Xirfadleyda Sirdoonka Halyeeyga ah ee Caqli-galnimada Ka-fogaanshaha Dagaal ee Ukraine

Waxaa qoray Xirfadlayaasha Sirdoonka Ruug-caddaaga ee Sanity (VIPS), Antiwar.com, Abriil 8, 2021

MEMORANDUM FOR: Madaxweynaha
Laga soo bilaabo: Xirfadaha Soodhawaynta ee Sare ee Muwaadiniinta (VIPS)
KOOWAAD: Ka fogaanshaha dagaalka Ukraine

Mudane Madaxweyne Biden,

We markii ugu dambeysay ee aan kula soo xiriirnay December 20, 2020, markii aad ahayd Madaxweynaha la doortay.

Waqtigaas, waxaanu ku baraarujinay khatarta ku jirta samaynta siyaasad ku wajahan Ruushka oo lagu dhisay aasaaska Ruushka-bash-ku-basheedka. In kasta oo aan sii wadno taageeridda falanqaynta ku jirta qoraalkaas, qoraalkan cusubi waxa uu u adeegayaa ujeeddo aad u adag. Waxaan rabnaa in aan dareenkaaga ku soo jeedno xaaladda khatarta ah ee ka jirta Ukraine maanta, halkaas oo ay ka jirto khatarta sii kordheysa ee dagaal haddii aadan qaadin tillaabooyin aad uga hortagayso iskahorimaadka noocaas ah.

Xilligan la joogo, waxaan maskaxda ku haynaa laba xaqiiqo oo aasaasi ah oo u baahan xoojin gaar ah iyadoo ay jirto xiisadda sii kordheysa ee u dhaxeysa Ukraine iyo Ruushka.

Marka hore, maadaama Ukraine aysan xubin ka ahayn NATO, Qodobka 5 ee Heshiiska NATO dabcan ma khuseeyo kiiska iskahorimaad hubaysan oo u dhexeeya Ukraine iyo Ruushka.

Midda labaad, isbeddelka milatari ee Ukraine ee hadda, haddii loo oggolaado inuu u wareego tallaabo milatari oo dhab ah, waxay horseedi kartaa colaadda Ruushka.

Waxaan u aragnaa inay muhiim tahay in maamulkaagu uu si degdeg ah u raadiyo inuu miiska ka saaro, si loo hadlo, "xal kasta" oo lagu xalliyo khilaafka hadda jira ee leh qayb ciidan. Marka la soo koobo, waxaa jira, waligeedna ma noqon karto, xal ciidan oo lagu xaliyo dhibaatadan.

Tilmaantaada ku meel gaadhka ah ee istaraatiijiyada amniga qaranka ayaa muujisay in maamulkaagu " samayn doono doorashooyin caqli iyo edeb leh oo ku saabsan difaaca qarankayaga iyo isticmaalka mas'uuliyadda leh ee ciidankeena, iyadoo kor loo qaadayo dublamaasiyadda oo ah agabkayaga ugu horreeya." Hadda waa wakhtiga ugu habboon ee erayadan la dhaqan gelin lahaa si ay dhammaan u arkaan.

Waxaan si adag u aaminsanahay:

1. Waa in loo caddeeyaa madaxweynaha Yukreeniyaan Zelensky in aysan jiri doonin kaalmo militari oo ka timaada Maraykanka ama NATO midkood haddii uusan xakameynin cuncunka Ukraine ee cuncunka si uu u siiyo Ruushka sanka dhiig-baxa - baqtiyo kuwaas oo laga yaabo inay si fiican u filayaan Galbeedka inay yimaadaan Ukraine gargaar kasta oo khilaaf ah oo lala galo Ruushka. (Waa in aan dib loo soo celin fiasco Ogosto 2008, markii Jamhuuriyadda Georgia ay bilowday hawlgallo militari oo ka dhan ah Koonfurta Ossetia iyada oo la aaminsan yahay in Maraykanku uu u iman doono gargaarkiisa haddii Ruushku ka jawaabo milatari.)

2. Waxaan kugula talineynaa inaad si dhakhso ah ula xiriirto Zelensky oo aad ku adkaysato in Kiev ay joojiso dhismaheeda milatari ee hadda ee bariga Ukraine. Ciidamada Ruushku waxay safaf ugu jireen soohdinta iyagoo diyaar u ah inay ka falceliyaan haddii hadalka dabacsan ee Zelensky ee dagaalka uu noqdo mid geesinimo leh. Washington waa inay sidoo kale joojisaa dhammaan dhaqdhaqaaqyada tababarka milatari ee ay ku lug leeyihiin ciidamada Maraykanka iyo NATO ee gobolka. Tani waxay yaraynaysaa fursada ah in Ukraine ay si khaldan u fasiri karto hawlgalladan tababarka sida a Qolyihii calaamad muujinaysa taageerada hawlgallada milatari ee Yukreeniyaan si ay dib ugu soo ceshadaan gacan ku haynta Donbas ama Crimea.

