Waxaa qoray Marcy Winograd iyo Wei Yu, Maarso 31, 2023
Marcy Winograd waa Isuduwaha CODEPINK Congress waxayna u adeegtaa sidii la-guddoomiyaha Nabadda ee Isbahaysiga Ukraine. Wei Yu waa Isuduwaha CODEPINK ee "Shiinuhu maaha cadawgeena"
Marka Pentagon-ka uu kor u kaco ciyaaraha dagaalka ee Aasiya Pacific, Wararka Difaaca ayaa sheegaya in Ciidanka Mareykanka uu leeyahay a dhibaato saadka iyada oo la dagaallama mustaqbalka Shiinaha: qalab aad u badan oo laga soo raro "fort to deked" -iyo dekedo badan oo ku yaal Pacific-ga, kuwaas oo ka soo horjeeda cibaadada internetka sida Shiinaha laga yaabo inay carqaladeeyaan weerar qorsheysan ama ay bilaabaan weerar ka hortag ah oo waxtar leh. .
Sidaa darteed, kursiga dambe ee waaxda dagaalka - Wasaaradda Arrimaha Dibadda ee Mareykanka - waxay ka shaqeyneysaa saacadaha dheeraadka ah si ay uga faa'iideysato asxaabta mustaqbalka (si fiican, ugu yaraan cadawga) gobolka, oo u dhow xadka Shiinaha.
Ku-xigeenka Xoghayaha Dawladda Victoria Nuland - neoconservative-ka kaas oo 2014 ka dhigay macmacaanka fagaaraha Maidan ee Ukraine, ka dibna shirqoolay Dowladda ku meel gaarka ah ee Ukraine- dhawaan booqday Waddamada Koonfurta Aasiya ee Sri Lanka iyo Nepal waxa ay dhaleecayntu tuhunsan yihiin inay u diyaar garoobayaan dagaal kale oo wakiilnimo oo Mareykan ah - kan Shiinaha ee mustaqbalka Taiwan.
Nuland miyuusan akhriyin War-murtiyeedka Shanghai?
1972, saddex sano ka hor inta aanu Maraykanku ka tagin Vietnam, askartii ku dhegganayd helikabtarrada helikobtarrada ah ee dalka ka baxay, Madaxweyne Richard Nixon iyo Shiinaha Mao Tse Tung ayaa saxeexay war-murtiyeedka Shanghai iyaga oo qiraya "waxaa jira hal Shiine oo keliya" - iyo hal Shiine. waxay ahayd Jamhuuriyadda Dadka ee Shiinaha, ee ma ahayn jasiiradda Taiwan, halkaas oo shuuci-diidka iyo burcad-badeedda ay u carareen ka dib markii ay ku guuldareysteen dagaalkii sokeeye.
Iyada oo la socota isbahaysiga Asia ee Nuland ee sanadkan, Agaasimaha CIA Willliam Burns ayaa si qarsoodi ah ugu duulay Sri Lanka, taas oo ka careysiisay hogaamiyaha Xisbiga Shuuciga ee Sri Lanka (CPSL), ayaa sheegay in Gubashadu waxay u joogtay si ay u fududayso "ku deeqida nidaamka xakamaynta socdaalka biometric, bixinta helitaanka fiilooyinka isgaarsiinta badda hoosteeda iyo xogta, iyo dib u eegista Heshiiska Ciidamada (SOFA)."
Aan dib u soo kabno.
2019, US iyo Sri Lanka ayaa lagu wadaa inay dib u cusboonaysiiyaan Heshiiska Ciidamada (SOFA), oo la saxeexay 1995 si loogu ogolaado Maraykanka inuu ciidamo ka dhigo Sri Lanka. Laakiin cusboonaysiinta dharbaaxo ku dhufatey Markii Maraykanku sheegay inay rabaan wax-ku-kordhin, oo ay ku jiraan dammaanad qoran oo Sri Lanka ah waxay siinaysaa millatariga Maraykanka si aan xaddidnayn inay galaan xarumaha millatariga ee Sri Lanka, iyo sidoo kale xasaanad diblomaasiyadeed haddii ay wax qaldamaan.
Dhaleeceyntu waxay sheegeen in dammaanad qaadka noocaas ah ay awood u yeelan doonaan ciidamada Mareykanka xukun bilaash ah Sri Lanka, oo ku raaxaysanaya ka-dhaafitaannada xitaa Madaxweynaha Sri Lanka iyo Jeneraallada kuma raaxaystaan–oo si macquul ah u beddelaan saldhigyada millatariga Sri Lanka saldhigyada millatariga Mareykanka.
