By David Swanson, World BEYOND War, February 28, 2022
Sannadka 2019, Shirkadda RAND ee ka kooban Congress-ka Warshadaha Milliteriga ee Maraykanka "Sirdoonka" Aqoonta Warbaahinta "Fikirka" Complex Tank daabacay warbixin iyagoo sheeganaya inay sameeyeen "qiimayn tayo leh oo ah 'doorashooyinka kharashka-soo-saarka ah' ee aan dheellitirnayn oo kordhin kara Ruushka."
Halkan waxa ahayd mid ka mid ah "doorashooyinka qaaliga ah," mid uu diiday madaxweynaha Maraykanka Barack Obama, laakiin 2019, RAND waxay isku diyaarinaysay isbeddelka nidaamka guriga: " Bixinta gargaarka dilaaga ah ee Ukraine."
Marka taas la sameeyo, RAND waxay tidhi, "waxay ka faa'iidaysan doontaa meesha ugu weyn ee Ruushka ee nuglaanshaha dibadeed. Laakiin koror kasta oo ku yimaada hubka militariga Mareykanka iyo talada Ukraine waxay u baahan doontaa in si taxadar leh loo hagaajiyo si loo kordhiyo kharashka Russia si ay u sii wado ballanqaadkeeda jira iyada oo aan kicin khilaaf aad u ballaadhan oo Ruushku, sababtuna tahay u dhawaanshaha, uu yeelan doono faa'iidooyin muhiim ah. "
Ilaa hadda is-beddelku wuxuu u muuqdaa mid wanaagsan, maadaama "isku dhac aad u ballaaran" uusan weli dhicin. Laakiin Xubnaha Koongareeska/Baarlamaanka, iibiyaasha hubka, iyo dadka xiiseeya dareenka dareenka ayaa ku riixaya Mareykanka, quruumaha kale ee NATO, iyo Ruushka. Fikradda ah in si habboon loo "sixi karo" waxyaalahan ayaa la beeniyay kumanaan jeer. Kibirka nacaybka leh ee warbixinta RAND ee ku talinaysa kordhinta militariga iyo hanjabaadaha nukliyeerka ee Ruushka ayaa muujinaya sida dadka indhoolaha ah ay u noqon karaan khataraha ay abuurayaan.
Marka, haa, waa wax cajiib ah in si lama filaan ah warbaahinta shirkadaha Mareykanka ay uga soo horjeedaan dagaal iyo taageerada mudaaharaadyada, iyo iyagoo u damqanaya dhibbanayaasha. Mid ayaa laga yaabaa inuu u maleeyay in warbaahinta Maraykanku aysan awood u lahayn arrimahan oo kale sannadahan oo dhan iyo dhammaan dagaalladan. Laakiin xusuusnow in warbixinta dhawaaqa wanaagsan ee ku saabsan "ikhtiraacyada qiimaha badan" ay ahayd qorshe halis gelinaya dilka carruurta yaryar ee Ukraine.
Iyo, haa, tuugada dembiilayaasha ah ee maamula dawladda Ruushka iyo militariga, si yaab leh, ayaa mas'uul ka ah tuuganimada dembiilayaasha.
Xukuumadda Ukraine oo dooratay inay la kulanto rabshado rabshado wata, ka dib markii ay si weyn u bilowday kororka rabshadaha Donbass usbuucii hore, ayaa sidoo kale mas'uul ka ah taas.
Laakiin tillaabooyinka ay dawladda Maraykanka, dawladda Yukreeniyaan, iyo xulafada NATO ay qaadeen bilihii la soo dhaafay, sannadihii, iyo tobanaan sano si ay u gaaraan heerkan, diidmada in ay buuxiyaan shuruudaha macquulka ah ee Ruushka, militariga sii kordhaya - dawladahaas ayaa mas'uul ka ah waxyaalahaas sidoo kale.
Warbixinta RAND waxay rajaynaysay mudaaharaadyo aan rabshad lahayn oo ka dhaca Ruushka. In Ruushku hadda ka mudaaharaadyo dawladdooda fal-dambiyeedkii u dambeeyay ee ay RAND rajaynayso, macnaheedu maaha inay samaynayaan wax khaldan. Waxa kaliya oo ay la macno tahay in laga digtoonaado ku takri falka natiijada.
Haddii dawladda Maraykanku ay abaabuli karto afgambi ka dhacay Kyiv 2014, halkaas oo dadka caadiga ah ay sidoo kale lahaayeen - sida ay had iyo jeer sameeyaan - cabashooyinka sharciga ah, ka dibna taariikhdaas gebi ahaanba tirtirto siddeed sano gudahood, markaa waxay sidoo kale abaabuli kartaa natiijada kacaanka Ruushka. wax ay isku dayday inay ku guul-darraysatay 1919 oo ay isku dayaysay ilaa hadda - wax kale oo ay si wax ku ool ah uga tirtirtay buugaagta taariikhda.
