Imperial NATO: Kahor iyo Kadib Brexit

Waxaa qoray Joseph Gerson, Riyooyin guud

Danahayaga iyo badbaadadeenu waxay ku xidhan yihiin dibloomaasiyadda Amniga Guud halkii ay ka ahaan lahayd guul-darrooyinka soo noqnoqda ee dilaaga ah ee militariga

Jawaabtiisii ​​ugu horreysay ee uu dadweynaha ka bixiyo codbixinta Brexit ee gilgishay Yurub iyo inta badan adduunka, Madaxweyne Obama waxa uu damcay in uu niyadda u qaboojiyo Maraykanka iyo kuwa kale. Waxa uu nagu booriyay in aynaan u dhiibin miyir-qabka wuxuuna carrabka ku adkeeyay in NATO aysan la lumin Brexit. Isbahaysiga Trans-Atlantic, wuxuu xasuusiyay adduunka, waa uu sii jiraa.¹ Marka laga soo tago waxa laga yaabo inay noqdaan dhaqdhaqaaqa gaabis ah ee Midowga Yurub ee cadaadiska ka imanaya shakiga Euro, raadi Maraykanka iyo xulafada Yurub ee xulafada ah si ay u kordhiyaan ballanqaadkooda lixda iyo lixdan sano ee isbahaysiga NATO. Xasiloonida la soo saaray ee ka dhalatay qabsashadii Ruushka ee Crimea iyo faragelinta bariga Ukraine iyo cabsida laga qabo inay ka dhashaan dagaallada sii socda iyo masiibooyinka Bariga Dhexe waxay u adeegi doontaa inay NATO ka iibiso.

Laakiin, sida aan wajaheyno mustaqbalka, ama / ama fikirka iyo NATO waxay u baahan yihiin in laga tago. Sida xitaa Lataliyaha Amniga Qaranka ee Madaxweynaha Carter Zbigniew Brzezinski uu baray, tan iyo markii la aasaasay NATO waxay ahayd mashruuc boqortooyo ah.² Halkii aan abuuri lahayn dagaal qabow oo cusub, ba'an oo aad khatar u ah, danaheenna iyo badbaadadeenna waxay ku xiran tahay dibloomaasiyadda Amniga Guud.³ halkii ay ka ahaan lahayd guul-darrooyinka soo noqnoqda ee dilaaga ah ee militariga.

Tani macnaheedu maaha in indhaha laga qarsado weerarrada Putin ee xorta ah ee hadalka iyo dimoqraadiyadda, ama in Moscow ee saber-ka nukliyeerka ah iyo weerarrada internetka.⁴  Laakiin waxa ay la macno tahay in aan maanka ku hayno in Dublamaasiyadda Nabadgelyada Guud ay soo afjartay Dagaalkii Qaboobaa, in kasta oo uu Putin uu ahaa mid caburin iyo naxariis daran, haddana waxa uu xidhay Ruushka xilligii Yeltsin ee masiibada ahayd, waxaanu door muhiim ah ka qaatay ciribtirka hubka kiimikada ee Suuriya iyo P-5+1 heshiiska Nukliyeerka ee Iran. Waxaan sidoo kale u baahannahay inaan qirno in iyadoo labo milyan oo qof ay ku jiraan xabsiyada Mareykanka, oo ay ku jirto Guantanamo, isku duubnida dowladda Poland ee kali-taliska ah iyo boqortooyada Sacuudiga, iyo militariga “Pivot to Asia” ee Mareykanka uu hoggaamiyo adduun aan sidaas xor ahayn.

Fakarka eber-ku-jirka ah cidna dani uguma jirto. Waxa jira habab Ammaan Guud oo baddal u ah xiisadaha milatari ee sii kordhaya iyo khatarta ah ee maanta.

Waxaan ka soo horjeednaa NATO sababtoo ah xukunkeeda neo-gumeysiga ee Yurub inteeda badan, doorkeeda dagaalladii boqortooyadii iyo xukunkii, khatarta nukliyeerka ee jirta ee ay u leedahay badbaadada aadanaha, iyo sababtoo ah waxay ka leexisaa lacagaha adeegyada bulshada ee muhiimka ah, nolol maalmeedka Maraykanka iyo kuwa kale. quruumaha.

William Faulkner ayaa qoray in "wakhtiyadii hore aysan dhiman, in aysan xitaa dhaafin," runta ku soo celisa codka Brexit. Sida aynu u wajahno hadda iyo mustaqbalkaba waa in aynu ka war-helnaa masiibooyinka taariikhda. Bartamaha iyo Bariga Yurub quruumaha ay ku jiraan Poland waxaa qabsaday, xukumay oo dulmay Lithuanian, Iswidhish, Jarmal, Tataar, Cusmaaniyiin iyo Ruush - iyo sidoo kale dhul-goosadyo koray. Polandna waxay mar ahayd awoodda Imperial ee Ukraine.

