Impendulo: "I-US yase-US ayinakuphepha ukujongana ne-China ne-Russia"

NgoJulayi, 8, 2021, uBalkin Insights wapapasha inqaku elibhalwe nguDavid L. Phillips elalibizwa ngokuba “yi-US yaseMelika ayinako ukukuphepha ukujongana neRussia ne China” Umxholo ongezantsi: I-US ikwinqanaba lokungqubana kunye neentshaba ezimbini ezingenakuphikiswa ezizimisele ukuvavanya ubunkokheli bayo kunye nokusombulula ”

Inqaku liyafumaneka kwi: https://balkaninsight.com/2021/07/08/a-global-us-cant-avoid-confronting-china-and-russia/

UDavid L. Phillips nguMlawuli, iNkqubo yokwakha uxolo kunye namaLungelo, kwiZiko lokuFunda kwamaLungelo oluntu kwiYunivesithi yaseColumbia. Ndixhalabile malunga nomxholo weli nqaku, ngakumbi uvela kwiziko elizinikele ekwakheni uxolo, ndaye ndagqiba kwelokuba impendulo ibilungile. Apha ngezantsi kukho impendulo yam kwisincoko sika Mnu. Phillips. Impendulo yathunyelwa ngoJulayi 12, 2021 kuDavid L. Phillips dp2366@columbia.edu

Mnumzana Phillips othandekayo:

Kwakunenkxalabo ekhulayo ukuba ndifunde inqaku elingentla elibhalwe nguwe laza lapapashwa kwiBalkinInsight, kuthiwa egameni leziko leYunivesithi yaseColumbia elizinikeleyo "ekwakheni uxolo namalungelo oluntu". Ndothuswe kukubona intetho eshushu kangaka ivela kwiziko elizinikele ekwakheni uxolo. Ngaba ungachaza ngokuchanekileyo ukuba ucinga ukuba i-US kufuneka "ijongane" neRussia ne China ngaphandle kokubeka umlo emfazweni oya kusitshabalalisa sonke?

Kumxholo wokukhuthaza uxolo, kuba usebenze kulawulo lwamva nje, ngokuqinisekileyo uyazi ukuba i-US ineziseko zophuhliso eziyilelwe ukuphazamisa uxolo kunye "nokudala imbambano" ebizwa ngokuba yiNational Endowment yeDemokhrasi kwiRiphabhlikhi nakwiDemocratic Institutes Uluhlu olupheleleyo lwee-NGO kunye nabanikeli babucala injongo yazo kukuphazamisa izithili i-US ejolise kuzo kutshintsho lolawulo. Ukuba ukongeza iiarhente zokhuselo kunye neUSAID, sisibonelelo esifanelekileyo. Ngaba iziko lakho liyayixhasa imisebenzi ephazamisayo yezibonelelo, abanye abantu abazibiza ngokuba "amandla athambileyo"? Kumxholo wamalungelo oluntu, yintoni eyenziweyo liziko lakho ukujongana namaqhinga asetyenzisiweyo ngexesha le- "War on Terror" kubandakanya nokuhlasela ngokungekho mthethweni, ukuqhushumisa ibhombu, ukufuduswa kwabantu, ukukhutshwa, ukuntywila emanzini, kunye nezinye iindlela zokungcungcuthekisa ezivezwe kule minyaka idlulileyo? Endaweni yokukhomba umnwe kwamanye amazwe, kutheni singasebenzi ukulungisa inqanawa yethu yelizwe?

