NguRay McGovern, IAnigwar.com, UDisemba 6, 2021
Ngomhla we-25 kaMeyi, 2021, xa kwabhengezwa umhla we-16 kaJuni kwingqungquthela phakathi kooMongameli uBiden kunye noPutin, kubonakale kungumbono olungileyo ukuba singachithi xesha ekulumkiseni uBiden kunye nabacebisi bakhe be-neophyte ukuba utshintsho olukhulu "kumanyano lwehlabathi lwemikhosi" (ukuboleka ixesha elidala laseSoviet) libophelelekile ukuba libe nempembelelo enkulu. iintetho zikaJuni. I-China, ewe, ayizukuthatha nxaxheba kwiingxoxo zamazwe amabini, kodwa iya kubakho kakhulu.
Ngamanye amazwi, kwisiqingatha sonyaka eyadlulayo, sasinexhala:
"Nokuba okanye hayi okanye hayi iWashington esemthethweni iyakuthakazelela ngokuthe ngcembe - kodwa ngokunzulu - utshintsho kubudlelwane obunxantathu baseMelika kunye neRussia kunye neTshayina kumashumi eminyaka akutshanje, okucacileyo kukuba i-US izenze isilahleko esikhulu. Unxantathu usenokulingana, kodwa ngoku, enyanisweni, unamacala amabini kwelinye. …
“Kukho umqondiso omncinci wokuba abaqulunqi bomgaqo-nkqubo banamhlanje base-US banamava okwaneleyo kunye nobukrelekrele bokuqonda le nyaniso intsha kwaye baqonde iziphumo ezibalulekileyo kwinkululeko ye-US yokwenza. Kaninzi abanakho ukuyixabisa indlela le ndibano intsha enokuthi idlale ngayo emhlabeni, elwandle okanye emoyeni. ”
Kwakucacile ukuba into entsha ye-entente yaseRashiya-e-China yayiza kunciphisa ukubaluleka kwemibandela engabalulekanga kangako; kwaye besingenakuqinisekisa ukuba iBiden iya kwaziswa ngokufanelekileyo.
AmaTshayina "Khama"
Ngokucacileyo, uMongameli uBiden akazange alifumane igama-okanye mhlawumbi walibala. Nantsi indlela engaqhelekanga echazwe nguBiden, kumshicileli wakhe wasemva kwengqungquthela, indlela yakhe yamashumi eminyaka yokubuyela kuPutin eTshayina:
Ngaphandle kokumcaphula [uPutin] - endingacingi ukuba kufanelekile - mandibuze umbuzo onobuqhetseba: Unomda oziikhilomitha ezingamawaka amaninzi kunye neTshayina. I-China ifuna ukuba lolona qoqosho lunamandla emhlabeni kunye nowona mkhosi mkhulu nonamandla emhlabeni. ”
Kwisikhululo seenqwelomoya, abakhenkethi baka-Biden benza konke okusemandleni abo ukumkhwelisa kwinqwelomoya, kodwa basilela ukumyekisa ukwabelana nabanye ngezimvo zakhe nge-China- ngeli xesha malunga neqhinga lase-China “lokucudisa” iRussia:
“Makhe ndikhethe amazwi am. IRashiya ikwindawo enzima kakhulu ngoku. Bacinezelwa yiTshayina. ”
Ngaba uMongameli uBiden usaphumile kwisidlo sasemini ngalo mbandela ubalulekileyo? Ngaba abacebisi bakhe abakwinqanaba elisezantsi bazifunele iincwadi zokufunda ezintsha, ezihlaziywe kwezo banokuzifunda ngeminyaka yee-70s kunye nee-80s, kwaye bafunda ukuba iRussia neTshayina azizange zisondele-ukuba, eneneni, banayo into elingana nomanyano lwasemkhosini?
Oku kunokubonakala kuyinto ebalulekileyo ukuqinisekisa ukuba uBiden uyafunda-kwaye uyakhumbula. Kuya kuba kuhle ukuba umntu othile amlumkise kamsinya nje ngaphambi kwentlanganiso yakhe yenyani noPutin ngomso (ngoLwesibini). Nali ilinge lam lokwenza njalo kungekudala emva kwengqungquthela kaJuni.
"Isandla esidala saseTshayina kunye nesiRashiya esidala"
Emva kwexesha elide ndifikelele kwimo "ye-alumni", u-Ambassador Chas Freeman kunye nam siye safumana inzuzo yokubukela ubudlelwane beSino / baseRashiya amashumi eminyaka. Ngokwenene, Amb. UFreeman, njengoko uninzi lwabafundi besazi kakuhle, wayeligqirha eliphambili, emva kokutolika uMongameli uRichard Nixon kutyelelo lwakhe lwembali eBeijing ngoFebruwari 1972, kwaye wadlala indima ephambili ekuqulunqeni umgaqo-nkqubo weTshayina enye egcine uxolo- ubuncinci kude kube ngoku. Ndikhokele i-CIA ye-Soviet Foreign Policy yeSebe kwi-70s yokuqala; abahlalutyi bethu badlale indima ebalulekileyo ekuqukumbeleni izivumelwano ze-SALT ngoMeyi 1972 (kunye neengcali zobugcisa obuphezulu ezanika uNixon into ebalulekileyo: Ewe, sinokuqinisekisa ukuba uyathemba).