Marka la eego taariikhdan iyo tixgelinno kale, waa waali in la halisgeliyo baabi'inta nukliyeerka si loo xoojiyo xuduudaha wakhti kasta. Iyo sidii aan ka baranay xallinta Amniga Guud ee Dagaalka Qabow, badbaadadeenu waxay ku xiran tahay caqabadaha fikirka amniga dhaqameed. Xiisadaha is-daba-jooga ee la socda xulafada militariga, tartanka hubka, dhismooyinka militariga-warshadaha iyo wadaniyad-jecleysiga ayaa looga gudbi karaa ballan-qaadyo is ixtiraam.

1913?

Waa xilli la mid ah sannadihii ka horreeyay dagaalkii koowaad ee adduunka. Adduunka waxaa lagu asteeyay kor u kaca iyo awoodaha sii dhacaya iyagoo ka walaacsan inay sii haystaan ​​ama ballaariyaan mudnaanta iyo awooddooda. Waxaan leenahay tartanka hubka oo leh tignoolajiyada cusub; wadaniyad soo laba kaclaynaysa, murano dhuleed, tartan kheyraad, qabanqaabada isbahaysiga adag, is dhexgalka dhaqaalaha iyo tartanka, iyo jilayaasha kaadhka duurjoogta ah oo uu ku jiro Xoghayaha Difaaca Mareykanka oo isu diyaarinaya shir madaxeedka NATO isagoo ku dayanaya filimada gaangistarrada isagoo leh "Waad isku daydaa wax kasta, waxaad tagi doontaa ka xumahay",⁵  iyo sidoo kale ciidamada garabka midig ee Maraykanka iyo Yurub oo dhan, iyo kuwa diinta jecel ee dilaaga ah.

Dhoolatuska militari ee NATO iyo Ruushka ayaa kor u qaadaya xiisadda militari ilaa heer uu wasiirkii hore ee gaashaandhigga Mareykanka Perry ka digay in dagaalka Nukliyeerka uu hadda aad uga badan yahay xilligii dagaalka qabow.⁶  Carl Conetta wuu saxnaa markii uu qoray "jawaabta militariga NATO" ee Ruushka ee Ukraine "waa tusaale fiican oo ah wareegyada falcelinta falcelinta." Moscow, ayuu sharaxay, waxaa ka maqan "rabitaanka is-dilka…⁷  Bishii hore Anaconda-2016, oo ay ku lug lahaayeen 31,000 oo ciidamada NATO ah - 14,000 oo ka mid ah halkan Poland - iyo ciidamo ka socda 24 waddan ayaa ahaa dagaalkii ugu weynaa ee bariga Yurub tan iyo dagaalkii qaboobaa.⁸  Bal qiyaas jawaabta Washington haddii Ruushka ama Shiinuhu ay ciyaar dagaal oo la mid ah ku qabteen xadka Mexico.

Marka la eego ballaarinta NATO ee xuduudaheeda; xarunteeda cusub ee farsamada ee Poland iyo Romania; kordhinta ciidankeeda iyo dhoolatuska milatari ee kicinta ah ee guud ahaan Bariga Yurub, gobolada Baltic-ga, Iskandaneefiyanka iyo Badda Madow, iyo sidoo kale Maraykanku afar jibaarmay kharashaadkiisa milatari ee Yurub, waa inaan la yaabin in Ruushku isku dayayo inuu "isku dheelitiro" NATO dhiso. Iyo, difaaca gantaalada ugu horreeya ee Washington ee Roomaaniya iyo Poland iyo sida ay ugu sarreyso hubka caadiga ah, tignoolajiyada sare iyo hawada sare, waa in aan ka nixnaa laakiin la yaab ma leh ku tiirsanaanta sare ee Moscow ee hubka nukliyeerka.

Annaga oo xasuusanayna cawaaqib xumadii ka dhalatay rasaastii uu qoriga gacan ku dhiiglaha ku riday magaalada Sarajevo qarni ka hor, waxa aanu haysanaa sabab aanu uga walaacno waxa dhici kara haddii askari Maraykan, Ruush ama Polish ah oo baqaya ama si xad dhaaf ah u gardaran, laga riixo xadkooda, cadho ama shil. ridaya gantaalka lidka diyaaradaha ee soo ridi kara Maraykanka, NATO ama diyaarad kale oo Ruush ah. Sida guddiga saddex geesoodka ah ee Yurub-Ruushka-Mareykanku uu ku soo gabagabeeyay jawiga is-aamin-darrada qoto dheer, kororka dhaqdhaqaaqyada militari ee suurtagalka ah ee cadawga ah ee u dhow - iyo gaar ahaan ciidamada cirka iyo dhaqdhaqaaqa badda ee Baltic iyo aagga Badda Madow - ayaa laga yaabaa. ay sababto shilal kale oo halis ah oo militari kuwaaso... waxay u horseedi kartaa xisaabin khaldan iyo/ama shilal oo ay u leexdaan siyaalo aan ku talo gal ahayn."⁹ Dadku waa dad. Shilalka ayaa dhaca. Nidaamyada waxaa loo dhisay inay ka jawaabaan - mararka qaarkood si toos ah.

