NguDavid Swanson, Oktobha 25, 2017, Masilinge iNdemokhrasi.
URobert Burns noMateen Pennington we-Associated Press bathi:
UNobhala Wezobulungiswa base-US uJim Mattis u tyelela i-Peninsula yaseKorea kwinqanaba elincinci ekwenzeni uPyongyang ukuba amise aze adibanise inkqubo yezixhobo zenukliya. Imibuzo ephazamisayo isele emoyeni. "
Kutheni kubalulekile? I-Korea yaseNyakatho iye yangaphambili iphumelele ngokunjalo. Kwaye emva koko sele ixhatshazwa kwaye isongelwa ize iqale. Oku kuye kwaqhubeka amashumi eminyaka, ngelixa sele kube yiminyaka eyi-64 ukususela kwintetho yoxolo kufuneka isayinwe engazange ibe yinto. Sekuyiminyaka eyi-14 ukusuka eNyakatho yeKorea iphinda iqalise ukwakha izakhiwo. Kuye iinyanga ezilishumi eziphazamisayo zombuso weTrump ngexesha lokuphazamiseka kwamagama kunye nosongelo oluye lwadlulela ngaphaya nangapha ngaphesheya kweyesikolo sasePacific. Yintoni eyenza lo mzuzwana uphumelele? Hla umamele. AP iya kuchaza.
"Ngaba idiplomatiki ayiphumeleli? Ngaba imfazwe isondela? "
Ngaba umoya uvunguza? Ingaba uyadlala? Ingaba idiplomacy kunye nemfazwe yamandla angaphandle azimisela abantu? I-Korea yaseNyakatho iye yacaca ngokucacileyo kwaye iyafaneleka kwiimfuno zayo, kwanaxa ikhwaza izisongelo zayo kunye nokunyaniseka. Ukuba iUnited States izakuyeka ukuhambisa iibherela kunye neeplani kunye neenqanawa kufuphi nelizwe eliye latshabalalisa, kwaye bayeka ukuyisongela ukuba bayitshabalalise kwakhona, iNorth Korea yona iya kuxubusha ukwenza oko i-Iraq ne-Libya abayenzile ngaphambi kokuba bahlaselwe: ukuxhatshazwa. Umbuzo awukho "Ngaba imfazwe iyasondela?" "Ngummangaliso!" Umbuzo uwukuthi: uya kuthula kunye nabaphantsi kwakhe bayaqhubeka benqaba ukuthetha? Ngaba baya kubambelela kwimfazwe?
"Uhambo lukaMattis 'lwesibini njengePenteg boss ukuya eSeoul luya kwenzeka ngoLwesihlanu, emva kokubonisana namaqabane aseAsia ngendlela ehlangeneyo yokulungisa ingxaki yeNorth Korea. KwiiPhilippines, umlingani wakhe waseJapan wathetha ngokungathandabuzekiyo, esichengeni kwaye esondeleyo 'esongelwa nguMntla ngokubonakalisa ngokuphindaphindiweyo ukukwazi ukuqalisela ukuqhutyelwa kweentambo eziphakathi kwamanye amazwe, ezinokuthi zixhobele intloko yeentlanga zenu. "
Ngaba lo mntu uthetha ngokunyanisekileyo? Yintoni evakalayo? Ngaba babesebenzisa intsingiselo yesichazizwi "esondeleyo," kwaye ukuba kunjalo kwimeko yintoni? Okanye ngaba babesebenzisa iNgcaciso yeeNdlu zeNgcaciso yoMthetho we-Legal Counsel ethi "kusondele," oku kuthetha ukuba "inkolelo ingenzeka kwi-millennium"? Ngaba i-United States ayikwazi ukuqalisa ii-ICBM zenukliya? Ayikho iRashiya? E China? Yintoni engakaze yenzeke?