Ama waxaa laga yaabaa - in ay tageen xanta - Burns ayaa u yimid si ay u soo jeediyaan Sri Lanka inay soo dhaweeyaan saldhig milatari oo Maraykan ah, kaas oo khatar gelin kara wasakheynta dhulka iyo biyaha ee jasiirad qurux badan. Kaymo, dhul-qoyan iyo xeebo, Sri Lanka waxay ku raaxaysataa magaca qaranka oo leh kala duwanaanshaha noole ee ugu weyn aag kasta oo Aasiya ah.
Yaa leh wadnaha inuu u rogo gurigan jannada in ka badan 200 nooc oo balanbaalisooyin ah, 200 oo shacaab adag ah, iyo 3,000 oo dhir ubaxeed ah–oo loo rogo dagaal wakiil ah oo lagu duqeeyo goob dagaal?
Booqashadiisa Sri Lanka, Burns wuxuu sidoo kale qorsheeyay inuu u safro Nepal - oo ah waddan xuduud la leh Shiinaha iyo Hindiya - illaa ay dowladda Nepal wajaheyso doorashooyin muhiim ah. u diiday In la taabto, oo la yiraahdo booqasho ogeysiis gaaban oo noocaas ah waxay dejinaysaa tusaale khatar ah.
Goobta uu ku dhashay Buddha nabdoon, Nepal waxa ay kortay jiilal beeraley ah oo maciishada kuwaas oo badbaadada iyo dhaxalka ay ka soo jeedaan dhulka.
Labada Sri Lanka iyo Nepal waa qayb ka mid ah waxa Wasaaradda Difaaca ugu yeertay Gobolka Indo-Asia-Pacific, oo ay ku jiraan Badweynta Hindiya iyo Badweynta Baasifigga.
Sidoo kale, Sri Lanka iyo Nepal labaduba waxay dhexda uga jiraan colaad juqraafiyeed oo salka ku haysa haybad-u-helka caalamiga ah taas oo u dhaxaysa Maraykanka iyo Shiinaha, oo ah dhoofinta ugu weyn adduunka, mulkiilaha trillion dollar oo deynta Maraykanka ah iyo nabad-doonka dhawaan ka dhexeeya Iran iyo Saudi Arabia.
Si aad saaxiibo ugu guuleysato Nepal, halkaas oo rubuc ka mid ah waddanku ay ku nool yihiin meel ka hooseysa khadka faqriga, Wasaaradda Arrimaha Dibadda ee 2017 ayaa ballan qaaday $ 500 million ee kaalmada dhaqaale ee hoos timaada Millennium Challenge Corporation Compact (MCCC). Maraykanku wuxuu ku adkaystay in lacagtan, oo loogu talagalay mashaariicda koronto-siinta iyo dhaqaalaha gaarka loo leeyahay, aan lagu xidhi doonin qorshaha saldhigga milatari ee Maraykanku ku leeyahay Nepal.
Shiinuhu, si kastaba ha ahaatee, waxa uu ka soo horjeedaa xidhiidhka dhaqaale ee Nepal uu la leeyahay Maraykanka oo ah isku day dhabarka ah oo lagu doonayo in lagu khalkhal geliyo Shiinaha oo taageero u raadiyo gardarrada Maraykanka ee gobolka.
Maraykanku wuxuu u baahnaan lahaa wax ka badan dubbe dhaqaale si uu u dhexeeyo Nepal iyo Shiinaha.
Tan iyo wakhtiyadii hore, Shiinaha iyo Nepal waxay ku raaxaysanayeen ka ganacsiga badeecadaha sida milixda, dhirta daawooyinka iyo dunta. Sannadkii 1960kii, waxay si rasmi ah u saxeexeen xidhiidhkaas Heshiiskii Nabadda iyo Saaxiibtinimada ee Sino-Nepalese. Tan iyo markaas, Nepal waxay saxiixday heshiisyo qiimo leh $ 2 bilyan iyada oo Shiinaha laga fulinayo mashaariic dhowr ah, oo ay ku jiraan wax-soo-saarka sibidhka, dhirta korontada dhalisa iyo beerista miraha.
Weli, bishii Febraayo safiirka Mareykanka ee Nepal Randy Berry ayaa u sheegay Taliska Ciidanka Nepal iyo Kulliyada Shaqaalaha ee Kathmandu – albaabka laga galo buuraha Himalaya, halkaas oo soohdinta Shiinaha iyo Nepal ay la wadaagto - in Mareykanku uu taageerayo xoojinta ciidamada 6,000 ee ciidamada Nepal.
Muxuu Berry u muujin lahaa rabitaankaas ilaa Maraykanku uu bangiga ka bixinayo daacadnimada Nepal ee dagaalka milatari ee Shiinaha?