Isbahaysiga Imperial

NATO waa isbahaysi boqortooyo ah. Marka laga soo tago hadafka macquulka ah ee ka kooban USSR, NATO waxay suurtagelisay in la mideeyo dawladaha Yurub, dhaqaalaha, militariga, tignoolajiyada iyo bulshooyinka nidaamyada uu Maraykanku xukumo. NATO waxay xaqiijisay gelitaanka Maraykanka ee saldhigyada milatari ee faragelinta Bariga Dhexe ee Weyn iyo Afrika. Iyo, sida Michael T. Glennon u qoray, dagaalkii 1999 ee ka dhanka ahaa Serbia, US iyo NATO "iyagoo wada hadal yar iyo xamaasad yar… nidaam aad uga dulqaad badan faragelinta milatariga laakiin leh xeerar adag oo degdeg ah. Markaa waa la fahmi karaa in Putin qaatay hal-ku-dhegga ah “Xeerar cusub ama xeer-la’aan, isaga oo u heellan kii hore.¹⁰

Tan iyo dagaalkii Serbia, oo ka soo horjeeda Axdiga Qaramada Midoobay, Maraykanka iyo NATO waxay ku duuleen Afgaanistaan ​​iyo Ciraaq, waxay burburiyeen Liibiya, siddeed waddan oo NATO ah ayaa hadda dagaal ku ah Suuriya. Laakiin waxaan haynaa qosolka Xoghayaha Guud ee NATO Stoltenberg isagoo leh ma jiri karo ganacsi sida caadiga ah ilaa Ruushku ixtiraamo sharciga caalamiga ah.¹¹

Xusuusnow in xoghayaha guud ee ugu horreeya ee NATO, Lord Ismay uu sharaxay in isbahaysiga loo qorsheeyay "in lagu ilaaliyo Jarmalka, Ruushka iyo Maraykanka", taas oo aan ahayn habka loo dhiso guri guud oo Yurub ah. Waxaa la abuuray ka hor Heshiiskii Warsaw, markii Ruushku uu weli ka sii xumaanayay burburkii Nazi. In kasta oo ay caddaalad-darro ahayd, heshiiskii Yalta ee Yurub u kala qaybiyey US iyo Soviet Sheres, waxa ay siyaasad-dejiyeyaasha Maraykanku u arkeen in uu yahay qiimihii lagu bixin lahaa Moscow markii ay ku kaxaysay ciidamadii Hitler bariga iyo badhtamaha Yurub. Taariikhda Napoleon, Kaiser iyo Hitler, aasaaska Maraykanku wuxuu fahmay in Stalin uu leeyahay sabab uu uga baqo duullaannada mustaqbalka ee Galbeedka. Maraykanku sidaas buu ku lug lahaa gumaysigii cadaadiska ahaa ee Moscow ee dalalka Bariga Yurub iyo Baltiga.

Mararka qaarkood madaxda "amniga qaranka" ee Maraykanka ayaa runta sheega. Zbigniew Brzezinski, oo hore u ahaan jiray Lataliyihii Amniga Qaranka ee Madaxweynihii hore ee Carter, ayaa daabacay qoraal uu ku qeexayo sida uu ugu yeeray "mashruuca Imperial" ee Mareykanka.¹² shaqeeya Juquraafi ahaan, wuxuu sharxay, xukunka dhulka wadnaha Eurasia waa lama huraan si uu u noqdo awooda adduunka ugu sareysa. Si loo maareeyo awoodda qasabka ah ee dhulka wadnaha Eurasia, sida "awoodda jasiiradda" ee aan ku taallo Eurasia, Maraykanku wuxuu u baahan yahay calaacalaha Eurasia ee galbeedka, koonfurta iyo bari ee hareeraheeda. Waxa Brzezinski ugu yeedhay "dawlad vassal" xulafada NATO, waxay suurtogal ka dhigaysaa" saamaynta siyaasadeed ee Maraykanka iyo awoodda milatari ee dhul weynaha Eurasia." Ka dib codbixinta Brexit, madaxda Mareykanka iyo kuwa Yurub waxay si aad ah ugu tiirsanaan doonaan NATO dadaalkooda ah inay Yurub isku hayaan oo ay xoojiyaan saameynta Mareykanka.

Waxaa jira wax ka badan isku dhafka dhulka Yurub, kheyraadka iyo teknoolojiyadda ee nidaamyada Mareykanka uu xukumo. Sida uu hadalka u dhigay Xoghayihii hore ee dagaalka Rumsfeld, marka la eego dhaqanka kala qaybinta iyo guumaysiga, isagoo ciyaaraya New (Bari iyo Bartamaha) Yurub oo ka dhan ah Yurubtii hore ee Galbeedka, Washington waxay ku guulaysatay Faransiiska, Jarmalka iyo Nederlaan taageeradii dagaalka lagu riday Saddam Hussein.