Ngowe-Agasti noSeptemba, iinqwelo zeNyakatho zaseKorea zithatha isiqithi saseNyakatho saseHokkaido saseJapan, zibangele i-alamu kunye nezilumkiso kubemi ukuba bahlasele. Njengoko iNorth Korea iyakwazi ukukhawuleza ukubeka indawo yaseMelika kwiindawo ezihlukeneyo, uMattis unamathele kwi-diplomacy yaseMelika kunye nephulo lokuxinzelela elikhokelwa nguNobhala kaRhulumente uReex Tillerson. Injongo kukunyanzelisa iNyakatho ukuba isuswe ngokupheleleyo kwaye isingenakutshintshwa ye-arsenal yayo. "
Ngoko, i-Associated Press ibona ikusasa? Kwaye kubona khona, kungekudala, iMicrosoft yaseKorea imikhosi engayibetha eMelika? Yaye indlela ephuma kulo "yi-diplomacy kunye noxinzelelo" - ibinzana elibonisa ukungabikho kwengqiqo yintoni idiplomacy? Akunjalo "Mna, mnumzane, ndilapha ukuxoxa ngokuhlonipha indlela esinokuyenza ngayo izinto, kwaye ndihlala ndikukhabela ngeesile ngenxa yokuba ndiyayilumkisa ngokuhlonipha abantu ukuba kuza ntoni xa bengayithobeli. Ngoku, ukholelwa ntoni ukuba uyenze? Khawujike ngokugqithiseleyo. Kulapho siya khona. "Ngaba i-AP ivile ukuba iinzame zikaTillerson ngokubhekiselele kule ndawo zazingcatshiswa, njengokungathi ziyimfuneko, nguCaptain Twitter Master, lowo uTillerson kubikwa ngokuthi yi-moron, ngoxa uSihlalo weKomiti yezoBudlelwane bezeLimo lwangaphandle uthe umongameli ukholelwa Wayehlala ngaphakathi kwikhompyutha, kodwa uSihlalo weKomidi yeeNkonzo zeeNkontile zeKomiti yeeNkqantosi wayibeka ngokucetyiswa ukuba abulale abantu baseMntla Korea, uMongameli afuna "ukutshatyalaliswa ngokupheleleyo"?
“'Wonke umntu uzimisele ukufumana isigqibo ngoxolo. Akukho mntu ungxamela ukuya emfazweni, utshilo uMattis kwiintatheli ngoLwesithathu ngenqwelomoya eya eThailand. Ukusuka apho, usiya eMzantsi Korea. Kodwa kukho iingcebiso ezandayo zokujongana nomkhosi. Kwiveki ephelileyo, umcebisi kaTrump kukhuseleko lwesizwe, uLt General HR McMaster, 'sikugqatso lokusombulula le mfutshane kwezomkhosi,' wongeza esithi, 'siphelelwe lixesha.' ”
Kukho. Yingakho lo mzuzu ubaluleke kakhulu. Umkhosi waseMelika ubeke umda wokugqibela wemfazwe, kwaye ukuba awuyikuqalisa imfazwe ngelo xesha, kakuhle. . . kakuhle, ngoko akuyi kubakho imfazwe, kunjalo! Khawucinge ukuba i-US yayilindele ukuba iTaliban iphendule iBad Laden phezu kokuba ityalwe, okanye iwanikwe abahloli iintsuku ezimbalwa e-Iraq, okanye ivumele ukuhlaliswa koxolo kunye noGadaffi-sonke sasihlala phi, ndikucela? I-suburban iWashington, DC, ayiyi kukhwela ngeemoto eziphathekayo zabathengisi beempahla ezisandul 'ukutsha, ziyintoni. Kakhulu.
"UMichael Swaine, ingcali yexesha elide e-Asia kwi-Carnegie Endowment yoXolo lwaMazwe ngaMazwe, uthe ngelixa enethemba lokuthintela ungquzulwano, 'andiboni miqondiso icacileyo yokuba kukho inkqubela phambili ekunyanzeliseni abantu base North Korea ukuba baqale ukuthetha ukuphelisa inyukliya okanye ukufumana enye indlela yokuya kudibana neNyakatho Korea. '”
Ukugxininiswa kukuMandla, kungekhona uxolo. Uhlanga olusisigxina ekuphenduleni ukwesatshiswa nokunyanzelisa aluyi kutshabalalisa ekuphenduleni ukunyanzelisa. Ngaba iiUnited States?