Ukwabonakala ngathi awuyazi ngokupheleleyo imbali yobudlelwane baseRussia / baseTshayina obuhlala bungomnye wobundlobongela kunye nembambano, ubuncinci kude kube kutshanje xa umgaqo-nkqubo wase-US usiya eRashiya wanyanzela iRussia ukuba idibane neChina. Endaweni yokuphinda ujonge imigaqo-nkqubo ekhokelele kwisiphumo esiyintlekele kwimidla yase-US, kubonakala ngathi ukhetha ukuthetha izinto ezibonakala ngathi ziyathandabuza ezinje ngala: "I-Russia ligunya lehlabathi elisezantsi." Makhe ndikucele ukuba uvavanye le ngxelo ngokuchasene nokuqwalaselwa nje okumbalwa kokufunda kwam kunye nokuya eRashiya; I-1) iRussia zizizukulwane ezizayo kwitekhnoloji ye-missile kunye nokhuselo lwe-missile kunye nezinye iitekhnoloji eziphezulu zomkhosi wobugcisa kunye nemidlalo eyakhiwe ngokutsha, eqeqeshwe emkhosini; 2) IRosatom yaseRussia ngoku yakha uninzi lwezityalo zenyukliya kwihlabathi liphela isebenzisa itekhnoloji entsha nekhuselekileyo, ngelixa iinkampani zase-US zingenakubonakala ngathi zakha nendawo enye yokuvelisa umbane wenyukliya; I-Russia yakha zonke iinqwelo-moya zayo, kubandakanywa neenqwelo-moya zabakhweli-iRussia nayo yakha zonke iinqanawa zayo zomkhosi wamanzi kubandakanya iinkwili ezintsha zobuchwephesha kunye nedrones ezizimeleyo ezinokuhamba amawaka eekhilomitha ngaphantsi kwamanzi; I-3) I-Russian isengaphambili kwimozulu ebanda kakhulu yetekhnoloji ye-arctic kubandakanya izibonelelo kunye nezikhephe zomkhenkce. I-4) Ityala laseRussia yi-5% ye-GDP, banentsalela yohlahlo-lwabiwo mali kunye nengxowa-mali yobutyebi obuzimeleyo-ityala laseMelika lonyuka ngezigidi ngezigidi minyaka le i-US kufuneka iprinte imali ukuhlawula amatyala akhoyo ngoku; 18) Xa iRashiya ingenelela, njengoko yenzayo eSyria ngo-6 kwisimemo sikarhulumente wase-Syria, iRussia yakwazi ukuguqula umjikelo waloo mfazwe yonakalisayo engekho semthethweni exhaswa yi-US. Thelekisa le rekhodi "kwimpumelelo" yokufudumala kwaseMelika okokoko kwi-WW2015; I-2) iRussia ixhomekeke ekutyeni, kumandla, kwiimveliso zabathengi, nakwitekhnoloji. Kuya kwenzeka ntoni e-US ukuba iinqanawa zeekhonteyina ziyeke ukufika? Ndingaqhubeka kodwa nantsi inqaku lam: uthathela ingqalelo ukungabikho kolwazi lwangoku, mhlawumbi kuya kufuneka uye eRussia kwaye uzibonele ngokwakho iimeko ezikhoyo ngoku endaweni yokuqhubeka nokuphindaphinda ubuxoki obuchasene neRussia? Kutheni ndicebisa oku? Kuba nabani na oyiqondayo imicimbi ebandakanyekayo uyakuqonda ukuba kukhuseleko lwesizwe sase-USA ukuba ngumhlobo neRussia-ucinga ukuba oku kusenokwenzeka ukuba unikwe isimilo sase-US kule minyaka ingama-7 idlulileyo.

Ewe iRussia okanye i-China ayifuni kujongana ne-US kuba bobabini bayayiqonda i-1) banikwe imigaqo-nkqubo yangoku, ukuqhubeka kwezomkhosi wase-US / NATO akuqinisekanga kwezopolitiko nakwezoqoqosho; kunye ne-2) i-US ayinakukwazi ukugcina imfazwe yesiqhelo ngalo naliphi na ubude bexesha ngenxa yoko umhlaba uya kuba semngciphekweni omkhulu wokuba i-US ijikelezise izixhobo zenyukliya kunokuba yamkele ukoyiswa okuqhelekileyo. Kungenxa yeso sizathu le nto iRussia ne China zibeka ixesha labo endaweni yomngcipheko wemfazwe yenyukliya. Ukuba i-US / i-NATO ingaze igqibe kwelokuba ithumele izixhobo zenyukliya eRussia, amaRussia ayenze yacaca into yokuba imfazwe elandelayo ayizukulwa kuphela kumhlaba waseRussia, ke kuba umgaqo-nkqubo wase-US ubandakanya ukusetyenziswa okokuqala kwezixhobo zenyukliya ukusetyenziswa okokuqala kungakhokelela kwisiphumo Imfazwe yenyukliya egcwele ngokupheleleyo kubandakanya nokutshatyalaliswa kwe-US. Ukujonga inyani-kuya kufuneka ndibuze ukuba ulwakha njani uxolo kunye namalungelo oluntu ngokuqhubeka nokuthetha kunye nokuxhasa imigaqo-nkqubo enjalo?