Iyo waxa xitaa New York Times uu ku tilmaamay "garabka midig, weerarka qaran ee warbaahinta iyo garsoorka dalka" iyo "ka-noqoshada qiyamka aasaasiga ah ee dimoqraadiyadda xorta ah" ee dawladda Kacynski, Maraykanku kama labalabayn samaynta Poland xarunta bari ee NATO.¹³  Hadalada Washington ee ku saabsan sida ay uga go'an tahay dimuqraadiyadda waxaa beeniyey taariikhda dheer ee ay ku taageerto kali-talisyada iyo maamullada cabudhinta ah ee Yurub, boqortooyooyinka sida Sucuudiga, iyo sidoo kale dagaalladii ay ku qabsatay Filibiin iyo Vietnam ilaa Ciraaq iyo Liibiya.

Sugitaanka Yurub ee Washington ayaa sidoo kale xoojisay qabsashada Koonfurta Eurasia ee hareeraheeda hodanka ah. Dagaallada NATO ee Afgaanistaan ​​iyo Bariga Dhexe waxay raacaan dhaqankii gumaystaha reer Yurub. Kahor qalalaasaha Ukraine, hagida istaraatiijiyadeed ee Pentagon-ka¹⁴ u xilsaaray NATO inay xaqiijiso gacan ku haynta kheyraadka macdanta iyo ganacsiga iyadoo la xoojinayo hareeraynta Shiinaha iyo sidoo kale Ruushka.¹⁵  Sidaa darteed NATO waxay qaadatay caqiidadeeda “hawlaha ka baxsan aagga”, taasoo ka dhigaysa waxa Xoghaye Kerry ku tilmaamay "hawlaha socdaal" ee Afrika, Bariga Dhexe, iyo wixii ka baxsan ujeedada koowaad ee isbahaysiga.¹⁶

Hawlgallada muhiimka ah ee "meel ka baxsan" ayaa ahaa dagaalka diyaaradaha aan duuliyaha lahayn ee Maraykanka oo ay ku jiraan liisaska dilaaga Obama iyo Maraykanka iyo NATO oo dilal qorshaysan oo ka baxsan garsoorka, kuwaas oo intooda badan galaaftay nolosha dad rayid ah. Middaani, iyaduna, way is beddeshay halkii ay meesha ka saari lahayd iska caabinta xagjirnimada iyo argagixisada. Shan iyo toban waddan oo NATO ka tirsan ayaa ka qaybqaata nidaamka isbahaysiga Ground Surveillance (AGS) oo laga maamulo saldhigga NATO ee Talyaaniga, iyada oo NATO ee Global Hawk dila diyaaradaha aan duuliyaha lahayn ee ka hawlgala saldhigga hawada ee Ramstein ee Jarmalka.¹⁷

Ukrain iyo NATO ee balaadhinta

Tiro sii kordheysa oo ah falanqeeyayaasha istiraatijiyadeed ee Mareykanka, oo uu ku jiro Taliyihii hore ee Taliyaha Istiraatiijiyada Istiraatijiyadeed ee Mareykanka General Lee Butler ayaa sheegay in dagaalkii qaboobaa ee Mareykanka ka dib "guuleysiga", ula dhaqmayo Ruushka sidii "serf la eryay," iyo ballaarinta NATO ee xudduudaha Ruushka inkastoo Heshiiskii Bush I-Gorbachev ayaa soo dadajiyay xiisadda militari ee cirka isku sii shareereysa ee maanta kala dhexeysa Ruushka.¹⁸ Ruushku ma soo dadajin xiisadda Ukraine. Balaadhinta NATO ee xuduudaha Ruushka, u magacaabista Ukraine sida waddan "hami leh" NATO, iyo horudhacyadii dagaalka Kosovo iyo Ciraaq mid kastaa wuxuu ciyaaray doorkiisa.

Tani maaha in la yiraahdo Putin waa mid aan waxba galabsan marka uu dib u soo nooleeyo dawladnimadiisa neo-Tsarist ee musuqmaasuqa ah iyo ololeyaal uu dib ugu soo celinayo saameynta siyaasadeed ee Ruushka ee "dibadda u dhow" iyo Yurub lafteeda, iyo sida uu dhaqaalaha iyo milatariga Ruushka u soo jiido Shiinaha. Laakin, dhankayaga, waxaan haynaa Xoghaye Kerry's Orwellian doublespeak. Waxa uu dhalleeceeyay "Falka gardarada yaabka leh" ee Moscow ee Ukraine, isagoo leh "ma aadan u dhaqmin qarniga 21-aad moodada qarniga 19aad adigoo ku duulaya waddan kale [si buuxda] qiil been ah."¹⁹  Afgaanistaan, Ciraaq, Suuriya, iyo Liibiya waa la waayay godka xusuusta!