"Iinyanga ezizayo zibonise ukunyuka kobudlelwane phakathi kwe-US neNorth Korea ephazamisayo kum," watsho ngodliwano-ndlebe. 'Ndixhalabele ngohambo lomongameli oluya ku-Asia apho amaNorth Korea angayisebenzisa njengethuba lokuqhuba uvavanyo olongezelelweyo.' UMongameli uDonald Trump uza kujonga eMzantsi Korea ngenyanga ezayo. I-Aides ithi akayi kuhamba kwi-Zone yeDemilitarized zone, indawo eyaziwayo yamanxweme eyahlukana ngamazwe aseKorea ukususela kwimfazwe yaseKorea. Ukulwa kuphelile kwi-1953 kunye ne-armistice, kungekhona isivumelwano soxolo, esithetha ukuba iMelika kunye neNyakatho yeKorea kusekho ngokusemthethweni kwimfazwe. Ixilongo lihlekise umkhokeli waseNyakatho yaseKorea uKim Jong Un njenge 'Little Rocket Man' kwaye isongela ukuba 'ilahle umlilo kunye nentukuthelo' ePyongyang ukuba iinkokheli zayo azilahli izixhobo zenukliya. "
Siyabonga ngokuvuma oko. Ingqinelana njani nomgca wembali wobuqili obuhle kodwa obungentoyileyo yokuqhubela idiplomacy ngokugqithiseleyo nge-clock? Ayikwazanga ukuba iwashi ibuyiselwe emuva yiTrump itweeting into enhle okanye i-impeached, okanye iCongress inqanda imfazwe, okanye urhulumente waseMzantsi Korea uhlala esithembisweni sawo kunye nokuqothula umkhosi wase-US ngaphandle? Oko kukuthi, iwashi ayinayo amaqhosha amaninzi kunye needayi ezinokusetyenziswa? Akunjalo iwashi lomlingo, akunjalo?
"UKim ubonakala engathandabuzeki ngenxa yongongelo kwaye engaphenduli kwimibutho yezopolitiko. Wathengisa iTrump kwaye wagcina ilizwe lakhe lihamba-abanye bathi ukukhawuleza - ukukwazi ukubetha naliphi na isixeko saseMelika esinesixhobo senyukliya. "
Kwakunokukhawuleza. Uthole esuka eCalifornia ukuya eMaine kwimigca embalwa nje.
"I-Trump ithe akuyi kuze avumele iNyakatho ukuba ifikelele kuloo ngongoma."
Oku, abanye bayakhumbula, kwakuyimeko yokuhlasela i-Iraq. I zixhobo! I zixhobo! I zixhobo! Okanye iyakwazi ukufumana izixhobo xa ingahlaselwa, ngoko kufuneka siyihlasele!
Kuphela, noBush Junior kunye nekhefu lakhe lokuzingela iinqanawa bathatha iIraq phezu kweNyakatho Korea, njengoko iNorth Korea yayinezixhobo zenukliya. Se kunjalo.
"ESeoul, iMattis iya kubakho kwiintlanganiso zonyaka rhoqo ngoMgqibelo kunye nabaphathi baseburhulumenteni baseMzantsi Korea kwaye bavavanye izicwangciso zokulwa nokusongelwa kweMntla."
Nangona emva kokucaphuna izisongelo zikaTumpom kwiNyakatho Korea, i-AP iphakamisa ukuba i-US ihlanganyele kwiminye imisebenzi engasongelayo, kunokuba imise ukuyikiso kwayo. Inxalenye "yobutshabongo" "yokwesongela" kwaye le yinto eqhelekileyo yokubhala iindaba.
