Labaatan sarkaal oo hore uga tirsanaan jiray sirdoonka Maraykanka ayaa ku booriyay madaxweyne Trump inuu dib u eego sheegashadiisa uu ku eedeeyay dowladda Suuriya dhimashada kiimikada ee Idlib iyo inuu ka laabto xiisadda khatarta ah ee uu kala dhexeeyo Ruushka.
XUSUUS KU SAABSAN: Madaxweynaha
KA: Xirfadlayaasha Sirdoonka Ruug-caddaaga ee Sanity (VIPS)*, Consortiumnews.com.
Mawduuca: Suuriya: Runtii ma waxay ahayd "Weerar Hubka Kiimikada ah"?
1 - Waxaan u qoreynaa inaan ku siino digniin aan caddayn oo ku saabsan khatarta colaadaha hubaysan ee Ruushka - oo leh khatarta sii kordheysa dagaalka nukliyeerka. Khatarta ayaa kor u kacday kadib weerarkii gantaalaha nooca loo yaqaano Cruise-ka ee lagu qaaday Suuriya iyadoo laga aargoosanayo waxa aad sheegtay in uu ahaa "Weerarkii Hubka Kiimikada" ee 4-tii Abriil lagu qaaday rayidka Suuriyaanka ah ee ku sugan Koonfurta Gobolka Idlib.
Madaxweyne Trump oo shir jaraa’id la yeeshay Boqorka Jordan Boqor Cabdallaha Labaad 5-tii April 2017, kulankaas oo uu Madaxweynuhu kaga hadlay qalalaasaha Suuriya. (Shaashada laga soo toogtay whitehouse.gov)
2 – Xiriiro aan la sameynay ciidamada Mareykanka ee aaggaas ayaa noo sheegay in aysan taasi dhicin. Ma jirin Suuriya "weerara hubka kiimikada." Taa beddelkeeda, diyaarad Suuriyaan ah ayaa duqeysay bakhaar rasaasta al-Qaacida-in-Suuriya oo isu beddeshay inay ka buuxaan kiimikooyin waxyeello leh iyo dabayl xooggan ayaa afuufay daruur kiimiko ku raran tahay oo dulmartay tuulo u dhow halkaas oo dad badan ay ku dhinteen.
3 - Tani waa wixii ay Ruushka iyo Suuriya lahaayeen - oo ka sii muhiimsan - waxa ay u muuqdaan inay rumaysteen inay dhaceen.
4 – Ma waxaan ku soo gabagabeyneynaa in Aqalka Cad uu amar ku siiyay taliyeyaashayada; in ay afka ka sheegaan wixii loo sheegay?
5 – Ka dib markii Putin uu ku qanciyay Assad 2013 in uu ka tanaasulo hubkiisa kiimikada, ciidamada Maraykanku waxay burburiyeen 600 metric ton oo kaydkii CW ee Suuriya lix toddobaad gudahood. Waajibaadka Ururka Qaramada Midoobay ee Mamnuucidda Hubka Kiimikada (OPCW-UN) waxay ahayd in la hubiyo in dhammaan la burburiyay - sida waajibaadka kormeerayaasha Qaramada Midoobay ee Ciraaq ee ku saabsan WMD. Natiijooyinka kormeerayaasha Qaramada Midoobay ee WMD ayaa run ahaa. Rumsfeld iyo jeneraalkiisa ayaa been sheegay waxayna tani u muuqataa inay mar kale dhacayso. Saamaynta ayaa hadda ka sii badan; Muhiimadda ay leedahay xiriirka kalsoonida ee madaxda Ruushka lama soo koobi karo.
Sebtembar 6, ka dib markii Putin uu ku qanciyay Assad inuu ka tanaasulo hubkiisa kiimikada (siinaya Obama waddo uu kaga baxo dhibaatada adag), Madaxweynaha Ruushka wuxuu qoray op-ed ee New York Times kaas oo uu ku yidhi: "Shaqadayda iyo shakhsi ahaaneed Xiriirka uu la leeyahay Madaxweyne Obama waxaa astaan u ah kalsoonida sii kordheysa. Tani waan ka mahadcelinayaa.”
Détente ayaa ku dhex jira bud
7 - Saddex sano iyo dheeraad ah ka dib, Abriil 4, 2017, Ra'iisul Wasaaraha Ruushka Medvedev wuxuu ka hadlay "kalsooni darro buuxda," taas oo uu ku tilmaamay inay tahay "murugo u ah xiriirkeena gebi ahaanba burburay [laakiin] war wanaagsan oo loogu talagalay argagixisada." Ma aha oo kaliya murugo, aragtidayada, laakiin gebi ahaanba aan loo baahnayn - ka sii daran, weli, khatar ah.