Quwado waaweyn ayaa muddo dheer soo farageliyay Ukraine, tanina waxay ahayd kiiskii afgambiga Maidan. Hogaamiyihii afgambiga, Washington iyo EU waxay ku shubeen balaayiin doolar si ay u horumariyaan una kobciyaan xulafada Yukreeniyaan si ay jamhuuriyadii hore ee Soofiyeedka uga leexiyaan Moscow una jeediyaan Galbeedka. Kuwo badan ayaa illoobay ugu dambayntii EU-da ee dawladda Yanukovych ee musuqmaasuqa: Ukraine waxay qaadi kartaa tillaabooyinka soo socda ee xubinnimada EU-da oo keliya iyadoo gubaysa buundooyinkeeda Moscow, taas oo bariga Ukraine ay dhaqaale ahaan ku xidhan tahay tobanaan sano. Sida xiisadaha laga dhisay Kiev, Agaasimaha CIA Brennan, Kaaliyaha Xoghayaha Arrimaha Dibedda Victoria Nuland - oo caan ku ah "fuck EU" ixtiraam darada Washington ee vassals - iyo Senator McCain wuxuu u safray Maidan si uu u dhiirigeliyo kacaanka. Iyo, markii ay toogashadu bilaabantay, Maraykanka iyo Midowga Yurub waxay ku guuldaraysteen inay xulafadooda Ukraine ku qabtaan heshiiskii awood qaybsiga ee Abriil ee Geneva.

Xaqiiqdu waxay tahay in labadaba faragelinta siyaasadeed ee reer galbeedka iyo ku-daridda Ruushka ee Crimea ay ku xad-gudbeen Heshiiskii Budapest ee 1994, kaas oo ka go'ay awoodaha "ixtiraamka madaxbannaanida, madaxbannaanida iyo xuduudaha hadda jira ee Ukraine,"²⁰ iyo "in la iska ilaaliyo khatarta isticmaalka xoogga ee ka dhanka ah midnimada dhuleed ama madaxbannaanida siyaasadeed ee Ukraine." Maxay ahayd waxa uu Hitler ka yidhi heshiisyada inay yihiin xaashi uun iska xoor?

Maxaa inqilaabkii iyo dagaaladii sokeeye noo keenay? Mid ka mid ah oligarchs musuqmaasuq ah oo beddelaya mid kale.²¹ Dhimasho iyo rafaad. Xoogaga Faashiistaha ayaa mar la xulufo la ahaa Hitler hadda waa qayb ka mid ah madaxda talada dalka Ukrain, waxaana xoogaystay xoogaga mayalka adag ee Washington, Moscow iyo Yurub oo dhan.

Laga soo bilaabo horraantii, beddelka dhabta ah wuxuu ahaa abuurista Ukraine dhexdhexaad ah, oo ku xidhan dhaqaale ahaan EU iyo Ruushka labadaba.

NATO: Isbahaysiga Nukliyeerka

Ka sokow qalalaasaha Ukraine, waxaan hadda haysanaa ololaha Washington iyo NATO ee lagu ridayo kaligii-taliska Asad iyo faragelinta milatari ee Ruushka ee Suuriya si ay u xoojiyaan barriga dhexe ee millatari iyo siyaasad. Ruushku kama tagi doono Assad, oo dhaqan gelinta aagga duulimaadka ka caaggan ee Hillary Clinton u dooda waxay u baahan doontaa burburinta gantaallada lidka diyaaradaha ee Ruushka, taas oo khatar gelinaysa kororka millatari.

Ukraine iyo Suuriya waxay ina xusuusinayaan in NATO ay tahay isbahaysi Nukliyeer ah, iyo in khatarta ka dhalan karta is-weydaarsiga nukliyeerka ee masiibada ah aysan meesha ka bixin dhammaadka dagaalkii qaboobaa. Mar labaad waxaan maqalnaa waallida ah in "NATO aysan awoodi doonin inay ka tagto waxyaallaha hubka caadiga ah" iyo "in la aamini karo ay ku lug leedahay hubka nukliyeerka ..."²²

Intee ayay le'eg tahay khatarta nukliyeerka? Putin wuxuu noo sheegay in uu tixgeliyey suurtagalnimada isticmaalka hubka nukliyeerka si loo xoojiyo gacan ku haynta Ruushka ee Crimea. Sidoo kale, Daniel Ellsberg ayaa sheegay in ciidamada Nukliyeerka ee Mareykanka iyo Ruushka ay ku jireen feejignaan heer sare ah marxaladihii hore ee xiisadda Ukraine.²³

Saaxiibayaal, waxaa naloo sheegay in hubka Nukliyeerka ee Mareykanka loo daabulay kaliya si looga hortago weerarrada nukliyeerka ah ee suurtagalka ah. Laakiin, sida uu Bush-ka yar Pentagon-ku u sheegay caalamka, ujeeddadooda koowaad waa in ay ka hortagaan ummadaha kale in ay qaadaan tallaabooyin lid ku ah danaha Maraykanka.²⁴ Tan iyo markii ugu horeysay ee la geeyay, hubkan ayaa loo isticmaalay wax ka badan kahortaga qadiimiga.

