Ka Alice Slater, Ho Lebisa Tokolohong, January 15, 2025
The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, ka keletso ea Albert Einstein le bo-rasaense ba bang ba Manhattan Project ba ileng ba qapa bomo ea athomo, ba ile ba theha Doomsday Clock, ka 1947, ho bontša kotsi e timetsang eo lefatše le tobaneng le eona ho tloha ha ho thehoa bomo ea nyutlelie ea diabolosi. . Ka nako eo, oache e ne e behiloe metsotsong ea 7 ho isa har’a mp’a bosiu, khakanyo ea bona ea hore na re saletsoe ke nako e kae pele ntoa ea nuclear e ka baka tšenyo e khōlō polaneteng ea rōna le linthong tsohle tse phelang tse teng.
Ho theosa le lilemo, matsoho a oache a ’nile a hlophisoa bocha, ho ea pele le morao, ha bo-rasaense le baetsi ba melaoana ba hakanya hore na kotsi ea nyutlelie e ile ea ata kapele hakae, ho ipapisitsoe le likotsi tseo linaha tse ling li tobaneng le tsona ho fumana libetsa tsa nyutlelie hammoho le mehato e mecha ea taolo ea libetsa, libetsa. mefokolo, le litumellano, haholo-holo lipakeng tsa US le Russia bakeng sa mehato ea ho fokotsa lihlomo. Ka tšepo ea eona e kholo, matsoho a Doomsday a ile a fallisetsoa metsotso e 17 ho fihlela har'a mp'a bosiu ka 1991 ha US le USSR li phatlalatsa ho khaotsa ka ho feletseng tlhahlobo ea nyutlelie.
Ho makatsang ke hore, leha ho na le lilemo tse ngata tsa mehato ea taolo ea libetsa tsa nyutlelie, e bakileng lihlomo tse theohileng ho tloha holimo ho libomo tsa 70,000 tlhōrōng ea bohlanya ba nyutlelie ba lefats'e, ho isa ho 12,000 kajeno, 11,000 ea eona e US le Russia e nang le hoo e ka bang 4,000 e ikemiselitseng ebile e ikemiselitse ho. tsamaea, le tse ling tse 1000 tse tšoeroeng ke linaha tse ling tse tšeletseng tsa libetsa tsa nyutlelie—UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel, le Korea Leboea- oache ha e e-so ka e behoa haufi le Letsatsi la Doomsday ho feta kajeno-Ka metsotsoana e 90 ho fihlela har'a mp'a bosiu!1
Ke nako ea ho fetola oache le ho fetola moqoqo! Litemoso tse matla ka Doomsday li entse ho fokolang ho eketsa polokeho ea rona ea lefats'e lilemong tsena tse 77. Ke nako ea ho bua ka menyetla e mengata le menyetla e hlolohetsoeng ea ho theha meso e mecha ea Letsatsi la Khotso, ho fetola nako ea timetso ho ea ho nako e ka tšoaeang litharollo tse ngata tse hlokomolohuoang le ho hlokomolohuoa Re tlameha ho emisa ho fana ka tlhohonolofatso le tumello ea rona. ho ea mehatong e sa feleng ea ho “laola” matsoho a isang kotsing e eketsehileng joalokaha ho bontšoa ke oache e ntseng e tsofala ea Doomsday.
Ho e-na le hoo, re tlameha ho batla hore li felisoe, ha re ntse re ea lefatšeng le se nang nyutlelie le nang le khotso le sa tšosoe ke timetso e tšabehang. Ka 'nete, litsebi li ngola pale e bohloko ea lipuisano tse sa feleng tsa ho laola libetsa empa ho se mohla li kileng tsa li felisa, li bile li qapa lentsoe le lecha bakeng sa mehato e se nang thuso ea ho se be kae kapa kae-anti-preneurism-moo ho e-na le hore US e bue ka ho felisoa, kapa ho fokotsa libetsa ka ho feletseng, kapa ho felisoa ha libetsa, e lula e fana ka maikutlo a mehato e mecha e sa reng letho e lebisang tsoelo-peleng ea bohata!2
Ho qala moqoqo o motjha bakeng sa phediso, re tlameha ho ananela menyetla e fetotsweng le ditshepiso tse robehileng ho tloha qalong ya mehla ya nyutlelie. Qalong, ka 1945, Stalin o ile a kopa Truman ho beha bomo ea nyutlelie tlas'a taolo ea machaba ho Machaba a Kopaneng a sa tsoa thehoa. US e hanne tlhahiso ea Russia mme Russia e ile ea fumana bomo!3
Ha lerako le theoha Jeremane 'me Gorbachev a qhala Selekane sa Warsaw 'me a lokolla Europe Bochabela e neng e tšoaretsoe, o ile a etsa tlhahiso ea ho Reagan hore US le Russia li felise libetsa tsohle tsa rona tsa nyutlelie, ha feela US e ka felisa lenaneo la eona la "Star Wars" ho laola le ho laola. laola tshebediso ya sesole ya sebaka. Reagan o ile a mo hana 'me Gorbachev a hula tlhahiso ea Russia.4
Gorbachev, a tšoenyehile ka qetello ea Jeremane Bochabela, o khothalelitse Reagan hore a se ke a nka Jeremane e kopaneng ho NATO. Marussia a ile a lahleheloa ke batho ba limilione tse 27 tlhaselong ea Manazi ea WWII! US e ile ea mo tiisetsa hore NATO e ke ke ea atolosa "inch e le 'ngoe ho ea bochabela."5
Leha a ile a kopa US khafetsa ho tsoa ho Mopresidente oa Russia Putin ho hlompha litšepiso tseo tsa US tse entsoeng ho Gorbachev hape le ho Yeltsin, US, e susumetsoang ke lipono tsa 'Muso o ile oa holisa Nato ka bochabela. E qalile ka katoloso ea Clinton ea NATO ho ea Poland, Hungary, le Czech Republic ka 1999, ea lateloa ke Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia le Slovenia ka 2004, le Albania, Croatia, Montenegro le North Macedonia lipakeng tsa 2009 le 2017.6. 'Me nakong ea ntoa Ukraine, Sweden le Finland li ile tsa ikopanya le NATO.