Iyada oo la filayo iska horimaad militari, Madaxweynaha Biden miisaaniyadiisa 2024 wuxuu u qoondeeyay $ 9 bilyan oo loogu talagalay Hindisaha Indo-Pacific Deterrence Initiative, Waaxda Difaaca ayaa riixeysa si loo xoojiyo xulafada gobolka - Japan, South Korea, Filibiin, Australia iyo Thailand - waxa Pentagon ugu yeero shabakad si ay u xoojiso nidaamka ku salaysan xeerarka caalamiga ah.
Shiinaha, si kastaba ha ahaatee, wuxuu hindisaha ku tilmaamay isbahaysi la mid ah NATO.
Ma adka in la fahmo sababta Shiinuhu uga soo horjeedo heshiiskaas.
Maraykanku waxa uu hore u lahaa 250 saldhigyo milatari oo ku hareeraysan Shiinaha.
Shiinuhu wax ciidan ah kuma laha cirifka Galbeed.
Dhawr jeer ayuu madaxweyne Biden sheegay in Maraykanku uu faragelin milatari ku samayn doono si uu "ka difaaco" Taiwan oo ka soo horjeeda la midoobida Shiinaha, sannadkii horena waxa uu saxeexay sharci lagu soo rari karo 10 bilyan oo doolar oo hub ah Taiwan.
Qofna ma dhayalsan karo khatarta halkan.
Sannadka 2021-ka, warqadaha Pentagon-ka ayaa sir ku sheegay Daniel Ellsberg dukumeenti qarsoodi ah oo la sii daayay taas oo muujinaysa in 1958-kii Pentagon-ku uu riixay in uu weeraro Nukliyeer ah oo lagu qaado Shiinaha si loo xakameeyo Gacan-biyoodka Taiwan-taasi inkastoo la saadaaliyay in malaayiin ay dhiman doonaan haddii Midowga Soofiyeeti uu ka aarguto.
Marinka Taiwan, oo qayb ka ah badda Koonfurta Shiinaha, ayaa leh muhiimad dhaqaale oo istaraatiiji ah iyadoo maraakiibta ganacsi ee ka imaanaya adduunka oo dhan ay u maraan biyahooda dekedaha Waqooyi Bari Aasiya. Titannada saliidda iyo gaaska ayaa sidoo kale isha ku haya kaydka badda -11 bilyan oo barmiil oo saliid ah iyo 190 trillion cubic feet oo gaas dabiici ah, sida laga soo xigtay Maamulka Macluumaadka Tamarta Maraykanka, taas oo soo jeedinaysa in badan oo kaarboon ah oo aan la ogaan.
Intaa waxaa dheer, marin biyoodka Taiwan waa mid istiraatiiji ah oo istiraatiiji ah, maadaama Taiwan ay ka dhigan tahay xiriir muhiim ah oo ku saabsan waxa Pentagon-ka uu muddo dheer u aqoonsaday "silsiladda jasiiradda ugu horreysa" ee difaaceeda ka dhanka ah Ruushka iyo Shiinaha, oo ah laba waddan oo kale oo hubka nukliyeerka ah oo isbahaysigooda ah. waxay caqabad ku tahay xukunka Maraykanka ee caalamka.
Dhagaysigii ugu dambeeyay ee kongareeska, Gudoomiyaha Taliyaasha Wadajirka ah ee Shaqaalaha Mark Milley difaacay Madaxweyne Biden waxa uu codsaday 842 bilyan oo doolar miisaniyad milatari – waa tii abid ugu badnayd, isaga oo sheegay in Maraykanku uu u diyaar garoobo dagaal uu la galo Shiinaha si looga hortago dagaal uu la galo Shiinaha.
Milley waxa uu qirtay in uu laba dagaal oo isku mid ah la galay Ruushka, kan kalena uu la galay Shiinaha Taiwan, balse waxa uu ku adkaystay in Maraykanku uu sii wado hubaynta Ukraine oo uu ku maal galiyo sidii uu u sii ahaan lahaa dalka ugu awooda badan dhulka.
Markhaatifurka Milley wuxuu daba socdaa General Michael Minihan's ee Ciidanka Cirka ee Mareykanka digniinta in dagaalka Shiinaha uu noqon karo laba sano.
Sidaa darteed, dhaqdhaqaaqa nabada caalamiga ah - oo ka jabay dagaalka Ukraine - wuxuu lahaan karaa wax yar oo laba sano ah si looga hortago waallida militariga Mareykanka ee bariga Pacific.
Hadda in ka badan abid - sida khatarta dagaalka nukliyeerka - waxaan u baahanahay inaan xasuusano ereyada xigmadda leh ee Buddha, "Qofna na badbaadiya nafteena mooyee."