3. Sidoo kale waxaa lama huraan ah in Maraykanku uu Ruushka la yeesho wadahadallo diblomaasiyadeed oo heerkiisu sareeyo si loo dhimo xiisadda gobolka iyo in la dejiyo degdegga hadda socda ee ku wajahan iskahorimaadka milatari. Xakamaynta mareegaha qalafsan ee arrimaha hadda culayska ku haya xidhiidhka Maraykanka iyo Ruushka waa hawl culus oo aan hal habeen la qaban doonin. Tani waxay noqon doontaa wakhti ku habboon in laga shaqeeyo hadafka wadajirka ah ee ka hortagga colaadaha hubaysan ee Ukraine iyo dagaal ballaaran.

Waxaa jira fursad iyo sidoo kale khatar ku jirta khilaafka hadda ee Ukraine. Qalalaasahan waxa uu maamulkaaga siinayaa fursad uu sare ugu qaado awooda suuban ee Maraykanka marka loo eego indhaha beesha caalamka. Ku Hoggaanka Diblomaasiyadda waxa ay si weyn kor ugu qaadi doontaa meeqaamka Maraykanku ku leeyahay adduunka.

Wixii Kooxda Hogaaminaya, Xirfadlayaasha Soodhiga ah ee Veteran Intelligence for Sanity

• William Binney, Agaasimihii hore ee Farsamada, Falanqaynta Juquraafiga & Milatariga Adduunka, NSA; la-aasaasaha, Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Automation-ka ee SIGINT (ret.)
• Marshall Carter-Tripp, Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda & Agaasime Qaybta hore ee Xafiiska Sirdoonka iyo Cilmi-baarista ee Waaxda Gobolka (ret.)
• Bogdan Dzakovic, Hogaamiyihii hore ee Kooxda ee Marshalada Hawada Federalka iyo Kooxda Cas, FAA Security (ret.)
• Graham E. Fuller, Guddoomiye-ku-xigeenka, Golaha Sirdoonka Qaranka (ret.)
• Robert M. Furukawa, Kabtan, Engineer Civil Corps, USNR (ret.)
• Philip Giraldi, CIA, Sarkaalka Hawlaha (ret.)
• Mike Gravel, Adjutant hore, sarkaal sare oo kantaroolka sirta ah, Adeegga Sirdoonka Isgaarsiinta; wakiilka gaarka ah ee Counter Intelligence Corps iyo Senator hore ee Maraykanka
• John Kiriakou, Sarkaalkii hore ee CIA-da ee La-dagaalanka Argagaxisada iyo Baaraha Sare ee hore, Guddiga Xidhiidhka Dibadda ee Senetka
• Karen Kwiatkowski, Lt. Col., Ciidanka Cirka ee Maraykanka (ret.), Xafiiska Xoghayaha Difaaca ee daawashada samaynta beenta Ciraaq, 2001-2003
• Edward Loomis, Saynisyahanka Kombiyuutarka Cryptologic ee NSA (ret.)
• Ray McGovern, Sarkaalkii hore ee ciidamada lugta / sirdoonka iyo xog-hayaha madaxweynaha CIA (ret.)
• Elizabeth Murray, Ku-xigeenkii hore ee Sarkaalka Sirdoonka Qaranka ee Bariga dhow & falanqeeye siyaasadeed CIA (ret.)
• Pedro Israa'iil Orta, Sarkaalka Hawlaha CIA & Falanqeeyaha; Kormeeraha IG ee Beesha Sirdoonka (ret.)
• Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, U doodaha Ciidanka Maraykanka (ret.)
• Scott Ritter, hore MAJ., USMC, hore ee Hubka Qaramada Midoobay, Ciraaq
• Coleen Rowley, Wakiilka Gaarka ah ee FBI-da iyo La-taliyahii hore ee Qaybta Sharciga ee Minneapolis (ret.)
• Kirk Wiebe, Falanqeeyaha Sare ee hore, Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Automation-ka SIGINT, NSA
• Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (ret.); Hay'adda Sirdoonka Difaaca (ret.)
• Robert Wing, Waaxda Arrimaha Dibadda ee Mareykanka, Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda (hore) (ViPs oo xiriir la leh)
• Ann Wright, Kornayl Kaydka Ciidanka Maraykanka (ret) iyo Diblomaasi hore oo Maraykan ah oo iska casilay 2003dii isagoo ka soo horjeeda Dagaalkii Ciraaq

Xirfadlayaasha Sirdoonka Ruug-caddaaga ee Sanity (VIPs) waxay ka kooban yihiin saraakiil hore oo sirdoon, diblomaasiyiin, saraakiil ciidan iyo shaqaale kongareeska. Ururka, oo la aasaasay 2002, ayaa ka mid ahaa dhaleeceeyayaasha ugu horreeya ee caddaynta Washington ee bilaabay dagaalka ka dhanka ah Ciraaq. VIPS waxay u doodaa siyaasada amniga dibada iyo qaranka ee maraykanka oo ku salaysan dano qaran oo dhab ah halkii ay ka ahaan lahayd hanjabaado la soo maleegay oo loo dalacsiiyay sababo siyaasadeed inta badan. Kaydka xusuusta VIPS ayaa laga heli karaa Consortiumnews.com.