Kutshanje, ngoJulayi ka-2020, xa owayesakuba nguNobhala welizwe uPompeo wadlala inkundla ebhengeza umgaqo-nkqubo omtsha wase-US obhekiselele eTshayina kwaye egxeka endala, Mna noChas siye sasebenzisana kule nto.
Kutshintshiselwano lwe-imeyile ngempelaveki, ndacela naziphi na iimbono ezongezelelweyo Amb. UFreeman unokuba, njengoko uBiden elungiselela ingqungquthela yakhe ebonakalayo kunye noPutin ngoLwesibini. Ngemvume kaChas ndibanika ngezantsi:
“… Kucacile ukuba i-entente yaseSino-Russian iyakhula phantsi koxinzelelo lwezoyikiso zase-US kuzo zombini. Akukho nto iya kwenzeka eTaiwan okanye eUkraine ngaphandle kolungelelwaniso phakathi kweBeijing neMoscow. Kodwa iyelenqe lethu elibambekayo lokulawula idemokhrasi yase-US lenziwa libe yinyani “yingqungquthela yedemokhrasi.” Oku kufuna ukuxhobisa iTaiwan ngokwembono ngokuchasene neTshayina kwaye ikhokelele kwinto engazange ibonwe ngaphambili. ingxelo edibeneyo yeSino-Russian ezama ukugqogqa inkohliso yethu kunye nokuchasa umesiya wethu malunga nedemokhrasi. "Uqikelelo lwam kukuba ngoku kuya kubakho ubukho bomkhosi waseRussia osisigxina kumda weUkraine kodwa, ukuthintela ukucatshukiswa ngama-nutcases e-Ukraine, akuyi kubakho luhlaselo. Endaweni yoko, iRussia iya kuzinza ngokufumana isiseko esomeleleyo sokumangalisa ngobuchule, nini kwaye ukuba oko kuyimfuneko. Kunjalo nje, iTshayina mhlawumbi ayenzanga sigqibo malunga neTaiwan kodwa ilungiselela indawo yokulwa okomzuzwana ekunokuthi yenze njalo. Zombini i-China kunye neRussia zisebenza ngaxeshanye ukuphuhlisa iinketho zomkhosi ebezingazange zifune ngaphambili. malunga nomjukujelwa waseRussia [Mach 9] Zircon: uhambelana neenzame zaseTshayina zokuphuhlisa isakhono soqhankqalazo senyukliya esithembeke ngakumbi ngokuchasene ne-US”
Kutheni ungazami iDiplomacy encinci?
Ngalo lonke ixesha unozakuzaku, u-Chas unokuba nethemba lokuba isithembiso sikaMongameli uBiden sokuphelisa “imfazwe engapheliyo” kwaye aqale “unxibelelwano olungagungqiyo” usenokuthatha inyama kwaye angahlali ethetha ngokungenalusini. UFreeman unike ezi ngcinga zingaphaya malunga nokuba iintshukumo zamva nje zaseTshayina nezaseRashiya zinokukhokelela kuyo, enikwa iqabane elizimiseleyo:
“Ezi ntshukumo zisebenzisa idiplomatic yezoyikiso zasemkhosini ukunyanzelisa ukuncitshiswa kwengxabano. Umphathiswa Wezangaphandle waseRashiya uLavrov wangqamanisa iTshayina nonozakuzaku uWang Yi eRoma, xa uLavrov kamva wadibana noBlinken eStockholm. UWang Yi ufune ukuba icala lase-US lizibophelele 'kumgaqo-nkqubo we-China enye, hayi inkohliso, ukuba i-US izalisekise izibophelelo zayo e-China, kwaye i-US iphumeze ngokwenene umgaqo-nkqubo we-China enye, endaweni yokuthetha into enye kodwa yenze. enye.'
"ULavrov uhambelana noPutin ekufuneni" iziqinisekiso zokhuseleko ezithembekileyo kunye nexesha elide, "ibandakanya" izivumelwano ezithile ezinokuthi zingabandakanyi nayiphi na i-NATO ehamba ngasempuma kunye nokuthunyelwa kwezixhobo ezisisongela kufuphi nommandla waseRashiya, "yongeza ukuba iMoscow iya kuyidinga. kungekuphela nje iziqinisekiso zomlomo, kodwa ‘iziqinisekiso ezisemthethweni.’”
URay McGovern usebenza noXelela iLizwi, ingalo yokupapasha yeCawe yecawa yoMsindisi kwisixeko sangaphakathi eWashington. Umsebenzi wakhe weminyaka engama-27 njengomhlalutyi weCIA uquka ukusebenza njengeNtloko yeSebe loMgaqo-nkqubo Wezangaphandle weSoviet kunye nomlungiseleli / umfutshane weNkcazo yeMihla ngemihla kaMongameli. Ungumseki-mbambano wabaQeqeshi beZobuntlola beZilwanyana (VIPS).