Xoghayihii hore ee dagaalka Harold Brown ayaa ka marag kacay inay u adeegaan ujeedo kale. Hubka nukliyeerka, ayuu marqaati ka noqday, ciidamada caadiga ah ee Maraykanku waxay noqdeen "qalab macno leh oo militari iyo awood siyaasadeed." Noam Chomsky wuxuu sharaxay in tani ay la macno tahay "waxaan ku guuleysanay inaan si ku filan u cabsi gelino qof kasta oo gacan ka geysan kara ilaalinta dadka aan go'aansanay inaan weerarno."²⁵

Laga bilaabo qalalaasaha Iran ee 1946 - ka hor Midowga Soofiyeeti wuxuu ahaa quwad nukliyeer ah - iyada oo loo marayo Bush-Obama "dhammaan xulashooyinka ayaa miiska saaran" hanjabaadaha Iran, hubka nukliyeerka ee Yurub ayaa u adeegay sidii ugu dambeyntii xoojinta Bariga Dhexe ee Maraykanka. Hubka Nukliyeerka ee Maraykanka ee Yurub ayaa la galiyay heegan intii lagu jiray abaabulkii Nixon ee "waalan" ee abaabulka nukliyeerka si uu u cabsi geliyo Vietnam, Ruushka iyo Shiinaha, waxayna u badan tahay in la geliyey heegan intii lagu jiray dagaalladii iyo xasaradaha kale ee Aasiya.²⁶

Hubka nukliyeerka ee NATO wuxuu u adeegaa ujeedo kale: ka hortagga "isku-dhafka" ee Maraykanka. Intii lagu jiray shirkii Lisbon ee 2010, si loo xaddido ikhtiyaarrada waddamada xubnaha ka ah NATO, "mas'uuliyadda si ballaaran loo wadaago ee keenista iyo taageerada hawlgalka" ee diyaarinta dagaalka nukliyeerka ayaa dib loo xaqiijiyay. Wax badan, waxaa lagu dhawaaqay in "Isbeddel kasta oo siyaasaddan ah, oo ay ku jiraan qaybinta juqraafi ee geynta nukliyeerka NATO ee Yurub, waa in la sameeyaa ... Isbahaysiga guud ahaan… iyo wadaagista khatarta ah.”²⁷  Hadda, habeenkii shirwaynaha NATO iyo geynta cusub ee B-61-12 madaxyada nukliyeerka ee Yurub, General Breedlove, ilaa dhowaan Taliyaha ugu sarreeya ee NATO, wuxuu ku adkaystay in Maraykanku uu kor u qaado jimicsiga nukliyeerka ee xulafadiisa NATO si ay u muujiyaan. "xalintooda iyo kartidooda"²⁸

Badalka Amniga Guud ee NATO

Sxb, taarikhda waa la guuraa, siyaasadda dawladnimadana waxa beddela cudud dadwayne oo hoos ka soo jeeda. Taasi waa sida aan ugu guulaysanay xuquuqaha madaniga ah ee Maraykanka, waxay keentay Congress-ka inuu joojiyo maalgelinta dagaalka Vietnam, si wadajir ah ayaan Reagan ku qasabnay inuu bilaabo gorgortanka hub ka dhigista ee Gorbachev. Waa sidii darbigii Baarliin loo jebiyey, gumaysigii Soofiyeetina loogu celiyey qashinka taariikhda.

Caqabadda aan wajaheyno waa in aan ka jawaabno Imperialism-ka NATO iyo khatarta sii kordheysa ee dagaalka awoodda weyn ee male-awaalka iyo degdegga ah ee loo baahan yahay waqtigeena. Poland iyo Ruushka midkoodna Washington iyo Moscow kuma noolaan doonaan is-waafajin waqti dhow dhow, laakiin Ammaanka Guud wuxuu bixiyaa waddo loo maro mustaqbalkan.

Nabadgelyada Guud waxa ay aqbashaa runta soo jireenka ah ee ah in qof ama ummad aanay ammaan heli karin haddii ficilladooda u horseedo deriskooda ama kuwa ay xafiiltamaan in ay noqdaan kuwo cabsi badan iyo ammaan darro. Xilligii ugu sarreeyay dagaalkii qaboobaa, markii 30,000 ee hubka nukliyeerka ah ay halis galiyeen apocalypse, Ra'iisul Wasaaraha Sweden Palme ayaa isu keenay hogaamiyayaal Maraykan ah, Yurub iyo Soofiyeedka si ay u sahamiyaan siyaabaha looga soo laaban karo qarka.²⁹ Amniga guud ayaa jawaabtooda ahaa. Waxay horseedday gorgortanka Heshiiskii Ciidamada Nukliyeerka ee Dhex-dhexaadka ahaa, kaas oo si habsami leh u soo afjaray Dagaalkii Qabow ee 1987.