8 - Iyadoo Moscow ay baabi'isay heshiiskii lagu joojinayay dhaqdhaqaaqa duulimaadka ee Suuriya, saacadda ayaa dib loogu celiyay lix bilood xaaladdii Sebtembar/Oktoobar ee la soo dhaafay markii 11 bilood oo gorgortan adag ah uu keenay heshiis xabbad-joojin ah. Weerarkii ciidamada cirka ee Mareykanka ay ku qaadeen fariisimo ay ku sugnaayeen ciidamada Suuriya Sebtembar 17, 2016, halkaas oo ay ku dileen ilaa 70 ayna ku dhaawacmeen 100 kale, waxa ay meesha ka saareen heshiiskii xabbad joojinta ee curdinka ahaa ee ay ansixiyeen Obama iyo Putin toddobaad ka hor. Kalsoonida waa uumi baxay.
Burburiyaha gantaalaha la hagayo ee USS Porter ayaa sameeyay hawlgallo shaqo joojin ah isagoo ku sugan Badda Mediterranean-ka, Abriil 7, 2017. (Sawirka Ciidanka Badda ee Sarkaalka 3aad ee Fasalka Ford Williams
Sebtembar 9, 26, Wasiirka Arrimaha Dibadda Lavrov ayaa ku calaacalay: "Saaxiibkayga wanaagsan John Kerry… waxa uu dhaleecayn kulul kala kulmayaa mishiinka militariga Mareykanka, [taasoo] sida muuqata aan dhag jalaq u siinin Taliyaha Guud." Lavrov wuxuu dhaleeceeyay Guddoomiyaha JCS Joseph Dunford inuu u sheegay Congress-ka inuu ka soo horjeedo in Ruushka lala wadaago sirta Suuriya, "Heshiiska [xabad joojinta] ka dib, oo lagu soo gabagabeeyay amarrada tooska ah ee Madaxweynaha Ruushka Vladimir Putin iyo Madaxweynaha Mareykanka Barack Obama, ayaa qeexaya in labada dhinac ay wadaagaan garaadka. … Way adagtahay in lala shaqeeyo lamaanayaashaas. …”
Oct. 10, 1, af hayeenka Wasaaradda Arrimaha Dibadda ee Ruushka Maria Zakharova ayaa ka digtay, “Haddii Maraykanku uu qaado gardaro toos ah oo ka dhan ah Dimishiq iyo Ciidanka Suuriya, waxay keeni doontaa isbedel aad u xun oo tectonic ah oo aan ahayn dalka oo keliya, laakiin guud ahaan dalka oo dhan. gobolka."
Oct 11, 6, afhayeenka difaaca ee Ruushka Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov ayaa ka digay in Ruushku uu diyaar u yahay inuu soo rido diyaarado aan la aqoonsan - oo ay ku jiraan diyaarad kasta oo qarsoodi ah - hawada Suuriya. Konashenkov ayaa ku daray in difaaca hawada Ruushku "aysan heli doonin wakhti ay ku aqoonsadaan asalka" diyaaradda.
Oct 12, 27, Putin wuxuu si cad u calaacalay, "Heshiiska gaarka ah ee aan la galay Madaxweynaha Mareykanka ma aysan soo saarin natiijooyin," wuxuuna ka cawday "dadka Washington oo diyaar u ah inay sameeyaan wax kasta oo suurtagal ah si looga hortago in heshiisyadan si dhab ah loo fuliyo. .” Isaga oo tixraacaya Suuriya, Putin waxa uu dhalleeceeyay la'aanta "fool ka dhan ah argagixisada ka dib wada xaajood dheer, dadaal weyn, iyo tanaasul adag."
13 - Markaa, xaaladda khatarta ah ee aan loo baahnayn ee xiriirka Mareykanka iyo Ruushka uu hadda hoos ugu dhacay - laga bilaabo "kalsooni sii kordhaysa" ilaa "kalsooni darro buuxda." Si loo hubiyo, qaar badan ayaa soo dhaweynaya xiisadda sare, taas oo - run ahaantii - aad ugu fiican ganacsiga hubka.
14 - Waxaan aaminsanahay inay muhiim tahay in laga hortago xiriirka Ruushka inuu ku dhaco xaalad gebi ahaanba burbursan. Booqashada Xoghaye Tillerson ee Moscow toddobaadkan waxa ay siinaysaa fursad uu ku istaajiyo dhaawaca, laakiin waxa kale oo jirta khatar ah in ay kordhin karto qallafsanaanta - gaar ahaan haddii Xoghaye Tillerson aanu aqoon u lahayn taariikhda gaaban ee kor ku xusan.
15 - Xaqiiqdi waa waqtigii lala macaamili lahaa Ruushka iyada oo ku saleysan xaqiiqda, maaha eedeymaha ku saleysan inta badan caddaynta shakiga leh - laga bilaabo "warbaahinta bulshada," tusaale ahaan. In kasta oo dad badani ay u arki lahaayeen wakhtigan xiisadda sare inay tahay mid meesha ka saaraysa shir madaxeed, waxaanu soo jeedinaynaa in cagsigu run yahay. Waxaa laga yaabaa inaad tixgeliso inaad u sheegto Xoghaye Tillerson inuu bilaabo qabanqaabada shir-madaxeedka hore ee Madaxweyne Putin.