"Uya kuqinisekisa kwakhona isithembiso saseMelika sokukhusela uMzantsi malunga naluphi na ukuhlaselwa, kwaye mhlawumbi uxoxe ngombono wokwenza ulawulo lwexesha loMzantsi Afrika lolawulo lokusebenza kwamandla alo. I-US inayo malunga namaqela e-28,500 eMzantsi Korea, kuquka ne-Osan base-Air apho i-Air Force igcina iinqwelo zokulwa. Ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo, i-US yayilungele ukunika ulawulo lwe-Seoul ukusebenza kwe-South Korea amabutho xa kwenzeka imfazwe yoMntla, kodwa umhlobo wase-US uye wacela ngokuphindaphindiweyo ukuba utshintsho lulibale. Kwi-2014, amacandelo avumile ukulahla nayiphi na ixesha lokubakho kwaye anike ukulawula kuphela xa zombini izigqibo zichanekile. Ngaloo ndlela, i-US Army u-Gen. Vincent K. Brooks, oyalela onke amabutho ase-US eKorea, uya kuba nolawulo lwamajoni aseMzantsi Korea ukuba imfazwe yavuka ngomso. UMntla uKim ufungile ukugqiba ukuphuhliswa kwelizwe lakhe, iprojekthi eqalwe nguyise wakhe, uKim Il Sung, ngokuchasene nokugwetywa kwamanye amazwe kunye nezigwebo zezoqoqosho zeZizwe eziManyeneyo. Nangona i-China, umzuzwana wendabuko waseNyakatho, uthathe amanyathelo angqongqo kwezoqoqosho ukuba axinzelele uMntla ukuba abuyele kwingxoxo. Akukho nanye yoxinzelelo osebenze njengoko uMntla ugxininisa i-arsenal ye-nyukliya kunye nehlabathi jikelele ukukhusela oko kubona njengemigudu yase-US yokuphanga urhulumente. "
Kodwa ngaba ukungeniswa kwendlela iNyakatho Korea ebheka ngayo izinto idala iingxaki kuzo zonke ezinye iinqununu ezaza ngaphambi kwayo? Ngaba ayengasenyakatho ngokwenene fumana izicwangciso ze-US ukuguqula urhulumente walo kwiikhompyutha zaseMzantsi Korea? Ngaba akuzange kuqalwe ukwakha iinqwelo zokuba i-AP ngoku ikwazi ukufikelela eUnited States? Ayikho indlela yokuphuma, ngoko, into encinane engavakaliyo kunokuba sikhokelwa ekubeni sikholwe? Ngaba bekungayi kuyenza nje ukuba ingadlulanga omnye urhulumente, into ethi iTump iqhubekele phambili, ihambe indlela ende?
"U-Choe Son-hui, igosa eliphezulu loMphathiswa Wezangaphandle, uxelele inkomfa eMoscow kwiveki ephelileyo ukuba ilizwe lakhe liza kuvelisa izixhobo zenyukliya kunye nemijukujelwa kude kube kufikelelwe 'kulungelelwano lwamandla' ne-United States. Abathathi-nxaxheba kwinkomfa bambalisile besithi oonongendi bebengenakuthethathethana ngaphandle kokuba iWashington iphelise 'umgaqo-nkqubo wobutshaba.' ”
Imfuno efanelekileyo.
"I-US iye yaphakamisa i-tempo yokuzivocavoca kwemikhosi kunye namaqabane, kuquka neenqwelo zeenqwelo-moya ngeziqhumane eziqingqiweyo phezu kwe-peninsula kunye nemigodi yase-South Korea kwiveki ephelileyo. Lo mcimbi uphakamise imibuzo malunga nokuba iWashington ibonisa amandla okuvimbela iPyongyang okanye ukufunda ukuxabana. "
Ngandlela-thile, ivuselela emacaleni omabini kwimpikiswano kwaye ayinanto enye into "yokunqanda." Ngoko umbuzo?
"Emva kokuba iNorth Korea iqhube iindidi zeemvavanyo ze-missile kunye novavanyo lwenyukliya ngaphantsi kweSeptemba ukuba iNyakatho yathi ibhomu le-hydrogen, liye lagcina ihlabathi liqikelele oko kuya kuyenza emva koko. Ukuba iphinda iqalise i-missile nge-Japanese space space, Ngaba iJapan okanye i-US izama ukuyidubula? Ngaba iNyakatho iya kutshabalalisa ibhomu yenyukliya ngaphaya kwePacifike, njengokuba u-Kim ongumbingeleli wangaphandle uthetha? Kwaye ngaba loo nto ingayimfazwe? "
Njani na hayi umkhosi wokulwa emva kokuba uzibhalile kuzo zonke iindlela zokufumana uxolo?