Ndingabhala yonke ithisisi kuyo yonke into engachanekanga, ulwazi olungelulo kunye ne-disinformation efumaneka kwisincoko sakho-kodwa makhe ndithethe amagama ambalwa malunga ne-Ukraine kunye ne-USSR yangaphambili. Ngaba uyazi nokuba emva kokupheliswa kweSoviet Union iRussian Federation kunye nabantu baseRussia baphethukela e-US kwaye basithemba ukuba siza kubanceda benze uqoqosho lweemarike? Ngaba i-80% yabantu baseRussia babeneembono ezilungileyo malunga ne-USA? Ngaba oku kubuyisiwe ngaphezulu kwe-70% yabemi base-US bebambe uluvo oluhle lwabantu baseRussia? Leliphi ithuba elimangalisayo lokunikezela ukubeka umlo ecaleni, ukukhuthaza uxolo, kunye nokusindisa iiriphabliki yethu? Kweneke ntoni? Jonga phezulu !! IRashiya yaphangwa — ngabantu abahlwempuzekileyo. Izincoko zabhalwa zisithi “iRussia igqityiwe.” Kodwa, njengoko ndicacisile apha ngasentla, iRussia ayigqibi. Siye saphula nesithembiso sokungayandisi i-NATO "nge-intshi enye ngasempuma". Endaweni yoko, ubukhosi baseMelika buqhubekile kwaye i-NATO yandiswa yaya kumnyango waseRussia. Amazwe anqamleze iRussia, kubandakanya iGeorgia neUkraine, ahlaselwa yimibala eyahlukeneyo kubandakanya neMaidan coup yowe-2014. Ngoku, enkosi kumgaqo-nkqubo wase-US / NATO, i-Ukraine lilizwe elingaphumelelanga. Ngeli xesha, uninzi lwabantu baseRussia eCrimea bagqibe kwelokuba bakhusele uxolo lwabo, ukhuseleko kunye namalungelo oluntu, ngokuvota ukuze bajoyine iRussia Federation. Ngenxa yesi senzo sokuzikhusela abantu baseCrimea banikwe isohlwayo. IRashiya ayenzanga oku. Akukho mntu uyiqondayo le nto unokugxeka iRussia ngale nto. Umgaqo-nkqubo wase-US / NATO ukwenzile oku. Ngaba iziko elinikwe umsebenzi wokukhuthaza uxolo kunye namalungelo oluntu liyasixhasa esi siphumo?

Andizazi ezona zinto zishukumisayo ezichaseneyo neRussia-kodwa-ke ndingatsho ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba ichasene ngokupheleleyo nomdla wexesha elide wase-USA. Jonga ngeenxa zonke kwaye uzibuze-kutheni ulutshaba neRussia-ngakumbi ngokuchasene ne China? Umbuzo ofanayo unokuphakanyiswa malunga ne-Iran-malunga neVenezuela-malunga neSyria-malunga neChina uqobo. Kwenzeka ntoni kwidiploma? Ndiyaqonda ukuba kukho iklabhu eqhuba i-USA, kwaye ukuze ufumane imisebenzi, imali kunye nezibonelelo kufuneka ube yinxalenye yale "kilabhu" kwaye oko kubandakanya ukujoyina imeko enzulu yeqela lokucinga. Kodwa kuthekani ukuba iklabhu iye yaphuma kwiiporo kwaye ngoku yenza okubi kakhulu kunokulungileyo? Kuthekani ukuba iklabhu ikwicala elingalunganga lembali? Ungathini ukuba le klabhu isongela ikamva laseMelika? Ikamva lempucuko uqobo? Ndiyoyika ukuba ukuba abantu aboneleyo e-US, njengawe, abayicingi le micimbi ikamva lethu lisemngciphekweni.

Ndiyaqonda ukuba lomzamo uzakuwela ezindlebeni ezingevayo-kodwa ndicinge ukuba kufanelekile ukudutyulwa.

Konke okugqibelele

USylvia Demarest