Nuxur ahaan, qolo waliba waxay magacawdaa waxa kan kale samaynayo ee cabsida iyo ammaan-darrada keenaysa. Qolada labaadna sidaas oo kale ayay sameeyaan. Dabadeed, wada xaajoodyada adag, dublamaasiyiintu waxay gartaan ficillada dhinac kastaa wuxuu qaadi karaa tillaabooyin uu ku yareynayo cabsida kan kale iyada oo aan la wiiqin amniga dalkooda. Sida Reiner Braun u sharaxay, waxay u baahan tahay in "danta dadka kale loo arko inay yihiin kuwo sharci ah oo ay tahay in lagu tixgaliyo habka go'aan gaarista [qofka] Waxay ka dhigan tahay in si nabad ah lagu xalliyo khilaafaadka. Nabadgelyada waxa lagu heli karaa in la is kaashado ama mayaba.”³⁰

Sidee ayuu u ekaan karaa amarka Amniga Guud? Wada xaajoodyada lagu abuurayo Ukraine dhexdhexaad ah oo leh madax-bannaani goboleed oo gobolladeeda ah iyo xiriirka dhaqaale ee Ruushka iyo Galbeedka labadaba waxay soo afjarayaan dagaalkaas waxayna abuurayaan aasaas ammaan ah oo hagaajinaya xiriirka Yurub iyo Ruushka iyo ka dhexeeya quwadaha waaweyn. Komishanka Goynta Deep waxay ku talinayaan in kor u qaadida doorka OSCE ay tahay "Madal-ka kaliya ee dhinacyo badan leh ee wada-hadallada ku saabsan arrimaha amniga khuseeya ay dib u bilaabi karaan oo ay tahay in dib loo bilaabo."³¹  Waqtiga waa in la beddelaa NATO. Talooyinka kale ee Guddiga Goynta Deep waxaa ka mid ah:

• In mudnaan la siiyo wada-xaajoodyada Maraykanka iyo Ruushka si loo xakameeyo oo wax looga qabto isu-ururinta xooggan ee militariga iyo xiisadaha milateri ee aagga Baltic.
• "[P] soo celinta dhacdooyinka millatariga ee khatarta ah iyadoo la samaynayo xeerar gaar ah oo dhaqan ah… iyo soo noolaynta wadahadal ku saabsan tallaabooyinka yaraynta khatarta nukliyeerka."
• Maraykanka iyo Ruushka waxay go'aansadeen inay xalliyaan khilaafaadkooda u hoggaansanaanta heshiiska INF iyo baabi'inta khatarta sii kordheysa ee horumarinta gantaallada maraakiibta ee hubka nukliyeerka iyo geynta.
• Wax ka qabashada khatarta sii kordheysa ee hubka istaraatiijiyadeed ee hyper-sonic.

Iyo, iyadoo komishanku ku baaqayo in la xakameeyo casriyeynta hubka nukliyeerka, si cad hadafkeenu waa inuu noqdaa soo afjarida horumarinta iyo geynta hubkan omnicidal.

Kharashaadka milatariga oo yaraada, Amniga Guud waxa kale oo uu ka dhigan yahay badbaado dhaqaale oo weyn, oo leh lacag badan adeegyada bulshada lagama maarmaanka ah, si loo xakameeyo loogana beddelo burburka isbeddelka cimilada, iyo maalgashiga kaabayaasha qarniga 21aad.

Adduunyo kale, runtii waa suurtagal. Maya NATO. Maya dagaal! Socdaalkeena kun mayl wuxuu ku bilaabmayaa talaabooyinkeena kali ah.

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1. http://www.npr.org/2016/06/28/483768326/obama-cautions-against-hysteria-over-brexit-vote

2. Zbigniew Brzezinski. The Grand Chessboard, Buugaagta aasaasiga ah, New York: 1997.

3. Guddiga Madaxa Banaan ee Hub ka dhigista iyo Arrimaha Amniga. Ammaanka Guud: Naqshad Badbaadada. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1982. Guddiga, oo uu hindisay Ra'iisul Wasaarihii Palme ee Iswidhan, wuxuu isu keenay dadkii hormuudka ka ahaa Midowga Soofiyeeti, Yurub iyo Mareykanka xilligii dagaalkii qaboobaa. Beddelkooda Amniga Guud ayaa bixiyay jaantuskii horseeday gorgortanka Heshiiskii Ciidamada Nukliyeerka ee Dhex-dhexaadka ahaa kaas oo si rasmi ah u soo afjaray dagaalkii qaboobaa ee 1987, ka hor inta uusan dumin darbigii Berlin iyo soo jeedintii Midowga Soofiyeeti.