* Sooyaalka Xirfadlayaasha Sirdoonka ee Ruug-caddaaga ee Sanity (VIPS), liis ay soosaarayaashooda laga heli karo https://consortiumnews.com/vips-memos/.
In yar oo ka mid ah mujaahidiinta CIA ayaa aasaasay VIPS bishii Janaayo 2003 ka dib markii ay soo gabagabeeyeen in Dick Cheney iyo Donald Rumsfeld ay ku amreen asxaabteena hore inay soo saaraan sirta si ay "u caddeeyaan" dagaal aan loo baahnayn oo lala galo Ciraaq. Waqtigaas waxaan doorannay inaan u qaadanno in Madaxweyne George W. Bush uusan arrintan si buuxda uga warqabin.
Waxaannu soo saarnay qoraalkii u horreeyay ee Madaxweynaha galabnimadii Febraayo 5, 2003, ka dib khudbaddii foosha xumayd ee Colin Powell ee Qaramada Midoobay. Isagoo u hadlaya Madaxweyne Bush, waxaanu ku soo xidhay ereyadan:
Qofna runta gees kuma laha; sidoo kale ma hayno mala awaal ah in falanqaynteenu ay tahay "mid aan la dafiri karin" ama "aan la dafiri karin" Laakiin ka dib markii aan daawado Xoghaye Powell maanta, waxaan ku qanacsanahay in aad si fiican u adeegi doonto haddii aad ballaariso dooda… in ay masiibo noqoto.
Si xushmad leh, waxaanu ku siinaynaa talo la mid ah Madaxweyne Trump.
* * * *
Wixii Kooxda Hogaaminaya, Xirfadlayaasha Soodhiga ah ee Veteran Intelligence for Sanity
Eugene D. Betit, Falanqeeyaha Sirdoonka, DIA, Soofiyeedka FAO, (Ciidanka Mareykanka, dib u soo celinta)
William Binney, Agaasimaha Farsamada, NSA; la-aasaasaha, Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Automation-ka ee SIGINT (ret.)
Marshall Carter-Tripp, Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda iyo Agaasimihii hore ee Xafiiska ee Xafiiska Sirdoonka iyo Cilmi-baarista ee Waaxda Gobolka, (ret.)
Thomas Drake, Adeegga Sare ee Sare, NSA (hore)
Robert Furukawa, Capt, CEC, USN-R, (ret.)
Philip Giraldi, CIA, Sarkaalka Hawlaha (dib u celinta)
Mike Gravel, Adjutant hore, sarkaal sare oo kantaroolka sirta ah, Adeegga Sirdoonka Isgaarsiinta; wakiilka gaarka ah ee Counter Intelligence Corps iyo Senator hore ee Maraykanka
Matthew Hoh, Kabtan hore, USMC, Ciraaq iyo Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda, Afgaanistaan (ViPs la-xidhiidha)
Larry C. Johnson, CIA & Waaxda Arrimaha Dibedda (ret.)
Michael S. Kearns, Captain, USAF (Ret.); Macallinkii hore ee SERE ee Hawlgallada Sahanka Istaraatiijiga ah (NSA/DIA) iyo Unugyada Hawlgalka Gaarka ah (JSOC)
John Brady Kiesling, Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda (ret.)
Mr.
Linda Lewis, falanqeeye siyaasadda u-diyaargarowga WMD, USDA (ret.)
David MacMichael, Golaha Sirdoonka Qaranka (ret.)
Ray McGovern, sarkaalkii hore ee ciidamada Mareykanka / sirdoonka & falanqeeyaha CIA (dib.)
Elizabeth Murray, Ku-xigeenka Sarkaalka Sirdoonka Qaranka ee Bariga dhow, CIA iyo Golaha Sirdoonka Qaranka (ret.)
Torin Nelson, Sarkaalkii hore ee Sirdoonka/Su’aalaha, Waaxda Ciidanka
Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, Garsooraha Ciidamada Qalabka Sida ee Maraykanka (Ref.)
Coleen Rowley, Wakiilka Gaarka ah ee FBI iyo Taliyihii Qeybta Sharciga ee Minneapolis (ret.)
Scott Ritter, MAJ hore, USMC, iyo Kormeerihii hore ee Hubka Qaramada Midoobay, Ciraaq
Peter Van Buren, Waaxda Arrimaha Dibadda ee Mareykanka, Sarkaalka Adeegga Dibadda (ret.)
Kirk Wiebe, Falanqeeyaha Sare ee hore, Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Automation-ka ee SIGINT, NSA
Robert Wing, Sarkaalkii hore ee Adeegga Dibadda (ViP.
Ann Wright, Kornayl Kaydka Ciidanka Maraykanka (ret) iyo Diblomaasi hore oo Maraykan ah
