekanga ejinga phezu kweentloko zethu.

UMedea Benjamin kunye noNicolas JS Davies bangababhali be Imfazwe e-Ukraine: Ukwenza ingqiqo yongquzulwano olungenangqiqo, efumaneka kwi-OR Books ngoNovemba 2022.

UMedea uBenjamin ngumseki we CODEPINK yoxolo, kunye nombhali weencwadi ezininzi, kubandakanya Ngaphakathi kwe-Iran: Imbali Yembali kunye nezopolitiko zeRiphabhliki yase-Iran. 

UNicolas JS Davies yintatheli ezimeleyo, umphandi nge-CODEPINK kunye nombhali we Igazi ezandleni zethu: Invasion yaseMelika kunye nokuTshatyalaliswa kwe-Iraq.