4. David Sanger. "Sida Weerarkii Hackers-ka Ruushka, NATO Ma Lahan Istaraatiijiyad Caytareedka Cad", New York Times, Juun 17, 2016

5. http://www.defense.gov/News/News-Transcripts/Transcript-View/Article/788073/remarks-by-secretary-carter-at-a-troop-event-at-fort-huachuca-arizona

6. William J. Perry. Socdaalkeyga Nuclear-ka, Stanford: Jaamacadda Stanford Press, 2015.
7. Carl Connetta. Blog, "KOR U QAADAY"
8. Alex Dubal Smith. "Wadamada Nato ayaa bilaabay ciyaarta ugu weyn ee bariga Yurub tan iyo dagaalkii qaboobaa." The Guardian, June 7, 2016
9. "Dib ugu noqoshada Qarka: Xakamaynta iyo wadahadalka u dhexeeya Ruushka iyo Galbeedka", Machadka Brookings: Washington, DC, Juun, 2016, http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2016/06/russia-west-nato-restraint-dialogue
10. Michael J. Glennon. "Raadinta Sharci Caalimi ah oo Xaq ah" Arrimaha Dibadda, May/June, 1999,https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/1999-05-01/new-interventionism-search-just-international-law ;https://marknesop.wordpress.com/2014/12/07/new-rules-or-no-rules-putin-defies-the-newworld-order/

11. Carter on NATO vs. Russia: 'Waxaad isku daydaa wax kasta, waxaad u socotaa inaad ka xumaato', PJ Media, June 1, 2016,https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/2016/06/01/carter-on-nato-vs-russia-you-try-anything-youre-going-to-be-sorry/

12. Zbigniew Brzezinski. Op Cit.

13. "Poland way ka leexatay Dimuqraadiyadda" Tifaftirka hogaaminta, New York Times, Janaayo 13, 2016/

14. John Pilger. Dagaalkii Adduunka waa Beckoning", Counterpunch, http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/05/14/a-world-war-is-beckoning

15. Joogteynta Hogaaminta Caalamiga ah ee Maraykanka: Mudnaanta Difaaca Qarniga 21aad, Janaayo, 2012.http://www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf

16. John Kerry. "Odhaahda golaha Atlantic ee ku wajahan shirka Yurub oo dhan iyo xorta ah", Abriil 29, 2014,http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2014/04/225380.htm

17. Nigel Chamberlain, "NATO Drones: the 'game changers" NATO Watch, Sept. 26, 2013.

18. https://www.publicintegrity.org/2016/05/27/19731/former-senior-us-general-again-calls-abolishing-nuclear-forces-he-once-commanded" Neil MacFarquhar. "Lagu caayo, la ixtiraamo, oo weli ku loolamayo Ruushka inuu horumariyo", Waqtiyada Caalamiga ah ee New York, Juun 2. 18 http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/policy-budget/policy/2016/04/11/business-usual-russia-unlikely-nato-leader-says/82902184/

19. John Kerry. Kerry oo ka hadlaya Ruushka: "Kaliya ha ku duulin" waddan kale "si gebi ahaanba been abuur ah", Salon.com,http://www.salon.com/2014/03/02/kerry_on_russia_you_just_dont_invade_another_country_on_a_completely_trumped_up_pretext/

20. Jeffrey. "Ukrayn iyo 1994 Budapest Memorandum", http://armscontrolwonk.com, 29 Abriil, 2014.

21. Andrew E. Karmer. "Waxaa loo doortay dib-u-habayn, Hogaamiyayaasha Ukraine waxay la halgamayaan Dhaxalka Musuqmaasuqa." New York Times, Juun 7, 2016

22. Bern Riegert. Op Cit.

23. Daniel Ellsberg, talk in Cambridge, Massachusetts, May 13, 2014. Ellsberg wuxuu ahaa qorsheeye sare oo Maraykan ah oo u qaabilsanaa dagaalka Nukliyeerka ee maamuladii Kennedy, Johnson iyo Nixon ka hor inta uusan Pentagon-ka u sheegin taariikhda sirta ah ee go'aanka Vietnam

24. Wasaaradda Gaashaandhigga. Caqiidada loogu talagalay hawlgallada wadajirka ah ee Nukliyeerka, Daabacaadda Wadajirka ah 3-12, 15 Maarso, 2015

25. Yuusuf Gerson, Op Cit. p. 31

26. Ibid. Bogga 37-38

27. “NATO 2020: ammaan la xaqiijiyey; ka qaybgalka firfircoon", May 17, 2010, http://www.nato.int/strategic-concept/strategic-concept-report.html

28. Philip M. Breedlove. "Xeerka xiga ee NATO: sida loola tacaalo Ruushka iyo hanjabaadaha kale", Arrimaha Dibadda, Luulyo/Ogosto, 2016

29. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2016/06/21-back-brink-dialogue-restraint-russia-west-nato-pifer/deep-cuts-commission-third-report-june-2016.pdf

30. Reiner Braun. Kulanka Caalamiga ah, 2014 Shirweynaha Adduunka ee ka dhanka ah Atomic & Hydrogen Bombs, Hiroshima, Ogosto 2, 2014.

31. "Dib uga noqo qarka" op. cidi