US e beha libetsa tsa nyutlelie linaheng tse 5: Jeremane, Netherlands, Italy, Belgium le Turkey. Russia, nakong ea ntoa ea Ukraine, e ile ea beha libetsa tsa nyutlelie Belarus.
Clinton o ile a etella pele NATO tlhaselong ea libomo ea Kosovo ka 1999, a tlola veto ea Russia Lekhotleng la Ts'ireletso, a tlola selekane sa UN seo re saenneng hore re se ke ra etsa ntoa ea mabifi khahlanong le sechaba se seng ntle le haeba re le kotsing ea tlhaselo;
Clinton o ile a hana tlhahiso ea Putin ea hore e mong le e mong a theole liqhomane tsa rona tse kholo tsa nyutlelie ho libomo tsa 1000 e 'ngoe le e' ngoe 'me a bitse ba bang bohle tafoleng ho buisana ka hore ba felisoe, ha feela re ka emisa ho theha libaka tsa metsu Romania;
Bush o ile a tsoa ka 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty ka 2002 mme Obama a beha setsi se secha sa limisaele Romania ha Trump a haha e 'ngoe Poland;
Obama o tšepisitse ho feta lidolara tse bilione bakeng sa lilemo tse latelang tsa 30 bakeng sa lifeme tse peli tse ncha tsa libomo tsa nyutlelie, limisaele, likepe tse tsamaeang ka tlas'a metsi, lifofane le lihlooho tsa ntoa tse ileng tsa phahamisoa le ho feta ke Trump le Biden.7
Ho sa tsotellehe likōpo tse pheta-phetoang tse tsoang ho Russia le Chaena ho buisana ka litumellano tsa ho thibela libetsa sebakeng le cyberwar liqetong tsa Machaba a Kopaneng le liforamu tsa lipuisano, US e hana ho sebelisana.8
Re nakong ea phetoho e khōlō historing. Ke nako ea ho fetola moqoqo ka litlhahiso tse ncha tse sebete. Litlhahiso tse tiisitsoeng hore li tla re tlisetsa phomolo ho tloha tšabong e ntseng e eketseha. Litlhahiso tse tla tlisa phetoho kutloisisong ea lipolanete tse re lumellang ho arabela ka tšebelisano-'moho ho koluoa e tlang ea koluoa ea boemo ba leholimo tlase tseleng! Litlhahiso tse tla tlisa mesoaso le ho fetola Oache ea Letsatsi la Bofelo hore e be oache e ncha ea Letsatsi la Khotso. 'Mè oa Lefatše o felloa ke mamello ke bothoto ba moloko oa batho.
Mona ke letoto la mehato e ka lebisang khotsong ea lefats'e haeba US e ikemiselitse ho bokella khahlanong le se hlalositsoeng e le MICIMATT (Sesole, Liindasteri, Congressional, Intelligence, Media, Academic Think Tank complex) le ho sebeletsa kgotso.
- Nka litlhahiso tse pheta-phetoang tsa Serussia le Sechaena bakeng sa litumellano tsa ho thibela libetsa sebakeng le cyberwar
- Khutlisa Selekane sa 1972 sa Anti-Ballistic Missile le Russia 'me u tlose limisaele tsa US ho tsoa Romania le Poland.
- Tlosa libetsa tsa nyutlelie tsa US ho linaha tse hlano tsa NATO tumellanong ea hore Russia e tlose libetsa tsa nyutlelie tse sa tsoa behoa Belarus
- Tlosa libetsa tsohle tsa nyutlelie u falimehile haholo 'me u arole lihlooho tsa ntoa ho litsamaiso tsa tsona tsa phano joalo ka ha China e etsa- bohlale ba Bochabela.
- Hlakola NATO le ho hlompha le ho hlompha Machaba a Kopaneng
Ha ho na pelaelo e nyane ea hore Russia le China e ka ba balekane ba ikemiselitseng mererong ena. Ke lilemo tse fetang leshome ba ntse ba li khothaletsa United States le ho li voutela UN.
1 https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/
2 https://www.academia.edu/77004279/Resistance_to_the_emergent_norm_to_advance_progress_towards_the_complete_elimination_of_nuclear_weapons?email_work_card=thumbnail
3 https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/soviet-union-and-baruch-plan/
4 https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/reagan-and-gorbachev-reykjavik-summit/
5 https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017-12-12/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early/
6 https://ndisc.nd.edu/news-media/news/the-addition-of-nato-members-over-time-1949-2023/
7 https://fpif.org/president-obamas-twisted-nuclear-weapons-legacy/#!
8 https://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/disarmament-fora/cd/2014/cd-reports/8908-russia-and-china-table-new-draft-treaty-to-prevent-weapons-in-space
